Saturday , 5 September 2026

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf, DFB-Pokal 2023-24 QUARTER FINALS

DFB-Pokal · 2023-24
Tue 30 Jan 2024 · 19:45 UTC Millerntor-Stadion HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs TSV Fortuna 95 DüsseldorfDFB-Pokal at Millerntor-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Sascha Stegemann

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 A 6–5 W
27 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 H 1–2 L
21 Jan Hertha BSC A 2–2 D
16 Dec 1. FC Magdeburg A 3–2 W
10 Dec Holstein Kiel H 0–1 L
05 Dec 1. FC Magdeburg A 2–1 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season
0% Clean Sheets
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
0-15
/
16-30
/1
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between FC St. Pauli 1910 and TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf is underway.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Karol Mets made 103 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC St. Pauli 1910 that had 276 games and scored 146 goals.
  • 12' Takashi Uchino gets the nod from TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf. He replaces Emmanuel Iyoha and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 17' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 22' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 27' Japan international Ao Tanaka has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 32' FC St. Pauli 1910 are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 37' FC St. Pauli 1910 player sees a card in front of him.
  • 38' What a moment for Vincent Vermeij! That strike on 38 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 43' Marcel Hartel has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 5 goals to his name this season.
  • 46' The whistle greets Lars Ritzka as he departs to be replaced by Manolis Saliakas.
  • 51' Fabian Hurzeler picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 55' It’s gonna be a card for Andre Hoffmann.
  • 60' What composure from Marcel Hartel! The Germany international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • 65' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 68' The TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf bench stirs into life. Vincent Vermeij is withdrawn and Christoph Daferner gets his opportunity.
  • 73' Supporters expect more eagerness from Philipp Treu, as he is very good at scoring at Millerntor-Stadion with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
  • 74' The FC St. Pauli 1910 manager makes a substitution. Aljoscha Kemlein departs to be replaced by Carlo Boukhalfa.
  • 79' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 83' That looks like a foul for a card for Manolis Saliakas.
  • 86' Fresh legs for TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf! Jona Niemiec comes on to replace Felix Klaus.
  • The points are shared — FC St. Pauli 1910 5-6 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.06 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.02 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf xG
I would bet for: FC St. Pauli 1910 or TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf 77% + Over 2.5 goals 76%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC St. Pauli 191041% Draw23% TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf36%
Actual: TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes75% 0% No25%
Avg goals/match: 4.08
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 76%
24%
± 3.5 57%
43%
± 4.5 38%
62%

Double Chance

FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
64%
Draw or TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
59%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC St. Pauli 191032% Draw38% TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf30%
Actual: TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–6 not predicted
5 – 6
Actual
1 – 1
7.8%
2 – 1
7.1%
2 – 2
7%
1 – 2
7%
3 – 1
4.8%
3 – 2
4.8%
2 – 3
4.7%
1 – 3
4.6%
2 – 0
3.7%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 3
3.3%
1 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910

Handicap FC St. Pauli 1910 covers Push TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 12% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 17% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 17% 22%
+1.5 78% 22%
+2 78% 12% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
14%
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.