SC Freiburg vs FC Bayern Munchen, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2024-25

SC Freiburg

1 – 2

Full Time

FC Bayern Munchen

Sat 25 Jan 2025 · 14:30 UTC Europa-Park Stadion 34,700 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 15' Harry Kane

0–2 54' Min-Jae Kim

Matthias Ginter 68' 1–2

Lukas Kubler 52' Y

Noah Atubolu 54' Y

Y 63' Harry Kane

Ritsu Doan 76' Y

Vincenzo Grifo 90' Y

Y 90' Thomas Muller

Overview

Match Preview

SC Freiburg vs FC Bayern Munchen — Bundesliga at Europa-Park Stadion.

SC Freiburg 8 games · 16 pts (2026/27)
FC Bayern Munchen 8 games · 18 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Daniel Siebert
Assistant 1 Jan Seidel
Assistant 2 Rafael Foltyn

9 games this season 🟨 5.2/game ⚽ 14.9 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern Munchen	8	18
2	Borussia Dortmund	8	18
3	SC Freiburg	8	16
4	RB Leipzig	8	15
5	SV Werder Bremen	8	15
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	8	13
7	SV 07 Elversberg	8	13
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	11
9	1. FSV Mainz 05	8	10
10	FC Augsburg	8	9
11	VfB Stuttgart	8	9
12	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	8	9
13	1. FC Koln	8	9
14	SC Paderborn 07	8	9
15	Hamburger SV	8	9
16	1. FC Union Berlin	8	7
17	FC Schalke 04	8	6
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	8	4

Head-to-Head

SC Freiburg 18 games · Avg 3.6 goals FC Bayern Munchen

Last 5 meetings

2025-01-25 SC Freiburg 1–2 FC Bayern Munchen 2024-09-01 FC Bayern Munchen 2–0 SC Freiburg 2024-03-01 SC Freiburg 2–2 FC Bayern Munchen 2023-10-08 FC Bayern Munchen 3–0 SC Freiburg 2023-04-08 SC Freiburg 0–1 FC Bayern Munchen

Recent Form

SC Freiburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Jan	FC Bayern Munchen	H	1–2	L
18 Jan	VfB Stuttgart	A	0–4	L
14 Jan	Eintracht Frankfurt	A	1–4	L
11 Jan	Holstein Kiel	H	3–2	W
21 Dec	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	1–5	L
13 Dec	VfL Wolfsburg	H	3–2	W

FC Bayern Munchen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Jan	SC Freiburg	A	2–1	W
22 Jan	Feyenoord Rotterdam	A	0–3	L
18 Jan	VfL Wolfsburg	H	3–2	W
15 Jan	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	H	5–0	W
11 Jan	Borussia Mönchengladbach	A	1–0	W
20 Dec	RB Leipzig	H	5–1	W

Season Stats

SC Freiburg		FC Bayern Munchen
#3	Position	#1
16	Points	18
8	Played	8
5 / 1 / 2	W / D / L	5 / 3 / 0
18	Scored	27
10	Conceded	8
+8	GD	+19
2.00	PPG	2.25
63%	Win %	63%

Key Stats

78% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

78% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

25% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season

25% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern Munchen this season

SC Freiburg are 3rd (16 pts). FC Bayern Munchen are 1st (18 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Freiburg

0-15

2/1

16-30

4/4

31-45

2/2

46-60

3/–

61-75

1/–

76+

5/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Bayern Munchen

0-15

1/1

16-30

5/–

31-45

5/–

46-60

5/2

61-75

5/2

76+

5/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SC Freiburg

Igor Matanovic	4 G	1 A
Yuito Suzuki	4 G
Maximilian Eggestein	3 G
Derry Scherhant	2 G	3 A
Yannik Engelhardt	2 G

FC Bayern Munchen

Michael Olise	6 G	3 A
Harry Kane	4 G	5 A
Luis Diaz	4 G	1 A
Dayot Upamecano	3 G
Ismael Saibari	2 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at Europa-Park Stadion. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
10' SC Freiburg are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Bayern Munchen backline.
15' The England Harry Kane breaks the deadlock on 15 minutes. 0-1!
20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
25' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both SC Freiburg and FC Bayern Munchen are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
30' Nicolas Hofler, a Germany defensive midfielder, has 61 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
35' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Julian Schuster will be considering his options from the bench.
40' Josip Stanisic gets the nod from FC Bayern Munchen. He replaces Leon Goretzka and will look to change the dynamic.
45' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
46' The whistle greets Max Rosenfelder as he departs to be replaced by Matthias Ginter.
51' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
52' A meaty challenge results in booking for Lukas Kubler on 52.
54' The deadlock is broken! Min-Jae Kim gets on the scoresheet on 54 minutes.
54' Noah Atubolu picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
59' Germany international Jamal Musiala has been a key figure this campaign — 9 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
63' The referee calls foul for Harry Kane. He receives a card.
63' Michael Olise is ready to make an impact after coming on for Leroy Sane at the 63 minute mark.
68' A stunning finish from Matthias Ginter — that came from absolutely nowhere!
73' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SC Freiburg that had 498 games and scored 486 goals.
75' Lucas Holer makes way for Chikwubuike Adamu at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from SC Freiburg.
76' Poor challenge from Ritsu Doan. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
77' A tactical swap from SC Freiburg — Johan Manzambi on, Maximilian Eggestein off on 77 minutes.
82' SC Freiburg seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
83' The FC Bayern Munchen manager makes a substitution. Jamal Musiala departs to be replaced by Thomas Muller.
85' Michael Gregoritsch is replacing Jordy Makengo for the SC Freiburg side.
90' SC Freiburg player sees a card in front of him.
It finishes all square. SC Freiburg and FC Bayern Munchen share the spoils 1-2.

Lineups

SC Freiburg Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

8
Maximilian Eggestein ↓ Johan Manzambi 77'
42
Ritsu Doan
17
Lukas Kubler
3
Philipp Lienhart
27
Nicolas Hofler
9
Lucas Holer ↓ Chikwubuike Adamu 75'
34
Merlin Rohl
18
Eren Dinkci ↓ Vincenzo Grifo 77'
1
Noah Atubolu
33
Jordy Makengo ↓ Michael Gregoritsch 85'
37
Max Rosenfelder ↓ Matthias Ginter 46'

Bench

Coach Julian Schuster

FC Bayern Munchen Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

10
Leroy Sane ↓ Michael Olise 63'
15
Eric Dier
9
Harry Kane
7
Serge Gnabry ↓ Kingsley Coman 63'
1
Manuel Neuer
6
Joshua Kimmich
8
Leon Goretzka ↓ Josip Stanisic 40'
22
Raphael Guerreiro ↓ Joao Palhinha 83'
42
Jamal Musiala ↓ Thomas Muller 83'
3
Min-Jae Kim
45
Aleksandar Pavlovic

Bench

26
Sven Ulreich
11
Kingsley Coman ↑ 63'
25
Thomas Muller ↑ 83'
16
Joao Palhinha ↑ 83'
17
Michael Olise ↑ 63'
23
Sacha Boey
44
Josip Stanisic ↑ 40'
39
Mathys Tel
49
Adam Aznou

Coach Vincent Kompany

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Serge Gnabry	7
Robert Lewandowski	7
Lucas Holer	6
Leroy Sane	4
Kingsley Coman	3
Dayot Upamecano	3
Leon Goretzka	2
Harry Kane	2

Head to Head

SC Freiburg Form

2025-01-25 SC Freiburg 1–2 FC Bayern Munchen L 2025-01-18 VfB Stuttgart 4–0 SC Freiburg L 2025-01-14 Eintracht Frankfurt 4–1 SC Freiburg L 2025-01-11 SC Freiburg 3–2 Holstein Kiel W 2024-12-21 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 5–1 SC Freiburg L 2024-12-13 SC Freiburg 3–2 VfL Wolfsburg W

FC Bayern Munchen Form

2025-01-25 SC Freiburg 1–2 FC Bayern Munchen W 2025-01-22 Feyenoord Rotterdam 3–0 FC Bayern Munchen L 2025-01-18 FC Bayern Munchen 3–2 VfL Wolfsburg W 2025-01-15 FC Bayern Munchen 5–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2025-01-11 Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–1 FC Bayern Munchen W 2024-12-20 FC Bayern Munchen 5–1 RB Leipzig W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.43 SC Freiburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.05 FC Bayern Munchen xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct

SC Freiburg26% Draw24% FC Bayern Munchen50%

Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes66% 0% No34%

Avg goals/match: 3.48

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	86%	14%
± 2.5	66%	34%
± 3.5	45%	55%
± 4.5	27%	73%

Double Chance

SC Freiburg or Draw

50%

Draw or FC Bayern Munchen

74%

SC Freiburg or FC Bayern Munchen

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

SC Freiburg22% Draw40% FC Bayern Munchen38%

Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.9%

1 – 2

Actual

0 – 2

6.5%

2 – 2

6.3%

2 – 1

6.3%

1 – 3

6.1%

0 – 1

5.8%

0 – 0

4.5%

2 – 3

4.3%

0 – 3

4.3%

1 – 0

3.8%

2 – 0

3.2%

Asian Handicap — SC Freiburg

Handicap	SC Freiburg covers	Push	FC Bayern Munchen covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	8%	88%
-1.5	12%	—	88%
-1	12%	14%	74%
-0.5	26%	—	74%
+0.5	49%	—	51%
+1	49%	20%	30%
+1.5	70%	—	30%
+2	70%	15%	15%
+2.5	85%	—	15%

Clean Sheet

SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

FC Bayern Munchen keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.