VfB Stuttgart vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
VfB Stuttgart vs SC Freiburg — Bundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.
- VfB Stuttgart 34 games · 62 pts (2025/26)
- SC Freiburg 34 games · 47 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Felix Zwayer
- Assistant 1 Robert Kempter
- Assistant 2 Christian Dietz
35 games this season
🟨 1.6/game
⚽ 7.2 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan | SC Freiburg | H | 4–0 | W |
| 15 Jan | RB Leipzig | H | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Jan | FC Augsburg | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Dec | FC St. Pauli 1910 | H | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Dec | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 3–1 | W |
| 11 Dec | BSC Young Boys | H | 5–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan | VfB Stuttgart | A | 0–4 | L |
| 14 Jan | Eintracht Frankfurt | A | 1–4 | L |
| 11 Jan | Holstein Kiel | H | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Dec | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 1–5 | L |
| 13 Dec | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 3–2 | W |
| 08 Dec | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| VfB Stuttgart | SC Freiburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #7 |
| 62 | Points | 47 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 18 / 8 / 8 | W / D / L | 13 / 8 / 13 |
| 71 | Scored | 51 |
| 49 | Conceded | 57 |
| +22 | GD | -6 |
| 1.82 | PPG | 1.38 |
| 53% | Win % | 38% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
VfB Stuttgart this season
18%
Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season
SC Freiburg this season
VfB Stuttgart are 4th (62 pts). SC Freiburg are 7th (47 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
VfB Stuttgart
0-15
2/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Freiburg
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/–
31-45
–/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
3/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — VfB Stuttgart and SC Freiburg get this one started.
- 2' Brilliant from the ! Anthony Rouault makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 2.
- 7' Ritsu Doan, a Japan , has 1 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 11' Josha Vagnoman has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 11.
- 15' Patrick Osterhage picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 17' Ermedin Demirovic makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and VfB Stuttgart are in front.
- 20' Philipp Lienhart is ready to make an impact after coming on for Matthias Ginter at the 20 minute mark.
- 25' A quiet spell here at Mercedes-Benz Arena. VfB Stuttgart seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 30' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering VfB Stuttgart that had 438 games and scored 440 goals.
- 35' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 40' SC Freiburg are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 45' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Enzo Millot on 45 minutes.
- 50' What composure from Nick Woltemade! The Germany international strokes it home. 3-0.
- 53' Atakan Karazor is having his name booked by the referee on 53.
- 58' With 0 assists to his name this season, Christian Gunter is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SC Freiburg.
- 59' SC Freiburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Eren Dinkci is hanging Vincenzo Grifo on the field on 59 minute.
- 61' VfB Stuttgart manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jacob Bruun Larsen is hanging Enzo Millot on the field on 61 minute.
- 66' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SC Freiburg needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 69' The whistle greets Ermedin Demirovic as he departs to be replaced by Deniz Undav.
- 74' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 76' Time for substitution for SC Freiburg. Merlin Rohl is replaced by Lucas Holer.
- 80' What composure from Deniz Undav! The Germany international strokes it home. 4-0.
- 81' VfB Stuttgart make a change. Ameen Al Dakhil trudges off to be replaced by Julian Chabot on 81 minutes.
- 82' Jacob Bruun Larsen is having his name booked by the referee on 82.
- 84' Deniz Undav was booked on 84.
- 89' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. VfB Stuttgart take all three points.
Lineups
VfB Stuttgart Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 16
-
9
Ermedin Demirovic ↓ Deniz Undav 69'
- 4
- 33
-
18
Jamie Leweling ↓ Chris Fuhrich 61'
-
11
Nick Woltemade ↓ Yannik Keitel 69'
- 8
- 29
- 6
- 3
-
2
Ameen Al Dakhil ↓ Julian Chabot 81'
Bench
-
24
Julian Chabot ↑ 81'
-
25
Jacob Bruun Larsen ↑ 61'
- 7
- 15
-
27
Chris Fuhrich ↑ 61'
- 1
-
5
Yannik Keitel ↑ 69'
-
26
Deniz Undav ↑ 69'
- 32
SC Freiburg Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 8
- 42
- 21
-
32
Vincenzo Grifo ↓ Eren Dinkci 59'
- 30
- 17
- 28
- 6
- 20
-
34
Merlin Rohl ↓ Lucas Holer 76'
- 37
Bench
-
38
Michael Gregoritsch ↑ 76'
- 24
- 23
-
3
Philipp Lienhart ↑ 20'
- 27
-
9
Lucas Holer ↑ 76'
-
18
Eren Dinkci ↑ 59'
-
33
Jordy Makengo ↑ 59'
- 44
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Vincenzo Grifo | 6 |
| Chris Fuhrich | 4 |
| Jeong Wooyeong | 3 |
| Deniz Undav | 3 |
| Lukas Kubler | 3 |
| Jerome Gondorf | 2 |
| Sehrou Guirassy | 2 |
| Mario Gomez | 2 |
Head to Head
VfB Stuttgart Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.84
VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09
SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 74% + VfB Stuttgart to win 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: VfB Stuttgart win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.93
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 3.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 4.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
Double Chance
VfB Stuttgart or Draw
86%
Draw or SC Freiburg
32%
VfB Stuttgart or SC Freiburg
82%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: VfB Stuttgart win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.5%
2 – 0
8.1%
3 – 1
7.9%
3 – 0
7.4%
1 – 1
6.8%
4 – 1
5.6%
1 – 0
5.4%
4 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 2
4.3%
1 – 2
3.3%
5 – 1
3.2%
Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart
| Handicap | VfB Stuttgart covers | Push | SC Freiburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -2 | 32% | 20% | 48% |
| -1.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| -1 | 52% | 20% | 28% |
| -0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 7% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
34%
✗
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

