Thursday , 29 October 2026

FC Bayern Munchen vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 18 Jan 2025 · 14:30 UTC Allianz Arena 75,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Leon Goretzka 20' 1–0
1–1 24' Mohammed Amoura
Michael Olise 39' 2–1
Leon Goretzka 62' 3–1
3–2 88' Mohammed Amoura

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern Munchen vs VfL Wolfsburg — Bundesliga at Allianz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Reichel
  • Assistant 1 Christian Bandurski
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Pelgrim
4 games this season 🟨 4.5/game ⚽ 11.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan VfL Wolfsburg H 3–2 W
15 Jan TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 5–0 W
11 Jan Borussia Monchengladbach A 1–0 W
20 Dec RB Leipzig H 5–1 W
14 Dec 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–2 L
10 Dec FK Shakhtar Donetsk A 5–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan FC Bayern Munchen A 2–3 L
14 Jan Borussia Monchengladbach H 5–1 W
11 Jan TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–0 W
22 Dec Borussia Dortmund H 1–3 L
13 Dec SC Freiburg A 2–3 L
08 Dec 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 4–3 W

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern Munchen this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern Munchen
0-15
1/1
16-30
5/–
31-45
4/–
46-60
5/1
61-75
4/2
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Bayern Munchen
Michael Olise 6 G 3 A
Harry Kane 4 G 4 A
Luis Diaz 4 G 1 A
Ismael Saibari 2 G 3 A
Aleksandar Pavlovic 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' FC Bayern München have kicked off against VfL Wolfsburg. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. VfL Wolfsburg needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Bayern München and VfL Wolfsburg are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 20' Leon Goretzka doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 24' What a moment for Mohammed Amoura! That strike on 24 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 29' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 34' Kingsley Coman has been relatively quiet despite scoring 58 goals in his last 546 appearances.
  • 39' Assisted by Leroy Sane with the perfectly-timed delivery and Michael Olise makes no mistake. 0-3!
  • 44' It looks surprising FC Bayern München does not make any changes. Harry Kane has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 45' VfL Wolfsburg receives a card for a hard tackle on 45.
  • 50' Kamil Grabara has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 10 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 55' VfL Wolfsburg fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 60' FC Bayern München are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against VfL Wolfsburg's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 61' A moment of madness from Patrick Wimmer on 61 minutes earns him a card. VfL Wolfsburg will be frustrated.
  • 62' Leon Goretzka makes no mistake. The score reads 0-4 and FC Bayern Munchen are in front.
  • 63' Aster Vranckx is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yannick Gerhardt at the 63 minute mark.
  • 67' Serge Gnabry is ready to make an impact after coming on for Leroy Sane at the 67 minute mark.
  • 71' Bence Dardai makes way for Mattias Svanberg at the 71 minute mark. A tactical switch from VfL Wolfsburg.
  • 76' A tactical swap from FC Bayern Munchen — Jamal Musiala on, Kingsley Coman off on 76 minutes.
  • 79' Joshua Kimmich catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 79.
  • 84' Konrad Laimer was booked on 84.
  • 88' The deadlock is broken! Mohammed Amoura gets on the scoresheet on 88 minutes.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Kilian Fischer. He receives a card.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 3-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.2 FC Bayern Munchen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25 VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern Munchen61% Draw21% VfL Wolfsburg18%
Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.45
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

FC Bayern Munchen or Draw
82%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
39%
FC Bayern Munchen or VfL Wolfsburg
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern Munchen43% Draw40% VfL Wolfsburg17%
Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
7.7%
3 – 1
6.8%
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
5.5%
1 – 2
5.3%
0 – 0
4.6%
3 – 2
Actual
4 – 1
3.8%
0 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern Munchen

Handicap FC Bayern Munchen covers Push VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5 19% — 81%
-2 19% 17% 63%
-1.5 37% — 63%
-1 37% 21% 42%
-0.5 58% — 42%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 12% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern Munchen keeps clean sheet
29% ✓
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.