Thursday , 2 July 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 21 Dec 2024 · 17:30 UTC BayArena 30,210 HT 45' · FT 45'
Patrik Schick 45+1' 1–0
Florian Wirtz 51' 2–0
2–1 55' Vincenzo Grifo
Patrik Schick 67' 3–1
Patrik Schick 74' 4–1
Patrik Schick 77' 5–1

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC FreiburgBundesliga at BayArena.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
  • Assistant 1 Christian Gittelmann
  • Assistant 2 Mark Borsch
24 games this season 🟨 0.7/game 4.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec SC Freiburg H 5–1 W
14 Dec FC Augsburg A 2–0 W
10 Dec FC Internazionale Milano H 1–0 W
07 Dec FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–1 W
03 Dec FC Bayern München A 1–0 W
30 Nov 1. FC Union Berlin A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–5 L
13 Dec VfL Wolfsburg H 3–2 W
08 Dec TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–1 D
03 Dec Arminia Bielefeld A 1–3 L
30 Nov Borussia Monchengladbach H 3–1 W
23 Nov Borussia Dortmund A 0–4 L

Season Stats

Bayer 04 Leverkusen SC Freiburg
#6 Position #7
59 Points 47
34 Played 34
17 / 8 / 9 W / D / L 13 / 8 / 13
68 Scored 51
47 Conceded 57
+21 GD -6
1.74 PPG 1.38
50% Win % 38%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
18% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts). SC Freiburg are 7th (47 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Freiburg
0-15
/3
16-30
4/
31-45
/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
3/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.72 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 73% + Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen67% Draw18% SC Freiburg15%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.9
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 73%
27%
± 3.5 53%
47%
± 4.5 35%
65%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
86%
Draw or SC Freiburg
33%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or SC Freiburg
82%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen51% Draw35% SC Freiburg14%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.6%
3 – 1
7.7%
2 – 0
7.6%
1 – 1
7.3%
3 – 0
6.7%
1 – 0
5.3%
4 – 1
5.3%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 2
4.5%
4 – 0
4.5%
1 – 2
3.8%
4 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push SC Freiburg covers
-2.5 29% 71%
-2 29% 19% 52%
-1.5 48% 52%
-1 48% 20% 32%
-0.5 68% 32%
+0.5 86% 14%
+1 86% 8% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
31%
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
7%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.