Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 21 Dec 2024 · 17:30 UTC BayArena 30,210 HT 45' · FT 45'
Patrik Schick 45+1' 1–0
Florian Wirtz 51' 2–0
2–1 55' Vincenzo Grifo
Patrik Schick 67' 3–1
Patrik Schick 74' 4–1
Patrik Schick 77' 5–1

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg — Bundesliga at BayArena.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
  • Assistant 1 Christian Gittelmann
  • Assistant 2 Mark Borsch
3 games this season 🟨 5.7/game ⚽ 11.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec SC Freiburg H 5–1 W
14 Dec FC Augsburg A 2–0 W
10 Dec FC Internazionale Milano H 1–0 W
07 Dec FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–1 W
03 Dec FC Bayern München A 1–0 W
30 Nov 1. FC Union Berlin A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–5 L
13 Dec VfL Wolfsburg H 3–2 W
08 Dec TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–1 D
03 Dec Arminia Bielefeld A 1–3 L
30 Nov Borussia Mönchengladbach H 3–1 W
23 Nov Borussia Dortmund A 0–4 L

Season Stats

Bayer 04 Leverkusen SC Freiburg
#5 Position #3
7 Points 10
4 Played 4
2 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 0
10 Scored 12
5 Conceded 3
+5 GD +9
1.75 PPG 2.50
50% Win % 75%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
50% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 5th (7 pts). SC Freiburg are 3rd (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Freiburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
4/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51 SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen54% Draw22% SC Freiburg24%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.61
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 30%
70%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
76%
Draw or SC Freiburg
46%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or SC Freiburg
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen38% Draw40% SC Freiburg22%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
9.4%
2 – 1
8.7%
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 2
6.3%
3 – 1
6%
2 – 0
6%
1 – 0
5.2%
3 – 2
4.6%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 0
4%
0 – 1
3.5%
2 – 3
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push SC Freiburg covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 15% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 20% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 14% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.