Saturday , 14 November 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 21 Dec 2024 · 17:30 UTC BayArena 30,210 HT 45' · FT 45'
Patrik Schick 45+1' 1–0
Florian Wirtz 51' 2–0
2–1 55' Vincenzo Grifo
Patrik Schick 67' 3–1
Patrik Schick 74' 4–1
Patrik Schick 77' 5–1

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg — Bundesliga at BayArena.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
  • Assistant 1 Christian Gittelmann
  • Assistant 2 Mark Borsch
10 games this season 🟨 3.2/game ⚽ 9.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec SC Freiburg H 5–1 W
14 Dec FC Augsburg A 2–0 W
10 Dec FC Internazionale Milano H 1–0 W
07 Dec FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–1 W
03 Dec FC Bayern München A 1–0 W
30 Nov 1. FC Union Berlin A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–5 L
13 Dec VfL Wolfsburg H 3–2 W
08 Dec TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–1 D
03 Dec Arminia Bielefeld A 1–3 L
30 Nov Borussia Mönchengladbach H 3–1 W
23 Nov Borussia Dortmund A 0–4 L

Season Stats

Bayer 04 Leverkusen SC Freiburg
#5 Position #3
16 Points 19
9 Played 9
5 / 1 / 3 W / D / L 6 / 1 / 2
20 Scored 20
17 Conceded 10
+3 GD +10
1.78 PPG 2.11
56% Win % 67%

Key Stats

76% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
65% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
33% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 5th (16 pts). SC Freiburg are 3rd (19 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
4/4
16-30
4/1
31-45
1/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Freiburg
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/4
31-45
2/2
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/–
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.34 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.72 SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen55% Draw21% SC Freiburg24%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes74% 0% No26%
Avg goals/match: 4.06
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 76%
24%
± 3.5 57%
43%
± 4.5 38%
62%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
76%
Draw or SC Freiburg
45%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or SC Freiburg
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen39% Draw37% SC Freiburg24%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 1
7.7%
2 – 2
6.7%
3 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 2
5.2%
2 – 0
4.8%
2 – 3
3.8%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 0
3.7%
4 – 1
3.6%
1 – 3
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push SC Freiburg covers
-2.5 17% — 83%
-2 17% 15% 68%
-1.5 32% — 68%
-1 32% 19% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 14% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 8% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.