Friday , 9 October 2026

FC Bayern München vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Fri 20 Dec 2024 · 19:30 UTC Allianz Arena 75,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jamal Musiala 1' 1–0
1–1 2' Benjamin Sesko
Konrad Laimer 25' 2–1
Joshua Kimmich 36' 3–1
Leroy Sane 75' 4–1
Alphonso Davies 78' 5–1

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern Munchen vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga at Allianz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Siebert
  • Assistant 1 Jan Seidel
  • Assistant 2 Rafael Foltyn
5 games this season 🟨 5.4/game ⚽ 12.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Dec RB Leipzig H 5–1 W
14 Dec 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–2 L
10 Dec FK Shakhtar Donetsk A 5–1 W
07 Dec 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 4–2 W
03 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–1 L
30 Nov Borussia Dortmund A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Dec FC Bayern München A 1–5 L
15 Dec Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–1 W
10 Dec Aston Villa FC H 2–3 L
07 Dec Holstein Kiel A 2–0 W
04 Dec Eintracht Frankfurt H 3–0 W
30 Nov VfL Wolfsburg H 1–5 L

Season Stats

FC Bayern München RB Leipzig
#2 Position #9
10 Points 6
4 Played 4
3 / 1 / 0 W / D / L 2 / 0 / 2
14 Scored 9
2 Conceded 5
+12 GD +4
2.50 PPG 1.50
75% Win % 50%

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
50% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

FC Bayern München are 2nd (10 pts). RB Leipzig are 9th (6 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern München
0-15
–/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Bayern München
Michael Olise 4 G 1 A
Harry Kane 3 G
Aleksandar Pavlovic 1 G 1 A
Dayot Upamecano 1 G
Luis Diaz 1 G
RB Leipzig
Antonio Nusa 2 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G
Rocco Reitz 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and FC Bayern München launch into their encounter with RB Leipzig.
  • 1' Against the run of play, Jamal Musiala has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 2' A goal from the Slovenia international Benjamin Sesko! He fires home on 2 to make it 0-2!
  • 7' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Bayern München and RB Leipzig are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 12' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 17' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 20' It’s a booking for FC Bayern Munchen player. Dayot Upamecano gets a card.
  • 25' Konrad Laimer does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Bayern Munchen surge ahead!
  • 27' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Xaver Schlager on 27 minutes.
  • 32' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 36' Joshua Kimmich has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 36 minutes.
  • 41' David Raum is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for RB Leipzig so far.
  • 45' It’s gonna be a card for Marco Rose.
  • 50' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Bayern München must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 55' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Bayern München that had 546 games and scored 1079 goals.
  • 56' It’s gonna be a card for Michael Olise.
  • 59' The referee has no hesitation. Benjamin Henrichs is booked for RB Leipzig — card on 59.
  • 60' The referee has no hesitation. Harry Kane is booked for FC Bayern Munchen — card on 60.
  • 64' The referee shows FC Bayern Munchen player a card on 64.
  • 69' Fresh legs for FC Bayern Munchen! Aleksandar Pavlovic comes on to replace Konrad Laimer.
  • 74' Another change for RB Leipzig made on 74 minute. Xaver Schlager leaves to be changed by Kevin Kampl.
  • 75' Leroy Sane doubles the advantage! 0-5 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 78' Alphonso Davies doubles the advantage! 0-6 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 82' The referee calls foul for Joshua Kimmich. He receives a card.
  • 82' The whistle greets Lutsharel Geertruida as he departs to be replaced by David Raum.
  • 83' The FC Bayern Munchen manager makes a substitution. Min-Jae Kim departs to be replaced by Eric Dier.
  • 87' Fresh legs for FC Bayern Munchen! Thomas Muller comes on to replace Harry Kane.
  • The points are shared — FC Bayern München 5-1 RB Leipzig. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.81 FC Bayern Munchen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + FC Bayern Munchen to win 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern Munchen68% Draw18% RB Leipzig14%
Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.84
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 52%
48%
± 4.5 33%
67%

Double Chance

FC Bayern Munchen or Draw
86%
Draw or RB Leipzig
32%
FC Bayern Munchen or RB Leipzig
82%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern Munchen54% Draw34% RB Leipzig12%
Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.6%
2 – 1
8.6%
3 – 1
7.9%
3 – 0
7.8%
1 – 1
7%
1 – 0
5.9%
4 – 1
5.5%
4 – 0
5.4%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 0
3.3%
1 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern Munchen

Handicap FC Bayern Munchen covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 33% — 67%
-2 33% 20% 47%
-1.5 53% — 47%
-1 53% 20% 27%
-0.5 73% — 27%
+0.5 89% — 11%
+1 89% 7% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern Munchen keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
7% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.