Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SC Freiburg vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 11 Jan 2025 · 14:30 UTC Europa-Park Stadion 33,700 HT 45' · FT 45'
Nicolai Remberg og 23' 1–0
Christian Gunter 38' 2–0
Vincenzo Grifo 74' 3–0
3–1 85' Phil Harres
3–2 90' Phil Harres

Overview

Match Preview

SC Freiburg vs Holstein Kiel — Bundesliga at Europa-Park Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Soren Storks
  • Assistant 1 Thorben Siewer
  • Assistant 2 Markus Schuller
4 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 17.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan Holstein Kiel H 3–2 W
21 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–5 L
13 Dec VfL Wolfsburg H 3–2 W
08 Dec TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–1 D
03 Dec Arminia Bielefeld A 1–3 L
30 Nov Borussia Mönchengladbach H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan SC Freiburg A 2–3 L
21 Dec FC Augsburg H 5–1 W
14 Dec Borussia Mönchengladbach A 1–4 L
07 Dec RB Leipzig H 0–2 L
29 Nov FC St. Pauli 1910 A 1–3 L
24 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 0–3 L

Key Stats

73% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Freiburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
4/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Europa-Park Stadion. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. SC Freiburg and Holstein Kiel are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 20' Holstein Kiel are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 23' Magnificent from Nicolai Remberg! That is 4 goals in 75 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 28' SC Freiburg seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 33' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Holstein Kiel needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 37' Holstein Kiel player sees a card in front of him.
  • 38' What a strike from Christian Gunter! The score is 1-1.
  • 43' A quiet spell here at Europa-Park Stadion. Holstein Kiel seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 45' Armin Gigovic has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 45.
  • 50' That is a card for Holstein Kiel. Alexander Hahn will be fuming at that decision.
  • 55' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 57' Another change for Holstein Kiel made on 57 minute. Armin Gigovic leaves to be changed by Lewis Holtby.
  • 58' Lukas Kubler catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 58.
  • 63' SC Freiburg are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 66' Holstein Kiel manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Andu Yobel Kelati is hanging Shuto Machino on the field on 66 minute.
  • 69' Time for substitution for SC Freiburg. Lucas Holer is replaced by Michael Gregoritsch.
  • 74' Vincenzo Grifo adds to his 0 season tally! SC Freiburg lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 76' Time for substitution for SC Freiburg. Eren Dinkci is replaced by Maximilian Philipp.
  • 81' The Holstein Kiel bench stirs into life. Alexander Bernhardsson is withdrawn and Dominik Javorcek gets his opportunity.
  • 83' Jordy Makengo is replacing Max Rosenfelder for the SC Freiburg side.
  • 85' GOAL! Phil Harres scores on 85.
  • 90' What a strike from Phil Harres! The score is 2-3.
  • 90' Michael Gregoritsch picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • It finishes all square. SC Freiburg and Holstein Kiel share the spoils 3-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.94 SC Freiburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.44 Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 65% + Over 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Freiburg50% Draw24% Holstein Kiel26%
Actual: SC Freiburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.38
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

SC Freiburg or Draw
74%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
50%
SC Freiburg or Holstein Kiel
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Freiburg36% Draw41% Holstein Kiel23%
Actual: SC Freiburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.4%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
6.4%
1 – 0
6%
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 0
4.9%
0 – 1
4.2%
3 – 2
Actual
3 – 0
4%
0 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — SC Freiburg

Handicap SC Freiburg covers Push Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 15% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 20% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 15% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.