Wednesday , 7 October 2026

SC Freiburg vs FC Bayern Munchen, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Fri 1 Mar 2024 · 19:30 UTC Europa-Park Stadion 34,700 HT 45' · FT 45'
Christian Gunter 12' 1–0
1–1 35' Mathys Tel
1–2 75' Jamal Musiala
Lucas Holer 87' 2–2

Overview

Match Preview

SC Freiburg vs FC Bayern Munchen — Bundesliga at Europa-Park Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Sven Jablonski
  • Assistant 1 Lasse Koslowski
  • Assistant 2 Eduard Beitinger
3 games this season 🟨 1.3/game ⚽ 6.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar FC Bayern Munchen H 2–2 D
25 Feb FC Augsburg A 1–2 L
22 Feb Racing Club de Lens H 3–2 W
18 Feb Eintracht Frankfurt H 3–3 D
15 Feb Racing Club de Lens A 0–0 D
09 Feb Borussia Dortmund A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar SC Freiburg A 2–2 D
24 Feb RB Leipzig H 2–1 W
18 Feb VfL Bochum 1848 A 2–3 L
14 Feb SS Lazio A 0–1 L
10 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–3 L
03 Feb Borussia Monchengladbach H 3–1 W

Season Stats

SC Freiburg FC Bayern Munchen
#3 Position #2
10 Points 10
4 Played 4
3 / 1 / 0 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 0
12 Scored 14
3 Conceded 2
+9 GD +12
2.50 PPG 2.50
75% Win % 75%

Key Stats

76% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
76% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season
50% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern Munchen this season

SC Freiburg are 3rd (10 pts). FC Bayern Munchen are 2nd (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Freiburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
4/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern Munchen
0-15
–/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Bayern Munchen
Michael Olise 4 G 1 A
Harry Kane 3 G
Aleksandar Pavlovic 1 G 1 A
Dayot Upamecano 1 G
Luis Diaz 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and SC Freiburg launch into their encounter with FC Bayern Munchen.
  • 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 10' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 12' Christian Gunter has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 12 minutes.
  • 17' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Manuel Gulde suffering a number of foals already.
  • 22' SC Freiburg are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 27' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Matthias Ginter made 166 appearances and scored 19 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 32' It looks surprising SC Freiburg does not make any changes. Raphael Guerreiro has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 35' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Mathys Tel makes no mistake. 1-1!
  • 40' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 45' FC Bayern Munchen started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 45.
  • 50' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SC Freiburg and FC Bayern Munchen are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 55' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 60' Germany international Lucas Holer has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 64' FC Bayern Munchen ring the changes. Raphael Guerreiro has done his job and it is now time for Alphonso Davies to step up.
  • 69' SC Freiburg have won 486 goals from 498 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 73' The referee shows FC Bayern Munchen player a card on 73.
  • 75' What a moment for Jamal Musiala! That strike on 75 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 76' Maxim Choupo-Moting has so much to prove this time. He replaces Thomas Muller on 76 minute.
  • 77' Ritsu Doan makes way for Noah Weisshaupt at the 77 minute mark. A tactical switch from SC Freiburg.
  • 79' Aleksandar Pavlovic was booked on 79.
  • 83' Another substitution for FC Bayern Munchen to replace Jamal Musiala by Dayot Upamecano on 83 minute.
  • 85' Maximilian Eggestein makes way for Maximilian Philipp at the 85 minute mark. A tactical switch from SC Freiburg.
  • 87' What an equalizer from Lucas Holer!
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Lucas Holer argues furiously but the card stands.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.38 SC Freiburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.7 FC Bayern Munchen xG
I would bet for: SC Freiburg or FC Bayern Munchen 73% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SC Freiburg34% Draw27% FC Bayern Munchen39%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.08
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

SC Freiburg or Draw
60%
Draw or FC Bayern Munchen
66%
SC Freiburg or FC Bayern Munchen
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SC Freiburg24% Draw44% FC Bayern Munchen32%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 2
8.8%
2 – 1
7.2%
0 – 1
7%
0 – 2
6.6%
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
5.6%
1 – 3
5%
2 – 0
4.4%
0 – 3
3.6%
2 – 3
3.5%

Asian Handicap — SC Freiburg

Handicap SC Freiburg covers Push FC Bayern Munchen covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 16% 70%
-0.5 30% — 70%
+0.5 56% — 44%
+1 56% 20% 23%
+1.5 77% — 23%
+2 77% 13% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
FC Bayern Munchen keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.