Thursday , 2 July 2026

RB Leipzig vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
3 1
Full Time
Sun 12 Nov 2023 · 18:30 UTC Red Bull Arena 45,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Xavi Simons 6' 1–0
1–1 45+6' Merlin Rohl
Lois Openda pen 79' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs SC FreiburgBundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Patrick Ittrich
  • Assistant 1 Sascha Thielert
  • Assistant 2 Thomas Gorniak
16 games this season 🟨 0.8/game 5.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Nov SC Freiburg H 3–1 W
07 Nov FK Crvena Zvezda A 2–1 W
04 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 0–2 L
31 Oct VfL Wolfsburg A 0–1 L
28 Oct 1. FC Koln H 6–0 W
25 Oct FK Crvena Zvezda H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Nov RB Leipzig A 1–3 L
09 Nov FK TSC Backa Topola H 5–0 W
04 Nov Borussia Monchengladbach H 3–3 D
01 Nov SC Paderborn 07 H 1–3 L
29 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–2 L
26 Oct FK TSC Backa Topola A 3–1 W

Season Stats

RB Leipzig SC Freiburg
#3 Position #7
65 Points 47
34 Played 34
20 / 5 / 9 W / D / L 13 / 8 / 13
66 Scored 51
47 Conceded 57
+19 GD -6
1.91 PPG 1.38
59% Win % 38%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
18% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season

RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts). SC Freiburg are 7th (47 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
1/
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Freiburg
0-15
/3
16-30
4/
31-45
/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
3/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for RB Leipzig to score. At the same time, SC Freiburg does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Christian Streich might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 6' What composure from Xavi Simons! The Netherlands international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 11' Supporters expect more eagerness from Chikwubuike Adamu, as he is very good at scoring at Red Bull Arena with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
  • 16' SC Freiburg fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 21' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 26' The home supporters are growing impatient. RB Leipzig must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 31' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SC Freiburg needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 36' It is a cagey affair so far. RB Leipzig in their 4-4-2 trying to find a way past SC Freiburg's compact 3-4-2-1.
  • 41' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Lukas Klostermann made 513 appearances and scored 14 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 46' RB Leipzig have won 719 goals from 513 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 51' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Merlin Rohl makes no mistake. 1-1!
  • 56' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 61' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Michael Gregoritsch suffering a number of foals already.
  • 62' It’s a booking for RB Leipzig player. Amadou Haidara gets a Yellow card.
  • 63' RB Leipzig make a change. Mohamed Simakan trudges off to be replaced by Benjamin Henrichs on 63 minutes.
  • 64' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Lois Openda.
  • 68' Amadou Haidara makes way for Kevin Kampl at the 68 minute mark. A tactical switch from RB Leipzig.
  • 73' RB Leipzig are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SC Freiburg backline.
  • 78' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 79' The Belgium Lois Openda breaks the deadlock on 79 minutes. 2-1!
  • 79' SC Freiburg make a change. Merlin Rohl trudges off to be replaced by Ritsu Doan on 79 minutes.
  • 80' The whistle greets Merlin Rohl as he departs to be replaced by Ritsu Doan.
  • 80' Christoph Baumgartner makes no mistake. The score reads 3-1 and RB Leipzig are in front.
  • 85' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His RB Leipzig side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 86' Another substitution for RB Leipzig to replace Xavi Simons by Christopher Lenz on 86 minute.
  • 88' The crowd applauds Manuel Gulde as he leaves the pitch. Kenneth Schmidt steps in for SC Freiburg.
  • RB Leipzig celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.81 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21 SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 75% + RB Leipzig to win 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig69% Draw18% SC Freiburg13%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 4.02
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 56%
44%
± 4.5 37%
63%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
86%
Draw or SC Freiburg
31%
RB Leipzig or SC Freiburg
82%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig52% Draw34% SC Freiburg14%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.4%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 1
6.9%
3 – 0
6.6%
4 – 1
5.4%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 0
4.9%
3 – 2
4.7%
4 – 0
4.6%
1 – 2
3.7%
4 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push SC Freiburg covers
-2.5 30% 70%
-2 30% 19% 50%
-1.5 50% 50%
-1 50% 20% 31%
-0.5 69% 31%
+0.5 86% 14%
+1 86% 8% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
31%
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
7%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.