Southampton FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Southampton FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at St. Mary's Stadium.
- Southampton FC 8 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 8 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee
- Assistant 1 Shaun Hudson
- Assistant 2 George Byrne
4 games this season
🟨 3.0/game
⚽ 6.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr | Derby County FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 07 Apr | Wrexham AFC | A | 5–1 | W |
| 04 Apr | Arsenal FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Mar | Oxford United FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Mar | Norwich City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Mar | Coventry City FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr | Southampton FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Apr | Stoke City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 03 Apr | Coventry City FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 21 Mar | Birmingham City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Mar | Portsmouth FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Mar | Millwall FC | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Southampton FC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #22 |
| 10 | Points | 5 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 4 / 2 / 2 | W / D / L | 1 / 2 / 5 |
| 19 | Scored | 7 |
| 10 | Conceded | 14 |
| +9 | GD | -7 |
| 1.25 | PPG | 0.63 |
| 50% | Win % | 13% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Southampton FC this season
Southampton FC this season
13%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
Southampton FC are 13th (10 pts). Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Southampton FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
5/1
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/1
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Southampton FC
| Cyle Larin | 7 G | |
| Finn Azaz | 3 G | 4 A |
| Leo Scienza | 2 G | 2 A |
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 2 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 2 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Derby County FC get us underway at St. Mary's Stadium.
- 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Southampton FC that had 356 games and scored 437 goals.
- 9' Bobby Clark makes way for Oscar Fraulo at the 9 minute mark. A tactical switch from Derby County FC.
- 14' Richard O'Donnell has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 19' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 24' Derby County FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 29' Scotland international Max Johnston has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 34' It looks surprising Derby County FC does not make any changes. Lars-Jorgen Salvesen has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 38' Goal! Carlton Morris scores his 68 goal in 329 matches.
- 43' James Bree needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 48' A quiet spell here at St. Mary's Stadium. Derby County FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 53' Dion Sanderson catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 53.
- 55' Oscar Fraulo was booked on 55.
- 60' Derby County FC come into this ranked 8 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 62' What a strike from Leo Scienza! The score is 1-1.
- 64' A change in the Southampton FC ranks — Tom Fellows exits the field as Kuryu Matsuki enters on 64.
- 66' Another change for Derby County FC made on 66 minute. Jaydon Banel leaves to be changed by Owen Eames.
- 67' Derby County FC make a change. Max Johnston trudges off to be replaced by Craig Forsyth on 67 minutes.
- 69' A goal from the England international Taylor Harwood-Bellis! He fires home on 69 to make it 2-1!
- 74' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 74 minutes.
- 75' Another substitution for Southampton FC to replace Leo Scienza by Samuel Edozie on 75 minute.
- 80' Southampton FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Derby County FC backline.
- 84' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Lewis Travis is withdrawn and Lars-Jorgen Salvesen gets his opportunity.
- 87' Nathan Wood-Gordon is ready to make an impact after coming on for James Bree at the 87 minute mark.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Cyle Larin.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Southampton FC players.
Lineups
Southampton FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
- 4
-
14
James Bree ↓ Nathan Wood-Gordon 87'
- 3
-
11
Ross Stewart ↓ Cyle Larin 64'
- 41
- 6
-
10
Finn Azaz ↓ Shea Charles 75'
-
18
Tom Fellows ↓ Kuryu Matsuki 64'
- 20
-
13
Leo Scienza ↓ Samuel Edozie 75'
Bench
-
15
Nathan Wood-Gordon ↑ 87'
- 25
-
9
Cyle Larin ↑ 64'
- 19
- 34
-
27
Kuryu Matsuki ↑ 64'
-
23
Samuel Edozie ↑ 75'
-
24
Shea Charles ↑ 75'
- 48
Coach
Tonda Eckert
Derby County FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
- 12
- 27
- 23
- 9
- 19
- 28
-
42
Bobby Clark ↓ Oscar Fraulo 9'
-
34
Jaydon Banel ↓ Owen Eames 66'
-
18
David Ozoh ↓ Sondre Langas 67'
-
22
Max Johnston ↓ Craig Forsyth 67'
Bench
-
3
Craig Forsyth ↑ 67'
- 4
- 31
-
15
Lars-Jorgen Salvesen ↑ 84'
-
29
Oscar Fraulo ↑ 9'
-
6
Sondre Langas ↑ 67'
- 54
- 44
-
37
Owen Eames ↑ 66'
Coach
John Eustace
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nathan Redmond | 3 |
| Martyn Waghorn | 1 |
| Craig Bryson | 1 |
| Harry Wilson | 1 |
| Stuart Armstrong | 1 |
| Carlton Morris | 1 |
| Taylor Harwood-Bellis | 1 |
| Leo Scienza | 1 |
Head to Head
Southampton FC Form
Derby County FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.55
Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Southampton FC to win 68% + Over 2.5 goals 66%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Southampton FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.48
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 3.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 4.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
Double Chance
Southampton FC or Draw
87%
Draw or Derby County FC
32%
Southampton FC or Derby County FC
81%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Derby County FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10%
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
8.3%
1 – 1
8%
3 – 1
7.6%
1 – 0
7.6%
4 – 0
5.2%
4 – 1
4.9%
0 – 0
4.4%
2 – 2
4.2%
3 – 2
3.6%
1 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Southampton FC
| Handicap | Southampton FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -2 | 29% | 20% | 50% |
| -1.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| -1 | 50% | 21% | 29% |
| -0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +0.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +1 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
40%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.