Thursday , 10 September 2026

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Macarthur FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Sat 22 Nov 2025 · 04:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Macarthur FCA League .

Match Details

  • Referee Jonathon Barreiro
  • Referee Daniel Ilievski (Australia)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Nov Macarthur FC H 0–1 L
08 Nov Auckland FC H 1–2 L
02 Nov Central Coast Mariners FC A 1–1 D
26 Oct Brisbane Roar FC H 2–1 W
18 Oct Perth Glory FC A 2–2 D
04 May Perth Glory FC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Nov Wellington Phoenix FC A 1–0 W
09 Nov Sydney FC A 0–2 L
01 Nov Western Sydney Wanderers FC H 1–1 D
27 Oct Adelaide United FC H 2–1 W
17 Oct Brisbane Roar FC A 0–1 L
03 May Western Sydney Wanderers FC H 1–3 L

Season Stats

Wellington Phoenix FC Macarthur FC
#8 Position #7
33 Points 34
26 Played 26
9 / 6 / 11 W / D / L 9 / 7 / 10
36 Scored 37
48 Conceded 44
-12 GD -7
1.27 PPG 1.31
35% Win % 35%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts). Macarthur FC are 7th (34 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

Macarthur FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.53 Wellington Phoenix FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38 Macarthur FC xG
I would bet for: Wellington Phoenix FC or Macarthur FC 72% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Wellington Phoenix FC39% Draw28% Macarthur FC33%
Actual: Macarthur FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.91
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Macarthur FC
61%
Wellington Phoenix FC or Macarthur FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Wellington Phoenix FC30% Draw45% Macarthur FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
7.6%
1 – 0
7.5%
0 – 0
7.3%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.3%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC

Handicap Wellington Phoenix FC covers Push Macarthur FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 20% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 18% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
26%
Macarthur FC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.