Saturday , 14 November 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 4 Nov 2023 · 14:30 UTC MEWA Arena 30,100 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Bastian Dankert
  • Assistant 1 Rene Rohde
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Unger
5 games this season 🟨 5.0/game ⚽ 31.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Nov RB Leipzig H 2–0 W
01 Nov Hertha BSC A 0–3 L
27 Oct VfL Bochum 1848 A 2–2 D
21 Oct FC Bayern München H 1–3 L
06 Oct Borussia Mönchengladbach A 2–2 D
30 Sep Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 0–2 L
31 Oct VfL Wolfsburg A 0–1 L
28 Oct 1. FC Köln H 6–0 W
25 Oct FK Crvena Zvezda H 3–1 W
21 Oct SV Darmstadt 98 A 3–1 W
07 Oct VfL Bochum 1848 H 0–0 D

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 RB Leipzig
#12 Position #4
10 Points 18
9 Played 9
3 / 1 / 5 W / D / L 6 / 0 / 3
18 Scored 27
19 Conceded 13
-1 GD +14
1.11 PPG 2.00
33% Win % 67%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
56% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts). RB Leipzig are 4th (18 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
2/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/3
61-75
5/2
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 6 G
Anthony Caci 3 G 3 A
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 4 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G
RB Leipzig
Christopher Nkunku 5 G 2 A
Romulo Cruz 5 G
Antonio Nusa 4 G 7 A
Tidiam Gomis 3 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! 1. FSV Mainz 05 welcome RB Leipzig for this crunch clash at MEWA Arena.
  • 5' RB Leipzig started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 16' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Danny da Costa comes on to replace Josuha Guilavogui.
  • 21' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 26' The 35-year-old Janis Blaswich has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 31' Yussuf Poulsen is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for RB Leipzig so far.
  • 36' RB Leipzig come into this ranked 5 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 39' It’s a booking for 1. FSV Mainz 05 player. Anthony Caci gets a Yellow card.
  • 44' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined RB Leipzig backline.
  • 49' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Marco Rose will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 51' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Kevin Kampl on 51 minutes.
  • 56' Benjamin Sesko has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 2 goals to his name this season.
  • 61' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Emil Forsberg suffering a number of foals already.
  • 66' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 67' Another change for RB Leipzig made on 67 minute. Lois Openda leaves to be changed by Benjamin Sesko.
  • 72' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 76' Jae-sung Lee is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the midfielder.
  • 80' What composure from Leandro Barreiro Martins! The Luxembourg international strokes it home. 2-0.
  • 82' RB Leipzig ring the changes. Kevin Kampl has done his job and it is now time for Amadou Haidara to step up.
  • 87' Marco Richter has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 11 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 90' 1. FSV Mainz 05 make a change. Karim Onisiwo trudges off to be replaced by Ludovic Ajorque on 90 minutes.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Sepp van den Berg.
  • Full Time. 1. FSV Mainz 05 beats RB Leipzig

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.7 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.31 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 or RB Leipzig 78% + Over 2.5 goals 75%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0535% Draw22% RB Leipzig43%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes73% 0% No27%
Avg goals/match: 4.01
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 56%
44%
± 4.5 37%
63%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
57%
Draw or RB Leipzig
65%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or RB Leipzig
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0524% Draw37% RB Leipzig39%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–0 not predicted
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
8%
1 – 1
7.9%
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 3
6.1%
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 3
5.1%
0 – 2
4.9%
0 – 1
3.8%
3 – 2
3.8%
0 – 3
3.7%
1 – 4
3.5%
3 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 8% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 14% 72%
-0.5 28% — 72%
+0.5 49% — 51%
+1 49% 19% 31%
+1.5 69% — 31%
+2 69% 15% 16%
+2.5 84% — 16%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
11% ✗
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.