Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 4 Nov 2023 · 14:30 UTC MEWA Arena 30,100 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB LeipzigBundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Bastian Dankert
  • Assistant 1 Rene Rohde
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Unger
16 games this season 🟨 0.4/game 4.1 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Nov RB Leipzig H 2–0 W
01 Nov Hertha BSC A 0–3 L
27 Oct VfL Bochum 1848 A 2–2 D
21 Oct FC Bayern München H 1–3 L
06 Oct Borussia Monchengladbach A 2–2 D
30 Sep Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 0–2 L
31 Oct VfL Wolfsburg A 0–1 L
28 Oct 1. FC Koln H 6–0 W
25 Oct FK Crvena Zvezda H 3–1 W
21 Oct SV Darmstadt 98 A 3–1 W
07 Oct VfL Bochum 1848 H 0–0 D

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 RB Leipzig
#10 Position #3
40 Points 65
34 Played 34
10 / 10 / 14 W / D / L 20 / 5 / 9
44 Scored 66
53 Conceded 47
-9 GD +19
1.18 PPG 1.91
29% Win % 59%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
1/
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering RB Leipzig that had 513 games and scored 719 goals.
  • 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 15' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 16' Danny da Costa is replacing Josuha Guilavogui for the 1. FSV Mainz 05 side.
  • 21' RB Leipzig seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 26' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Marco Rose will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 31' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against RB Leipzig's 3-4-2-1 shape.
  • 36' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined RB Leipzig backline.
  • 39' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Anthony Caci.
  • 44' It looks surprising RB Leipzig does not make any changes. David Raum has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 49' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 51' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kevin Kampl on 51.
  • 56' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 61' RB Leipzig started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 61.
  • 66' France international Castello Lukeba has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 67' The RB Leipzig bench stirs into life. Lois Openda is withdrawn and Benjamin Sesko gets his opportunity.
  • 72' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 76' Jae-sung Lee does the damage! The net is bulging and 1. FSV Mainz 05 surge ahead!
  • 80' Leandro Barreiro Martins adds to his 3 season tally! 1. FSV Mainz 05 lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 82' It is a substitution in RB Leipzig team. Kevin Kampl is replaced by Amadou Haidara on 82 minute.
  • 87' Mohamed Simakan has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 90' The crowd applauds Karim Onisiwo as he leaves the pitch. Ludovic Ajorque steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 90' 1. FSV Mainz 05 receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • With this win, 1. FSV Mainz 05 is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.38 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.46 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 or RB Leipzig 74% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0540% Draw26% RB Leipzig34%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
66%
Draw or RB Leipzig
60%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or RB Leipzig
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0526% Draw46% RB Leipzig28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
7.8%
0 – 0
7.7%
0 – 1
7.6%
1 – 0
7.1%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
5.7%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 3
4%
3 – 1
3.6%
0 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 18% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 19% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
24%
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.