Wednesday , 30 September 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 4 Nov 2023 · 14:30 UTC MEWA Arena 30,100 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Bastian Dankert
  • Assistant 1 Rene Rohde
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Unger

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Nov RB Leipzig H 2–0 W
01 Nov Hertha BSC A 0–3 L
27 Oct VfL Bochum 1848 A 2–2 D
21 Oct FC Bayern München H 1–3 L
06 Oct Borussia Mönchengladbach A 2–2 D
30 Sep Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 0–2 L
31 Oct VfL Wolfsburg A 0–1 L
28 Oct 1. FC Köln H 6–0 W
25 Oct FK Crvena Zvezda H 3–1 W
21 Oct SV Darmstadt 98 A 3–1 W
07 Oct VfL Bochum 1848 H 0–0 D

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 RB Leipzig
#6 Position #9
7 Points 6
4 Played 4
2 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 2 / 0 / 2
10 Scored 9
6 Conceded 5
+4 GD +4
1.75 PPG 1.50
50% Win % 50%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
50% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts). RB Leipzig are 9th (6 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 3 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G
RB Leipzig
Antonio Nusa 2 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G
Rocco Reitz 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: 1. FSV Mainz 05 gets underway.
  • 5' RB Leipzig are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 10' 1. FSV Mainz 05 started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
  • 15' With 1 assists to his name this season, Lois Openda is clearly more than just a goal scorer for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 16' Time for substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Josuha Guilavogui is replaced by Danny da Costa.
  • 21' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 26' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is showing some good football. However, 1. FSV Mainz 05 are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 31' Over 31 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 36' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 39' The referee shows 1. FSV Mainz 05 player a Yellow card on 39.
  • 44' 1. FSV Mainz 05 currently sit 18 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 49' It is a cagey affair so far. 1. FSV Mainz 05 in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past RB Leipzig's compact 3-4-2-1.
  • 51' The referee calls foul for Kevin Kampl. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 56' Dominik Kohr has been relatively quiet despite scoring 13 goals in his last 544 appearances.
  • 61' Supporters expect more eagerness from Mohamed Simakan, as he is very good at scoring at MEWA Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 66' Xavi Simons needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 24 Yellow cards this season.
  • 67' It is a substitution in RB Leipzig team. Lois Openda is replaced by Benjamin Sesko on 67 minute.
  • 72' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering RB Leipzig that had 516 games and scored 728 goals.
  • 76' A goal from the South Korea international Jae-sung Lee! He fires home on 76 to make it 1-0!
  • 80' Brilliant from the ! Leandro Barreiro Martins makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 80.
  • 82' The RB Leipzig manager makes a substitution. Kevin Kampl departs to be replaced by Amadou Haidara.
  • 87' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 90' Ludovic Ajorque is replacing Karim Onisiwo for the 1. FSV Mainz 05 side.
  • 90' Sepp van den Berg picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. 1. FSV Mainz 05 take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.69 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0546% Draw25% RB Leipzig29%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.1
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
71%
Draw or RB Leipzig
54%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or RB Leipzig
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0532% Draw43% RB Leipzig25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 2
7.3%
1 – 0
6.8%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 2
3.5%
3 – 0
3.5%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 13% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 20% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 17% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
25% ✗
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.