1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
- RB Leipzig 34 games · 65 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Bastian Dankert
- Assistant 1 Rene Rohde
- Assistant 2 Marcel Unger
16 games this season
🟨 0.4/game
⚽ 4.1 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov | RB Leipzig | H | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Nov | Hertha BSC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 27 Oct | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Oct | FC Bayern München | H | 1–3 | L |
| 06 Oct | Borussia Monchengladbach | A | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Sep | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 0–2 | L |
| 31 Oct | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Oct | 1. FC Koln | H | 6–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | FK Crvena Zvezda | H | 3–1 | W |
| 21 Oct | SV Darmstadt 98 | A | 3–1 | W |
| 07 Oct | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #3 |
| 40 | Points | 65 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 10 / 10 / 14 | W / D / L | 20 / 5 / 9 |
| 44 | Scored | 66 |
| 53 | Conceded | 47 |
| -9 | GD | +19 |
| 1.18 | PPG | 1.91 |
| 29% | Win % | 59% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
12%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
32%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig — let the football do the talking.
- 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering RB Leipzig that had 513 games and scored 719 goals.
- 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 15' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 16' Danny da Costa is replacing Josuha Guilavogui for the 1. FSV Mainz 05 side.
- 21' RB Leipzig seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 26' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Marco Rose will be considering his options from the bench.
- 31' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against RB Leipzig's 3-4-2-1 shape.
- 36' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined RB Leipzig backline.
- 39' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Anthony Caci.
- 44' It looks surprising RB Leipzig does not make any changes. David Raum has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 49' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 51' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kevin Kampl on 51.
- 56' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 61' RB Leipzig started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 61.
- 66' France international Castello Lukeba has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 67' The RB Leipzig bench stirs into life. Lois Openda is withdrawn and Benjamin Sesko gets his opportunity.
- 72' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 76' Jae-sung Lee does the damage! The net is bulging and 1. FSV Mainz 05 surge ahead!
- 80' Leandro Barreiro Martins adds to his 3 season tally! 1. FSV Mainz 05 lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
- 82' It is a substitution in RB Leipzig team. Kevin Kampl is replaced by Amadou Haidara on 82 minute.
- 87' Mohamed Simakan has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 90' The crowd applauds Karim Onisiwo as he leaves the pitch. Ludovic Ajorque steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- 90' 1. FSV Mainz 05 receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 90.
- With this win, 1. FSV Mainz 05 is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3
- 19
-
31
Dominik Kohr ↓ Tom Krauss 67'
-
10
Marco Richter ↓ Aymen Barkok 67'
- 23
- 27
-
9
Karim Onisiwo ↓ Ludovic Ajorque 90'
- 8
- 5
- 20
- 7
Bench
-
17
Ludovic Ajorque ↑ 90'
- 2
-
21
Danny da Costa ↑ 16'
-
4
Aymen Barkok ↑ 67'
- 33
-
14
Tom Krauss ↑ 67'
-
24
Matondo-Merveille Papela ↑ 90'
- 45
RB Leipzig Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
17
Lois Openda ↓ Benjamin Sesko 67'
- 21
- 39
- 14
- 16
-
44
Kevin Kampl ↓ Amadou Haidara 82'
- 22
- 24
- 2
-
20
Xavi Simons ↓ Emil Forsberg 82'
- 23
Bench
-
11
Timo Werner ↑ 67'
-
9
Yussuf Poulsen ↑ 82'
-
10
Emil Forsberg ↑ 82'
- 1
- 3
-
8
Amadou Haidara ↑ 82'
- 13
- 18
-
30
Benjamin Sesko ↑ 67'
Coach
Marco Rose
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Timo Werner | 9 |
| Yussuf Poulsen | 5 |
| Moussa Niakhate | 4 |
| Christopher Nkunku | 3 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 3 |
| Marcel Halstenberg | 2 |
| Marcel Sabitzer | 2 |
| Karim Onisiwo | 2 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.38
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.46
RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for:
1. FSV Mainz 05 or RB Leipzig 74% + Both teams to score 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
66%
Draw or RB Leipzig
60%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or RB Leipzig
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
7.8%
0 – 0
7.7%
0 – 1
7.6%
1 – 0
7.1%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
5.7%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 3
4%
3 – 1
3.6%
0 – 3
2.9%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | RB Leipzig covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 10% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 18% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 19% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 11% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
24%
✗
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

