Sunday , 16 August 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 4 Nov 2023 · 14:30 UTC MEWA Arena 30,100 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB LeipzigBundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Bastian Dankert
  • Assistant 1 Rene Rohde
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Unger

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Nov RB Leipzig H 2–0 W
01 Nov Hertha BSC A 0–3 L
27 Oct VfL Bochum 1848 A 2–2 D
21 Oct FC Bayern München H 1–3 L
06 Oct Borussia Mönchengladbach A 2–2 D
30 Sep Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 0–2 L
31 Oct VfL Wolfsburg A 0–1 L
28 Oct 1. FC Köln H 6–0 W
25 Oct FK Crvena Zvezda H 3–1 W
21 Oct SV Darmstadt 98 A 3–1 W
07 Oct VfL Bochum 1848 H 0–0 D

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 RB Leipzig
#16 Position #9
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts). RB Leipzig are 9th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' 1. FSV Mainz 05 have kicked off against RB Leipzig. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 10' Germany international Marco Richter has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 15' RB Leipzig seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 16' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 bench stirs into life. Josuha Guilavogui is withdrawn and Danny da Costa gets his opportunity.
  • 21' Robin Zentner is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for 1. FSV Mainz 05 so far.
  • 26' 1. FSV Mainz 05 currently sit 18 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 31' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 36' With 0 assists to his name this season, Karim Onisiwo is clearly more than just a goal scorer for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 39' The referee shows 1. FSV Mainz 05 player a Yellow card on 39.
  • 44' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 49' Kevin Kampl, a Slovenia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 51' Kevin Kampl was booked on 51.
  • 56' Jae-sung Lee needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 10 Yellow cards this season.
  • 61' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His 1. FSV Mainz 05 side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 66' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against RB Leipzig's 3-4-2-1 shape.
  • 67' Benjamin Sesko is ready to make an impact after coming on for Lois Openda at the 67 minute mark.
  • 72' Sepp van den Berg has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 76' A goal from the South Korea international Jae-sung Lee! He fires home on 76 to make it 1-0!
  • 80' Magnificent from Leandro Barreiro Martins! That is 19 goals in 436 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 82' Amadou Haidara is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kevin Kampl at the 82 minute mark.
  • 87' The travelling RB Leipzig supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 90' 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ludovic Ajorque is hanging Karim Onisiwo on the field on 90 minute.
  • 90' Sepp van den Berg was booked on 90.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. 1. FSV Mainz 05 take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.75 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.56 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 85% + 1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0539% Draw38% RB Leipzig23%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes25% 0% No75%
Avg goals/match: 1.31
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 70%
30%
± 1.5 38%
62%
± 2.5 15%
85%
± 3.5 5%
95%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
77%
Draw or RB Leipzig
61%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or RB Leipzig
62%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0520% Draw66% RB Leipzig14%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
29.8%
1 – 0
18.5%
0 – 1
13.4%
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
4.4%
0 – 2
3.8%
1 – 2
3.2%
3 – 0
1.7%
2 – 2
1.4%
3 – 1
1.2%
0 – 3
0.7%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 23% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 17% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
57%
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
48%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.