1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 9 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
- RB Leipzig 9 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Bastian Dankert
- Assistant 1 Rene Rohde
- Assistant 2 Marcel Unger
5 games this season
🟨 5.0/game
⚽ 31.4 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov | RB Leipzig | H | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Nov | Hertha BSC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 27 Oct | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Oct | FC Bayern München | H | 1–3 | L |
| 06 Oct | Borussia Mönchengladbach | A | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Sep | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 0–2 | L |
| 31 Oct | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Oct | 1. FC Köln | H | 6–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | FK Crvena Zvezda | H | 3–1 | W |
| 21 Oct | SV Darmstadt 98 | A | 3–1 | W |
| 07 Oct | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #4 |
| 10 | Points | 18 |
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 3 / 1 / 5 | W / D / L | 6 / 0 / 3 |
| 18 | Scored | 27 |
| 19 | Conceded | 13 |
| -1 | GD | +14 |
| 1.11 | PPG | 2.00 |
| 33% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
56%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts). RB Leipzig are 4th (18 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
2/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/3
61-75
5/2
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 6 G | |
| Anthony Caci | 3 G | 3 A |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 4 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
RB Leipzig
| Christopher Nkunku | 5 G | 2 A |
| Romulo Cruz | 5 G | |
| Antonio Nusa | 4 G | 7 A |
| Tidiam Gomis | 3 G | 2 A |
| Ridle Baku | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! 1. FSV Mainz 05 welcome RB Leipzig for this crunch clash at MEWA Arena.
- 5' RB Leipzig started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
- 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 16' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Danny da Costa comes on to replace Josuha Guilavogui.
- 21' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 26' The 35-year-old Janis Blaswich has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 31' Yussuf Poulsen is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for RB Leipzig so far.
- 36' RB Leipzig come into this ranked 5 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 39' It’s a booking for 1. FSV Mainz 05 player. Anthony Caci gets a Yellow card.
- 44' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined RB Leipzig backline.
- 49' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Marco Rose will be considering his options from the bench.
- 51' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Kevin Kampl on 51 minutes.
- 56' Benjamin Sesko has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 2 goals to his name this season.
- 61' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Emil Forsberg suffering a number of foals already.
- 66' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 67' Another change for RB Leipzig made on 67 minute. Lois Openda leaves to be changed by Benjamin Sesko.
- 72' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 76' Jae-sung Lee is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the midfielder.
- 80' What composure from Leandro Barreiro Martins! The Luxembourg international strokes it home. 2-0.
- 82' RB Leipzig ring the changes. Kevin Kampl has done his job and it is now time for Amadou Haidara to step up.
- 87' Marco Richter has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 11 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 90' 1. FSV Mainz 05 make a change. Karim Onisiwo trudges off to be replaced by Ludovic Ajorque on 90 minutes.
- 90' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Sepp van den Berg.
- Full Time. 1. FSV Mainz 05 beats RB Leipzig
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3
- 19
-
31
Dominik Kohr ↓ Tom Krauss 67'
-
10
Marco Richter ↓ Aymen Barkok 67'
- 23
- 27
-
9
Karim Onisiwo ↓ Ludovic Ajorque 90'
- 8
- 5
- 20
- 7
Bench
-
17
Ludovic Ajorque ↑ 90'
- 2
-
21
Danny da Costa ↑ 16'
-
4
Aymen Barkok ↑ 67'
- 33
-
14
Tom Krauss ↑ 67'
-
24
Matondo-Merveille Papela ↑ 90'
- 45
RB Leipzig Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
17
Lois Openda ↓ Benjamin Sesko 67'
- 21
- 39
- 14
- 16
-
44
Kevin Kampl ↓ Amadou Haidara 82'
- 22
- 24
- 2
-
20
Xavi Simons ↓ Emil Forsberg 82'
- 23
Bench
-
11
Timo Werner ↑ 67'
-
9
Yussuf Poulsen ↑ 82'
-
10
Emil Forsberg ↑ 82'
- 1
- 3
-
8
Amadou Haidara ↑ 82'
- 13
- 18
-
30
Benjamin Sesko ↑ 67'
Coach
Marco Rose
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Timo Werner | 9 |
| Yussuf Poulsen | 5 |
| Moussa Niakhate | 4 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 3 |
| Christopher Nkunku | 3 |
| Marcel Halstenberg | 2 |
| Marcel Sabitzer | 2 |
| Karim Onisiwo | 2 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.7
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.31
RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for:
1. FSV Mainz 05 or RB Leipzig 78% + Over 2.5 goals 75%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.01
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 3.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 4.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
57%
Draw or RB Leipzig
65%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or RB Leipzig
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 2–0 not predicted2 – 0Actual
1 – 2
8%
1 – 1
7.9%
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 3
6.1%
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 3
5.1%
0 – 2
4.9%
0 – 1
3.8%
3 – 2
3.8%
0 – 3
3.7%
1 – 4
3.5%
3 – 1
3.3%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | RB Leipzig covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 8% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 14% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +1 | 49% | 19% | 31% |
| +1.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +2 | 69% | 15% | 16% |
| +2.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
11%
✗
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

