Thursday , 2 July 2026

VfL Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig, DFB-Pokal 2023-24 ROUND 2

DFB-Pokal · 2023-24
Tue 31 Oct 2023 · 17:00 UTC Volkswagen Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs RB LeipzigDFB-Pokal at Volkswagen Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Badstubner
18 games this season 🟨 0.8/game 4.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Oct RB Leipzig H 1–0 W
28 Oct FC Augsburg A 2–3 L
21 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–2 L
07 Oct VfB Stuttgart A 1–3 L
30 Sep Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–0 W
23 Sep Borussia Dortmund A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Oct VfL Wolfsburg A 0–1 L
28 Oct 1. FC Koln H 6–0 W
25 Oct FK Crvena Zvezda H 3–1 W
21 Oct SV Darmstadt 98 A 3–1 W
07 Oct VfL Bochum 1848 H 0–0 D
04 Oct Manchester City FC H 1–3 L

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between VfL Wolfsburg and RB Leipzig is underway.
  • 5' RB Leipzig come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 10' VfL Wolfsburg are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined RB Leipzig backline.
  • 14' What a moment for Vaclav Cerny! That strike on 14 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 19' The energy levels are beginning to show. Niko Kovać might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 24' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 29' Tiago Tomas has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 34' Fabio Carvalho is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for RB Leipzig tonight.
  • 39' Lois Openda has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 24 cards already picked up this season.
  • 42' Yussuf Poulsen has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 42.
  • 43' VfL Wolfsburg player sees a card in front of him.
  • 45' RB Leipzig receives a card for a hard tackle on 45.
  • 50' The travelling RB Leipzig supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 52' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Aster Vranckx.
  • 56' Poor challenge from Yussuf Poulsen. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 61' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering VfL Wolfsburg that had 471 games and scored 479 goals.
  • 63' VfL Wolfsburg receives a card for a hard tackle on 63.
  • 64' That looks like a foul for a card for Castello Lukeba.
  • 65' VfL Wolfsburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kevin Paredes is hanging Vaclav Cerny on the field on 65 minute.
  • 70' Ridle Baku is having his name booked by the referee on 70.
  • 73' Jonas Wind has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tiago Tomas on 73 minute.
  • 78' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with RB Leipzig winning 50% of all matches.
  • 80' RB Leipzig ring the changes. Amadou Haidara has done his job and it is now time for Christoph Baumgartner to step up.
  • 81' Maximilian Arnold has so much to prove this time. He replaces Aster Vranckx on 81 minute.
  • 82' It’s a booking for VfL Wolfsburg player. Pavao Pervan gets a card.
  • 84' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Kevin Paredes.
  • 86' RB Leipzig ring the changes. Lois Openda has done his job and it is now time for Fabio Carvalho to step up.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Mohamed Simakan on 90 minutes earns him a card. RB Leipzig will be frustrated.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for RB Leipzig.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.09 VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: VfL Wolfsburg or RB Leipzig 69% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfL Wolfsburg37% Draw31% RB Leipzig32%
Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.19
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
68%
Draw or RB Leipzig
63%
VfL Wolfsburg or RB Leipzig
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfL Wolfsburg24% Draw52% RB Leipzig24%
Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 0
13.6%
0 – 1
11.1%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 1
7.1%
0 – 2
6.5%
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
4%
1 – 3
2.7%
3 – 1
2.6%
0 – 3
2.4%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap VfL Wolfsburg covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 20% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 20% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 10% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
34%
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.