Wednesday , 30 September 2026

VfL Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig, DFB-Pokal 2023-24 ROUND 2

DFB-Pokal · 2023-24
Tue 31 Oct 2023 · 17:00 UTC Volkswagen Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig — DFB-Pokal at Volkswagen Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Badstubner
3 games this season 🟨 2.3/game ⚽ 10.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Oct RB Leipzig H 1–0 W
28 Oct FC Augsburg A 2–3 L
21 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–2 L
07 Oct VfB Stuttgart A 1–3 L
30 Sep Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–0 W
23 Sep Borussia Dortmund A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Oct VfL Wolfsburg A 0–1 L
28 Oct 1. FC Köln H 6–0 W
25 Oct FK Crvena Zvezda H 3–1 W
21 Oct SV Darmstadt 98 A 3–1 W
07 Oct VfL Bochum 1848 H 0–0 D
04 Oct Manchester City FC H 1–3 L

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
VfL Wolfsburg this season
100% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfL Wolfsburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

VfL Wolfsburg
Maximilian Arnold 2 G
RB Leipzig
Willi Orban 1 G
Brajan Gruda 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Volkswagen Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' VfL Wolfsburg started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mohamed Simakan made 365 appearances and scored 11 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 14' Against the run of play, Vaclav Cerny has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 19' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 24' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 29' Supporters expect more eagerness from Benjamin Henrichs, as he is very good at scoring at Volkswagen Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 34' The energy levels are beginning to show. Marco Rose might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 39' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 42' Yussuf Poulsen was booked on 42.
  • 43' It’s a booking for VfL Wolfsburg player. Maxence Lacroix gets a card.
  • 45' That looks like a foul for a card for Xaver Schlager.
  • 50' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Marco Rose will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 52' A meaty challenge results in booking for Aster Vranckx on 52.
  • 56' That is a card for RB Leipzig. Yussuf Poulsen will be fuming at that decision.
  • 61' It looks like no one’s ball. VfL Wolfsburg is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 63' Niko Kovac picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 64' A meaty challenge results in booking for Castello Lukeba on 64.
  • 65' Kevin Paredes is ready to make an impact after coming on for Vaclav Cerny at the 65 minute mark.
  • 70' It’s gonna be a card for Ridle Baku.
  • 73' It is a substitution in VfL Wolfsburg team. Tiago Tomas is replaced by Jonas Wind on 73 minute.
  • 78' Over 78 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 80' The RB Leipzig manager makes a substitution. Amadou Haidara departs to be replaced by Christoph Baumgartner.
  • 81' Maximilian Arnold is ready to make an impact after coming on for Aster Vranckx at the 81 minute mark.
  • 82' Pavao Pervan was booked on 82.
  • 84' Controversy at the stadium! Kevin Paredes argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 86' The crowd applauds Lois Openda as he leaves the pitch. Fabio Carvalho steps in for RB Leipzig.
  • 90' Mohamed Simakan catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. VfL Wolfsburg take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.09 VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: VfL Wolfsburg or RB Leipzig 69% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfL Wolfsburg37% Draw31% RB Leipzig32%
Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.19
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
68%
Draw or RB Leipzig
63%
VfL Wolfsburg or RB Leipzig
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfL Wolfsburg24% Draw52% RB Leipzig24%
Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 0
13.6%
0 – 1
11.1%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 1
7.1%
0 – 2
6.5%
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
4%
1 – 3
2.7%
3 – 1
2.6%
0 – 3
2.4%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap VfL Wolfsburg covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 20% 67%
-0.5 33% — 67%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 20% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 10% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
34% ✗
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.