Thursday , 2 July 2026

SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig, DFB-Pokal 2022-23 SEMI FINALS

DFB-Pokal · 2022-23
1 5
Full Time
Tue 2 May 2023 · 18:45 UTC Europa-Park Stadion HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Freiburg vs RB LeipzigDFB-Pokal at Europa-Park Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Eduard Beitinger
  • Referee Sascha Thielert
  • Referee Frederick Assmuth
  • Referee Frank Willenborg
  • Referee Sven Jablonski
  • Referee Benjamin Brand

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 May RB Leipzig H 1–5 L
29 Apr 1. FC Koln A 1–0 W
23 Apr FC Schalke 04 H 4–0 W
16 Apr SV Werder Bremen A 2–1 W
08 Apr FC Bayern München H 0–1 L
04 Apr FC Bayern München A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 May SC Freiburg A 5–1 W
29 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–0 W
23 Apr Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–2 L
15 Apr FC Augsburg H 3–2 W
08 Apr Hertha BSC A 1–0 W
05 Apr Borussia Dortmund H 2–0 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.38 SC Freiburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.9 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Freiburg28% Draw26% RB Leipzig46%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.28
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

SC Freiburg or Draw
54%
Draw or RB Leipzig
72%
SC Freiburg or RB Leipzig
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Freiburg22% Draw42% RB Leipzig36%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–5 not predicted
1 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
10.7%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 2
6.8%
2 – 1
6.6%
0 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
1 – 3
5.7%
0 – 0
5.3%
1 – 0
4.5%
0 – 3
4.2%
2 – 3
4%
2 – 0
3.6%

Asian Handicap — SC Freiburg

Handicap SC Freiburg covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 15% 73%
-0.5 27% 73%
+0.5 51% 49%
+1 51% 21% 28%
+1.5 72% 28%
+2 72% 15% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
16%
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.