Sunday , 16 August 2026

Tokyo Verdy vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Tokyo Verdy
2 – 1
Full Time
Nagoya Grampus
Sat 15 Mar 2025 · 05:00 UTC Ajinomoto Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Yuto Tsunashima 40' Y
Y 88' Tsukasa Morishima

Overview

Match Preview

Tokyo Verdy vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tokyo 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F.Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

2
1
1
Tokyo Verdy 4 games · Avg 1.3 goals Nagoya Grampus
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-15 Tokyo Verdy 2–1 Nagoya Grampus 2024-08-11 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Tokyo Verdy 2024-06-22 Tokyo Verdy 1–0 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Tokyo Verdy
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Nagoya Grampus H 2–1 W
08 Mar Albirex Niigata A 2–2 D
02 Mar Gamba Osaka H 0–1 L
26 Feb FC Machida Zelvia A 1–0 W
22 Feb Kashima Antlers A 0–4 L
16 Feb Shimizu S-Pulse H 0–1 L
Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Tokyo Verdy A 1–2 L
08 Mar Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–1 D
02 Mar FC Machida Zelvia H 1–2 L
26 Feb FC Tokyo A 1–3 L
22 Feb Vissel Kobe H 2–2 D
15 Feb Kawasaki Frontale A 0–4 L

Season Stats

Tokyo Verdy Nagoya Grampus
#15 Position #3
28 Points 31
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
29 Scored 46
32 Conceded 44
-3 GD +2
1.56 PPG 1.72
56% Win % 56%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Tokyo Verdy this season
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Tokyo Verdy are 15th (28 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Tokyo Verdy
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/1
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Tokyo Verdy to score. At the same time, Nagoya Grampus does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
  • 15' Akinari Kawazura is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Tokyo Verdy tonight.
  • 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 21' The Japan Tsukasa Morishima breaks the deadlock on 21 minutes. 0-1!
  • 26' It looks like no one’s ball. Nagoya Grampus is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 31' The energy levels are beginning to show. Kenta Hasegawa might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 34' Rei Hirakawa gets the nod from Tokyo Verdy. He replaces Koki Morita and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 39' Tokyo Verdy started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 39.
  • 40' Yuto Tsunashima picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 45' Itsuki Someno has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 46' Hiroto Yamami is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kazuya Miyahara at the 46 minute mark.
  • 51' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mateus made 439 appearances and scored 40 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 56' Tokyo Verdy are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Nagoya Grampus's shape.
  • 61' Tokyo Verdy are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Nagoya Grampus backline.
  • 63' What a strike from Hiroto Yamami! The score is 1-1.
  • 67' The whistle greets Katsuhiro Nakayama as he departs to be replaced by Takuya Uchida.
  • 72' Nagoya Grampus are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 73' Yuto Tsunashima does the damage! The net is bulging and Tokyo Verdy surge ahead!
  • 78' Taichi Kikuchi has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 81' Taichi Kikuchi gets the nod from Nagoya Grampus. He replaces Ryuji Izumi and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 86' A change in the Nagoya Grampus ranks — Itsuki Someno exits the field as Ryosuke Yamanaka enters on 86.
  • 87' Yuan Matsuhashi is replacing Kosuke Saito for the Tokyo Verdy side.
  • 88' A moment of madness from Tsukasa Morishima on 88 minutes earns him a card. Nagoya Grampus will be frustrated.
  • 90' Tokyo Verdy ring the changes. Yuta Arai has done his job and it is now time for Tetsuyuki Inami to step up.
  • It finishes all square. Tokyo Verdy and Nagoya Grampus share the spoils 2-1.

Lineups

Tokyo Verdy Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Hiroshi Jofuku

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Hijiri Onaga 1
Patric 1
Tsukasa Morishima 1
Hiroto Yamami 1
Yuto Tsunashima 1

Head to Head

2025-03-15 Tokyo Verdy 2–1 Nagoya Grampus 2024-08-11 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Tokyo Verdy 2024-06-22 Tokyo Verdy 1–0 Nagoya Grampus

Tokyo Verdy Form

2025-03-15 Tokyo Verdy 2–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2025-03-08 Albirex Niigata 2–2 Tokyo Verdy D 2025-03-02 Tokyo Verdy 0–1 Gamba Osaka L 2025-02-26 FC Machida Zelvia 0–1 Tokyo Verdy W 2025-02-22 Kashima Antlers 4–0 Tokyo Verdy L 2025-02-16 Tokyo Verdy 0–1 Shimizu S-Pulse L

Nagoya Grampus Form

2025-03-15 Tokyo Verdy 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2025-03-08 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 Nagoya Grampus D 2025-03-02 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 FC Machida Zelvia L 2025-02-26 FC Tokyo 3–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2025-02-22 Nagoya Grampus 2–2 Vissel Kobe D 2025-02-15 Kawasaki Frontale 4–0 Nagoya Grampus L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.75 Tokyo Verdy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Tokyo Verdy48% Draw24% Nagoya Grampus28%
Actual: Tokyo Verdy win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.18
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Tokyo Verdy or Draw
72%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
52%
Tokyo Verdy or Nagoya Grampus
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Tokyo Verdy33% Draw43% Nagoya Grampus24%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.2%
1 – 0
6.6%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
5.8%
0 – 1
5.2%
3 – 1
5.1%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 2
3.7%
3 – 0
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Tokyo Verdy

Handicap Tokyo Verdy covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 13% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 20% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 16% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Tokyo Verdy keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.