EC Bahia vs Coritiba FBC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Coritiba FBC — Serie A at Estadio Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 17 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- Coritiba FBC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May | Botafogo FR | H | 0–0 | D |
| 25 May | Coritiba FBC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 17 May | Grêmio FBPA | H | 1–1 | D |
| 10 May | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 03 May | Sao Paulo FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Apr | Santos FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May | CR Flamengo | A | 0–0 | D |
| 25 May | EC Bahia | H | 0–1 | L |
| 17 May | Santos FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 09 May | SC Internacional | H | 2–2 | D |
| 02 May | EC Vitoria | A | 1–4 | L |
| 26 Apr | Grêmio FBPA | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | Coritiba FBC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #7 |
| 26 | Points | 26 |
| 17 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 5 / 5 | W / D / L | 7 / 5 / 6 |
| 25 | Scored | 24 |
| 23 | Conceded | 24 |
| +2 | GD | +0 |
| 1.53 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 41% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
33%
Clean Sheets
Coritiba FBC this season
Coritiba FBC this season
EC Bahia are 6th (26 pts). Coritiba FBC are 7th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Coritiba FBC
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/2
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Coritiba FBC
| Breno Lopes | 8 G | 1 A |
| Joaquin Lavega | 5 G | 1 A |
| Pedro Rocha | 4 G | 1 A |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gabriel Teixeira | 3 |
| Giovanni Augusto | 2 |
| Ademir Santos | 2 |
| Elber | 1 |
| Sebastian Gomez | 1 |
| Zeca | 1 |
| Victor Luis | 1 |
| David Duarte | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
1.57
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14
Coritiba FBC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
77%
Draw or Coritiba FBC
48%
EC Bahia or Coritiba FBC
75%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 0
8.6%
2 – 0
8.1%
0 – 1
6.6%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4.2%
3 – 2
2.8%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Coritiba FBC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 22% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 15% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
33%
Coritiba FBC keeps clean sheet
22%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.