Sunday , 16 August 2026

FK Orenburg vs FK Baltika Kaliningrad, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2025-26
Sat 22 Nov 2025 · 11:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Nov FK Baltika Kaliningrad H 0–0 D
09 Nov FK Lokomotiv Moskva A 0–1 L
02 Nov PFK Sochi H 3–1 W
25 Oct FK Spartak Moskva A 0–1 L
18 Oct PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara A 1–1 D
05 Oct FK Rostov H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Nov FK Orenburg A 0–0 D
09 Nov FK Krasnodar H 1–1 D
02 Nov RFK Akhmat Grozny H 2–0 W
26 Oct FK Nizhny Novgorod A 0–0 D
19 Oct FK Rubin Kazan A 3–0 W
05 Oct FK Dinamo Makhachkala H 2–0 W

Season Stats

FK Orenburg FK Baltika Kaliningrad
#12 Position #6
29 Points 46
30 Played 30
7 / 8 / 15 W / D / L 11 / 13 / 6
29 Scored 38
44 Conceded 21
-15 GD +17
0.97 PPG 1.53
23% Win % 37%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). FK Baltika Kaliningrad are 6th (46 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FK Orenburg Lineups

FK Baltika Kaliningrad Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.62 FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 FK Baltika Kaliningrad xG
I would bet for: FK Baltika Kaliningrad or Draw 76% + Under 2.5 goals 75%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FK Orenburg24% Draw34% FK Baltika Kaliningrad42%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes32% 0% No68%
Avg goals/match: 1.73
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 80%
20%
± 1.5 52%
48%
± 2.5 25%
75%
± 3.5 10%
90%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

FK Orenburg or Draw
58%
Draw or FK Baltika Kaliningrad
76%
FK Orenburg or FK Baltika Kaliningrad
66%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FK Orenburg13% Draw58% FK Baltika Kaliningrad29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
18.4%
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 2
10.4%
1 – 0
9.5%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 3
3.8%
2 – 1
3.7%
2 – 0
3.1%
1 – 3
2.6%
2 – 2
2.2%
0 – 4
1.1%

Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg

Handicap FK Orenburg covers Push FK Baltika Kaliningrad covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 14% 81%
-0.5 19% 81%
+0.5 54% 46%
+1 54% 26% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 13% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
34%
FK Baltika Kaliningrad keeps clean sheet
54%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.