Gremio FBPA vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Grêmio FBPA vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.
- Grêmio FBPA 34 games · 37 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 34 games · 53 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov | CR Flamengo | A | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Oct | CA Paranaense | H | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Oct | Coritiba FBC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | H | 2–4 | L |
| 11 Oct | SC Internacional | H | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Oct | Clube do Remo | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | Cruzeiro EC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 29 Oct | São Paulo FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 25 Oct | Santos FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | CR Flamengo | H | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Oct | Mirassol FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Oct | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Gremio FBPA | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #18 | Position | #6 |
| 37 | Points | 53 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 9 / 10 / 15 | W / D / L | 14 / 11 / 9 |
| 38 | Scored | 50 |
| 47 | Conceded | 45 |
| -9 | GD | +5 |
| 1.09 | PPG | 1.56 |
| 26% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
28%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
28%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
32%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Gremio FBPA are 18th (37 pts). EC Bahia are 6th (53 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/6
31-45
7/6
46-60
5/4
61-75
4/8
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
10/7
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/7
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 11 G | 1 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 11 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Diego Souza | 2 |
| Elber | 2 |
| Thaciano | 2 |
| Elber | 2 |
| Mateo Sanabria | 1 |
| Fernandao | 1 |
| Danielzinho | 1 |
| Martin Braithwaite | 1 |
Head to Head
Grêmio FBPA Form
Predictions
1.3
Grêmio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.49
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Grêmio FBPA or EC Bahia 73% + Both teams to score 57%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
Grêmio FBPA or Draw
63%
Draw or EC Bahia
64%
Grêmio FBPA or EC Bahia
73%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 2
8.5%
0 – 1
8.2%
0 – 0
8%
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 0
7%
0 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
5.6%
2 – 0
5.1%
1 – 3
4.3%
0 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Grêmio FBPA
| Handicap | Grêmio FBPA covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 9% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 17% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 20% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 12% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
23%
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
28%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.