Friday , 28 August 2026

FK Krasnodar vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2025-26
FK Krasnodar
3 – 0
Full Time
FK Orenburg
Sun 17 May 2026 · 15:00 UTC Ozon Arena 34,589 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kevin Pina 36' 1–0
Jhon Cordoba 63' 2–0
Eduard Spertsyan 88' 3–0
Y 15' Danila Khotulev
Y 40' Jordhy Thompson
Jhon Cordoba 40' Y
Y 74' Jhon Palacios

Overview

Match Preview

FK Krasnodar vs FK Orenburg — RFPL at Ozon Arena.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 30 68
2 FK Krasnodar 30 66
3 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 30 53
4 FK Spartak Moskva 30 52
5 PFC CSKA Moskva 30 51
6 FK Baltika Kaliningrad 30 46
7 FK Dinamo Moskva 30 45
8 FK Rubin Kazan 30 43
9 RFK Akhmat Grozny 30 37
10 FK Rostov 30 33
11 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 30 32
12 FK Orenburg 30 29
13 FK Akron Tolyatti 30 27
14 FK Dinamo Makhachkala 30 26
15 FK Nizhny Novgorod 30 23
16 PFK Sochi 30 22

Head-to-Head

7
3
1
FK Krasnodar 11 games · Avg 2.9 goals FK Orenburg
Last 5 meetings
2026-05-17 FK Krasnodar 3–0 FK Orenburg 2025-08-10 FK Orenburg 0–1 FK Krasnodar 2025-05-17 FK Orenburg 1–2 FK Krasnodar 2024-11-03 FK Krasnodar 4–0 FK Orenburg 2023-12-03 FK Krasnodar 2–1 FK Orenburg

Recent Form

FK Krasnodar
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May FK Orenburg H 3–0 W
11 May FK Dinamo Moskva A 1–2 L
03 May FK Akron Tolyatti A 1–0 W
26 Apr FK Dinamo Makhachkala H 2–1 W
23 Apr FK Spartak Moskva A 2–1 W
19 Apr FK Baltika Kaliningrad H 2–2 D
FK Orenburg
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May FK Krasnodar A 0–3 L
10 May PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara H 1–0 W
03 May PFK Sochi A 1–3 L
25 Apr FK Rostov A 1–0 W
22 Apr FK Nizhny Novgorod H 2–1 W
18 Apr FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 0–1 L

Season Stats

FK Krasnodar FK Orenburg
#2 Position #12
66 Points 29
30 Played 30
20 / 6 / 4 W / D / L 7 / 8 / 15
60 Scored 29
23 Conceded 44
+37 GD -15
2.20 PPG 0.97
67% Win % 23%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FK Krasnodar are 2nd (66 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for FK Krasnodar to score. At the same time, FK Orenburg does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' FK Krasnodar is showing some good football. However, FK Krasnodar are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 10' FK Krasnodar are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FK Orenburg's shape.
  • 15' FK Orenburg receives a card for a hard tackle on 15.
  • 20' It looks surprising FK Krasnodar does not make any changes. Damian Puebla has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Bogdan Ovsyannikov made 210 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 30' Jhon Palacios, a , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 35' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 36' Kevin Pina has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 36 minutes.
  • 40' That looks like a foul for a card for Jordhy Thompson.
  • 45' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 50' Joao Batxi has been relatively quiet despite scoring 11 goals in his last 144 appearances.
  • 55' FK Krasnodar are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 57' FK Orenburg make a change. Dmitrii Rybchinskii trudges off to be replaced by Pavel Gorelov on 57 minutes.
  • 58' Damian Puebla is replacing Renat Golybin for the FK Orenburg side.
  • 63' Jhon Cordoba doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 64' A change in the FK Krasnodar ranks — Douglas Augusto exits the field as Aleksandr Chernikov enters on 64.
  • 69' The FK Orenburg manager makes a substitution. Du Queiroz departs to be replaced by Ruslan Kul.
  • 74' That looks like a foul for a card for Jhon Palacios.
  • 77' FK Krasnodar make a change. Nikita Krivtsov trudges off to be replaced by Juan Boselli on 77 minutes.
  • 82' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 84' The crowd applauds Joao Batxi as he leaves the pitch. Moses Cobnan steps in for FK Krasnodar.
  • 88' Magnificent from Eduard Spertsyan! That is 45 goals in 266 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for FK Krasnodar players.

Lineups

FK Krasnodar Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Murad Musaev

FK Orenburg Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ildar Akhmetzyanov

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Eduard Spertsyan 5
Jhon Cordoba 4
Vladimir Sychevoi 3
Aleksey Ionov 2
Lucas Vera 2
Brian Mansilla 1
Andrei Kozlov 1
Lucas Olaza 1

Head to Head

2026-05-17 FK Krasnodar 3–0 FK Orenburg 2025-08-10 FK Orenburg 0–1 FK Krasnodar 2025-05-17 FK Orenburg 1–2 FK Krasnodar 2024-11-03 FK Krasnodar 4–0 FK Orenburg 2023-12-03 FK Krasnodar 2–1 FK Orenburg

FK Krasnodar Form

2026-05-17 FK Krasnodar 3–0 FK Orenburg W 2026-05-11 FK Dinamo Moskva 2–1 FK Krasnodar L 2026-05-03 FK Akron Tolyatti 0–1 FK Krasnodar W 2026-04-26 FK Krasnodar 2–1 FK Dinamo Makhachkala W 2026-04-23 FK Spartak Moskva 1–2 FK Krasnodar W 2026-04-19 FK Krasnodar 2–2 FK Baltika Kaliningrad D

FK Orenburg Form

2026-05-17 FK Krasnodar 3–0 FK Orenburg L 2026-05-10 FK Orenburg 1–0 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara W 2026-05-03 PFK Sochi 3–1 FK Orenburg L 2026-04-25 FK Rostov 0–1 FK Orenburg W 2026-04-22 FK Orenburg 2–1 FK Nizhny Novgorod W 2026-04-18 FK Orenburg 0–1 FK Lokomotiv Moskva L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.56 FK Krasnodar xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.57 FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for: FK Krasnodar to win 75% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Krasnodar75% Draw16% FK Orenburg9%
Actual: FK Krasnodar win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 3.13
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

FK Krasnodar or Draw
91%
Draw or FK Orenburg
25%
FK Krasnodar or FK Orenburg
84%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FK Krasnodar58% Draw36% FK Orenburg6%
Actual: FK Krasnodar win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
14.2%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
11.1%
2 – 1
7.9%
4 – 0
7.5%
1 – 1
6.9%
3 – 1
6.8%
0 – 0
5.7%
4 – 1
4.4%
5 – 0
3.9%
5 – 1
2.4%
2 – 2
2.2%

Asian Handicap — FK Krasnodar

Handicap FK Krasnodar covers Push FK Orenburg covers
-2.5 35% — 65%
-2 35% 23% 42%
-1.5 58% — 42%
-1 58% 21% 21%
-0.5 79% — 21%
+0.5 94% — 6%
+1 94% 4% 1%
+1.5 99% — 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

FK Krasnodar keeps clean sheet
57% ✓
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.