FK Krasnodar vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Krasnodar vs FK Orenburg — RFPL at Ozon Arena.
- FK Krasnodar 10 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
- FK Orenburg 10 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 10 | 22 |
| 2 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | FK Krasnodar | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | FK Spartak Moskva | 10 | 20 |
| 6 | FK Rubin Kazan | 10 | 12 |
| 7 | FK Orenburg | 10 | 12 |
| 8 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 10 | 12 |
| 9 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 10 | 12 |
| 10 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 10 | 12 |
| 11 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | FK Rostov | 10 | 11 |
| 13 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 10 | 10 |
| 14 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 10 | 8 |
| 15 | FK Rodina Moskva | 10 | 5 |
| 16 | FK Fakel Voronezh | 10 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | FK Orenburg | H | 3–0 | W |
| 11 May | FK Dinamo Moskva | A | 1–2 | L |
| 03 May | FK Akron Tolyatti | A | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Apr | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | H | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Apr | FK Spartak Moskva | A | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Apr | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | FK Krasnodar | A | 0–3 | L |
| 10 May | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | H | 1–0 | W |
| 03 May | PFK Sochi | A | 1–3 | L |
| 25 Apr | FK Rostov | A | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Apr | FK Nizhny Novgorod | H | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Apr | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| FK Krasnodar | FK Orenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #7 |
| 21 | Points | 12 |
| 10 | Played | 10 |
| 6 / 3 / 1 | W / D / L | 2 / 6 / 2 |
| 17 | Scored | 11 |
| 10 | Conceded | 10 |
| +7 | GD | +1 |
| 2.10 | PPG | 1.20 |
| 60% | Win % | 20% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
40%
Clean Sheets
FK Krasnodar this season
FK Krasnodar this season
40%
Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
FK Orenburg this season
FK Krasnodar are 4th (21 pts). FK Orenburg are 7th (12 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Krasnodar
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
–/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FK Krasnodar
| Nikita Krivtsov | 3 G | 1 A |
| Joao Batxi | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jubal | 3 G | |
| Christian | 2 G | 2 A |
| Juan Boselli | 2 G | 1 A |
FK Orenburg
| Gedeon Guzina | 3 G | 1 A |
| Ruslan Kul | 3 G | 1 A |
| Andrey Kasadzhikov | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' FK Krasnodar have kicked off against FK Orenburg. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' FK Krasnodar is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 10' Kevin Pina, a Cape Verde Islands , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 15' The referee has no hesitation. Danila Khotulev is booked for FK Orenburg — card on 15.
- 20' It looks surprising FK Orenburg does not make any changes. Danila Vedernikov has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 25' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Ildar Akhmetzyanov will be considering his options from the bench.
- 30' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FK Krasnodar and FK Orenburg are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 35' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with FK Orenburg winning 0% of all matches.
- 36' The deadlock is broken! Kevin Pina gets on the scoresheet on 36 minutes.
- 40' The referee has no hesitation. Jordhy Thompson is booked for FK Orenburg — card on 40.
- 45' Chile international Jordhy Thompson has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 50' FK Krasnodar is showing some good football. However, FK Krasnodar are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 55' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 57' FK Orenburg make a change. Dmitrii Rybchinskii trudges off to be replaced by Pavel Gorelov on 57 minutes.
- 58' FK Orenburg make a change. Renat Golybin trudges off to be replaced by Damian Puebla on 58 minutes.
- 63' Jhon Cordoba makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and FK Krasnodar are in front.
- 64' It is a substitution in FK Krasnodar team. Douglas Augusto is replaced by Aleksandr Chernikov on 64 minute.
- 69' A tactical swap from FK Orenburg — Ruslan Kul on, Du Queiroz off on 69 minutes.
- 74' Jhon Palacios catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 74.
- 77' FK Krasnodar ring the changes. Nikita Krivtsov has done his job and it is now time for Juan Boselli to step up.
- 82' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 84' Fresh legs for FK Krasnodar! Moses Cobnan comes on to replace Joao Batxi.
- 88' Magnificent from Eduard Spertsyan! That is 45 goals in 270 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- That’s it! Another goalless match for FK Krasnodar and FK Orenburg (для сухой ничьи).
Lineups
FK Krasnodar Lineups
Starting XI
- 66
- 9
- 3
- 15
- 20
- 1
- 10
- 6
-
4
Diego Costa ↓ Jubal 84'
-
88
Nikita Krivtsov ↓ Juan Boselli 77'
-
11
Joao Batxi ↓ Moses Cobnan 84'
Bench
-
5
Jubal ↑ 84'
-
53
Aleksandr Chernikov ↑ 64'
-
23
Juan Boselli ↑ 77'
- 98
-
90
Moses Cobnan ↑ 84'
-
17
Valentin Paltsev ↑ 84'
- 16
- 34
- 27
- 30
- 29
Coach
Murad Musaev
FK Orenburg Lineups
Starting XI
- 20
- 1
-
30
Gedeon Guzina ↓ Alexandre Jesus 69'
- 3
- 4
-
37
Du Queiroz ↓ Ruslan Kul 69'
- 16
- 6
-
27
Renat Golybin ↓ Damian Puebla 58'
- 57
- 2
Bench
- 88
-
19
Alexandre Jesus ↑ 69'
-
22
Pavel Gorelov ↑ 57'
-
33
Irakli Kvekveskiri ↑ 84'
-
8
Damian Puebla ↑ 58'
- 9
- 32
- 65
- 26
- 29
-
78
Ruslan Kul ↑ 69'
- 48
Coach
Ildar Akhmetzyanov
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Eduard Spertsyan | 5 |
| Jhon Cordoba | 4 |
| Vladimir Sychevoi | 3 |
| Aleksey Ionov | 2 |
| Lucas Vera | 2 |
| Danila Kozlov | 1 |
| Manuel Fernandes | 1 |
| Kevin | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Krasnodar Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.94
FK Krasnodar xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.68
FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for:
FK Krasnodar to win 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Krasnodar win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
FK Krasnodar or Draw
88%
Draw or FK Orenburg
34%
FK Krasnodar or FK Orenburg
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Krasnodar win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.6%
2 – 0
13.4%
1 – 1
10.3%
0 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
9%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5.9%
4 – 0
4.1%
0 – 1
4.1%
1 – 2
3.1%
2 – 2
3.1%
4 – 1
2.9%
Asian Handicap — FK Krasnodar
| Handicap | FK Krasnodar covers | Push | FK Orenburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -2 | 20% | 21% | 59% |
| -1.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| -1 | 41% | 25% | 34% |
| -0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +0.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +1 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 2% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
FK Krasnodar keeps clean sheet
51%
✓
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.