FK Krasnodar vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Krasnodar vs FK Orenburg — RFPL at Ozon Arena.
- FK Krasnodar 30 games · 66 pts (2025/26)
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | FK Orenburg | H | 3–0 | W |
| 11 May | FK Dinamo Moskva | A | 1–2 | L |
| 03 May | FK Akron Tolyatti | A | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Apr | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | H | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Apr | FK Spartak Moskva | A | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Apr | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | FK Krasnodar | A | 0–3 | L |
| 10 May | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | H | 1–0 | W |
| 03 May | PFK Sochi | A | 1–3 | L |
| 25 Apr | FK Rostov | A | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Apr | FK Nizhny Novgorod | H | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Apr | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| FK Krasnodar | FK Orenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #12 |
| 66 | Points | 29 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 20 / 6 / 4 | W / D / L | 7 / 8 / 15 |
| 60 | Scored | 29 |
| 23 | Conceded | 44 |
| +37 | GD | -15 |
| 2.20 | PPG | 0.97 |
| 67% | Win % | 23% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
FK Krasnodar this season
FK Krasnodar this season
20%
Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
FK Orenburg this season
FK Krasnodar are 2nd (66 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Krasnodar
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/1
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FK Krasnodar
| Jhon Cordoba | 17 G | 5 A |
| Eduard Spertsyan | 13 G | 15 A |
| Juan Boselli | 8 G | 2 A |
| Nikita Krivtsov | 7 G | 1 A |
| Diego Costa | 4 G |
FK Orenburg
| Jordhy Thompson | 5 G | 4 A |
| Feyttullah Gurluk | 4 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. FK Krasnodar kicks off things out of here…
- 5' FK Krasnodar looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Jhon Cordoba scoring 1 goals.
- 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 15' That looks like a foul for a card for Danila Khotulev.
- 20' Danila Vedernikov needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 25' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Orenburg that had 342 games and scored 207 goals.
- 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 35' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 36' Kevin Pina puts FK Krasnodar on the lead.
- 40' The referee calls foul for Jordhy Thompson. He receives a card.
- 45' The travelling FK Orenburg supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 50' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 55' Supporters expect more eagerness from Stanislav Poroykov, as he is very good at scoring at Ozon Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 57' Another substitution for FK Orenburg to replace Dmitrii Rybchinskii by Pavel Gorelov on 57 minute.
- 58' Damian Puebla is replacing Renat Golybin for the FK Orenburg side.
- 63' GOAL! Jhon Cordoba scores on 63. Assisted by Jonas Boegelund
- 64' Aleksandr Chernikov has so much to prove this time. He replaces Douglas Augusto on 64 minute.
- 69' Another change for FK Orenburg made on 69 minute. Du Queiroz leaves to be changed by Ruslan Kul.
- 74' FK Orenburg receives a card for a hard tackle on 74.
- 77' Another substitution for FK Krasnodar to replace Nikita Krivtsov by Juan Boselli on 77 minute.
- 82' FK Krasnodar is showing some good football. However, FK Krasnodar are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 84' The whistle greets Joao Batxi as he departs to be replaced by Moses Cobnan.
- 88' Goal! Eduard Spertsyan scores his 45 goal in 266 matches.
- The final score is 3-0.
Lineups
FK Krasnodar Lineups
Starting XI
- 66
- 9
- 3
- 15
- 20
- 1
- 10
- 6
-
4
Diego Costa ↓ Jubal 84'
-
88
Nikita Krivtsov ↓ Juan Boselli 77'
-
11
Joao Batxi ↓ Moses Cobnan 84'
Bench
-
5
Jubal ↑ 84'
-
53
Aleksandr Chernikov ↑ 64'
-
23
Juan Boselli ↑ 77'
- 98
-
90
Moses Cobnan ↑ 84'
-
17
Valentin Paltsev ↑ 84'
- 16
- 34
- 27
- 30
- 29
Coach
Murad Musaev
FK Orenburg Lineups
Starting XI
- 20
- 1
-
30
Gedeon Guzina ↓ Alexandre Jesus 69'
- 3
- 4
-
37
Du Queiroz ↓ Ruslan Kul 69'
- 16
- 6
-
27
Renat Golybin ↓ Damian Puebla 58'
- 57
- 2
Bench
- 88
-
19
Alexandre Jesus ↑ 69'
-
22
Pavel Gorelov ↑ 57'
-
33
Irakli Kvekveskiri ↑ 84'
-
8
Damian Puebla ↑ 58'
- 9
- 32
- 65
- 26
- 29
-
78
Ruslan Kul ↑ 69'
- 48
Coach
Ildar Akhmetzyanov
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Eduard Spertsyan | 5 |
| Jhon Cordoba | 4 |
| Vladimir Sychevoi | 3 |
| Aleksey Ionov | 2 |
| Lucas Vera | 2 |
| Dorde Despotovic | 1 |
| Danila Kozlov | 1 |
| Manuel Fernandes | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Krasnodar Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.56
FK Krasnodar xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.57
FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for:
FK Krasnodar to win 75% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Krasnodar win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.13
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
FK Krasnodar or Draw
91%
Draw or FK Orenburg
25%
FK Krasnodar or FK Orenburg
84%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Krasnodar win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
14.2%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
11.1%
2 – 1
7.9%
4 – 0
7.5%
1 – 1
6.9%
3 – 1
6.8%
0 – 0
5.7%
4 – 1
4.4%
5 – 0
3.9%
5 – 1
2.4%
2 – 2
2.2%
Asian Handicap — FK Krasnodar
| Handicap | FK Krasnodar covers | Push | FK Orenburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| -2 | 35% | 23% | 42% |
| -1.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| -1 | 58% | 21% | 21% |
| -0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +0.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +1 | 94% | 4% | 1% |
| +1.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
| +2 | 99% | 1% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
FK Krasnodar keeps clean sheet
57%
✓
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

