Tuesday , 14 July 2026

FK Krasnodar vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2025-26
Sun 17 May 2026 · 15:00 UTC Ozon Arena 34,589 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kevin Pina 36' 1–0
Jhon Cordoba 63' 2–0
Eduard Spertsyan 88' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

FK Krasnodar vs FK OrenburgRFPL at Ozon Arena.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May FK Orenburg H 3–0 W
11 May FK Dinamo Moskva A 1–2 L
03 May FK Akron Tolyatti A 1–0 W
26 Apr FK Dinamo Makhachkala H 2–1 W
23 Apr FK Spartak Moskva A 2–1 W
19 Apr FK Baltika Kaliningrad H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May FK Krasnodar A 0–3 L
10 May PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara H 1–0 W
03 May PFK Sochi A 1–3 L
25 Apr FK Rostov A 1–0 W
22 Apr FK Nizhny Novgorod H 2–1 W
18 Apr FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 0–1 L

Season Stats

FK Krasnodar FK Orenburg
#2 Position #12
66 Points 29
30 Played 30
20 / 6 / 4 W / D / L 7 / 8 / 15
60 Scored 29
23 Conceded 44
+37 GD -15
2.20 PPG 0.97
67% Win % 23%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
FK Krasnodar this season
20% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season

FK Krasnodar are 2nd (66 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Krasnodar
0-15
1/
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/1
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Orenburg
0-15
/1
16-30
1/
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FK Krasnodar
Jhon Cordoba 17 G 5 A
Eduard Spertsyan 13 G 15 A
Juan Boselli 8 G 2 A
Nikita Krivtsov 7 G 1 A
Diego Costa 4 G
FK Orenburg
Jordhy Thompson 5 G 4 A
Feyttullah Gurluk 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. FK Krasnodar kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' FK Krasnodar looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Jhon Cordoba scoring 1 goals.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 15' That looks like a foul for a card for Danila Khotulev.
  • 20' Danila Vedernikov needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 25' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Orenburg that had 342 games and scored 207 goals.
  • 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 35' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 36' Kevin Pina puts FK Krasnodar on the lead.
  • 40' The referee calls foul for Jordhy Thompson. He receives a card.
  • 45' The travelling FK Orenburg supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 50' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 55' Supporters expect more eagerness from Stanislav Poroykov, as he is very good at scoring at Ozon Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 57' Another substitution for FK Orenburg to replace Dmitrii Rybchinskii by Pavel Gorelov on 57 minute.
  • 58' Damian Puebla is replacing Renat Golybin for the FK Orenburg side.
  • 63' GOAL! Jhon Cordoba scores on 63. Assisted by Jonas Boegelund
  • 64' Aleksandr Chernikov has so much to prove this time. He replaces Douglas Augusto on 64 minute.
  • 69' Another change for FK Orenburg made on 69 minute. Du Queiroz leaves to be changed by Ruslan Kul.
  • 74' FK Orenburg receives a card for a hard tackle on 74.
  • 77' Another substitution for FK Krasnodar to replace Nikita Krivtsov by Juan Boselli on 77 minute.
  • 82' FK Krasnodar is showing some good football. However, FK Krasnodar are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 84' The whistle greets Joao Batxi as he departs to be replaced by Moses Cobnan.
  • 88' Goal! Eduard Spertsyan scores his 45 goal in 266 matches.
  • The final score is 3-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.56 FK Krasnodar xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.57 FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for: FK Krasnodar to win 75% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Krasnodar75% Draw16% FK Orenburg9%
Actual: FK Krasnodar win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 3.13
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

FK Krasnodar or Draw
91%
Draw or FK Orenburg
25%
FK Krasnodar or FK Orenburg
84%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FK Krasnodar58% Draw36% FK Orenburg6%
Actual: FK Krasnodar win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
14.2%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
11.1%
2 – 1
7.9%
4 – 0
7.5%
1 – 1
6.9%
3 – 1
6.8%
0 – 0
5.7%
4 – 1
4.4%
5 – 0
3.9%
5 – 1
2.4%
2 – 2
2.2%

Asian Handicap — FK Krasnodar

Handicap FK Krasnodar covers Push FK Orenburg covers
-2.5 35% 65%
-2 35% 23% 42%
-1.5 58% 42%
-1 58% 21% 21%
-0.5 79% 21%
+0.5 94% 6%
+1 94% 4% 1%
+1.5 99% 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

FK Krasnodar keeps clean sheet
57%
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
9%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.