PFK Sochi vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
PFK Sochi vs FK Orenburg — RFPL at Fisht Olympic Stadium.
- PFK Sochi 30 games · 22 pts (2026/27)
- FK Orenburg 14 games · 17 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Sergey Tsyganok (Russia)
- Assistant 1 Igor Demeshko
- Assistant 2 Aleksandr Bogdanov
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 14 | 31 |
| 2 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 14 | 31 |
| 3 | FK Spartak Moskva | 14 | 29 |
| 4 | FK Krasnodar | 14 | 26 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 14 | 26 |
| 6 | FK Rostov | 14 | 19 |
| 7 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 14 | 18 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 14 | 18 |
| 9 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 14 | 17 |
| 10 | FK Orenburg | 14 | 17 |
| 11 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 14 | 16 |
| 12 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 14 | 12 |
| 14 | FK Rodina Moskva | 14 | 12 |
| 15 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 14 | 11 |
| 16 | FK Fakel Voronezh | 14 | 6 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | FK Orenburg | H | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Apr | FK Dinamo Moskva | A | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Apr | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | H | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Apr | FK Rostov | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | PFC CSKA Moskva | A | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | FK Rubin Kazan | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | PFK Sochi | A | 1–3 | L |
| 25 Apr | FK Rostov | A | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Apr | FK Nizhny Novgorod | H | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Apr | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | H | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Apr | FK Rubin Kazan | A | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Apr | FK Dinamo Moskva | A | 3–3 | D |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
44%
Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
FK Orenburg this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FK Orenburg
| Jordhy Thompson | 3 G | 3 A |
| Gedeon Guzina | 3 G | 1 A |
| Ruslan Kul | 3 G | 1 A |
| Andrey Kasadzhikov | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Fisht Olympic Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' It is a cagey affair so far. PFK Sochi in their 3-4-3 trying to find a way past FK Orenburg's compact 3-4-3.
- 7' GOAL! Kirill Kravtsov scores on 7.
- 12' It looks like no one’s ball. PFK Sochi is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 17' PFK Sochi are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 22' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 27' Supporters expect more eagerness from Bogdan Ovsyannikov, as he is very good at scoring at Fisht Olympic Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 32' The 24-year-old Maksim Mukhin has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 33' Brilliant from the ! Kirill Kravtsov makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 33.
- 38' FK Orenburg is showing some good football. However, FK Orenburg are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 39' Sergey Volkov picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 44' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 49' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 54' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Orenburg that had 348 games and scored 216 goals.
- 59' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kirill Zaika on 59.
- 64' international Ivan Ivashchenko has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 67' Kirill Kravtsov makes no mistake. The score reads 3-0 and PFK Sochi are in front.
- 69' GOAL! Alexandre Jesus fires home to make it 3-1!
- 74' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 79' Jordhy Thompson needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 84' With 0 assists to his name this season, Feyttullah Gurluk is clearly more than just a goal scorer for PFK Sochi.
- 89' Gedeon Guzina is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for PFK Sochi tonight.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Aleksandr Degtev.
- Game over. The scoreline of 3-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
PFK Sochi Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 8
- 27
- 16
- 33
- 29
- 4
- 14
- 28
- 82
- 98
- 35
Bench
- 45
- 11
- 25
- 7
- 19
- 20
- 99
- 18
- 85
- 59
- 9
- 23
Coach
Igor Osinkin
FK Orenburg Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 18
- 1
- 30
- 4
- 37
- 16
- 6
- 7
- 32
- 65
- 57
Bench
- 88
- 3
- 19
- 59
- 33
- 8
- 27
- 38
- 9
- 2
- 26
- 29
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kirill Kravtsov | 3 |
| Timur Ayupov | 2 |
| Aleksandr Kokorin | 2 |
| Ivan Ignatjev | 1 |
| Dmitrii Poloz | 1 |
| Kirill Kaplenko | 1 |
| Nikita Kalugin | 1 |
| Juryj Kavaliou | 1 |
Head to Head
PFK Sochi Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.42
PFK Sochi xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35
FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for:
PFK Sochi or FK Orenburg 73% + Both teams to score 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: PFK Sochi win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
PFK Sochi or Draw
68%
Draw or FK Orenburg
59%
PFK Sochi or FK Orenburg
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: PFK Sochi win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
0 – 0
8.2%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 0
7.9%
1 – 2
7.8%
0 – 1
7.5%
2 – 0
6.2%
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
2.9%
Asian Handicap — PFK Sochi
| Handicap | PFK Sochi covers | Push | FK Orenburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 11% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 19% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 18% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
PFK Sochi keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

