Thursday , 2 July 2026

PFK Sochi vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2025-26
3 1
Full Time
Sun 3 May 2026 · 11:30 UTC Fisht Olympic Stadium 3,170 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kirill Kravtsov 7' 1–0
Kirill Kravtsov 33' 2–0
Kirill Kravtsov 67' 3–0
3–1 69' Alexandre Jesus

Overview

Match Preview

PFK Sochi vs FK OrenburgRFPL at Fisht Olympic Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Sergey Tsyganok (Russia)
  • Assistant 1 Igor Demeshko
  • Assistant 2 Aleksandr Bogdanov
3 games this season 🟨 2.3/game 7.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May FK Orenburg H 3–1 W
26 Apr FK Dinamo Moskva A 0–2 L
21 Apr PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara H 2–1 W
17 Apr FK Rostov A 1–0 W
12 Apr PFC CSKA Moskva A 1–0 W
06 Apr FK Rubin Kazan H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May PFK Sochi A 1–3 L
25 Apr FK Rostov A 1–0 W
22 Apr FK Nizhny Novgorod H 2–1 W
18 Apr FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 0–1 L
11 Apr FK Rubin Kazan A 0–0 D
04 Apr FK Dinamo Moskva A 3–3 D

Season Stats

PFK Sochi FK Orenburg
#16 Position #12
22 Points 29
30 Played 30
6 / 4 / 20 W / D / L 7 / 8 / 15
29 Scored 29
60 Conceded 44
-31 GD -15
0.73 PPG 0.97
20% Win % 23%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
PFK Sochi this season
20% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season

PFK Sochi are 16th (22 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

PFK Sochi
0-15
2/1
16-30
/2
31-45
2/
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Orenburg
0-15
/1
16-30
1/
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for PFK Sochi to score. At the same time, FK Orenburg does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Vyacheslav Litvinov needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 7' What a strike from Kirill Kravtsov! The score is 1-0.
  • 12' FK Orenburg is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 17' FK Orenburg seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 22' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. PFK Sochi needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 27' Supporters expect more eagerness from Vladimir Ilyin, as he is very good at scoring at Fisht Olympic Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 32' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FK Orenburg winning 50% of all matches.
  • 33' Kirill Kravtsov with the second goal in the match!
  • 38' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 39' It’s gonna be a card for Sergey Volkov.
  • 44' FK Orenburg started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 44.
  • 49' It looks like no one’s ball. FK Orenburg is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 54' The travelling FK Orenburg supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 59' The referee calls foul for Kirill Zaika. He receives a card.
  • 64' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering PFK Sochi that had 177 games and scored 246 goals.
  • 67' GOAL! Kirill Kravtsov scores on 67.
  • 69' What a strike from Alexandre Jesus! The score is 3-1.
  • 74' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 79' FK Orenburg looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Alexandre Jesus scoring 1 goals.
  • 84' PFK Sochi is showing some good football. However, PFK Sochi are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 89' Mikhail Ignatov has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 30 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Aleksandr Degtev on 90.
  • With this win, PFK Sochi is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.41 PFK Sochi xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.55 FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for: PFK Sochi or FK Orenburg 74% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
PFK Sochi38% Draw26% FK Orenburg36%
Actual: PFK Sochi win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 2.96
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

PFK Sochi or Draw
64%
Draw or FK Orenburg
62%
PFK Sochi or FK Orenburg
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
PFK Sochi26% Draw45% FK Orenburg29%
Actual: PFK Sochi win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 2
8.4%
2 – 1
7.7%
0 – 1
7.1%
0 – 0
6.9%
1 – 0
6.4%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
6%
2 – 0
5.1%
1 – 3
4.4%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — PFK Sochi

Handicap PFK Sochi covers Push FK Orenburg covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 18% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 60% 40%
+1 60% 19% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

PFK Sochi keeps clean sheet
22%
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.