Saturday , 14 November 2026

PFK Sochi vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2025-26
3 – 1
Full Time
Sun 3 May 2026 · 11:30 UTC Fisht Olympic Stadium 3,170 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kirill Kravtsov 7' 1–0
Kirill Kravtsov 33' 2–0
Kirill Kravtsov 67' 3–0
3–1 69' Alexandre Jesus

Overview

Match Preview

PFK Sochi vs FK Orenburg — RFPL at Fisht Olympic Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Sergey Tsyganok (Russia)
  • Assistant 1 Igor Demeshko
  • Assistant 2 Aleksandr Bogdanov

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May FK Orenburg H 3–1 W
26 Apr FK Dinamo Moskva A 0–2 L
21 Apr PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara H 2–1 W
17 Apr FK Rostov A 1–0 W
12 Apr PFC CSKA Moskva A 1–0 W
06 Apr FK Rubin Kazan H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May PFK Sochi A 1–3 L
25 Apr FK Rostov A 1–0 W
22 Apr FK Nizhny Novgorod H 2–1 W
18 Apr FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 0–1 L
11 Apr FK Rubin Kazan A 0–0 D
04 Apr FK Dinamo Moskva A 3–3 D

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
44% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Orenburg
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FK Orenburg
Jordhy Thompson 3 G 3 A
Gedeon Guzina 3 G 1 A
Ruslan Kul 3 G 1 A
Andrey Kasadzhikov 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Fisht Olympic Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' It is a cagey affair so far. PFK Sochi in their 3-4-3 trying to find a way past FK Orenburg's compact 3-4-3.
  • 7' GOAL! Kirill Kravtsov scores on 7.
  • 12' It looks like no one’s ball. PFK Sochi is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 17' PFK Sochi are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 22' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 27' Supporters expect more eagerness from Bogdan Ovsyannikov, as he is very good at scoring at Fisht Olympic Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 32' The 24-year-old Maksim Mukhin has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 33' Brilliant from the ! Kirill Kravtsov makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 33.
  • 38' FK Orenburg is showing some good football. However, FK Orenburg are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 39' Sergey Volkov picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 44' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 49' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 54' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Orenburg that had 348 games and scored 216 goals.
  • 59' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kirill Zaika on 59.
  • 64' international Ivan Ivashchenko has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 67' Kirill Kravtsov makes no mistake. The score reads 3-0 and PFK Sochi are in front.
  • 69' GOAL! Alexandre Jesus fires home to make it 3-1!
  • 74' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 79' Jordhy Thompson needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 84' With 0 assists to his name this season, Feyttullah Gurluk is clearly more than just a goal scorer for PFK Sochi.
  • 89' Gedeon Guzina is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for PFK Sochi tonight.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Aleksandr Degtev.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 3-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.42 PFK Sochi xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35 FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for: PFK Sochi or FK Orenburg 73% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
PFK Sochi41% Draw27% FK Orenburg32%
Actual: PFK Sochi win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

PFK Sochi or Draw
68%
Draw or FK Orenburg
59%
PFK Sochi or FK Orenburg
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
PFK Sochi28% Draw46% FK Orenburg26%
Actual: PFK Sochi win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
0 – 0
8.2%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 0
7.9%
1 – 2
7.8%
0 – 1
7.5%
2 – 0
6.2%
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
2.9%

Asian Handicap — PFK Sochi

Handicap PFK Sochi covers Push FK Orenburg covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 19% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 18% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

PFK Sochi keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.