Sunday , 16 August 2026

PFK Sochi vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2025-26
3 1
Full Time
Sun 3 May 2026 · 11:30 UTC Fisht Olympic Stadium 3,170 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kirill Kravtsov 7' 1–0
Kirill Kravtsov 33' 2–0
Kirill Kravtsov 67' 3–0
3–1 69' Alexandre Jesus

Overview

Match Preview

PFK Sochi vs FK OrenburgRFPL at Fisht Olympic Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Sergey Tsyganok (Russia)
  • Assistant 1 Igor Demeshko
  • Assistant 2 Aleksandr Bogdanov

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May FK Orenburg H 3–1 W
26 Apr FK Dinamo Moskva A 0–2 L
21 Apr PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara H 2–1 W
17 Apr FK Rostov A 1–0 W
12 Apr PFC CSKA Moskva A 1–0 W
06 Apr FK Rubin Kazan H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May PFK Sochi A 1–3 L
25 Apr FK Rostov A 1–0 W
22 Apr FK Nizhny Novgorod H 2–1 W
18 Apr FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 0–1 L
11 Apr FK Rubin Kazan A 0–0 D
04 Apr FK Dinamo Moskva A 3–3 D

Season Stats

PFK Sochi FK Orenburg
#16 Position #12
22 Points 29
30 Played 30
6 / 4 / 20 W / D / L 7 / 8 / 15
29 Scored 29
60 Conceded 44
-31 GD -15
0.73 PPG 0.97
20% Win % 23%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

PFK Sochi are 16th (22 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. FK Orenburg get us underway at Fisht Olympic Stadium.
  • 5' Feyttullah Gurluk, a Turkey , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 7' What a strike from Kirill Kravtsov! The score is 1-0.
  • 12' A quiet spell here at Fisht Olympic Stadium. FK Orenburg seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 17' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 22' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Vyacheslav Litvinov suffering a number of foals already.
  • 27' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 32' It’s high time Igor Osinkin made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 33' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Kirill Kravtsov makes no mistake. 2-0!
  • 38' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both PFK Sochi and FK Orenburg are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 39' Poor challenge from Sergey Volkov. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 44' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 49' FK Orenburg come into this ranked 13 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 54' With 0 assists to his name this season, Danila Khotulev is clearly more than just a goal scorer for PFK Sochi.
  • 59' Kirill Zaika picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 64' PFK Sochi started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 64.
  • 67' A goal from the Russia international Kirill Kravtsov! He fires home on 67 to make it 3-0!
  • 69' GOAL! Alexandre Jesus scores on 69.
  • 74' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 79' FK Orenburg is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 84' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 89' Both keepers have barely been tested. PFK Sochi and FK Orenburg are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 90' Aleksandr Degtev catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
  • Another three points for PFK Sochi.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.41 PFK Sochi xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.55 FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for: PFK Sochi or FK Orenburg 74% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
PFK Sochi38% Draw26% FK Orenburg36%
Actual: PFK Sochi win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 2.96
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

PFK Sochi or Draw
64%
Draw or FK Orenburg
62%
PFK Sochi or FK Orenburg
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
PFK Sochi26% Draw45% FK Orenburg29%
Actual: PFK Sochi win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 2
8.4%
2 – 1
7.7%
0 – 1
7.1%
0 – 0
6.9%
1 – 0
6.4%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
6%
2 – 0
5.1%
1 – 3
4.4%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — PFK Sochi

Handicap PFK Sochi covers Push FK Orenburg covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 18% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 60% 40%
+1 60% 19% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

PFK Sochi keeps clean sheet
22%
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.