PFK Sochi vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
PFK Sochi vs FK Orenburg — RFPL at Fisht Olympic Stadium.
- PFK Sochi 30 games · 22 pts (2025/26)
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Sergey Tsyganok (Russia)
- Assistant 1 Igor Demeshko
- Assistant 2 Aleksandr Bogdanov
3 games this season
🟨 2.3/game
⚽ 7.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | FK Orenburg | H | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Apr | FK Dinamo Moskva | A | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Apr | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | H | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Apr | FK Rostov | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | PFC CSKA Moskva | A | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | FK Rubin Kazan | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | PFK Sochi | A | 1–3 | L |
| 25 Apr | FK Rostov | A | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Apr | FK Nizhny Novgorod | H | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Apr | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | H | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Apr | FK Rubin Kazan | A | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Apr | FK Dinamo Moskva | A | 3–3 | D |
Season Stats
| PFK Sochi | FK Orenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #12 |
| 22 | Points | 29 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 6 / 4 / 20 | W / D / L | 7 / 8 / 15 |
| 29 | Scored | 29 |
| 60 | Conceded | 44 |
| -31 | GD | -15 |
| 0.73 | PPG | 0.97 |
| 20% | Win % | 23% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
13%
Clean Sheets
PFK Sochi this season
PFK Sochi this season
20%
Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
FK Orenburg this season
PFK Sochi are 16th (22 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
PFK Sochi
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for PFK Sochi to score. At the same time, FK Orenburg does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Vyacheslav Litvinov needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 7' What a strike from Kirill Kravtsov! The score is 1-0.
- 12' FK Orenburg is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 17' FK Orenburg seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 22' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. PFK Sochi needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 27' Supporters expect more eagerness from Vladimir Ilyin, as he is very good at scoring at Fisht Olympic Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 32' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FK Orenburg winning 50% of all matches.
- 33' Kirill Kravtsov with the second goal in the match!
- 38' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 39' It’s gonna be a card for Sergey Volkov.
- 44' FK Orenburg started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 44.
- 49' It looks like no one’s ball. FK Orenburg is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 54' The travelling FK Orenburg supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 59' The referee calls foul for Kirill Zaika. He receives a card.
- 64' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering PFK Sochi that had 177 games and scored 246 goals.
- 67' GOAL! Kirill Kravtsov scores on 67.
- 69' What a strike from Alexandre Jesus! The score is 3-1.
- 74' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 79' FK Orenburg looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Alexandre Jesus scoring 1 goals.
- 84' PFK Sochi is showing some good football. However, PFK Sochi are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 89' Mikhail Ignatov has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 30 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Aleksandr Degtev on 90.
- With this win, PFK Sochi is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
PFK Sochi Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 8
- 27
- 16
- 33
- 29
- 4
- 14
- 28
- 82
- 98
- 35
Bench
- 45
- 11
- 25
- 7
- 19
- 20
- 99
- 18
- 85
- 59
- 9
- 23
Coach
Igor Osinkin
FK Orenburg Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 18
- 1
- 30
- 4
- 37
- 16
- 6
- 7
- 32
- 65
- 57
Bench
- 88
- 3
- 19
- 59
- 33
- 8
- 27
- 38
- 9
- 2
- 26
- 29
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kirill Kravtsov | 3 |
| Timur Ayupov | 2 |
| Aleksandr Kokorin | 2 |
| Ivan Ignatjev | 1 |
| Dmitrii Poloz | 1 |
| Kirill Kaplenko | 1 |
| Nikita Kalugin | 1 |
| Juryj Kavaliou | 1 |
Head to Head
PFK Sochi Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.41
PFK Sochi xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.55
FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for:
PFK Sochi or FK Orenburg 74% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: PFK Sochi win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.96
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
PFK Sochi or Draw
64%
Draw or FK Orenburg
62%
PFK Sochi or FK Orenburg
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: PFK Sochi win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 2
8.4%
2 – 1
7.7%
0 – 1
7.1%
0 – 0
6.9%
1 – 0
6.4%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
6%
2 – 0
5.1%
1 – 3
4.4%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — PFK Sochi
| Handicap | PFK Sochi covers | Push | FK Orenburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 10% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 18% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 19% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 12% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
PFK Sochi keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

