FK Orenburg vs FK Nizhny Novgorod, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Orenburg vs FK Nizhny Novgorod — RFPL at Saturn.
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
- FK Nizhny Novgorod 30 games · 23 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Anton Frolov
- Assistant 1 Dmitriy Safyan (Russia)
- Assistant 2 Denis Bereznov
5 games this season
🟨 3.2/game
⚽ 6.6 goals/game
🟥 3 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr | FK Nizhny Novgorod | H | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Apr | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | H | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Apr | FK Rubin Kazan | A | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Apr | FK Dinamo Moskva | A | 3–3 | D |
| 22 Mar | FK Spartak Moskva | H | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Mar | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr | FK Orenburg | A | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Apr | FK Dinamo Moskva | H | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Apr | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | A | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Apr | FK Rostov | H | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Mar | FK Krasnodar | A | 0–5 | L |
| 15 Mar | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | H | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| FK Orenburg | FK Nizhny Novgorod | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #15 |
| 29 | Points | 23 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 7 / 8 / 15 | W / D / L | 6 / 5 / 19 |
| 29 | Scored | 26 |
| 44 | Conceded | 50 |
| -15 | GD | -24 |
| 0.97 | PPG | 0.77 |
| 23% | Win % | 20% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
FK Orenburg this season
17%
Clean Sheets
FK Nizhny Novgorod this season
FK Nizhny Novgorod this season
FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). FK Nizhny Novgorod are 15th (23 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Nizhny Novgorod
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
–/4
61-75
2/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. FK Nizhny Novgorod kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FK Nizhny Novgorod needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 10' The travelling FK Nizhny Novgorod supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Damian Puebla suffering a number of foals already.
- 25' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 30' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 30 minutes.
- 35' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 40' A meaty challenge results in booking for Bogdan Ovsyannikov on 40.
- 41' Goal! Adrian Balboa scores his 8 goal in 97 matches.
- 46' FK Nizhny Novgorod is showing some good football. However, FK Nizhny Novgorod are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 47' FK Nizhny Novgorod receives a card for a hard tackle on 47.
- 52' FK Nizhny Novgorod started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 52.
- 55' It’s a booking for FK Nizhny Novgorod player. Matvey Urvantsev gets a card.
- 57' Another substitution for FK Orenburg to replace Emil Tsenov by Alexis Cantero on 57 minute.
- 62' FK Orenburg is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 67' FK Orenburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Alexandre Jesus is hanging Maksim Savelyev on the field on 67 minute.
- 68' The supporters are chanting for Renat Golybin. He replaces Damian Puebla on 68 minute.
- 69' Adrian Balboa was booked on 69.
- 69' FK Nizhny Novgorod manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Daniil Lesovoy is hanging Matvey Urvantsev on the field on 69 minute.
- 70' Time for substitution for FK Nizhny Novgorod. Adrian Balboa is replaced by Juan Castillo.
- 75' It looks surprising FK Orenburg does not make any changes. Danila Khotulev has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 79' What a strike from Alexandre Jesus! The score is 1-1.
- 82' Sensational shot from Alexandre Jesus. FK Orenburg is back in the lead.
- 84' Alexis Cantero is having his name booked by the referee on 84.
- 85' Time for substitution for FK Nizhny Novgorod. Juan Castillo is replaced by Vyacheslav Grulev.
- 89' FK Orenburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ruslan Kul is hanging Du Queiroz on the field on 89 minute.
- 90' It is a substitution in FK Nizhny Novgorod team. Luka Ticic is replaced by Artem Sidorenko on 90 minute.
- Full Time. FK Orenburg beats FK Nizhny Novgorod
Lineups
FK Orenburg Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 18
- 1
- 4
-
37
Du Queiroz ↓ Ruslan Kul 89'
- 16
- 6
-
8
Damian Puebla ↓ Renat Golybin 68'
- 7
- 9
- 57
-
26
Emil Tsenov ↓ Alexis Cantero 57'
Bench
- 88
- 3
-
19
Alexandre Jesus ↑ 67'
- 22
-
33
Irakli Kvekveskiri ↑ 89'
-
27
Renat Golybin ↑ 68'
- 38
-
32
Alexis Cantero ↑ 57'
- 65
- 2
- 29
-
78
Ruslan Kul ↑ 89'
FK Nizhny Novgorod Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 30
-
10
Adrian Balboa ↓ Juan Castillo 70'
- 2
- 21
- 70
-
77
Andrey Ivlev ↓ Nikita Ermakov 70'
- 4
- 17
-
29
Luka Ticic ↓ Artem Sidorenko 90'
- 3
- 14
Bench
- 27
- 1
-
88
Daniil Lesovoy ↑ 69'
-
19
Nikita Ermakov ↑ 70'
- 8
- 78
- 16
-
69
Artem Sidorenko ↑ 90'
- 32
-
23
Juan Castillo ↑ 70'
- 51
Coach
Aleksey Shpilevskiy
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Alexandre Jesus | 2 |
| Juan Boselli | 2 |
| Timur Ayupov | 2 |
| Valeriy Tsarukyan | 1 |
| Brian Mansilla | 1 |
| Adrian Balboa | 1 |
| Artem Kasimov | 1 |
| Matias Perez | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Orenburg Form
FK Nizhny Novgorod Form
2026-04-22
FK Orenburg
2–1
FK Nizhny Novgorod
L
2026-04-18
FK Nizhny Novgorod
1–1
FK Dinamo Moskva
D
2026-04-11
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
2–2
FK Nizhny Novgorod
D
2026-04-05
FK Nizhny Novgorod
0–1
FK Rostov
L
2026-03-21
FK Krasnodar
5–0
FK Nizhny Novgorod
L
2026-03-15
FK Nizhny Novgorod
3–0
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.66
FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17
FK Nizhny Novgorod xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Orenburg win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.83
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
FK Orenburg or Draw
75%
Draw or FK Nizhny Novgorod
51%
FK Orenburg or FK Nizhny Novgorod
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FK Nizhny Novgorod win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.9%
2 – 0
8%
0 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 1
6%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg
| Handicap | FK Orenburg covers | Push | FK Nizhny Novgorod covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 15% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 22% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 15% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
FK Nizhny Novgorod keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.