FK Orenburg vs FK Nizhny Novgorod, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2025-26

FK Orenburg

2 – 1

Full Time

FK Nizhny Novgorod

Wed 22 Apr 2026 · 14:30 UTC Saturn 3,437 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 41' Adrian Balboa pen

Alexandre Jesus 79' 1–1

Alexandre Jesus 82' 2–1

Bogdan Ovsyannikov 40' Y

Y 47' Andrey Ivlev

Y 55' Matvey Urvantsev

Y 69' Adrian Balboa

Alexis Cantero 84' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FK Orenburg vs FK Nizhny Novgorod — RFPL at Saturn.

FK Orenburg 9 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
FK Nizhny Novgorod 30 games · 23 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Anton Frolov
Assistant 1 Dmitriy Safyan (Russia)
Assistant 2 Denis Bereznov

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Krasnodar	9	21
2	FK Dinamo Moskva	9	19
3	PFC CSKA Moskva	9	19
4	FK Spartak Moskva	9	19
5	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	9	18
6	FK Rubin Kazan	9	12
7	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	9	12
8	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	9	11
9	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	9	11
10	RFK Akhmat Grozny	9	10
11	FK Orenburg	9	9
12	FK Akron Tolyatti	9	8
13	FK Rostov	9	8
14	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	9	7
15	FK Rodina Moskva	9	5
16	FK Fakel Voronezh	9	3

Head-to-Head

FK Orenburg 8 games · Avg 3.0 goals FK Nizhny Novgorod

Last 5 meetings

2026-04-22 FK Orenburg 2–1 FK Nizhny Novgorod 2025-09-13 FK Nizhny Novgorod 3–1 FK Orenburg 2025-04-04 FK Nizhny Novgorod 1–2 FK Orenburg 2024-09-27 FK Orenburg 1–2 FK Nizhny Novgorod 2024-04-14 FK Orenburg 3–1 FK Nizhny Novgorod

Recent Form

FK Orenburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
22 Apr	FK Nizhny Novgorod	H	2–1	W
18 Apr	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	H	0–1	L
11 Apr	FK Rubin Kazan	A	0–0	D
04 Apr	FK Dinamo Moskva	A	3–3	D
22 Mar	FK Spartak Moskva	H	0–2	L
13 Mar	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	A	0–1	L

FK Nizhny Novgorod

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
22 Apr	FK Orenburg	A	1–2	L
18 Apr	FK Dinamo Moskva	H	1–1	D
11 Apr	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	A	2–2	D
05 Apr	FK Rostov	H	0–1	L
21 Mar	FK Krasnodar	A	0–5	L
15 Mar	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	H	3–0	W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

25% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Orenburg

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

1/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

1/1

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FK Orenburg

Ruslan Kul	3 G
Andrey Kasadzhikov	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds Saturn will turn into a battlefield for FK Orenburg and FK Nizhny Novgorod.
5' FK Nizhny Novgorod fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
10' FK Orenburg are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
25' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
30' With 0 assists to his name this season, Evgeniy Bolotov is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FK Orenburg.
35' The home supporters are growing impatient. FK Orenburg must find a spark to ignite this game.
40' FK Orenburg receives a card for a hard tackle on 40.
41' What composure from Adrian Balboa! The Uruguay international strokes it home. 0-1.
46' It is a cagey affair so far. FK Orenburg in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past FK Nizhny Novgorod's compact 4-3-3.
47' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Andrey Ivlev on 47 minutes.
52' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
55' The referee calls foul for Matvey Urvantsev. He receives a card.
57' Another substitution for FK Orenburg to replace Emil Tsenov by Alexis Cantero on 57 minute.
62' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
67' Maksim Savelyev makes way for Alexandre Jesus at the 67 minute mark. A tactical switch from FK Orenburg.
68' Renat Golybin is replacing Damian Puebla for the FK Orenburg side.
69' That looks like a foul for a card for Adrian Balboa.
69' Daniil Lesovoy is ready to make an impact after coming on for Matvey Urvantsev at the 69 minute mark.
70' Another change for FK Nizhny Novgorod made on 70 minute. Adrian Balboa leaves to be changed by Juan Castillo.
75' FK Nizhny Novgorod seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
79' What a moment for Alexandre Jesus! That strike on 79 puts his side firmly in control.
82' Alexandre Jesus adds to his 1 season tally! FK Orenburg lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
84' Controversy at the stadium! Alexis Cantero argues furiously but the card stands.
85' A change in the FK Nizhny Novgorod ranks — Juan Castillo exits the field as Vyacheslav Grulev enters on 85.
89' The supporters are chanting for Ruslan Kul. He replaces Du Queiroz on 89 minute.
90' The FK Nizhny Novgorod manager makes a substitution. Luka Ticic departs to be replaced by Artem Sidorenko.
Full Time. FK Orenburg beats FK Nizhny Novgorod

Lineups

FK Orenburg Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

18
Fahd Moufi
1
Bogdan Ovsyannikov
4
Danila Khotulev
37
Du Queiroz ↓ Ruslan Kul 89'
16
Jordhy Thompson
6
Jhon Palacios
8
Damian Puebla ↓ Renat Golybin 68'
7
Feyttullah Gurluk
9
Maksim Savelyev ↓ Alexandre Jesus 67'
57
Evgeniy Bolotov ↓ Irakli Kvekveskiri 89'
26
Emil Tsenov ↓ Alexis Cantero 57'

Bench

FK Nizhny Novgorod Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

30
Nikita Medvedev
10
Adrian Balboa ↓ Juan Castillo 70'
2
Viktor Alexandrov
21
Renaldo Cephas
70
Maksim Shnaptsev
77
Andrey Ivlev ↓ Nikita Ermakov 70'
4
Ilya Kirsh
17
Egor Smelov
29
Luka Ticic ↓ Artem Sidorenko 90'
3
Yuriy Koledin
14
Matvey Urvantsev ↓ Daniil Lesovoy 69'

Bench

Coach Aleksey Shpilevskiy

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Juan Boselli	2
Timur Ayupov	2
Alexandre Jesus	2
Ze Turbo	1
Edgar Sevikyan	1
Jimmy Marin	1
Vladimir Obukhov	1
Arsen Adamov	1

Head to Head

FK Orenburg Form

2026-04-22 FK Orenburg 2–1 FK Nizhny Novgorod W 2026-04-18 FK Orenburg 0–1 FK Lokomotiv Moskva L 2026-04-11 FK Rubin Kazan 0–0 FK Orenburg D 2026-04-04 FK Dinamo Moskva 3–3 FK Orenburg D 2026-03-22 FK Orenburg 0–2 FK Spartak Moskva L 2026-03-13 FK Dinamo Makhachkala 1–0 FK Orenburg L

FK Nizhny Novgorod Form

2026-04-22 FK Orenburg 2–1 FK Nizhny Novgorod L 2026-04-18 FK Nizhny Novgorod 1–1 FK Dinamo Moskva D 2026-04-11 FK Baltika Kaliningrad 2–2 FK Nizhny Novgorod D 2026-04-05 FK Nizhny Novgorod 0–1 FK Rostov L 2026-03-21 FK Krasnodar 5–0 FK Nizhny Novgorod L 2026-03-15 FK Nizhny Novgorod 3–0 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.58 FK Orenburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.22 FK Nizhny Novgorod xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FK Orenburg47% Draw26% FK Nizhny Novgorod27%

Actual: FK Orenburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes56% 0% No44%

Avg goals/match: 2.8

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	77%	23%
± 2.5	52%	48%
± 3.5	31%	69%
± 4.5	16%	84%

Double Chance

FK Orenburg or Draw

73%

Draw or FK Nizhny Novgorod

53%

FK Orenburg or FK Nizhny Novgorod

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FK Orenburg32% Draw46% FK Nizhny Novgorod22%

Actual: FK Nizhny Novgorod win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.7%

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

8.7%

0 – 0

2 – 0

7.5%

1 – 2

6.9%

0 – 1

6.5%

2 – 2

5.4%

3 – 1

4.7%

0 – 2

4.5%

3 – 0

3.8%

3 – 2

2.9%

Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg

Handicap	FK Orenburg covers	Push	FK Nizhny Novgorod covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	14%	77%
-1.5	23%	—	77%
-1	23%	21%	56%
-0.5	44%	—	56%
+0.5	72%	—	28%
+1	72%	16%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	8%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

FK Nizhny Novgorod keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.