FK Orenburg vs FK Nizhny Novgorod, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Orenburg vs FK Nizhny Novgorod — RFPL at Saturn.
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
- FK Nizhny Novgorod 30 games · 23 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Anton Frolov
- Assistant 1 Dmitriy Safyan (Russia)
- Assistant 2 Denis Bereznov
5 games this season
🟨 3.2/game
⚽ 6.6 goals/game
🟥 3 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr | FK Nizhny Novgorod | H | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Apr | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | H | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Apr | FK Rubin Kazan | A | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Apr | FK Dinamo Moskva | A | 3–3 | D |
| 22 Mar | FK Spartak Moskva | H | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Mar | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr | FK Orenburg | A | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Apr | FK Dinamo Moskva | H | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Apr | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | A | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Apr | FK Rostov | H | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Mar | FK Krasnodar | A | 0–5 | L |
| 15 Mar | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | H | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| FK Orenburg | FK Nizhny Novgorod | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #15 |
| 29 | Points | 23 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 7 / 8 / 15 | W / D / L | 6 / 5 / 19 |
| 29 | Scored | 26 |
| 44 | Conceded | 50 |
| -15 | GD | -24 |
| 0.97 | PPG | 0.77 |
| 23% | Win % | 20% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
FK Orenburg this season
17%
Clean Sheets
FK Nizhny Novgorod this season
FK Nizhny Novgorod this season
FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). FK Nizhny Novgorod are 15th (23 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Nizhny Novgorod
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
–/4
61-75
2/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FK Orenburg
| Jordhy Thompson | 5 G | 4 A |
| Feyttullah Gurluk | 4 G | 1 A |
FK Nizhny Novgorod
| Olakunle Olusegun | 5 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — FK Orenburg and FK Nizhny Novgorod get this one started.
- 5' Russia international Ilya Kirsh has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 10' FK Orenburg are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 15' FK Orenburg are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FK Nizhny Novgorod backline.
- 20' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 25' FK Nizhny Novgorod has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 30' FK Nizhny Novgorod is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 35' Nikita Ermakov, a Russia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 40' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Bogdan Ovsyannikov on 40 minutes.
- 41' Adrian Balboa doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 46' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 47' Controversy at the stadium! Andrey Ivlev argues furiously but the card stands.
- 52' FK Orenburg are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against FK Nizhny Novgorod's 4-3-3 shape.
- 55' Matvey Urvantsev was booked on 55.
- 57' Fresh legs for FK Orenburg! Alexis Cantero comes on to replace Emil Tsenov.
- 62' FK Nizhny Novgorod started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 62.
- 67' Alexandre Jesus gets the nod from FK Orenburg. He replaces Maksim Savelyev and will look to change the dynamic.
- 68' Time for substitution for FK Orenburg. Damian Puebla is replaced by Renat Golybin.
- 69' The referee calls foul for Adrian Balboa. He receives a card.
- 69' The crowd applauds Matvey Urvantsev as he leaves the pitch. Daniil Lesovoy steps in for FK Nizhny Novgorod.
- 70' Adrian Balboa makes way for Juan Castillo at the 70 minute mark. A tactical switch from FK Nizhny Novgorod.
- 75' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 79' A goal from the Brazil international Alexandre Jesus! He fires home on 79 to make it 1-1!
- 82' What a moment for Alexandre Jesus! That strike on 82 puts his side firmly in control.
- 84' Alexis Cantero was booked on 84.
- 85' Another change for FK Nizhny Novgorod made on 85 minute. Juan Castillo leaves to be changed by Vyacheslav Grulev.
- 89' Time for substitution for FK Orenburg. Du Queiroz is replaced by Ruslan Kul.
- 90' Luka Ticic makes way for Artem Sidorenko at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from FK Nizhny Novgorod.
- With this win, FK Orenburg is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
FK Orenburg Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 18
- 1
- 4
-
37
Du Queiroz ↓ Ruslan Kul 89'
- 16
- 6
-
8
Damian Puebla ↓ Renat Golybin 68'
- 7
- 9
- 57
-
26
Emil Tsenov ↓ Alexis Cantero 57'
Bench
- 88
- 3
-
19
Alexandre Jesus ↑ 67'
- 22
-
33
Irakli Kvekveskiri ↑ 89'
-
27
Renat Golybin ↑ 68'
- 38
-
32
Alexis Cantero ↑ 57'
- 65
- 2
- 29
-
78
Ruslan Kul ↑ 89'
FK Nizhny Novgorod Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 30
-
10
Adrian Balboa ↓ Juan Castillo 70'
- 2
- 21
- 70
-
77
Andrey Ivlev ↓ Nikita Ermakov 70'
- 4
- 17
-
29
Luka Ticic ↓ Artem Sidorenko 90'
- 3
- 14
Bench
- 27
- 1
-
88
Daniil Lesovoy ↑ 69'
-
19
Nikita Ermakov ↑ 70'
- 8
- 78
- 16
-
69
Artem Sidorenko ↑ 90'
- 32
-
23
Juan Castillo ↑ 70'
- 51
Coach
Aleksey Shpilevskiy
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Juan Boselli | 2 |
| Timur Ayupov | 2 |
| Alexandre Jesus | 2 |
| Ze Turbo | 1 |
| Edgar Sevikyan | 1 |
| Jimmy Marin | 1 |
| Vladimir Obukhov | 1 |
| Arsen Adamov | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Orenburg Form
FK Nizhny Novgorod Form
2026-04-22
FK Orenburg
2–1
FK Nizhny Novgorod
L
2026-04-18
FK Nizhny Novgorod
1–1
FK Dinamo Moskva
D
2026-04-11
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
2–2
FK Nizhny Novgorod
D
2026-04-05
FK Nizhny Novgorod
0–1
FK Rostov
L
2026-03-21
FK Krasnodar
5–0
FK Nizhny Novgorod
L
2026-03-15
FK Nizhny Novgorod
3–0
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.66
FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17
FK Nizhny Novgorod xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Orenburg win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.83
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
FK Orenburg or Draw
75%
Draw or FK Nizhny Novgorod
51%
FK Orenburg or FK Nizhny Novgorod
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FK Nizhny Novgorod win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.9%
2 – 0
8%
0 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 1
6%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg
| Handicap | FK Orenburg covers | Push | FK Nizhny Novgorod covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 15% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 22% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 15% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
FK Nizhny Novgorod keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

