FK Krasnodar vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Krasnodar vs FK Orenburg — RFPL at Krasnodar Stadium.
- FK Krasnodar 30 games · 66 pts (2026/27)
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec | FK Orenburg | H | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Nov | FK Ural | A | 1–3 | L |
| 11 Nov | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Nov | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Oct | PFC CSKA Moskva | A | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Oct | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec | FK Krasnodar | A | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Nov | RFK Akhmat Grozny | H | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Nov | FK Dinamo Moskva | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 Nov | FK Rostov | H | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Oct | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | A | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Oct | FK Fakel Voronezh | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FK Krasnodar | FK Orenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #12 |
| 66 | Points | 29 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 20 / 6 / 4 | W / D / L | 7 / 8 / 15 |
| 60 | Scored | 29 |
| 23 | Conceded | 44 |
| +37 | GD | -15 |
| 2.20 | PPG | 0.97 |
| 67% | Win % | 23% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
FK Krasnodar are 2nd (66 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. FK Krasnodar is hosting FK Orenburg for another epic battle.
- 5' FK Krasnodar are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FK Orenburg backline.
- 10' Aleksandr Chernikov has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 16' A change in the FK Krasnodar ranks — Lucas Olaza exits the field as Georgiy Harutyunyan enters on 16.
- 21' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 24' The referee shows FK Krasnodar player a card on 24.
- 29' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 34' Justin Cuero is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FK Orenburg tonight.
- 39' Arsen Adamov has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 394 appearances.
- 44' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yaroslav Mikhailov made 406 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 45' The referee shows FK Orenburg player a card on 45.
- 48' A goal from the Armenia international Eduard Spertsyan! He fires home on 45 to make it 1-0!
- 51' A goal from the Russia international Stepan Oganesyan! He fires home on 51 to make it 1-1!
- 56' It’s gonna be a card for Matias Perez.
- 61' FK Orenburg come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 64' It is a substitution in FK Krasnodar team. Joao Batxi is replaced by Ilzat Akhmetov on 64 minute.
- 69' The crowd applauds Brian Mansilla as he leaves the pitch. Feyttullah Gurluk steps in for FK Orenburg.
- 74' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 76' A goal from the Russia international Ilzat Akhmetov! He fires home on 76 to make it 2-1!
- 79' The FK Orenburg bench stirs into life. Kirill Kaplenko is withdrawn and Yaroslav Mikhailov gets his opportunity.
- 80' Yuriy Kovalev has so much to prove this time. He replaces Stepan Oganesyan on 80 minute.
- 85' Leo Goglichidze makes way for Arsen Adamov at the 85 minute mark. A tactical switch from FK Orenburg.
- 88' It’s a booking for FK Krasnodar player. Junior Alonso gets a card.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for FK Krasnodar players.
Lineups
FK Krasnodar Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 3
- 15
- 39
- 8
- 14
- 10
- 40
-
19
Joao Batxi ↓ Ilzat Akhmetov 64'
- 82
- 96
Bench
-
7
Ilzat Akhmetov ↑ 64'
- 1
-
88
Nikita Krivtsov ↑ 64'
-
90
Moses Cobnan ↑ 85'
-
33
Georgiy Harutyunyan ↑ 16'
- 42
- 16
- 90
- 90
- –
Coach
Vladimir Ivic
FK Orenburg Lineups
Starting XI
- 55
- 90
-
5
Leo Goglichidze ↓ Arsen Adamov 85'
-
10
Dmitry Vorobyev ↓ Justin Cuero 79'
- 22
- 8
- 11
- 23
- 3
- 9
- 81
Bench
- 80
- 2
- 38
-
6
Arsen Adamov ↑ 85'
- 4
-
14
Yaroslav Mikhailov ↑ 79'
- 95
-
17
Yuriy Kovalev ↑ 80'
-
7
Feyttullah Gurluk ↑ 69'
-
19
Justin Cuero ↑ 79'
- –
Coach
David Deogracia
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Eduard Spertsyan | 5 |
| Jhon Cordoba | 4 |
| Vladimir Sychevoi | 3 |
| Aleksey Ionov | 2 |
| Lucas Vera | 2 |
| Stepan Oganesyan | 1 |
| Ari | 1 |
| Ilzat Akhmetov | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Krasnodar Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.25
FK Krasnodar xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.83
FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for:
FK Krasnodar to win 66% + Over 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Krasnodar win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.08
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
FK Krasnodar or Draw
86%
Draw or FK Orenburg
34%
FK Krasnodar or FK Orenburg
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Krasnodar win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.5%
1 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
9.3%
3 – 0
8.4%
3 – 1
7%
0 – 0
6.1%
4 – 0
4.7%
4 – 1
4%
2 – 2
3.8%
1 – 2
3.4%
0 – 1
3.2%
Asian Handicap — FK Krasnodar
| Handicap | FK Krasnodar covers | Push | FK Orenburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -2 | 25% | 21% | 55% |
| -1.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| -1 | 45% | 23% | 32% |
| -0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
FK Krasnodar keeps clean sheet
44%
✓
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.