FK Krasnodar vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Krasnodar vs FK Orenburg — RFPL at Krasnodar Stadium.
- FK Krasnodar 30 games · 66 pts (2025/26)
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec | FK Orenburg | H | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Nov | FK Ural | A | 1–3 | L |
| 11 Nov | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Nov | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Oct | PFC CSKA Moskva | A | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Oct | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec | FK Krasnodar | A | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Nov | RFK Akhmat Grozny | H | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Nov | FK Dinamo Moskva | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 Nov | FK Rostov | H | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Oct | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | A | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Oct | FK Fakel Voronezh | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FK Krasnodar | FK Orenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #12 |
| 66 | Points | 29 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 20 / 6 / 4 | W / D / L | 7 / 8 / 15 |
| 60 | Scored | 29 |
| 23 | Conceded | 44 |
| +37 | GD | -15 |
| 2.20 | PPG | 0.97 |
| 67% | Win % | 23% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
FK Krasnodar this season
FK Krasnodar this season
20%
Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
FK Orenburg this season
FK Krasnodar are 2nd (66 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Krasnodar
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/1
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for FK Krasnodar to score. At the same time, FK Orenburg does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' FK Krasnodar is showing some good football. However, FK Krasnodar are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 10' It’s high time David Deogracia made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 16' The crowd applauds Lucas Olaza as he leaves the pitch. Georgiy Harutyunyan steps in for FK Krasnodar.
- 21' FK Krasnodar started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 21.
- 24' A moment of madness from Olakunle Olusegun on 24 minutes earns him a card. FK Krasnodar will be frustrated.
- 29' Over 29 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 34' FK Krasnodar are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 39' It is a cagey affair so far. FK Krasnodar in their trying to find a way past FK Orenburg's compact .
- 44' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FK Orenburg needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 45' That looks like a foul for a card for Aleksei Kenyaikin.
- 48' A goal from the Armenia international Eduard Spertsyan! He fires home on 45 to make it 1-0!
- 51' Stepan Oganesyan is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 56' The referee has no hesitation. Matias Perez is booked for FK Orenburg — card on 56.
- 61' It looks surprising FK Krasnodar does not make any changes. Joao Batxi has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 64' The FK Krasnodar manager makes a substitution. Joao Batxi departs to be replaced by Ilzat Akhmetov.
- 69' Another substitution for FK Orenburg to replace Brian Mansilla by Feyttullah Gurluk on 69 minute.
- 74' FK Krasnodar has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 76' Sensational shot from Ilzat Akhmetov. FK Krasnodar is back in the lead.
- 79' Time for substitution for FK Orenburg. Kirill Kaplenko is replaced by Yaroslav Mikhailov.
- 80' FK Orenburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yuriy Kovalev is hanging Stepan Oganesyan on the field on 80 minute.
- 85' Another substitution for FK Orenburg to replace Leo Goglichidze by Arsen Adamov on 85 minute.
- 88' A moment of madness from Junior Alonso on 88 minutes earns him a card. FK Krasnodar will be frustrated.
- With this win, FK Krasnodar is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
FK Krasnodar Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 3
- 15
- 39
- 8
- 14
- 10
- 40
-
19
Joao Batxi ↓ Ilzat Akhmetov 64'
- 82
- 96
Bench
-
7
Ilzat Akhmetov ↑ 64'
- 1
-
88
Nikita Krivtsov ↑ 64'
-
90
Moses Cobnan ↑ 85'
-
33
Georgiy Harutyunyan ↑ 16'
- 42
- 16
- 90
- 90
- –
Coach
Vladimir Ivic
FK Orenburg Lineups
Starting XI
- 55
- 90
-
5
Leo Goglichidze ↓ Arsen Adamov 85'
-
10
Dmitry Vorobyev ↓ Justin Cuero 79'
- 22
- 8
- 11
- 23
- 3
- 9
- 81
Bench
- 80
- 2
- 38
-
6
Arsen Adamov ↑ 85'
- 4
-
14
Yaroslav Mikhailov ↑ 79'
- 95
-
17
Yuriy Kovalev ↑ 80'
-
7
Feyttullah Gurluk ↑ 69'
-
19
Justin Cuero ↑ 79'
- –
Coach
David Deogracia
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Eduard Spertsyan | 5 |
| Jhon Cordoba | 4 |
| Vladimir Sychevoi | 3 |
| Aleksey Ionov | 2 |
| Lucas Vera | 2 |
| Andrei Kozlov | 1 |
| Adessoye Oyewole | 1 |
| Aleksei Sutormin | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Krasnodar Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.25
FK Krasnodar xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.83
FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for:
FK Krasnodar to win 66% + Over 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Krasnodar win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.08
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
FK Krasnodar or Draw
86%
Draw or FK Orenburg
34%
FK Krasnodar or FK Orenburg
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Krasnodar win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.5%
1 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
9.3%
3 – 0
8.4%
3 – 1
7%
0 – 0
6.1%
4 – 0
4.7%
4 – 1
4%
2 – 2
3.8%
1 – 2
3.4%
0 – 1
3.2%
Asian Handicap — FK Krasnodar
| Handicap | FK Krasnodar covers | Push | FK Orenburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -2 | 25% | 21% | 55% |
| -1.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| -1 | 45% | 23% | 32% |
| -0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
FK Krasnodar keeps clean sheet
44%
✓
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

