Sunday , 16 August 2026

FK Krasnodar vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2023-24
Sun 3 Dec 2023 · 13:30 UTC Krasnodar Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FK Krasnodar vs FK OrenburgRFPL at Krasnodar Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec FK Orenburg H 2–1 W
26 Nov FK Ural A 1–3 L
11 Nov FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg A 1–1 D
05 Nov PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara H 2–1 W
29 Oct PFC CSKA Moskva A 0–1 L
21 Oct FK Baltika Kaliningrad A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec FK Krasnodar A 1–2 L
26 Nov RFK Akhmat Grozny H 1–1 D
12 Nov FK Dinamo Moskva A 0–2 L
06 Nov FK Rostov H 1–1 D
28 Oct PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara A 1–1 D
21 Oct FK Fakel Voronezh H 1–2 L

Season Stats

FK Krasnodar FK Orenburg
#2 Position #12
66 Points 29
30 Played 30
20 / 6 / 4 W / D / L 7 / 8 / 15
60 Scored 29
23 Conceded 44
+37 GD -15
2.20 PPG 0.97
67% Win % 23%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FK Krasnodar are 2nd (66 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. FK Krasnodar is hosting FK Orenburg for another epic battle.
  • 5' FK Krasnodar are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FK Orenburg backline.
  • 10' Aleksandr Chernikov has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 16' A change in the FK Krasnodar ranks — Lucas Olaza exits the field as Georgiy Harutyunyan enters on 16.
  • 21' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 24' The referee shows FK Krasnodar player a card on 24.
  • 29' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 34' Justin Cuero is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FK Orenburg tonight.
  • 39' Arsen Adamov has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 394 appearances.
  • 44' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yaroslav Mikhailov made 406 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 45' The referee shows FK Orenburg player a card on 45.
  • 48' A goal from the Armenia international Eduard Spertsyan! He fires home on 45 to make it 1-0!
  • 51' A goal from the Russia international Stepan Oganesyan! He fires home on 51 to make it 1-1!
  • 56' It’s gonna be a card for Matias Perez.
  • 61' FK Orenburg come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 64' It is a substitution in FK Krasnodar team. Joao Batxi is replaced by Ilzat Akhmetov on 64 minute.
  • 69' The crowd applauds Brian Mansilla as he leaves the pitch. Feyttullah Gurluk steps in for FK Orenburg.
  • 74' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 76' A goal from the Russia international Ilzat Akhmetov! He fires home on 76 to make it 2-1!
  • 79' The FK Orenburg bench stirs into life. Kirill Kaplenko is withdrawn and Yaroslav Mikhailov gets his opportunity.
  • 80' Yuriy Kovalev has so much to prove this time. He replaces Stepan Oganesyan on 80 minute.
  • 85' Leo Goglichidze makes way for Arsen Adamov at the 85 minute mark. A tactical switch from FK Orenburg.
  • 88' It’s a booking for FK Krasnodar player. Junior Alonso gets a card.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for FK Krasnodar players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.25 FK Krasnodar xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.83 FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for: FK Krasnodar to win 66% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Krasnodar66% Draw20% FK Orenburg14%
Actual: FK Krasnodar win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 3.08
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

FK Krasnodar or Draw
86%
Draw or FK Orenburg
34%
FK Krasnodar or FK Orenburg
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FK Krasnodar49% Draw40% FK Orenburg11%
Actual: FK Krasnodar win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.5%
1 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
9.3%
3 – 0
8.4%
3 – 1
7%
0 – 0
6.1%
4 – 0
4.7%
4 – 1
4%
2 – 2
3.8%
1 – 2
3.4%
0 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — FK Krasnodar

Handicap FK Krasnodar covers Push FK Orenburg covers
-2.5 25% 75%
-2 25% 21% 55%
-1.5 45% 55%
-1 45% 23% 32%
-0.5 68% 32%
+0.5 88% 12%
+1 88% 8% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

FK Krasnodar keeps clean sheet
44%
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.