FK Krasnodar vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Krasnodar vs FK Orenburg — RFPL at Krasnodar Stadium.
- FK Krasnodar 14 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
- FK Orenburg 14 games · 17 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 14 | 31 |
| 2 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 14 | 31 |
| 3 | FK Spartak Moskva | 14 | 29 |
| 4 | FK Krasnodar | 14 | 26 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 14 | 26 |
| 6 | FK Rostov | 14 | 19 |
| 7 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 14 | 18 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 14 | 18 |
| 9 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 14 | 17 |
| 10 | FK Orenburg | 14 | 17 |
| 11 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 14 | 16 |
| 12 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 14 | 12 |
| 14 | FK Rodina Moskva | 14 | 12 |
| 15 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 14 | 11 |
| 16 | FK Fakel Voronezh | 14 | 6 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov | FK Orenburg | H | 4–0 | W |
| 28 Oct | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | A | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | FK Spartak Moskva | A | 3–0 | W |
| 06 Oct | FK Khimki | H | 4–0 | W |
| 28 Sep | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | H | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Sep | FK Akron Tolyatti | A | 5–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov | FK Krasnodar | A | 0–4 | L |
| 27 Oct | FK Rubin Kazan | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Oct | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | H | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Oct | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | A | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Sep | FK Nizhny Novgorod | H | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Sep | FK Khimki | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| FK Krasnodar | FK Orenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #10 |
| 26 | Points | 17 |
| 14 | Played | 14 |
| 7 / 5 / 2 | W / D / L | 3 / 8 / 3 |
| 26 | Scored | 14 |
| 18 | Conceded | 14 |
| +8 | GD | +0 |
| 1.86 | PPG | 1.21 |
| 50% | Win % | 21% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
FK Krasnodar this season
FK Krasnodar this season
44%
Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
FK Orenburg this season
FK Krasnodar are 4th (26 pts). FK Orenburg are 10th (17 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Krasnodar
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
3/2
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FK Krasnodar
| Jhon Cordoba | 6 G | 1 A |
| Joao Batxi | 5 G | 3 A |
| Christian | 3 G | 4 A |
| Nikita Krivtsov | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jubal | 3 G |
FK Orenburg
| Jordhy Thompson | 3 G | 3 A |
| Gedeon Guzina | 3 G | 1 A |
| Ruslan Kul | 3 G | 1 A |
| Andrey Kasadzhikov | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' FK Krasnodar have kicked off against FK Orenburg. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' It is a cagey affair so far. FK Krasnodar in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past FK Orenburg's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 10' The referee has no hesitation. Diego Costa is booked for FK Krasnodar — card on 10.
- 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 20' The travelling FK Orenburg supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 25' Georgii Zotov has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 30' Feyttullah Gurluk has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 351 appearances.
- 35' FK Orenburg has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
- 38' What composure from Kevin! The Cape Verde Islands international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 43' Russia international Aleksandr Kovalenko has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 48' FK Krasnodar are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FK Orenburg backline.
- 50' That is a card for FK Krasnodar. Aleksandr Chernikov will be fuming at that decision.
- 55' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 60' Another substitution for FK Orenburg to replace Saeid Saharkhizan by Aleksey Baranovsky on 60 minute.
- 65' FK Orenburg are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 66' It is a substitution in FK Krasnodar team. Aleksandr Chernikov is replaced by Kevin Castano on 66 minute.
- 69' Danila Kozlov is ready to make an impact after coming on for Joao Victor at the 69 minute mark.
- 73' GOAL! Danila Kozlov fires home to make it 2-0!
- 76' The FK Orenburg bench stirs into life. Aleksandr Kovalenko is withdrawn and Mohammad Ghorbani gets his opportunity.
- 79' Goal! Eduard Spertsyan scores his 45 goal in 275 matches.
- 83' Moses Cobnan gets the nod from FK Krasnodar. He replaces Joao Batxi and will look to change the dynamic.
- 88' Jhon Cordoba adds to his 6 season tally! FK Krasnodar lead 4-0 — and this changes everything.
- Another three points for FK Krasnodar.
Lineups
FK Krasnodar Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 9
- 3
- 15
-
7
Joao Victor ↓ Danila Kozlov 69'
- 53
- 1
- 10
- 4
- 98
-
11
Joao Batxi ↓ Moses Cobnan 83'
- 6
Bench
- 19
- 31
-
20
Giovanni Gonzalez ↑ 69'
-
88
Nikita Krivtsov ↑ 83'
- 40
- 96
-
8
Danila Kozlov ↑ 69'
-
90
Moses Cobnan ↑ 83'
- 13
- 33
-
5
Kevin Castano ↑ 66'
- 30
Coach
Murad Musaev
FK Orenburg Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
80
Jimmy Marin ↓ Jordhy Thompson 76'
- 31
- 20
- 87
- 22
- 8
- 14
- 18
- 35
- 1
- 10
Bench
- 13
- 99
-
6
Mohammad Ghorbani ↑ 76'
-
16
Jordhy Thompson ↑ 76'
-
7
Feyttullah Gurluk ↑ 60'
- 69
- 61
- 59
- 38
-
96
Aleksey Baranovsky ↑ 60'
- 71
Coach
Vladimir Sliskovic
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Eduard Spertsyan | 5 |
| Jhon Cordoba | 4 |
| Vladimir Sychevoi | 3 |
| Aleksey Ionov | 2 |
| Lucas Vera | 2 |
| Aleksei Sutormin | 1 |
| Kevin Pina | 1 |
| Dmitrii Skopintsev | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Krasnodar Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.14
FK Krasnodar xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.69
FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for:
FK Krasnodar to win 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Krasnodar win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.83
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
FK Krasnodar or Draw
89%
Draw or FK Orenburg
30%
FK Krasnodar or FK Orenburg
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Krasnodar win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
13.2%
1 – 0
12.1%
1 – 1
9.4%
3 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 0
7.5%
3 – 1
6.5%
4 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
3.6%
0 – 1
3.4%
2 – 2
3.1%
1 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — FK Krasnodar
| Handicap | FK Krasnodar covers | Push | FK Orenburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -2 | 24% | 21% | 54% |
| -1.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| -1 | 46% | 24% | 31% |
| -0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +0.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +1 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 2% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
FK Krasnodar keeps clean sheet
50%
✓
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

