Saturday , 14 November 2026

FK Krasnodar vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2024-25
Sun 3 Nov 2024 · 16:45 UTC Krasnodar Stadium 23,652 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kevin 38' 1–0
Danila Kozlov 73' 2–0
Eduard Spertsyan 79' 3–0
Jhon Cordoba 88' 4–0

Overview

Match Preview

FK Krasnodar vs FK Orenburg — RFPL at Krasnodar Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Nov FK Orenburg H 4–0 W
28 Oct PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara A 2–1 W
19 Oct FK Spartak Moskva A 3–0 W
06 Oct FK Khimki H 4–0 W
28 Sep FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg H 2–0 W
21 Sep FK Akron Tolyatti A 5–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Nov FK Krasnodar A 0–4 L
27 Oct FK Rubin Kazan H 1–2 L
20 Oct PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara H 2–2 D
05 Oct FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg A 0–1 L
27 Sep FK Nizhny Novgorod H 1–2 L
22 Sep FK Khimki A 0–0 D

Season Stats

FK Krasnodar FK Orenburg
#4 Position #10
26 Points 17
14 Played 14
7 / 5 / 2 W / D / L 3 / 8 / 3
26 Scored 14
18 Conceded 14
+8 GD +0
1.86 PPG 1.21
50% Win % 21%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
FK Krasnodar this season
44% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season

FK Krasnodar are 4th (26 pts). FK Orenburg are 10th (17 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Krasnodar
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
3/2
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FK Krasnodar
Jhon Cordoba 6 G 1 A
Joao Batxi 5 G 3 A
Christian 3 G 4 A
Nikita Krivtsov 3 G 1 A
Jubal 3 G
FK Orenburg
Jordhy Thompson 3 G 3 A
Gedeon Guzina 3 G 1 A
Ruslan Kul 3 G 1 A
Andrey Kasadzhikov 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' FK Krasnodar have kicked off against FK Orenburg. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' It is a cagey affair so far. FK Krasnodar in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past FK Orenburg's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 10' The referee has no hesitation. Diego Costa is booked for FK Krasnodar — card on 10.
  • 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 20' The travelling FK Orenburg supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 25' Georgii Zotov has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 30' Feyttullah Gurluk has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 351 appearances.
  • 35' FK Orenburg has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 38' What composure from Kevin! The Cape Verde Islands international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 43' Russia international Aleksandr Kovalenko has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 48' FK Krasnodar are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FK Orenburg backline.
  • 50' That is a card for FK Krasnodar. Aleksandr Chernikov will be fuming at that decision.
  • 55' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 60' Another substitution for FK Orenburg to replace Saeid Saharkhizan by Aleksey Baranovsky on 60 minute.
  • 65' FK Orenburg are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 66' It is a substitution in FK Krasnodar team. Aleksandr Chernikov is replaced by Kevin Castano on 66 minute.
  • 69' Danila Kozlov is ready to make an impact after coming on for Joao Victor at the 69 minute mark.
  • 73' GOAL! Danila Kozlov fires home to make it 2-0!
  • 76' The FK Orenburg bench stirs into life. Aleksandr Kovalenko is withdrawn and Mohammad Ghorbani gets his opportunity.
  • 79' Goal! Eduard Spertsyan scores his 45 goal in 275 matches.
  • 83' Moses Cobnan gets the nod from FK Krasnodar. He replaces Joao Batxi and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 88' Jhon Cordoba adds to his 6 season tally! FK Krasnodar lead 4-0 — and this changes everything.
  • Another three points for FK Krasnodar.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.14 FK Krasnodar xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.69 FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for: FK Krasnodar to win 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Krasnodar70% Draw20% FK Orenburg10%
Actual: FK Krasnodar win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.83
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

FK Krasnodar or Draw
89%
Draw or FK Orenburg
30%
FK Krasnodar or FK Orenburg
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FK Krasnodar49% Draw41% FK Orenburg10%
Actual: FK Krasnodar win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
13.2%
1 – 0
12.1%
1 – 1
9.4%
3 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 0
7.5%
3 – 1
6.5%
4 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
3.6%
0 – 1
3.4%
2 – 2
3.1%
1 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — FK Krasnodar

Handicap FK Krasnodar covers Push FK Orenburg covers
-2.5 24% — 76%
-2 24% 21% 54%
-1.5 46% — 54%
-1 46% 24% 31%
-0.5 69% — 31%
+0.5 90% — 10%
+1 90% 7% 3%
+1.5 97% — 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

FK Krasnodar keeps clean sheet
50% ✓
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.