Thursday , 2 July 2026

FK Krasnodar vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2024-25
Sun 3 Nov 2024 · 16:45 UTC Krasnodar Stadium 23,652 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kevin 38' 1–0
Danila Kozlov 73' 2–0
Eduard Spertsyan 79' 3–0
Jhon Cordoba 88' 4–0

Overview

Match Preview

FK Krasnodar vs FK OrenburgRFPL at Krasnodar Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Nov FK Orenburg H 4–0 W
28 Oct PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara A 2–1 W
19 Oct FK Spartak Moskva A 3–0 W
06 Oct FK Khimki H 4–0 W
28 Sep FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg H 2–0 W
21 Sep FK Akron Tolyatti A 5–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Nov FK Krasnodar A 0–4 L
27 Oct FK Rubin Kazan H 1–2 L
20 Oct PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara H 2–2 D
05 Oct FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg A 0–1 L
27 Sep FK Nizhny Novgorod H 1–2 L
22 Sep FK Khimki A 0–0 D

Season Stats

FK Krasnodar FK Orenburg
#2 Position #12
66 Points 29
30 Played 30
20 / 6 / 4 W / D / L 7 / 8 / 15
60 Scored 29
23 Conceded 44
+37 GD -15
2.20 PPG 0.97
67% Win % 23%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
FK Krasnodar this season
20% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season

FK Krasnodar are 2nd (66 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Krasnodar
0-15
1/
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/1
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Orenburg
0-15
/1
16-30
1/
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Krasnodar Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' A moment of madness from Diego Costa on 10 minutes earns him a card. FK Krasnodar will be frustrated.
  • 15' FK Krasnodar are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against FK Orenburg's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mohammad Ghorbani made 10 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 30' It is a cagey affair so far. FK Krasnodar in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past FK Orenburg's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 35' The travelling FK Orenburg supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 38' Brilliant from the ! Kevin makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 38.
  • 43' FK Orenburg are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 48' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Orenburg that had 342 games and scored 207 goals.
  • 50' Aleksandr Chernikov is having his name booked by the referee on 50.
  • 55' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 60' FK Orenburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Aleksey Baranovsky is hanging Saeid Saharkhizan on the field on 60 minute.
  • 65' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 66' It is a substitution in FK Krasnodar team. Aleksandr Chernikov is replaced by Kevin Castano on 66 minute.
  • 69' It is a substitution in FK Krasnodar team. Joao Victor is replaced by Danila Kozlov on 69 minute.
  • 73' A goal from the Russia international Danila Kozlov! He fires home on 73 to make it 2-0!
  • 76' Another change for FK Orenburg made on 76 minute. Aleksandr Kovalenko leaves to be changed by Mohammad Ghorbani.
  • 79' Against the run of play, Eduard Spertsyan has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 83' Moses Cobnan has so much to prove this time. He replaces Joao Batxi on 83 minute.
  • 88' Against the run of play, Jhon Cordoba has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • Another three points for FK Krasnodar.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.68 FK Krasnodar xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.52 FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for: FK Krasnodar to win 78% + Under — clean sheet likely 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Krasnodar78% Draw15% FK Orenburg7%
Actual: FK Krasnodar win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes38% 0% No62%
Avg goals/match: 3.2
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

FK Krasnodar or Draw
93%
Draw or FK Orenburg
22%
FK Krasnodar or FK Orenburg
85%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FK Krasnodar60% Draw34% FK Orenburg6%
Actual: FK Krasnodar win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
14.6%
3 – 0
12.7%
1 – 0
11%
4 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
7.4%
3 – 1
6.6%
1 – 1
6.2%
0 – 0
5.4%
5 – 0
4.6%
4 – 1
4.5%
5 – 1
2.5%
6 – 0
2.1%

Asian Handicap — FK Krasnodar

Handicap FK Krasnodar covers Push FK Orenburg covers
-2.5 39% 61%
-2 39% 23% 39%
-1.5 61% 39%
-1 61% 20% 18%
-0.5 82% 18%
+0.5 96% 4%
+1 96% 3% 1%
+1.5 99% 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

FK Krasnodar keeps clean sheet
60%
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
8%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.