FK Krasnodar vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Krasnodar vs FK Orenburg — RFPL at Krasnodar Stadium.
- FK Krasnodar 30 games · 66 pts (2026/27)
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov | FK Orenburg | H | 4–0 | W |
| 28 Oct | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | A | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | FK Spartak Moskva | A | 3–0 | W |
| 06 Oct | FK Khimki | H | 4–0 | W |
| 28 Sep | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | H | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Sep | FK Akron Tolyatti | A | 5–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov | FK Krasnodar | A | 0–4 | L |
| 27 Oct | FK Rubin Kazan | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Oct | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | H | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Oct | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | A | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Sep | FK Nizhny Novgorod | H | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Sep | FK Khimki | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| FK Krasnodar | FK Orenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #12 |
| 66 | Points | 29 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 20 / 6 / 4 | W / D / L | 7 / 8 / 15 |
| 60 | Scored | 29 |
| 23 | Conceded | 44 |
| +37 | GD | -15 |
| 2.20 | PPG | 0.97 |
| 67% | Win % | 23% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
FK Krasnodar are 2nd (66 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Krasnodar Stadium as FK Krasnodar face off against FK Orenburg in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FK Krasnodar winning 50% of all matches.
- 10' Poor challenge from Diego Costa. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 15' It looks like no one’s ball. FK Krasnodar is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 20' Lucas Olaza is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FK Orenburg so far.
- 25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
- 30' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 35' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Bogdan Moskvichev made 342 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 38' What composure from Kevin! The Cape Verde Islands international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 43' FK Krasnodar are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against FK Orenburg's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 48' Supporters expect more eagerness from Danila Prokhin, as he is very good at scoring at Krasnodar Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 50' Aleksandr Chernikov has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 50.
- 55' FK Krasnodar currently sit 2 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 60' Aleksey Baranovsky has so much to prove this time. He replaces Saeid Saharkhizan on 60 minute.
- 65' Jhon Cordoba is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FK Krasnodar tonight.
- 66' The supporters are chanting for Kevin Castano. He replaces Aleksandr Chernikov on 66 minute.
- 69' The crowd applauds Joao Victor as he leaves the pitch. Danila Kozlov steps in for FK Krasnodar.
- 73' Danila Kozlov is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the .
- 76' The crowd applauds Aleksandr Kovalenko as he leaves the pitch. Mohammad Ghorbani steps in for FK Orenburg.
- 79' Magnificent from Eduard Spertsyan! That is 45 goals in 266 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 83' Moses Cobnan is ready to make an impact after coming on for Joao Batxi at the 83 minute mark.
- 88' Jhon Cordoba is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 4 goals this season for the .
- Full Time. FK Krasnodar beats FK Orenburg
Lineups
FK Krasnodar Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 9
- 3
- 15
-
7
Joao Victor ↓ Danila Kozlov 69'
- 53
- 1
- 10
- 4
- 98
-
11
Joao Batxi ↓ Moses Cobnan 83'
- 6
Bench
- 19
- 31
-
20
Giovanni Gonzalez ↑ 69'
-
88
Nikita Krivtsov ↑ 83'
- 40
- 96
-
8
Danila Kozlov ↑ 69'
-
90
Moses Cobnan ↑ 83'
- 13
- 33
-
5
Kevin Castano ↑ 66'
- 30
Coach
Murad Musaev
FK Orenburg Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
80
Jimmy Marin ↓ Jordhy Thompson 76'
- 31
- 20
- 87
- 22
- 8
- 14
- 18
- 35
- 1
- 10
Bench
- 13
- 99
-
6
Mohammad Ghorbani ↑ 76'
-
16
Jordhy Thompson ↑ 76'
-
7
Feyttullah Gurluk ↑ 60'
- 69
- 61
- 59
- 38
-
96
Aleksey Baranovsky ↑ 60'
- 71
Coach
Vladimir Sliskovic
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Eduard Spertsyan | 5 |
| Jhon Cordoba | 4 |
| Vladimir Sychevoi | 3 |
| Aleksey Ionov | 2 |
| Lucas Vera | 2 |
| Stepan Oganesyan | 1 |
| Ari | 1 |
| Ilzat Akhmetov | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Krasnodar Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.68
FK Krasnodar xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.52
FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for:
FK Krasnodar to win 78% + Under — clean sheet likely 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Krasnodar win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.2
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
FK Krasnodar or Draw
93%
Draw or FK Orenburg
22%
FK Krasnodar or FK Orenburg
85%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Krasnodar win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
14.6%
3 – 0
12.7%
1 – 0
11%
4 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
7.4%
3 – 1
6.6%
1 – 1
6.2%
0 – 0
5.4%
5 – 0
4.6%
4 – 1
4.5%
5 – 1
2.5%
6 – 0
2.1%
Asian Handicap — FK Krasnodar
| Handicap | FK Krasnodar covers | Push | FK Orenburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| -2 | 39% | 23% | 39% |
| -1.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| -1 | 61% | 20% | 18% |
| -0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +0.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +1 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +1.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
| +2 | 99% | 1% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
FK Krasnodar keeps clean sheet
60%
✓
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.