FK Krasnodar vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Krasnodar vs FK Orenburg — RFPL at Krasnodar Stadium.
- FK Krasnodar 30 games · 66 pts (2025/26)
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov | FK Orenburg | H | 4–0 | W |
| 28 Oct | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | A | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | FK Spartak Moskva | A | 3–0 | W |
| 06 Oct | FK Khimki | H | 4–0 | W |
| 28 Sep | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | H | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Sep | FK Akron Tolyatti | A | 5–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov | FK Krasnodar | A | 0–4 | L |
| 27 Oct | FK Rubin Kazan | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Oct | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | H | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Oct | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | A | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Sep | FK Nizhny Novgorod | H | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Sep | FK Khimki | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| FK Krasnodar | FK Orenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #12 |
| 66 | Points | 29 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 20 / 6 / 4 | W / D / L | 7 / 8 / 15 |
| 60 | Scored | 29 |
| 23 | Conceded | 44 |
| +37 | GD | -15 |
| 2.20 | PPG | 0.97 |
| 67% | Win % | 23% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
FK Krasnodar this season
FK Krasnodar this season
20%
Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
FK Orenburg this season
FK Krasnodar are 2nd (66 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Krasnodar
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/1
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Krasnodar Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 10' A moment of madness from Diego Costa on 10 minutes earns him a card. FK Krasnodar will be frustrated.
- 15' FK Krasnodar are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against FK Orenburg's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mohammad Ghorbani made 10 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 30' It is a cagey affair so far. FK Krasnodar in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past FK Orenburg's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 35' The travelling FK Orenburg supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 38' Brilliant from the ! Kevin makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 38.
- 43' FK Orenburg are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 48' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Orenburg that had 342 games and scored 207 goals.
- 50' Aleksandr Chernikov is having his name booked by the referee on 50.
- 55' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 60' FK Orenburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Aleksey Baranovsky is hanging Saeid Saharkhizan on the field on 60 minute.
- 65' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 66' It is a substitution in FK Krasnodar team. Aleksandr Chernikov is replaced by Kevin Castano on 66 minute.
- 69' It is a substitution in FK Krasnodar team. Joao Victor is replaced by Danila Kozlov on 69 minute.
- 73' A goal from the Russia international Danila Kozlov! He fires home on 73 to make it 2-0!
- 76' Another change for FK Orenburg made on 76 minute. Aleksandr Kovalenko leaves to be changed by Mohammad Ghorbani.
- 79' Against the run of play, Eduard Spertsyan has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 83' Moses Cobnan has so much to prove this time. He replaces Joao Batxi on 83 minute.
- 88' Against the run of play, Jhon Cordoba has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- Another three points for FK Krasnodar.
Lineups
FK Krasnodar Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 9
- 3
- 15
-
7
Joao Victor ↓ Danila Kozlov 69'
- 53
- 1
- 10
- 4
- 98
-
11
Joao Batxi ↓ Moses Cobnan 83'
- 6
Bench
- 19
- 31
-
20
Giovanni Gonzalez ↑ 69'
-
88
Nikita Krivtsov ↑ 83'
- 40
- 96
-
8
Danila Kozlov ↑ 69'
-
90
Moses Cobnan ↑ 83'
- 13
- 33
-
5
Kevin Castano ↑ 66'
- 30
Coach
Murad Musaev
FK Orenburg Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
80
Jimmy Marin ↓ Jordhy Thompson 76'
- 31
- 20
- 87
- 22
- 8
- 14
- 18
- 35
- 1
- 10
Bench
- 13
- 99
-
6
Mohammad Ghorbani ↑ 76'
-
16
Jordhy Thompson ↑ 76'
-
7
Feyttullah Gurluk ↑ 60'
- 69
- 61
- 59
- 38
-
96
Aleksey Baranovsky ↑ 60'
- 71
Coach
Vladimir Sliskovic
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Eduard Spertsyan | 5 |
| Jhon Cordoba | 4 |
| Vladimir Sychevoi | 3 |
| Aleksey Ionov | 2 |
| Lucas Vera | 2 |
| Aleksei Sutormin | 1 |
| Kevin Pina | 1 |
| Dmitrii Skopintsev | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Krasnodar Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.68
FK Krasnodar xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.52
FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for:
FK Krasnodar to win 78% + Under — clean sheet likely 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Krasnodar win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.2
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
FK Krasnodar or Draw
93%
Draw or FK Orenburg
22%
FK Krasnodar or FK Orenburg
85%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Krasnodar win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
14.6%
3 – 0
12.7%
1 – 0
11%
4 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
7.4%
3 – 1
6.6%
1 – 1
6.2%
0 – 0
5.4%
5 – 0
4.6%
4 – 1
4.5%
5 – 1
2.5%
6 – 0
2.1%
Asian Handicap — FK Krasnodar
| Handicap | FK Krasnodar covers | Push | FK Orenburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| -2 | 39% | 23% | 39% |
| -1.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| -1 | 61% | 20% | 18% |
| -0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +0.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +1 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +1.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
| +2 | 99% | 1% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
FK Krasnodar keeps clean sheet
60%
✓
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

