Thursday , 2 July 2026

FK Orenburg vs FK Lokomotiv Moskva, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2025-26
Sat 18 Apr 2026 · 09:00 UTC Saturn 6,240 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 70' Aleksey Batrakov

Overview

Match Preview

FK Orenburg vs FK Lokomotiv MoskvaRFPL at Saturn.

Match Details

  • Referee Artem Chistyakov
  • Assistant 1 Varantso Petrosyan (Russia)
  • Assistant 2 Aleksey Shiryaev
3 games this season 🟨 2.3/game 2.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 0–1 L
11 Apr FK Rubin Kazan A 0–0 D
04 Apr FK Dinamo Moskva A 3–3 D
22 Mar FK Spartak Moskva H 0–2 L
13 Mar FK Dinamo Makhachkala A 0–1 L
08 Mar FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr FK Orenburg A 1–0 W
12 Apr FK Dinamo Makhachkala H 1–1 D
05 Apr FK Spartak Moskva A 1–2 L
22 Mar FK Akron Tolyatti H 5–1 W
15 Mar FK Rubin Kazan A 0–3 L
09 Mar RFK Akhmat Grozny H 2–2 D

Season Stats

FK Orenburg FK Lokomotiv Moskva
#12 Position #3
29 Points 53
30 Played 30
7 / 8 / 15 W / D / L 14 / 11 / 5
29 Scored 54
44 Conceded 39
-15 GD +15
0.97 PPG 1.77
23% Win % 47%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
23% Clean Sheets
FK Lokomotiv Moskva this season

FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). FK Lokomotiv Moskva are 3rd (53 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Orenburg
0-15
/1
16-30
1/
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
0-15
1/
16-30
1/1
31-45
/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for FK Orenburg to score. At the same time, FK Lokomotiv Moskva does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' It looks like no one’s ball. FK Orenburg is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 15' The travelling FK Lokomotiv Moskva supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 20' FK Lokomotiv Moskva is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 30' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Daniil Chevardin suffering a number of foals already.
  • 35' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 40' FK Lokomotiv Moskva looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Aleksey Batrakov scoring 1 goals.
  • 42' The referee calls foul for Gedeon Guzina. He receives a card.
  • 43' Artem Karpukas was booked on 43.
  • 48' It’s high time Mikhail Galaktionov made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 53' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 54' Lucas Vera is replacing Artem Karpukas for the FK Lokomotiv Moskva side.
  • 59' FK Orenburg seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 60' A meaty challenge results in booking for Zelimkhan Bakaev on 60.
  • 61' The FK Orenburg manager makes a substitution. Gedeon Guzina departs to be replaced by Alexandre Jesus.
  • 64' The whistle greets Zelimkhan Bakaev as he departs to be replaced by Daniil Chevardin.
  • 69' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 70' What a strike from Aleksey Batrakov! The score is 0-1.
  • 71' The FK Orenburg manager makes a substitution. Du Queiroz departs to be replaced by Ruslan Kul.
  • 72' FK Orenburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Dmitrii Rybchinskii is hanging Damian Puebla on the field on 72 minute.
  • 77' Jhon Palacios needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 79' Time for substitution for FK Orenburg. Fahd Moufi is replaced by Stanislav Poroykov.
  • 80' Time for substitution for FK Orenburg. Evgeniy Bolotov is replaced by Renat Golybin.
  • 85' Supporters expect more eagerness from Zelimkhan Bakaev, as he is very good at scoring at Saturn with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 89' Jhon Palacios was booked on 89.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Bogdan Ovsyannikov.
  • Another three points for FK Lokomotiv Moskva.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.98 FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.69 FK Lokomotiv Moskva xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Orenburg24% Draw27% FK Lokomotiv Moskva49%
Actual: FK Lokomotiv Moskva win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

FK Orenburg or Draw
51%
Draw or FK Lokomotiv Moskva
76%
FK Orenburg or FK Lokomotiv Moskva
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FK Orenburg17% Draw46% FK Lokomotiv Moskva37%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
9.7%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 0
8.9%
1 – 0
5.8%
2 – 1
5.4%
0 – 3
5.3%
1 – 3
5.3%
2 – 2
4.6%
2 – 0
3.3%
2 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg

Handicap FK Orenburg covers Push FK Lokomotiv Moskva covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 13% 79%
-0.5 21% 79%
+0.5 48% 52%
+1 48% 23% 29%
+1.5 71% 29%
+2 71% 16% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
19%
FK Lokomotiv Moskva keeps clean sheet
38%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.