FK Orenburg vs FK Lokomotiv Moskva, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Orenburg vs FK Lokomotiv Moskva — RFPL at Saturn.
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
- FK Lokomotiv Moskva 30 games · 53 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Artem Chistyakov
- Assistant 1 Varantso Petrosyan (Russia)
- Assistant 2 Aleksey Shiryaev
3 games this season
🟨 2.3/game
⚽ 2.7 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | H | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Apr | FK Rubin Kazan | A | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Apr | FK Dinamo Moskva | A | 3–3 | D |
| 22 Mar | FK Spartak Moskva | H | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Mar | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | A | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Mar | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr | FK Orenburg | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | H | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Apr | FK Spartak Moskva | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Mar | FK Akron Tolyatti | H | 5–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | FK Rubin Kazan | A | 0–3 | L |
| 09 Mar | RFK Akhmat Grozny | H | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| FK Orenburg | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #3 |
| 29 | Points | 53 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 7 / 8 / 15 | W / D / L | 14 / 11 / 5 |
| 29 | Scored | 54 |
| 44 | Conceded | 39 |
| -15 | GD | +15 |
| 0.97 | PPG | 1.77 |
| 23% | Win % | 47% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
42%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
FK Orenburg this season
23%
Clean Sheets
FK Lokomotiv Moskva this season
FK Lokomotiv Moskva this season
FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). FK Lokomotiv Moskva are 3rd (53 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for FK Orenburg to score. At the same time, FK Lokomotiv Moskva does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 10' It looks like no one’s ball. FK Orenburg is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 15' The travelling FK Lokomotiv Moskva supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 20' FK Lokomotiv Moskva is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 30' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Daniil Chevardin suffering a number of foals already.
- 35' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 40' FK Lokomotiv Moskva looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Aleksey Batrakov scoring 1 goals.
- 42' The referee calls foul for Gedeon Guzina. He receives a card.
- 43' Artem Karpukas was booked on 43.
- 48' It’s high time Mikhail Galaktionov made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 53' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 54' Lucas Vera is replacing Artem Karpukas for the FK Lokomotiv Moskva side.
- 59' FK Orenburg seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 60' A meaty challenge results in booking for Zelimkhan Bakaev on 60.
- 61' The FK Orenburg manager makes a substitution. Gedeon Guzina departs to be replaced by Alexandre Jesus.
- 64' The whistle greets Zelimkhan Bakaev as he departs to be replaced by Daniil Chevardin.
- 69' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 70' What a strike from Aleksey Batrakov! The score is 0-1.
- 71' The FK Orenburg manager makes a substitution. Du Queiroz departs to be replaced by Ruslan Kul.
- 72' FK Orenburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Dmitrii Rybchinskii is hanging Damian Puebla on the field on 72 minute.
- 77' Jhon Palacios needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 79' Time for substitution for FK Orenburg. Fahd Moufi is replaced by Stanislav Poroykov.
- 80' Time for substitution for FK Orenburg. Evgeniy Bolotov is replaced by Renat Golybin.
- 85' Supporters expect more eagerness from Zelimkhan Bakaev, as he is very good at scoring at Saturn with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 89' Jhon Palacios was booked on 89.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Bogdan Ovsyannikov.
- Another three points for FK Lokomotiv Moskva.
Lineups
FK Orenburg Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
18
Fahd Moufi ↓ Stanislav Poroykov 79'
- 1
-
30
Gedeon Guzina ↓ Alexandre Jesus 61'
- 4
-
37
Du Queiroz ↓ Ruslan Kul 71'
- 16
- 6
- 8
- 7
- 32
-
57
Evgeniy Bolotov ↓ Renat Golybin 80'
Bench
- 88
-
20
Dmitrii Rybchinskii ↑ 72'
- 3
-
19
Alexandre Jesus ↑ 61'
- 59
- 33
-
27
Renat Golybin ↑ 80'
- 38
-
2
Stanislav Poroykov ↑ 79'
- 26
- 29
-
78
Ruslan Kul ↑ 71'
FK Lokomotiv Moskva Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 7
- 23
- 19
- 10
- 3
- 45
- 25
- 1
-
93
Artem Karpukas ↓ Lucas Vera 54'
- 85
- 83
Bench
- 5
- 22
-
32
Lucas Vera ↑ 54'
- 59
- 94
- 14
- 88
- 90
- 16
-
74
Daniil Chevardin ↑ 64'
- 99
Coach
Mikhail Galaktionov
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ivan Ignatjev | 5 |
| Aleksey Batrakov | 4 |
| Maksim Glushenkov | 3 |
| Gyrano Kerk | 2 |
| Jefferson Farfan | 2 |
| Saeid Saharkhizan | 2 |
| Artem Kulishev | 1 |
| Filip Rogic | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Orenburg Form
FK Lokomotiv Moskva Form
2026-04-18
FK Orenburg
0–1
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
W
2026-04-12
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
1–1
FK Dinamo Makhachkala
D
2026-04-05
FK Spartak Moskva
2–1
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
L
2026-03-22
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
5–1
FK Akron Tolyatti
W
2026-03-15
FK Rubin Kazan
3–0
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
L
2026-03-09
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
2–2
RFK Akhmat Grozny
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.98
FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.69
FK Lokomotiv Moskva xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Lokomotiv Moskva win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
FK Orenburg or Draw
51%
Draw or FK Lokomotiv Moskva
76%
FK Orenburg or FK Lokomotiv Moskva
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
9.7%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 0
8.9%
1 – 0
5.8%
2 – 1
5.4%
0 – 3
5.3%
1 – 3
5.3%
2 – 2
4.6%
2 – 0
3.3%
2 – 3
2.7%
Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg
| Handicap | FK Orenburg covers | Push | FK Lokomotiv Moskva covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 13% | 79% |
| -0.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| +0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +1 | 48% | 23% | 29% |
| +1.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +2 | 71% | 16% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
FK Lokomotiv Moskva keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

