Thursday , 2 July 2026

FK Orenburg vs FK Krasnodar, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2024-25
Sat 17 May 2025 · 11:00 UTC Stadion Gazovik 5,674 HT 45' · FT 45'
Brian Mansilla 7' 1–0
1–1 29' Jhon Cordoba
1–2 51' Lucas Olaza

Overview

Match Preview

FK Orenburg vs FK KrasnodarRFPL at Stadion Gazovik.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May FK Krasnodar H 1–2 L
10 May FK Khimki H 1–1 D
03 May FK Lokomotiv Moskva A 1–1 D
27 Apr PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara A 0–2 L
19 Apr FK Dinamo Makhachkala H 2–1 W
12 Apr PFC CSKA Moskva H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May FK Orenburg A 2–1 W
10 May PFC CSKA Moskva A 0–1 L
03 May FK Rubin Kazan H 2–1 W
25 Apr FK Dinamo Makhachkala A 3–2 W
19 Apr RFK Akhmat Grozny H 3–1 W
13 Apr FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg A 1–4 L

Season Stats

FK Orenburg FK Krasnodar
#12 Position #2
29 Points 66
30 Played 30
7 / 8 / 15 W / D / L 20 / 6 / 4
29 Scored 60
44 Conceded 23
-15 GD +37
0.97 PPG 2.20
23% Win % 67%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
43% Clean Sheets
FK Krasnodar this season

FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). FK Krasnodar are 2nd (66 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Orenburg
0-15
/1
16-30
1/
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Krasnodar
0-15
1/
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/1
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against FK Orenburg and FK Krasnodar has kicked off!
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 7' Brian Mansilla makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and FK Orenburg are in front.
  • 9' Aleksey Tataev is having his name booked by the referee on 9.
  • 14' FK Krasnodar seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 19' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 24' The travelling FK Krasnodar supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 29' A stunning finish from Jhon Cordoba — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 34' Russia international Sergey Petrov has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 39' The home supporters are growing impatient. FK Orenburg must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 44' FK Orenburg currently sit 15 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 45' The referee shows FK Orenburg player a card on 45.
  • 46' Jimmy Marin is ready to make an impact after coming on for Feyttullah Gurluk at the 46 minute mark.
  • 51' A stunning finish from Lucas Olaza — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 56' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 57' Controversy at the stadium! Danila Khotulev argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 62' A change in the FK Krasnodar ranks — Joao Batxi exits the field as Olakunle Olusegun enters on 62.
  • 67' Nikolai Sysuev has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 71' Time for substitution for FK Orenburg. Georgii Zotov is replaced by Kazimcan Karatas.
  • 76' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Krasnodar that had 266 games and scored 423 goals.
  • 79' FK Orenburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Aleksandr Kovalenko is hanging Dmitrii Rybchinskii on the field on 79 minute.
  • 80' Danila Prokhin has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 80.
  • 80' Another change for FK Krasnodar made on 80 minute. Joao Victor leaves to be changed by Moses Cobnan.
  • 85' The referee calls foul for Jhon Cordoba. He receives a card.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Moses Cobnan argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 90' The FK Krasnodar bench stirs into life. Eduard Spertsyan is withdrawn and Danila Kozlov gets his opportunity.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from FK Krasnodar to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.05 FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.03 FK Krasnodar xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 58% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Orenburg21% Draw24% FK Krasnodar55%
Actual: FK Krasnodar win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 3.08
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

FK Orenburg or Draw
46%
Draw or FK Krasnodar
79%
FK Orenburg or FK Krasnodar
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FK Orenburg16% Draw42% FK Krasnodar42%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.6%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
9.4%
0 – 1
8.7%
1 – 3
6.5%
0 – 0
6.2%
0 – 3
6.2%
2 – 2
5%
2 – 1
5%
1 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
3.5%
1 – 4
3.3%

Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg

Handicap FK Orenburg covers Push FK Krasnodar covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 11% 82%
-0.5 18% 82%
+0.5 41% 59%
+1 41% 23% 36%
+1.5 64% 36%
+2 64% 18% 18%
+2.5 82% 18%

Clean Sheet

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
14%
FK Krasnodar keeps clean sheet
36%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.