Saturday , 14 November 2026

FK Orenburg vs FK Krasnodar, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2024-25
Sat 17 May 2025 · 11:00 UTC Stadion Gazovik 5,674 HT 45' · FT 45'
Brian Mansilla 7' 1–0
1–1 29' Jhon Cordoba
1–2 51' Lucas Olaza

Overview

Match Preview

FK Orenburg vs FK Krasnodar — RFPL at Stadion Gazovik.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May FK Krasnodar H 1–2 L
10 May FK Khimki H 1–1 D
03 May FK Lokomotiv Moskva A 1–1 D
27 Apr PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara A 0–2 L
19 Apr FK Dinamo Makhachkala H 2–1 W
12 Apr PFC CSKA Moskva H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May FK Orenburg A 2–1 W
10 May PFC CSKA Moskva A 0–1 L
03 May FK Rubin Kazan H 2–1 W
25 Apr FK Dinamo Makhachkala A 3–2 W
19 Apr RFK Akhmat Grozny H 3–1 W
13 Apr FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg A 1–4 L

Season Stats

FK Orenburg FK Krasnodar
#10 Position #4
17 Points 26
14 Played 14
3 / 8 / 3 W / D / L 7 / 5 / 2
14 Scored 26
14 Conceded 18
+0 GD +8
1.21 PPG 1.86
21% Win % 50%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
44% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
22% Clean Sheets
FK Krasnodar this season

FK Orenburg are 10th (17 pts). FK Krasnodar are 4th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Orenburg
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Krasnodar
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
3/2
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FK Orenburg
Jordhy Thompson 3 G 3 A
Gedeon Guzina 3 G 1 A
Ruslan Kul 3 G 1 A
Andrey Kasadzhikov 1 G 1 A
FK Krasnodar
Jhon Cordoba 6 G 1 A
Joao Batxi 5 G 3 A
Christian 3 G 4 A
Nikita Krivtsov 3 G 1 A
Jubal 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! FK Orenburg welcome FK Krasnodar for this crunch clash at Stadion Gazovik.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Maksim Syshchenko made 351 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 7' What a moment for Brian Mansilla! That strike on 7 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 9' Aleksey Tataev is having his name booked by the referee on 9.
  • 14' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 14 minutes.
  • 19' FK Krasnodar started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 19.
  • 24' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 29' Brilliant from the ! Jhon Cordoba makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 29.
  • 34' The energy levels are beginning to show. Vladimir Sliskovic might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 39' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with FK Krasnodar winning 0% of all matches.
  • 44' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FK Krasnodar needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 45' Georgii Zotov is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
  • 46' The FK Orenburg manager makes a substitution. Feyttullah Gurluk departs to be replaced by Jimmy Marin.
  • 51' Magnificent from Lucas Olaza! That is 9 goals in 210 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 56' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 57' Danila Khotulev is having his name booked by the referee on 57.
  • 62' FK Krasnodar make a change. Joao Batxi trudges off to be replaced by Olakunle Olusegun on 62 minutes.
  • 67' It looks surprising FK Krasnodar does not make any changes. Saeid Saharkhizan has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 71' FK Orenburg make a change. Georgii Zotov trudges off to be replaced by Kazimcan Karatas on 71 minutes.
  • 76' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Aleksey Tataev suffering a number of foals already.
  • 79' Aleksandr Kovalenko is replacing Dmitrii Rybchinskii for the FK Orenburg side.
  • 80' The referee has no hesitation. Danila Prokhin is booked for FK Orenburg — card on 80.
  • 80' It is a substitution in FK Krasnodar team. Joao Victor is replaced by Moses Cobnan on 80 minute.
  • 85' Jhon Cordoba picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Moses Cobnan.
  • 90' A change in the FK Krasnodar ranks — Eduard Spertsyan exits the field as Danila Kozlov enters on 90.
  • 1-2 the final result. FK Orenburg will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.26 FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.57 FK Krasnodar xG
I would bet for: FK Orenburg or FK Krasnodar 73% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Orenburg29% Draw27% FK Krasnodar44%
Actual: FK Krasnodar win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.83
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

FK Orenburg or Draw
56%
Draw or FK Krasnodar
71%
FK Orenburg or FK Krasnodar
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FK Orenburg23% Draw46% FK Krasnodar31%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
8.3%
0 – 0
7.7%
0 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
7.1%
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
5.6%
1 – 3
4.6%
2 – 0
4.6%
0 – 3
3.7%
2 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg

Handicap FK Orenburg covers Push FK Krasnodar covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 16% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 57% — 43%
+1 57% 21% 22%
+1.5 78% — 22%
+2 78% 13% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
22% ✓
FK Krasnodar keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.