FK Orenburg vs FK Krasnodar, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Orenburg vs FK Krasnodar — RFPL at Stadion Gazovik.
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
- FK Krasnodar 30 games · 66 pts (2025/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | FK Krasnodar | H | 1–2 | L |
| 10 May | FK Khimki | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 May | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | A | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Apr | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | A | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Apr | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | H | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Apr | PFC CSKA Moskva | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | FK Orenburg | A | 2–1 | W |
| 10 May | PFC CSKA Moskva | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 May | FK Rubin Kazan | H | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Apr | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | A | 3–2 | W |
| 19 Apr | RFK Akhmat Grozny | H | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Apr | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | A | 1–4 | L |
Season Stats
| FK Orenburg | FK Krasnodar | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #2 |
| 29 | Points | 66 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 7 / 8 / 15 | W / D / L | 20 / 6 / 4 |
| 29 | Scored | 60 |
| 44 | Conceded | 23 |
| -15 | GD | +37 |
| 0.97 | PPG | 2.20 |
| 23% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
FK Orenburg this season
43%
Clean Sheets
FK Krasnodar this season
FK Krasnodar this season
FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). FK Krasnodar are 2nd (66 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Krasnodar
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/1
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against FK Orenburg and FK Krasnodar has kicked off!
- 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 7' Brian Mansilla makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and FK Orenburg are in front.
- 9' Aleksey Tataev is having his name booked by the referee on 9.
- 14' FK Krasnodar seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 19' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 24' The travelling FK Krasnodar supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 29' A stunning finish from Jhon Cordoba — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 34' Russia international Sergey Petrov has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 39' The home supporters are growing impatient. FK Orenburg must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 44' FK Orenburg currently sit 15 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 45' The referee shows FK Orenburg player a card on 45.
- 46' Jimmy Marin is ready to make an impact after coming on for Feyttullah Gurluk at the 46 minute mark.
- 51' A stunning finish from Lucas Olaza — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 56' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 57' Controversy at the stadium! Danila Khotulev argues furiously but the card stands.
- 62' A change in the FK Krasnodar ranks — Joao Batxi exits the field as Olakunle Olusegun enters on 62.
- 67' Nikolai Sysuev has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 71' Time for substitution for FK Orenburg. Georgii Zotov is replaced by Kazimcan Karatas.
- 76' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Krasnodar that had 266 games and scored 423 goals.
- 79' FK Orenburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Aleksandr Kovalenko is hanging Dmitrii Rybchinskii on the field on 79 minute.
- 80' Danila Prokhin has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 80.
- 80' Another change for FK Krasnodar made on 80 minute. Joao Victor leaves to be changed by Moses Cobnan.
- 85' The referee calls foul for Jhon Cordoba. He receives a card.
- 90' Controversy at the stadium! Moses Cobnan argues furiously but the card stands.
- 90' The FK Krasnodar bench stirs into life. Eduard Spertsyan is withdrawn and Danila Kozlov gets his opportunity.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from FK Krasnodar to claim maximum points.
Lineups
FK Orenburg Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 31
- 20
- 99
- 5
- 87
- 8
- 9
-
7
Feyttullah Gurluk ↓ Jimmy Marin 46'
- 81
- 59
- 10
Bench
-
80
Jimmy Marin ↑ 46'
- 11
-
4
Danila Khotulev ↑ 46'
- 14
-
18
Aleksandr Kovalenko ↑ 79'
-
35
Kazimcan Karatas ↑ 71'
- 19
- 96
-
90
Maksim Savelyev ↑ 62'
- 50
- 85
- 77
Coach
Vladimir Sliskovic
FK Krasnodar Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 9
- 3
- 15
-
7
Joao Victor ↓ Moses Cobnan 80'
- 53
- 20
- 1
- 10
- 4
-
11
Joao Batxi ↓ Olakunle Olusegun 62'
-
6
Kevin ↓ Nikita Krivtsov 46'
Bench
- 19
- 31
-
98
Sergey Petrov ↑ 46'
- 18
-
88
Nikita Krivtsov ↑ 46'
-
40
Olakunle Olusegun ↑ 62'
-
8
Danila Kozlov ↑ 90'
-
90
Moses Cobnan ↑ 80'
- 13
- 58
- 95
Coach
Murad Musaev
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Eduard Spertsyan | 5 |
| Jhon Cordoba | 4 |
| Vladimir Sychevoi | 3 |
| Aleksey Ionov | 2 |
| Lucas Vera | 2 |
| Ari | 1 |
| Ilzat Akhmetov | 1 |
| Dorde Despotovic | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Orenburg Form
FK Krasnodar Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.05
FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.03
FK Krasnodar xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 58% + Both teams to score 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Krasnodar win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.08
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
FK Orenburg or Draw
46%
Draw or FK Krasnodar
79%
FK Orenburg or FK Krasnodar
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.6%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
9.4%
0 – 1
8.7%
1 – 3
6.5%
0 – 0
6.2%
0 – 3
6.2%
2 – 2
5%
2 – 1
5%
1 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
3.5%
1 – 4
3.3%
Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg
| Handicap | FK Orenburg covers | Push | FK Krasnodar covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 11% | 82% |
| -0.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| +0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +1 | 41% | 23% | 36% |
| +1.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +2 | 64% | 18% | 18% |
| +2.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
Clean Sheet
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
FK Krasnodar keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

