FK Orenburg vs FK Krasnodar, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2024-25

FK Orenburg

1 – 2

Full Time

FK Krasnodar

Sat 17 May 2025 · 11:00 UTC Stadion Gazovik 5,674 HT 45' · FT 45'

Brian Mansilla 7' 1–0

1–1 29' Jhon Cordoba

1–2 51' Lucas Olaza

Aleksey Tataev 9' Y

Georgii Zotov 45' Y

Danila Khotulev 57' Y

Danila Prokhin 80' Y

Y 85' Jhon Cordoba

Nikolai Sysuev 85' Y

Y 90' Moses Cobnan

Y 90' Danila Kozlov

Overview

Match Preview

FK Orenburg vs FK Krasnodar — RFPL at Stadion Gazovik.

FK Orenburg 9 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
FK Krasnodar 9 games · 21 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Krasnodar	9	21
2	FK Dinamo Moskva	9	19
3	PFC CSKA Moskva	9	19
4	FK Spartak Moskva	9	19
5	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	9	18
6	FK Rubin Kazan	9	12
7	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	9	12
8	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	9	11
9	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	9	11
10	RFK Akhmat Grozny	9	10
11	FK Orenburg	9	9
12	FK Akron Tolyatti	9	8
13	FK Rostov	9	8
14	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	9	7
15	FK Rodina Moskva	9	5
16	FK Fakel Voronezh	9	3

Head-to-Head

FK Orenburg 12 games · Avg 2.7 goals FK Krasnodar

Last 5 meetings

2025-05-17 FK Orenburg 1–2 FK Krasnodar 2024-11-03 FK Krasnodar 4–0 FK Orenburg 2023-12-03 FK Krasnodar 2–1 FK Orenburg 2023-08-12 FK Orenburg 0–2 FK Krasnodar 2022-11-13 FK Orenburg 5–1 FK Krasnodar

Recent Form

FK Orenburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 May	FK Krasnodar	H	1–2	L
10 May	FK Khimki	H	1–1	D
03 May	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	A	1–1	D
27 Apr	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	A	0–2	L
19 Apr	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	H	2–1	W
12 Apr	PFC CSKA Moskva	H	0–2	L

FK Krasnodar

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 May	FK Orenburg	A	2–1	W
10 May	PFC CSKA Moskva	A	0–1	L
03 May	FK Rubin Kazan	H	2–1	W
25 Apr	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	A	3–2	W
19 Apr	RFK Akhmat Grozny	H	3–1	W
13 Apr	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	A	1–4	L

Season Stats

FK Orenburg		FK Krasnodar
#11	Position	#1
9	Points	21
9	Played	9
1 / 6 / 2	W / D / L	6 / 3 / 0
7	Scored	15
10	Conceded	7
-3	GD	+8
1.00	PPG	2.33
11%	Win %	67%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

25% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season

50% Clean Sheets
FK Krasnodar this season

FK Orenburg are 11th (9 pts). FK Krasnodar are 1st (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Orenburg

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

1/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

1/1

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FK Krasnodar

0-15

1/1

16-30

2/–

31-45

–/–

46-60

–/1

61-75

–/–

76+

2/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FK Orenburg

Ruslan Kul	3 G
Andrey Kasadzhikov	1 G	1 A

FK Krasnodar

Nikita Krivtsov	3 G	1 A
Jubal	3 G
Christian	2 G	2 A
Juan Boselli	2 G	1 A
Joao Batxi	2 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! FK Orenburg welcome FK Krasnodar for this crunch clash at Stadion Gazovik.
5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
7' Brian Mansilla adds to his 0 season tally! FK Orenburg lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
9' FK Orenburg player sees a card in front of him.
14' Moses Cobnan, a Nigeria , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
19' The home supporters are growing impatient. FK Orenburg must find a spark to ignite this game.
24' Joao Victor is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FK Orenburg so far.
29' GOAL! Jhon Cordoba fires home to make it 1-1!
34' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 34 minutes.
39' Aleksandr Chernikov needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
44' It’s high time Vladimir Sliskovic made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
45' The referee shows FK Orenburg player a card on 45.
46' FK Orenburg ring the changes. Feyttullah Gurluk has done his job and it is now time for Jimmy Marin to step up.
51' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Lucas Olaza makes no mistake. 1-2!
56' FK Orenburg currently sit 15 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
57' A moment of madness from Danila Khotulev on 57 minutes earns him a card. FK Orenburg will be frustrated.
62' Joao Batxi makes way for Olakunle Olusegun at the 62 minute mark. A tactical switch from FK Krasnodar.
67' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FK Orenburg needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
71' FK Orenburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kazimcan Karatas is hanging Georgii Zotov on the field on 71 minute.
76' It is a cagey affair so far. FK Orenburg in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past FK Krasnodar's compact 4-2-3-1.
79' The FK Orenburg bench stirs into life. Dmitrii Rybchinskii is withdrawn and Aleksandr Kovalenko gets his opportunity.
80' It’s a booking for FK Orenburg player. Danila Prokhin gets a card.
80' FK Krasnodar make a change. Joao Victor trudges off to be replaced by Moses Cobnan on 80 minutes.
85' Jhon Cordoba catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 85.
90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Moses Cobnan on 90.
90' Time for substitution for FK Krasnodar. Eduard Spertsyan is replaced by Danila Kozlov.
The final score is 1-2.

Lineups

FK Orenburg Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

31
Georgii Zotov ↓ Kazimcan Karatas 71'
20
Dmitrii Rybchinskii ↓ Aleksandr Kovalenko 79'
99
Nikolai Sysuev
5
Aleksey Tataev
87
Danila Prokhin
8
Ivan Basic
9
Brian Mansilla
7
Feyttullah Gurluk ↓ Jimmy Marin 46'
81
Maksim Sidorov
59
Maksim Syshchenko ↓ Danila Khotulev 46'
10
Saeid Saharkhizan ↓ Maksim Savelyev 62'

Bench

Coach Vladimir Sliskovic

FK Krasnodar Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

9
Jhon Cordoba
3
Vitor Tormena
15
Lucas Olaza
7
Joao Victor ↓ Moses Cobnan 80'
53
Aleksandr Chernikov
20
Giovanni Gonzalez ↓ Sergey Petrov 46'
1
Stanislav Agkatsev
10
Eduard Spertsyan ↓ Danila Kozlov 90'
4
Diego Costa
11
Joao Batxi ↓ Olakunle Olusegun 62'
6
Kevin ↓ Nikita Krivtsov 46'

Bench

Coach Murad Musaev

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Eduard Spertsyan	5
Jhon Cordoba	4
Vladimir Sychevoi	3
Lucas Vera	2
Aleksey Ionov	2
Andrei Kozlov	1
Adessoye Oyewole	1
Aleksei Sutormin	1

Head to Head

FK Orenburg Form

2025-05-17 FK Orenburg 1–2 FK Krasnodar L 2025-05-10 FK Orenburg 1–1 FK Khimki D 2025-05-03 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 1–1 FK Orenburg D 2025-04-27 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 2–0 FK Orenburg L 2025-04-19 FK Orenburg 2–1 FK Dinamo Makhachkala W 2025-04-12 FK Orenburg 0–2 PFC CSKA Moskva L

FK Krasnodar Form

2025-05-17 FK Orenburg 1–2 FK Krasnodar W 2025-05-10 PFC CSKA Moskva 1–0 FK Krasnodar L 2025-05-03 FK Krasnodar 2–1 FK Rubin Kazan W 2025-04-25 FK Dinamo Makhachkala 2–3 FK Krasnodar W 2025-04-19 FK Krasnodar 3–1 RFK Akhmat Grozny W 2025-04-13 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 4–1 FK Krasnodar L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

0.97 FK Orenburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.56 FK Krasnodar xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

FK Orenburg24% Draw28% FK Krasnodar48%

Actual: FK Krasnodar win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes50% 0% No50%

Avg goals/match: 2.53

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	72%	28%
± 2.5	46%	54%
± 3.5	25%	75%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

FK Orenburg or Draw

52%

Draw or FK Krasnodar

76%

FK Orenburg or FK Krasnodar

72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FK Orenburg17% Draw48% FK Krasnodar35%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.9%

0 – 1

11.5%

0 – 0

10%

0 – 2

9.5%

1 – 2

Actual

1 – 0

6.6%

2 – 1

5.6%

0 – 3

4.8%

1 – 3

4.8%

2 – 2

4.5%

2 – 0

3.6%

2 – 3

2.4%

Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg

Handicap	FK Orenburg covers	Push	FK Krasnodar covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	6%	92%
-1.5	8%	—	92%
-1	8%	14%	78%
-0.5	22%	—	78%
+0.5	50%	—	50%
+1	50%	23%	26%
+1.5	74%	—	26%
+2	74%	15%	11%
+2.5	89%	—	11%

Clean Sheet

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

FK Krasnodar keeps clean sheet

39% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.