Sunday , 16 August 2026

FK Orenburg vs FK Krasnodar, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2024-25
Sat 17 May 2025 · 11:00 UTC Stadion Gazovik 5,674 HT 45' · FT 45'
Brian Mansilla 7' 1–0
1–1 29' Jhon Cordoba
1–2 51' Lucas Olaza

Overview

Match Preview

FK Orenburg vs FK KrasnodarRFPL at Stadion Gazovik.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May FK Krasnodar H 1–2 L
10 May FK Khimki H 1–1 D
03 May FK Lokomotiv Moskva A 1–1 D
27 Apr PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara A 0–2 L
19 Apr FK Dinamo Makhachkala H 2–1 W
12 Apr PFC CSKA Moskva H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May FK Orenburg A 2–1 W
10 May PFC CSKA Moskva A 0–1 L
03 May FK Rubin Kazan H 2–1 W
25 Apr FK Dinamo Makhachkala A 3–2 W
19 Apr RFK Akhmat Grozny H 3–1 W
13 Apr FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg A 1–4 L

Season Stats

FK Orenburg FK Krasnodar
#12 Position #2
29 Points 66
30 Played 30
7 / 8 / 15 W / D / L 20 / 6 / 4
29 Scored 60
44 Conceded 23
-15 GD +37
0.97 PPG 2.20
23% Win % 67%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). FK Krasnodar are 2nd (66 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. FK Orenburg get us underway at Stadion Gazovik.
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 7' A goal from the Argentina international Brian Mansilla! He fires home on 7 to make it 1-0!
  • 9' A moment of madness from Aleksey Tataev on 9 minutes earns him a card. FK Orenburg will be frustrated.
  • 14' Uruguay international Giovanni Gonzalez has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
  • 19' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Sergey Petrov made 266 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 24' Kevin needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 29' Jhon Cordoba is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 4 goals this season for the .
  • 34' Vitor Tormena, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 39' The home supporters are growing impatient. FK Orenburg must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 44' FK Krasnodar fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 45' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Georgii Zotov.
  • 46' Jimmy Marin is replacing Feyttullah Gurluk for the FK Orenburg side.
  • 51' FK Krasnodar is taking the lead after the goal scored by Lucas Olaza on 51.
  • 56' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 57' A moment of madness from Danila Khotulev on 57 minutes earns him a card. FK Orenburg will be frustrated.
  • 62' Fresh legs for FK Krasnodar! Olakunle Olusegun comes on to replace Joao Batxi.
  • 67' The travelling FK Krasnodar supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 71' FK Orenburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kazimcan Karatas is hanging Georgii Zotov on the field on 71 minute.
  • 76' FK Krasnodar looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Jhon Cordoba scoring 1 goals.
  • 79' The crowd applauds Dmitrii Rybchinskii as he leaves the pitch. Aleksandr Kovalenko steps in for FK Orenburg.
  • 80' Danila Prokhin was booked on 80.
  • 80' The supporters are chanting for Moses Cobnan. He replaces Joao Victor on 80 minute.
  • 85' Controversy at the stadium! Jhon Cordoba argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 90' Moses Cobnan has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • 90' Fresh legs for FK Krasnodar! Danila Kozlov comes on to replace Eduard Spertsyan.
  • The final score is 1-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.05 FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.03 FK Krasnodar xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 58% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Orenburg21% Draw24% FK Krasnodar55%
Actual: FK Krasnodar win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 3.08
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

FK Orenburg or Draw
46%
Draw or FK Krasnodar
79%
FK Orenburg or FK Krasnodar
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FK Orenburg16% Draw42% FK Krasnodar42%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.6%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
9.4%
0 – 1
8.7%
1 – 3
6.5%
0 – 0
6.2%
0 – 3
6.2%
2 – 2
5%
2 – 1
5%
1 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
3.5%
1 – 4
3.3%

Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg

Handicap FK Orenburg covers Push FK Krasnodar covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 11% 82%
-0.5 18% 82%
+0.5 41% 59%
+1 41% 23% 36%
+1.5 64% 36%
+2 64% 18% 18%
+2.5 82% 18%

Clean Sheet

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
14%
FK Krasnodar keeps clean sheet
36%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.