FK Rostov vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Rostov vs FK Orenburg — RFPL at Rostov Arena.
- FK Rostov 30 games · 33 pts (2026/27)
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Pavel Kukuyan
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | FK Orenburg | H | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Apr | PFC CSKA Moskva | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Apr | PFK Sochi | H | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Apr | FK Spartak Moskva | H | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Apr | FK Nizhny Novgorod | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Mar | RFK Akhmat Grozny | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | FK Rostov | A | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Apr | FK Nizhny Novgorod | H | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Apr | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | H | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Apr | FK Rubin Kazan | A | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Apr | FK Dinamo Moskva | A | 3–3 | D |
| 22 Mar | FK Spartak Moskva | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FK Rostov | FK Orenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #12 |
| 33 | Points | 29 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 8 / 9 / 13 | W / D / L | 7 / 8 / 15 |
| 25 | Scored | 29 |
| 32 | Conceded | 44 |
| -7 | GD | -15 |
| 1.10 | PPG | 0.97 |
| 27% | Win % | 23% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
FK Rostov are 10th (33 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Rostov Arena. FK Rostov are looking to make home advantage count against FK Orenburg.
- 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 10' FK Orenburg looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Gedeon Guzina scoring 1 goals.
- 15' Feyttullah Gurluk needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 20' FK Rostov are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 25' The travelling FK Orenburg supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 30' The 27-year-old Egor Golenkov has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 35' It is a cagey affair so far. FK Rostov in their trying to find a way past FK Orenburg's compact .
- 40' Both keepers have barely been tested. FK Rostov and FK Orenburg are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 45' It looks surprising FK Rostov does not make any changes. Jhon Palacios has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 46' David Semenchuk gets the nod from FK Rostov. He replaces Viktor Melekhin and will look to change the dynamic.
- 51' FK Orenburg have won 207 goals from 342 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 56' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FK Rostov side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 61' FK Orenburg is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 66' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Rostov that had 364 games and scored 304 goals.
- 67' Time for substitution for FK Rostov. Konstantin Kuchaev is replaced by Daniil Shantaliy.
- 72' It is a substitution in FK Orenburg team. Alexandre Jesus is replaced by Gedeon Guzina on 72 minute.
- 73' FK Rostov ring the changes. Egor Golenkov has done his job and it is now time for Khoren Bairamyan to step up.
- 78' Renat Golybin has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 83' Jordhy Thompson is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FK Orenburg tonight.
- 85' FK Orenburg is taking the lead after the goal scored by Gedeon Guzina on 85.
- 88' Kirill Shchetinin makes way for Mohammad Mohebi at the 88 minute mark. A tactical switch from FK Rostov.
- 89' Maksim Rudakov picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 90' A moment of madness from Alexis Cantero on 90 minutes earns him a card. FK Orenburg will be frustrated.
- 90' The supporters are chanting for Danila Vedernikov. He replaces Alexis Cantero on 90 minute.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
FK Rostov Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 18
- 69
- 99
- 4
- 10
- 3
- 78
- 40
- 7
- 1
Bench
- 5
- 62
- 71
- 87
-
9
Mohammad Mohebi ↑ 88'
-
58
Daniil Shantaliy ↑ 67'
-
19
Khoren Bairamyan ↑ 73'
-
22
David Semenchuk ↑ 46'
- 67
- 91
- 17
Coach
Jonathan Alba
FK Orenburg Lineups
Starting XI
- 18
- 88
-
19
Alexandre Jesus ↓ Gedeon Guzina 72'
- 4
-
37
Du Queiroz ↓ Irakli Kvekveskiri 90'
-
16
Jordhy Thompson ↓ Damian Puebla 73'
- 6
- 7
- 32
- 65
- 57
Bench
-
30
Gedeon Guzina ↑ 72'
-
3
Danila Vedernikov ↑ 90'
- 59
-
33
Irakli Kvekveskiri ↑ 90'
- 95
-
8
Damian Puebla ↑ 73'
-
27
Renat Golybin ↑ 72'
- 38
- 9
- 2
- 26
- 29
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nikolay Komlichenko | 5 |
| Maksim Osipenko | 2 |
| Ronaldo | 2 |
| Brian Mansilla | 2 |
| Grigori Chirkin | 1 |
| Vladimir Obukhov | 1 |
| Artem Galadzhan | 1 |
| Mathias Normann | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Rostov Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.04
FK Rostov xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94
FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for:
FK Rostov or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 68%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: FK Orenburg win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.98
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 1.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 2.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 3.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
FK Rostov or Draw
70%
Draw or FK Orenburg
62%
FK Rostov or FK Orenburg
68%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.2%
1 – 1
14.5%
1 – 0
12.9%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.1%
2 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
3.4%
3 – 1
2.4%
3 – 0
2.4%
1 – 3
2%
Asian Handicap — FK Rostov
| Handicap | FK Rostov covers | Push | FK Orenburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 10% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 21% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 19% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
FK Rostov keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
36%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.