FK Rostov vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Rostov vs FK Orenburg — RFPL at Rostov Arena.
- FK Rostov 14 games · 19 pts (2026/27)
- FK Orenburg 14 games · 17 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Pavel Kukuyan
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 14 | 31 |
| 2 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 14 | 31 |
| 3 | FK Spartak Moskva | 14 | 29 |
| 4 | FK Krasnodar | 14 | 26 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 14 | 26 |
| 6 | FK Rostov | 14 | 19 |
| 7 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 14 | 18 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 14 | 18 |
| 9 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 14 | 17 |
| 10 | FK Orenburg | 14 | 17 |
| 11 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 14 | 16 |
| 12 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 14 | 12 |
| 14 | FK Rodina Moskva | 14 | 12 |
| 15 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 14 | 11 |
| 16 | FK Fakel Voronezh | 14 | 6 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | FK Orenburg | H | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Apr | PFC CSKA Moskva | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Apr | PFK Sochi | H | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Apr | FK Spartak Moskva | H | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Apr | FK Nizhny Novgorod | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Mar | RFK Akhmat Grozny | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | FK Rostov | A | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Apr | FK Nizhny Novgorod | H | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Apr | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | H | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Apr | FK Rubin Kazan | A | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Apr | FK Dinamo Moskva | A | 3–3 | D |
| 22 Mar | FK Spartak Moskva | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FK Rostov | FK Orenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #10 |
| 19 | Points | 17 |
| 14 | Played | 14 |
| 5 / 4 / 5 | W / D / L | 3 / 8 / 3 |
| 19 | Scored | 14 |
| 20 | Conceded | 14 |
| -1 | GD | +0 |
| 1.36 | PPG | 1.21 |
| 36% | Win % | 21% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
44%
Clean Sheets
FK Rostov this season
FK Rostov this season
44%
Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
FK Orenburg this season
FK Rostov are 6th (19 pts). FK Orenburg are 10th (17 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Rostov
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FK Rostov
| Timur Suleimanov | 3 G | 2 A |
| Ivan Komarov | 3 G | |
| Andrey Langovich | 2 G | 4 A |
| Oumar Sako | 2 G | 1 A |
| Viktor Melekhin | 1 G |
FK Orenburg
| Jordhy Thompson | 3 G | 3 A |
| Gedeon Guzina | 3 G | 1 A |
| Ruslan Kul | 3 G | 1 A |
| Andrey Kasadzhikov | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and FK Rostov launch into their encounter with FK Orenburg.
- 5' The travelling FK Orenburg supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 10' It looks like no one’s ball. FK Orenburg is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 15' FK Rostov is showing some good football. However, FK Rostov are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 30' FK Orenburg come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 35' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 40' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 45' The 32-year-old Gedeon Guzina has been sensational this season — 3 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 46' The whistle greets Viktor Melekhin as he departs to be replaced by David Semenchuk.
- 51' The home supporters are growing impatient. FK Rostov must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Renat Golybin suffering a number of foals already.
- 61' Ronaldo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 13 goals in his last 371 appearances.
- 66' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 67' Fresh legs for FK Rostov! Daniil Shantaliy comes on to replace Konstantin Kuchaev.
- 72' A change in the FK Orenburg ranks — Alexandre Jesus exits the field as Gedeon Guzina enters on 72.
- 73' Time for substitution for FK Rostov. Egor Golenkov is replaced by Khoren Bairamyan.
- 78' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 83' Over 83 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 85' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Gedeon Guzina makes no mistake. 0-1!
- 88' Another change for FK Rostov made on 88 minute. Kirill Shchetinin leaves to be changed by Mohammad Mohebi.
- 89' FK Orenburg receives a card for a hard tackle on 89.
- 90' A moment of madness from Alexis Cantero on 90 minutes earns him a card. FK Orenburg will be frustrated.
- 90' Another substitution for FK Orenburg to replace Alexis Cantero by Danila Vedernikov on 90 minute.
- The final score is 0-1.
Lineups
FK Rostov Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 18
- 69
- 99
- 4
- 10
- 3
- 78
- 40
- 7
- 1
Bench
- 5
- 62
- 71
- 87
-
9
Mohammad Mohebi ↑ 88'
-
58
Daniil Shantaliy ↑ 67'
-
19
Khoren Bairamyan ↑ 73'
-
22
David Semenchuk ↑ 46'
- 67
- 91
- 17
Coach
Jonathan Alba
FK Orenburg Lineups
Starting XI
- 18
- 88
-
19
Alexandre Jesus ↓ Gedeon Guzina 72'
- 4
-
37
Du Queiroz ↓ Irakli Kvekveskiri 90'
-
16
Jordhy Thompson ↓ Damian Puebla 73'
- 6
- 7
- 32
- 65
- 57
Bench
-
30
Gedeon Guzina ↑ 72'
-
3
Danila Vedernikov ↑ 90'
- 59
-
33
Irakli Kvekveskiri ↑ 90'
- 95
-
8
Damian Puebla ↑ 73'
-
27
Renat Golybin ↑ 72'
- 38
- 9
- 2
- 26
- 29
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nikolay Komlichenko | 5 |
| Ronaldo | 2 |
| Brian Mansilla | 2 |
| Maksim Osipenko | 2 |
| Mathias Normann | 1 |
| Egor Golenkov | 1 |
| Dorde Despotovic | 1 |
| Gedeon Guzina | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Rostov Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.06
FK Rostov xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06
FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for:
FK Rostov or FK Orenburg 69% + Under 2.5 goals 65%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: FK Orenburg win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.12
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 2.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 3.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
FK Rostov or Draw
68%
Draw or FK Orenburg
64%
FK Rostov or FK Orenburg
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 0
14.4%
1 – 0
11.4%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
3.8%
3 – 1
2.5%
1 – 3
2.5%
3 – 0
2.2%
Asian Handicap — FK Rostov
| Handicap | FK Rostov covers | Push | FK Orenburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 20% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 20% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
FK Rostov keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.