FK Rostov vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Rostov vs FK Orenburg — RFPL at Rostov Arena.
- FK Rostov 30 games · 33 pts (2025/26)
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Pavel Kukuyan
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | FK Orenburg | H | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Apr | PFC CSKA Moskva | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Apr | PFK Sochi | H | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Apr | FK Spartak Moskva | H | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Apr | FK Nizhny Novgorod | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Mar | RFK Akhmat Grozny | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | FK Rostov | A | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Apr | FK Nizhny Novgorod | H | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Apr | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | H | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Apr | FK Rubin Kazan | A | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Apr | FK Dinamo Moskva | A | 3–3 | D |
| 22 Mar | FK Spartak Moskva | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FK Rostov | FK Orenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #12 |
| 33 | Points | 29 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 8 / 9 / 13 | W / D / L | 7 / 8 / 15 |
| 25 | Scored | 29 |
| 32 | Conceded | 44 |
| -7 | GD | -15 |
| 1.10 | PPG | 0.97 |
| 27% | Win % | 23% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
FK Rostov this season
FK Rostov this season
20%
Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
FK Orenburg this season
FK Rostov are 10th (33 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Rostov
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
4/–
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/–
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against FK Rostov and FK Orenburg has kicked off!
- 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Danila Vedernikov suffering a number of foals already.
- 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 15' FK Orenburg is showing some good football. However, FK Orenburg are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Evgeniy Bolotov, as he is very good at scoring at Rostov Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 25' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 30' FK Orenburg looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Gedeon Guzina scoring 1 goals.
- 35' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 40' It looks like no one’s ball. FK Rostov is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 45' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jhon Palacios made 2 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for David Semenchuk. He replaces Viktor Melekhin on 46 minute.
- 51' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FK Orenburg needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 56' Dmitriy Chistyakov needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 61' FK Rostov is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 66' FK Orenburg seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 67' Another substitution for FK Rostov to replace Konstantin Kuchaev by Daniil Shantaliy on 67 minute.
- 72' The FK Orenburg manager makes a substitution. Alexandre Jesus departs to be replaced by Gedeon Guzina.
- 73' The supporters are chanting for Khoren Bairamyan. He replaces Egor Golenkov on 73 minute.
- 78' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 83' Ronaldo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 30 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
- 85' FK Orenburg is taking the lead after the goal scored by Gedeon Guzina on 85.
- 88' It is a substitution in FK Rostov team. Kirill Shchetinin is replaced by Mohammad Mohebi on 88 minute.
- 89' It’s gonna be a card for Maksim Rudakov.
- 90' The referee shows FK Orenburg player a card on 90.
- 90' The supporters are chanting for Danila Vedernikov. He replaces Alexis Cantero on 90 minute.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for FK Orenburg players.
Lineups
FK Rostov Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 18
- 69
- 99
- 4
- 10
- 3
- 78
- 40
- 7
- 1
Bench
- 5
- 62
- 71
- 87
-
9
Mohammad Mohebi ↑ 88'
-
58
Daniil Shantaliy ↑ 67'
-
19
Khoren Bairamyan ↑ 73'
-
22
David Semenchuk ↑ 46'
- 67
- 91
- 17
Coach
Jonathan Alba
FK Orenburg Lineups
Starting XI
- 18
- 88
-
19
Alexandre Jesus ↓ Gedeon Guzina 72'
- 4
-
37
Du Queiroz ↓ Irakli Kvekveskiri 90'
-
16
Jordhy Thompson ↓ Damian Puebla 73'
- 6
- 7
- 32
- 65
- 57
Bench
-
30
Gedeon Guzina ↑ 72'
-
3
Danila Vedernikov ↑ 90'
- 59
-
33
Irakli Kvekveskiri ↑ 90'
- 95
-
8
Damian Puebla ↑ 73'
-
27
Renat Golybin ↑ 72'
- 38
- 9
- 2
- 26
- 29
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nikolay Komlichenko | 5 |
| Maksim Osipenko | 2 |
| Ronaldo | 2 |
| Brian Mansilla | 2 |
| Vladimir Obukhov | 1 |
| Artem Galadzhan | 1 |
| Mathias Normann | 1 |
| Egor Golenkov | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Rostov Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.04
FK Rostov xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94
FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for:
FK Rostov or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 68%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: FK Orenburg win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.98
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 1.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 2.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 3.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
FK Rostov or Draw
70%
Draw or FK Orenburg
62%
FK Rostov or FK Orenburg
68%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.2%
1 – 1
14.5%
1 – 0
12.9%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.1%
2 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
3.4%
3 – 1
2.4%
3 – 0
2.4%
1 – 3
2%
Asian Handicap — FK Rostov
| Handicap | FK Rostov covers | Push | FK Orenburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 10% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 21% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 19% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
FK Rostov keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
36%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.