Sunday , 16 August 2026

FK Orenburg vs FK Krasnodar, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2025-26
Sun 10 Aug 2025 · 12:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Aug FK Krasnodar H 0–1 L
03 Aug FK Baltika Kaliningrad A 2–3 L
27 Jul FK Dinamo Makhachkala H 1–1 D
21 Jul PFC CSKA Moskva H 0–0 D
24 May FK Rubin Kazan A 2–4 L
17 May FK Krasnodar H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Aug FK Orenburg A 1–0 W
02 Aug FK Dinamo Moskva H 1–0 W
26 Jul FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 1–2 L
20 Jul FK Nizhny Novgorod A 3–0 W
24 May FK Dinamo Moskva H 3–0 W
17 May FK Orenburg A 2–1 W

Season Stats

FK Orenburg FK Krasnodar
#12 Position #2
29 Points 66
30 Played 30
7 / 8 / 15 W / D / L 20 / 6 / 4
29 Scored 60
44 Conceded 23
-15 GD +37
0.97 PPG 2.20
23% Win % 67%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). FK Krasnodar are 2nd (66 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FK Orenburg Lineups

FK Krasnodar Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.52 FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.99 FK Krasnodar xG
I would bet for: FK Krasnodar to win 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Orenburg12% Draw22% FK Krasnodar66%
Actual: FK Krasnodar win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 2.51
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

FK Orenburg or Draw
34%
Draw or FK Krasnodar
88%
FK Orenburg or FK Krasnodar
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FK Orenburg7% Draw44% FK Krasnodar49%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 2
15.7%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 3
10.2%
0 – 0
9.9%
1 – 1
8.9%
1 – 2
8.1%
1 – 3
5.5%
0 – 4
5.1%
1 – 0
3.4%
1 – 4
2.8%
2 – 2
2.1%
0 – 5
2.1%

Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg

Handicap FK Orenburg covers Push FK Krasnodar covers
-2.5 0% 100%
-2 0% 1% 98%
-1.5 2% 98%
-1 2% 6% 92%
-0.5 8% 92%
+0.5 29% 71%
+1 29% 25% 46%
+1.5 54% 46%
+2 54% 22% 24%
+2.5 76% 24%

Clean Sheet

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
15%
FK Krasnodar keeps clean sheet
60%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.