Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Bayern München vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 22 Nov 2025 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern München vs SC FreiburgBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Sven Jablonski
25 games this season 🟨 0.6/game 4.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Nov SC Freiburg H 6–2 W
08 Nov 1. FC Union Berlin A 2–2 D
04 Nov Paris Saint-Germain FC A 2–1 W
01 Nov Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 3–0 W
29 Oct 1. FC Koln A 4–1 W
25 Oct Borussia Monchengladbach A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Nov FC Bayern München A 2–6 L
09 Nov FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–1 W
06 Nov OGC Nice A 3–1 W
01 Nov 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–0 D
29 Oct TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf A 3–1 W
26 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–2 L

Season Stats

FC Bayern München SC Freiburg
#1 Position #7
89 Points 47
34 Played 34
28 / 5 / 1 W / D / L 13 / 8 / 13
122 Scored 51
36 Conceded 57
+86 GD -6
2.62 PPG 1.38
82% Win % 38%

Key Stats

76% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
76% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
35% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
18% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season

FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts). SC Freiburg are 7th (47 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Freiburg
0-15
/3
16-30
4/
31-45
/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
3/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC Bayern München Lineups

SC Freiburg Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
3.9 FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 86% + FC Bayern München to win 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München77% Draw13% SC Freiburg10%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 5.04
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 95%
5%
± 2.5 86%
14%
± 3.5 71%
29%
± 4.5 53%
47%

Double Chance

FC Bayern München or Draw
90%
Draw or SC Freiburg
23%
FC Bayern München or SC Freiburg
87%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Bayern München66% Draw26% SC Freiburg8%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 6–2 not predicted
6 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
7.4%
4 – 1
7.1%
3 – 0
6.7%
4 – 0
6.4%
2 – 1
5.9%
5 – 1
5.5%
2 – 0
5.5%
5 – 0
4.9%
3 – 2
4.2%
4 – 2
4%
6 – 1
3.7%
1 – 1
3.6%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München

Handicap FC Bayern München covers Push SC Freiburg covers
-2.5 50% 50%
-2 50% 18% 32%
-1.5 68% 32%
-1 68% 15% 17%
-0.5 83% 17%
+0.5 93% 7%
+1 93% 4% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
33%
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
3%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.