Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FC Union Berlin vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 8 Nov 2025 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Union Berlin vs FC Bayern MünchenBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Exner
17 games this season 🟨 1.2/game 6.8 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Nov FC Bayern München H 2–2 D
01 Nov SC Freiburg H 0–0 D
29 Oct Arminia Bielefeld H 2–1 W
24 Oct SV Werder Bremen A 0–1 L
17 Oct Borussia Monchengladbach H 3–1 W
04 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Nov 1. FC Union Berlin A 2–2 D
04 Nov Paris Saint-Germain FC A 2–1 W
01 Nov Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 3–0 W
29 Oct 1. FC Koln A 4–1 W
25 Oct Borussia Monchengladbach A 3–0 W
22 Oct Club Brugge KV H 4–0 W

Season Stats

1. FC Union Berlin FC Bayern München
#11 Position #1
39 Points 89
34 Played 34
10 / 9 / 15 W / D / L 28 / 5 / 1
44 Scored 122
58 Conceded 36
-14 GD +86
1.15 PPG 2.62
29% Win % 82%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season
35% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

1. FC Union Berlin are 11th (39 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FC Union Berlin
0-15
1/2
16-30
/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

1. FC Union Berlin Lineups

FC Bayern München Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.09 1. FC Union Berlin xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.88 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 74% + FC Bayern München to win 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FC Union Berlin18% Draw20% FC Bayern München62%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.97
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 74%
26%
± 3.5 55%
45%
± 4.5 36%
64%

Double Chance

1. FC Union Berlin or Draw
37%
Draw or FC Bayern München
82%
1. FC Union Berlin or FC Bayern München
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FC Union Berlin12% Draw33% FC Bayern München55%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
8.4%
0 – 2
8%
1 – 3
7.9%
0 – 3
7.4%
1 – 1
6.7%
1 – 4
5.7%
0 – 1
5.3%
0 – 4
5.3%
2 – 2
Actual
2 – 3
4.3%
1 – 5
3.3%
2 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin

Handicap 1. FC Union Berlin covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 3% 96%
-1.5 4% 96%
-1 4% 7% 89%
-0.5 11% 89%
+0.5 27% 73%
+1 27% 19% 53%
+1.5 47% 53%
+2 47% 20% 33%
+2.5 67% 33%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
6%
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.