SC Freiburg vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SC Freiburg vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga at Europa-Park Stadion.
- SC Freiburg 34 games · 47 pts (2025/26)
- FC Bayern München 34 games · 89 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Daniel Siebert
- Assistant 1 Jan Seidel
- Assistant 2 Rafael Foltyn
29 games this season
🟨 1.6/game
⚽ 5.8 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan | FC Bayern München | H | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Jan | VfB Stuttgart | A | 0–4 | L |
| 14 Jan | Eintracht Frankfurt | A | 1–4 | L |
| 11 Jan | Holstein Kiel | H | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Dec | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 1–5 | L |
| 13 Dec | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan | SC Freiburg | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Jan | Feyenoord Rotterdam | A | 0–3 | L |
| 18 Jan | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 3–2 | W |
| 15 Jan | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 5–0 | W |
| 11 Jan | Borussia Monchengladbach | A | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Dec | RB Leipzig | H | 5–1 | W |
Season Stats
| SC Freiburg | FC Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #1 |
| 47 | Points | 89 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 13 / 8 / 13 | W / D / L | 28 / 5 / 1 |
| 51 | Scored | 122 |
| 57 | Conceded | 36 |
| -6 | GD | +86 |
| 1.38 | PPG | 2.62 |
| 38% | Win % | 82% |
Key Stats
76%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
76%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season
SC Freiburg this season
35%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
FC Bayern München this season
SC Freiburg are 7th (47 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SC Freiburg
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/–
31-45
–/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
3/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Europa-Park Stadion as SC Freiburg face off against FC Bayern München in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' The 40-year-old Manuel Neuer has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Vincent Kompany might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 15' What composure from Harry Kane! The England international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 20' FC Bayern München looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Tom Bischof scoring 2 goals.
- 25' Michael Olise has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 9 goals this season.
- 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Joshua Kimmich made 540 appearances and scored 29 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 35' Philipp Lienhart is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SC Freiburg tonight.
- 40' Leon Goretzka makes way for Josip Stanisic at the 40 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Bayern Munchen.
- 45' SC Freiburg currently sit 8 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 46' Matthias Ginter is ready to make an impact after coming on for Max Rosenfelder at the 46 minute mark.
- 51' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Eren Dinkci suffering a number of foals already.
- 52' Lukas Kubler is having his name booked by the referee on 52.
- 54' Assisted by Joshua Kimmich with the perfectly-timed delivery and Min-Jae Kim makes no mistake. 0-2!
- 54' The referee shows SC Freiburg player a card on 54.
- 59' Both keepers have barely been tested. SC Freiburg and FC Bayern München are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 63' Harry Kane has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 63.
- 63' The whistle greets Leroy Sane as he departs to be replaced by Michael Olise.
- 68' Matthias Ginter does the damage! The net is bulging and SC Freiburg surge ahead!
- 73' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 75' Chikwubuike Adamu is replacing Lucas Holer for the SC Freiburg side.
- 76' Ritsu Doan has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 76.
- 77' Time for substitution for SC Freiburg. Maximilian Eggestein is replaced by Johan Manzambi.
- 82' SC Freiburg have won 469 goals from 493 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 83' The FC Bayern Munchen bench stirs into life. Jamal Musiala is withdrawn and Thomas Muller gets his opportunity.
- 85' Michael Gregoritsch is replacing Jordy Makengo for the SC Freiburg side.
- 90' The referee has no hesitation. Vincenzo Grifo is booked for SC Freiburg — card on 90.
- Another three points for FC Bayern München.
Lineups
SC Freiburg Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8
- 42
- 17
- 3
- 27
-
9
Lucas Holer ↓ Chikwubuike Adamu 75'
- 34
-
18
Eren Dinkci ↓ Vincenzo Grifo 77'
- 1
- 33
- 37
Bench
-
38
Michael Gregoritsch ↑ 85'
- 26
- 21
-
32
Vincenzo Grifo ↑ 77'
- 30
-
28
Matthias Ginter ↑ 46'
- 25
-
20
Chikwubuike Adamu ↑ 75'
-
44
Johan Manzambi ↑ 77'
Coach
Julian Schuster
FC Bayern München Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
10
Leroy Sane ↓ Michael Olise 63'
- 15
- 9
-
7
Serge Gnabry ↓ Kingsley Coman 63'
- 1
- 6
-
8
Leon Goretzka ↓ Josip Stanisic 40'
- 22
-
42
Jamal Musiala ↓ Thomas Muller 83'
- 3
- 45
Bench
- 26
-
11
Kingsley Coman ↑ 63'
-
25
Thomas Muller ↑ 83'
-
16
Joao Palhinha ↑ 83'
-
17
Michael Olise ↑ 63'
- 23
-
44
Josip Stanisic ↑ 40'
- 39
- 49
Coach
Vincent Kompany
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Robert Lewandowski | 7 |
| Serge Gnabry | 6 |
| Lucas Holer | 6 |
| Leroy Sane | 4 |
| Kingsley Coman | 3 |
| Marcel Sabitzer | 2 |
| Tom Bischof | 2 |
| Sadio Mane | 2 |
Head to Head
SC Freiburg Form
FC Bayern München Form
2025-01-25
SC Freiburg
1–2
FC Bayern München
W
2025-01-22
Feyenoord Rotterdam
3–0
FC Bayern München
L
2025-01-18
FC Bayern München
3–2
VfL Wolfsburg
W
2025-01-15
FC Bayern München
5–0
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
2025-01-11
Borussia Monchengladbach
0–1
FC Bayern München
W
2024-12-20
FC Bayern München
5–1
RB Leipzig
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.25
SC Freiburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.67
FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 66%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.92
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 3.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 4.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
Double Chance
SC Freiburg or Draw
39%
Draw or FC Bayern München
81%
SC Freiburg or FC Bayern München
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
7.6%
1 – 1
7.4%
0 – 2
7.2%
0 – 3
6.2%
2 – 2
5.3%
1 – 4
5.1%
0 – 1
5%
2 – 3
4.7%
0 – 4
4.1%
2 – 1
4.1%
2 – 4
3.2%
Asian Handicap — SC Freiburg
| Handicap | SC Freiburg covers | Push | FC Bayern München covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 4% | 94% |
| -1.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 9% | 84% |
| -0.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| +0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +1 | 34% | 20% | 46% |
| +1.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +2 | 54% | 19% | 27% |
| +2.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
Clean Sheet
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

