Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SC Freiburg vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 25 Jan 2025 · 14:30 UTC Europa-Park Stadion 34,700 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 15' Harry Kane
0–2 54' Min-Jae Kim
Matthias Ginter 68' 1–2

Overview

Match Preview

SC Freiburg vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga at Europa-Park Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Siebert
  • Assistant 1 Jan Seidel
  • Assistant 2 Rafael Foltyn
5 games this season 🟨 5.4/game ⚽ 12.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan FC Bayern München H 1–2 L
18 Jan VfB Stuttgart A 0–4 L
14 Jan Eintracht Frankfurt A 1–4 L
11 Jan Holstein Kiel H 3–2 W
21 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–5 L
13 Dec VfL Wolfsburg H 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan SC Freiburg A 2–1 W
22 Jan Feyenoord Rotterdam A 0–3 L
18 Jan VfL Wolfsburg H 3–2 W
15 Jan TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 5–0 W
11 Jan Borussia Mönchengladbach A 1–0 W
20 Dec RB Leipzig H 5–1 W

Season Stats

SC Freiburg FC Bayern München
#3 Position #2
10 Points 10
4 Played 4
3 / 1 / 0 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 0
12 Scored 14
3 Conceded 2
+9 GD +12
2.50 PPG 2.50
75% Win % 75%

Key Stats

76% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
76% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season
50% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

SC Freiburg are 3rd (10 pts). FC Bayern München are 2nd (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Freiburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
4/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
–/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Bayern München
Michael Olise 4 G 1 A
Harry Kane 3 G
Aleksandar Pavlovic 1 G 1 A
Dayot Upamecano 1 G
Luis Diaz 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. FC Bayern Munchen get us underway at Europa-Park Stadion.
  • 5' FC Bayern Munchen is showing some good football. However, FC Bayern Munchen are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SC Freiburg and FC Bayern Munchen are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 15' GOAL! Harry Kane fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 20' Leon Goretzka has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 25' Over 25 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 30' FC Bayern Munchen started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 30.
  • 35' FC Bayern Munchen fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 40' The FC Bayern Munchen bench stirs into life. Leon Goretzka is withdrawn and Josip Stanisic gets his opportunity.
  • 45' SC Freiburg currently sit 8 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 46' Matthias Ginter has so much to prove this time. He replaces Max Rosenfelder on 46 minute.
  • 51' Philipp Lienhart has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 52' Lukas Kubler catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 52.
  • 54' Against the run of play, Min-Jae Kim has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 54' The referee has no hesitation. Noah Atubolu is booked for SC Freiburg — card on 54.
  • 59' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 63' Harry Kane picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 63' The supporters are chanting for Michael Olise. He replaces Leroy Sane on 63 minute.
  • 68' Matthias Ginter makes no mistake. The score reads 1-2 and SC Freiburg are in front.
  • 73' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Joshua Kimmich suffering a number of foals already.
  • 75' The supporters are chanting for Chikwubuike Adamu. He replaces Lucas Holer on 75 minute.
  • 76' Ritsu Doan catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 76.
  • 77' A change in the SC Freiburg ranks — Maximilian Eggestein exits the field as Johan Manzambi enters on 77.
  • 82' FC Bayern Munchen is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 83' The supporters are chanting for Thomas Muller. He replaces Jamal Musiala on 83 minute.
  • 85' Michael Gregoritsch is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jordy Makengo at the 85 minute mark.
  • 90' Vincenzo Grifo is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • With this win, FC Bayern Munchen is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.14 SC Freiburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.55 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Freiburg27% Draw27% FC Bayern München46%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.69
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

SC Freiburg or Draw
54%
Draw or FC Bayern München
73%
SC Freiburg or FC Bayern München
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Freiburg21% Draw47% FC Bayern München32%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 1
9.6%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
8.7%
0 – 2
8%
1 – 0
6.7%
2 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
4.7%
2 – 0
4.3%
0 – 3
4.1%
2 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — SC Freiburg

Handicap SC Freiburg covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 16% 73%
-0.5 27% — 73%
+0.5 55% — 45%
+1 55% 22% 24%
+1.5 76% — 24%
+2 76% 14% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
22% ✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.