Thursday , 2 July 2026

SC Freiburg vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 25 Jan 2025 · 14:30 UTC Europa-Park Stadion 34,700 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 15' Harry Kane
0–2 54' Min-Jae Kim
Matthias Ginter 68' 1–2

Overview

Match Preview

SC Freiburg vs FC Bayern MünchenBundesliga at Europa-Park Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Siebert
  • Assistant 1 Jan Seidel
  • Assistant 2 Rafael Foltyn
29 games this season 🟨 1.6/game 5.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan FC Bayern München H 1–2 L
18 Jan VfB Stuttgart A 0–4 L
14 Jan Eintracht Frankfurt A 1–4 L
11 Jan Holstein Kiel H 3–2 W
21 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–5 L
13 Dec VfL Wolfsburg H 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan SC Freiburg A 2–1 W
22 Jan Feyenoord Rotterdam A 0–3 L
18 Jan VfL Wolfsburg H 3–2 W
15 Jan TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 5–0 W
11 Jan Borussia Monchengladbach A 1–0 W
20 Dec RB Leipzig H 5–1 W

Season Stats

SC Freiburg FC Bayern München
#7 Position #1
47 Points 89
34 Played 34
13 / 8 / 13 W / D / L 28 / 5 / 1
51 Scored 122
57 Conceded 36
-6 GD +86
1.38 PPG 2.62
38% Win % 82%

Key Stats

76% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
76% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season
35% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

SC Freiburg are 7th (47 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Freiburg
0-15
/3
16-30
4/
31-45
/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
3/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Europa-Park Stadion as SC Freiburg face off against FC Bayern München in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' The 40-year-old Manuel Neuer has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Vincent Kompany might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 15' What composure from Harry Kane! The England international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 20' FC Bayern München looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Tom Bischof scoring 2 goals.
  • 25' Michael Olise has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 9 goals this season.
  • 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Joshua Kimmich made 540 appearances and scored 29 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 35' Philipp Lienhart is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SC Freiburg tonight.
  • 40' Leon Goretzka makes way for Josip Stanisic at the 40 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Bayern Munchen.
  • 45' SC Freiburg currently sit 8 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 46' Matthias Ginter is ready to make an impact after coming on for Max Rosenfelder at the 46 minute mark.
  • 51' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Eren Dinkci suffering a number of foals already.
  • 52' Lukas Kubler is having his name booked by the referee on 52.
  • 54' Assisted by Joshua Kimmich with the perfectly-timed delivery and Min-Jae Kim makes no mistake. 0-2!
  • 54' The referee shows SC Freiburg player a card on 54.
  • 59' Both keepers have barely been tested. SC Freiburg and FC Bayern München are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 63' Harry Kane has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 63.
  • 63' The whistle greets Leroy Sane as he departs to be replaced by Michael Olise.
  • 68' Matthias Ginter does the damage! The net is bulging and SC Freiburg surge ahead!
  • 73' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 75' Chikwubuike Adamu is replacing Lucas Holer for the SC Freiburg side.
  • 76' Ritsu Doan has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 76.
  • 77' Time for substitution for SC Freiburg. Maximilian Eggestein is replaced by Johan Manzambi.
  • 82' SC Freiburg have won 469 goals from 493 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 83' The FC Bayern Munchen bench stirs into life. Jamal Musiala is withdrawn and Thomas Muller gets his opportunity.
  • 85' Michael Gregoritsch is replacing Jordy Makengo for the SC Freiburg side.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Vincenzo Grifo is booked for SC Freiburg — card on 90.
  • Another three points for FC Bayern München.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.25 SC Freiburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.67 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Freiburg19% Draw20% FC Bayern München61%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.92
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 74%
26%
± 3.5 54%
46%
± 4.5 35%
65%

Double Chance

SC Freiburg or Draw
39%
Draw or FC Bayern München
81%
SC Freiburg or FC Bayern München
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SC Freiburg15% Draw35% FC Bayern München50%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
7.6%
1 – 1
7.4%
0 – 2
7.2%
0 – 3
6.2%
2 – 2
5.3%
1 – 4
5.1%
0 – 1
5%
2 – 3
4.7%
0 – 4
4.1%
2 – 1
4.1%
2 – 4
3.2%

Asian Handicap — SC Freiburg

Handicap SC Freiburg covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 4% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 9% 84%
-0.5 16% 84%
+0.5 34% 66%
+1 34% 20% 46%
+1.5 54% 46%
+2 54% 19% 27%
+2.5 73% 27%

Clean Sheet

SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
8%
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.