SC Freiburg vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2024-25

SC Freiburg

1 – 2

Full Time

FC Bayern München

Sat 25 Jan 2025 · 14:30 UTC Europa-Park Stadion 34,700 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 15' Harry Kane

0–2 54' Min-Jae Kim

Matthias Ginter 68' 1–2

Lukas Kubler 52' Y

Noah Atubolu 54' Y

Y 63' Harry Kane

Ritsu Doan 76' Y

Vincenzo Grifo 90' Y

Y 90' Thomas Muller

Overview

Match Preview

SC Freiburg vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga at Europa-Park Stadion.

SC Freiburg 9 games · 19 pts (2026/27)
FC Bayern München 9 games · 21 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Daniel Siebert
Assistant 1 Jan Seidel
Assistant 2 Rafael Foltyn

9 games this season 🟨 5.2/game ⚽ 14.9 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	9	21
2	Borussia Dortmund	9	21
3	SC Freiburg	9	19
4	RB Leipzig	9	18
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	9	16
6	SV Werder Bremen	9	15
7	SV 07 Elversberg	9	13
8	VfB Stuttgart	9	12
9	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	9	12
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	9	12
11	Hamburger SV	9	12
12	1. FSV Mainz 05	9	10
13	SC Paderborn 07	9	10
14	FC Augsburg	9	9
15	1. FC Köln	9	9
16	1. FC Union Berlin	9	7
17	FC Schalke 04	9	6
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	9	4

Head-to-Head

SC Freiburg 18 games · Avg 3.6 goals FC Bayern München

Last 5 meetings

2025-01-25 SC Freiburg 1–2 FC Bayern München 2024-09-01 FC Bayern München 2–0 SC Freiburg 2024-03-01 SC Freiburg 2–2 FC Bayern München 2023-10-08 FC Bayern München 3–0 SC Freiburg 2023-04-08 SC Freiburg 0–1 FC Bayern München

Recent Form

SC Freiburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Jan	FC Bayern München	H	1–2	L
18 Jan	VfB Stuttgart	A	0–4	L
14 Jan	Eintracht Frankfurt	A	1–4	L
11 Jan	Holstein Kiel	H	3–2	W
21 Dec	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	1–5	L
13 Dec	VfL Wolfsburg	H	3–2	W

FC Bayern München

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Jan	SC Freiburg	A	2–1	W
22 Jan	Feyenoord Rotterdam	A	0–3	L
18 Jan	VfL Wolfsburg	H	3–2	W
15 Jan	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	H	5–0	W
11 Jan	Borussia Mönchengladbach	A	1–0	W
20 Dec	RB Leipzig	H	5–1	W

Season Stats

SC Freiburg		FC Bayern München
#3	Position	#1
19	Points	21
9	Played	9
6 / 1 / 2	W / D / L	6 / 3 / 0
20	Scored	29
10	Conceded	9
+10	GD	+20
2.11	PPG	2.33
67%	Win %	67%

Key Stats

78% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

78% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

33% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season

22% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

SC Freiburg are 3rd (19 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Freiburg

0-15

2/1

16-30

4/4

31-45

2/2

46-60

3/–

61-75

2/–

76+

5/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Bayern München

0-15

2/1

16-30

5/–

31-45

5/–

46-60

6/2

61-75

5/2

76+

5/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SC Freiburg

Yuito Suzuki	5 G
Igor Matanovic	4 G	1 A
Maximilian Eggestein	3 G
Derry Scherhant	2 G	3 A
Yannik Engelhardt	2 G

FC Bayern München

Michael Olise	6 G	3 A
Harry Kane	4 G	7 A
Luis Diaz	4 G	1 A
Dayot Upamecano	3 G
Ismael Saibari	2 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for SC Freiburg to score. At the same time, FC Bayern Munchen does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
5' FC Bayern Munchen are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
10' With 1 assists to his name this season, Eric Dier is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Bayern Munchen.
15' GOAL! Harry Kane fires home to make it 0-1!
20' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Julian Schuster will be considering his options from the bench.
25' The 31-year-old Joshua Kimmich has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 9 assists is a remarkable return.
30' Raphael Guerreiro needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
35' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
40' The crowd applauds Leon Goretzka as he leaves the pitch. Josip Stanisic steps in for FC Bayern Munchen.
45' Jamal Musiala, a Germany , has 14 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
46' Max Rosenfelder makes way for Matthias Ginter at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from SC Freiburg.
51' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
52' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Lukas Kubler on 52 minutes.
54' What composure from Min-Jae Kim! The South Korea international strokes it home. 0-2.
54' The referee calls foul for Noah Atubolu. He receives a card.
59' Kingsley Coman has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 2 goals to his name this season.
63' Poor challenge from Harry Kane. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
63' Another change for FC Bayern Munchen made on 63 minute. Leroy Sane leaves to be changed by Michael Olise.
68' Brilliant from the ! Matthias Ginter makes it 1-2 with a superb finish on 68.
73' FC Bayern Munchen looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Michael Olise scoring 1 goals.
75' Time for substitution for SC Freiburg. Lucas Holer is replaced by Chikwubuike Adamu.
76' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ritsu Doan.
77' SC Freiburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Johan Manzambi is hanging Maximilian Eggestein on the field on 77 minute.
82' It’s high time Julian Schuster made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
83' The crowd applauds Jamal Musiala as he leaves the pitch. Thomas Muller steps in for FC Bayern Munchen.
85' SC Freiburg make a change. Jordy Makengo trudges off to be replaced by Michael Gregoritsch on 85 minutes.
90' Vincenzo Grifo has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
The points are shared — SC Freiburg 1-2 FC Bayern Munchen. Honours even.

Lineups

SC Freiburg Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

8
Maximilian Eggestein ↓ Johan Manzambi 77'
42
Ritsu Doan
17
Lukas Kubler
3
Philipp Lienhart
27
Nicolas Hofler
9
Lucas Holer ↓ Chikwubuike Adamu 75'
34
Merlin Rohl
18
Eren Dinkci ↓ Vincenzo Grifo 77'
1
Noah Atubolu
33
Jordy Makengo ↓ Michael Gregoritsch 85'
37
Max Rosenfelder ↓ Matthias Ginter 46'

Bench

Coach Julian Schuster

FC Bayern München Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

10
Leroy Sane ↓ Michael Olise 63'
15
Eric Dier
9
Harry Kane
7
Serge Gnabry ↓ Kingsley Coman 63'
1
Manuel Neuer
6
Joshua Kimmich
8
Leon Goretzka ↓ Josip Stanisic 40'
22
Raphael Guerreiro ↓ Joao Palhinha 83'
42
Jamal Musiala ↓ Thomas Muller 83'
3
Min-Jae Kim
45
Aleksandar Pavlovic

Bench

26
Sven Ulreich
11
Kingsley Coman ↑ 63'
25
Thomas Muller ↑ 83'
16
Joao Palhinha ↑ 83'
17
Michael Olise ↑ 63'
23
Sacha Boey
44
Josip Stanisic ↑ 40'
39
Mathys Tel
49
Adam Aznou

Coach Vincent Kompany

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Robert Lewandowski	7
Serge Gnabry	7
Lucas Holer	6
Leroy Sane	4
Kingsley Coman	3
Dayot Upamecano	3
Marcel Sabitzer	2
Tom Bischof	2

Head to Head

SC Freiburg Form

2025-01-25 SC Freiburg 1–2 FC Bayern München L 2025-01-18 VfB Stuttgart 4–0 SC Freiburg L 2025-01-14 Eintracht Frankfurt 4–1 SC Freiburg L 2025-01-11 SC Freiburg 3–2 Holstein Kiel W 2024-12-21 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 5–1 SC Freiburg L 2024-12-13 SC Freiburg 3–2 VfL Wolfsburg W

FC Bayern München Form

2025-01-25 SC Freiburg 1–2 FC Bayern München W 2025-01-22 Feyenoord Rotterdam 3–0 FC Bayern München L 2025-01-18 FC Bayern München 3–2 VfL Wolfsburg W 2025-01-15 FC Bayern München 5–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2025-01-11 Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–1 FC Bayern München W 2024-12-20 FC Bayern München 5–1 RB Leipzig W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.42 SC Freiburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.88 FC Bayern München xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct

SC Freiburg28% Draw25% FC Bayern München47%

Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes64% 0% No36%

Avg goals/match: 3.3

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	63%	37%
± 3.5	42%	58%
± 4.5	24%	76%

Double Chance

SC Freiburg or Draw

53%

Draw or FC Bayern München

72%

SC Freiburg or FC Bayern München

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

SC Freiburg23% Draw42% FC Bayern München35%

Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.7%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 1

6.8%

0 – 2

6.5%

2 – 2

6.3%

0 – 1

6.3%

1 – 3

5.5%

0 – 0

5.2%

1 – 0

4.5%

2 – 3

0 – 3

2 – 0

3.8%

Asian Handicap — SC Freiburg

Handicap	SC Freiburg covers	Push	FC Bayern München covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	8%	87%
-1.5	13%	—	87%
-1	13%	15%	72%
-0.5	28%	—	72%
+0.5	53%	—	47%
+1	53%	20%	27%
+1.5	73%	—	27%
+2	73%	14%	12%
+2.5	88%	—	12%

Clean Sheet

SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.