Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Bayern München vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 1 Nov 2025 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern München vs Bayer 04 LeverkusenBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Deniz Aytekin
16 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 5.3 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Nov Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 3–0 W
29 Oct 1. FC Koln A 4–1 W
25 Oct Borussia Monchengladbach A 3–0 W
22 Oct Club Brugge KV H 4–0 W
18 Oct Borussia Dortmund H 2–1 W
04 Oct Eintracht Frankfurt A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Nov FC Bayern München A 0–3 L
29 Oct SC Paderborn 07 A 4–2 W
26 Oct SC Freiburg H 2–0 W
21 Oct Paris Saint-Germain FC H 2–7 L
18 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 4–3 W
04 Oct 1. FC Union Berlin H 2–0 W

Season Stats

FC Bayern München Bayer 04 Leverkusen
#1 Position #6
89 Points 59
34 Played 34
28 / 5 / 1 W / D / L 17 / 8 / 9
122 Scored 68
36 Conceded 47
+86 GD +21
2.62 PPG 1.74
82% Win % 50%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
35% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
24% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season

FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC Bayern München Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
3 FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 76% + FC Bayern München to win 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München71% Draw17% Bayer 04 Leverkusen12%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 4.08
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 76%
24%
± 3.5 57%
43%
± 4.5 38%
62%

Double Chance

FC Bayern München or Draw
87%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
29%
FC Bayern München or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
83%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München56% Draw32% Bayer 04 Leverkusen12%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.1%
3 – 1
7.9%
2 – 0
7.8%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
6.2%
4 – 1
5.9%
4 – 0
5.6%
1 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 2
4.3%
5 – 1
3.6%
5 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München

Handicap FC Bayern München covers Push Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5 35% 65%
-2 35% 20% 45%
-1.5 55% 45%
-1 55% 19% 26%
-0.5 74% 26%
+0.5 90% 10%
+1 90% 7% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
34%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
6%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.