Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 26 Oct 2025 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Harm Osmers
5 games this season 🟨 3.4/game ⚽ 10.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct SC Freiburg H 2–0 W
21 Oct Paris Saint-Germain FC H 2–7 L
18 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 4–3 W
04 Oct 1. FC Union Berlin H 2–0 W
01 Oct PSV H 1–1 D
27 Sep FC St. Pauli 1910 A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–2 L
23 Oct FC Utrecht H 2–0 W
19 Oct Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–2 D
05 Oct Borussia Mönchengladbach A 0–0 D
02 Oct Bologna FC 1909 A 1–1 D
28 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Bayer 04 Leverkusen SC Freiburg
#5 Position #3
7 Points 10
4 Played 4
2 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 0
10 Scored 12
5 Conceded 3
+5 GD +9
1.75 PPG 2.50
50% Win % 75%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
50% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 5th (7 pts). SC Freiburg are 3rd (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Freiburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
4/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

SC Freiburg Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.61 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.57 SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen45% Draw24% SC Freiburg31%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.18
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
69%
Draw or SC Freiburg
55%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or SC Freiburg
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen29% Draw43% SC Freiburg28%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
8%
2 – 2
6.4%
1 – 0
5.9%
0 – 0
5.8%
0 – 1
5.8%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.3%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push SC Freiburg covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 11% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 18% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 64% — 36%
+1 64% 18% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
22% ✗
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.