Sunday , 16 August 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 26 Oct 2025 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC FreiburgBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Harm Osmers
5 games this season 🟨 0.2/game 3.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct SC Freiburg H 2–0 W
21 Oct Paris Saint-Germain FC H 2–7 L
18 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 4–3 W
04 Oct 1. FC Union Berlin H 2–0 W
01 Oct PSV H 1–1 D
27 Sep FC St. Pauli 1910 A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–2 L
23 Oct FC Utrecht H 2–0 W
19 Oct Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–2 D
05 Oct Borussia Mönchengladbach A 0–0 D
02 Oct Bologna FC 1909 A 1–1 D
28 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Bayer 04 Leverkusen SC Freiburg
#12 Position #13
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 12th (0 pts). SC Freiburg are 13th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

SC Freiburg Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.04 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.63 SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 76% + Under — clean sheet likely 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen49% Draw32% SC Freiburg19%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes32% 0% No68%
Avg goals/match: 1.67
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 78%
22%
± 1.5 50%
50%
± 2.5 24%
76%
± 3.5 10%
90%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
81%
Draw or SC Freiburg
51%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or SC Freiburg
68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen27% Draw59% SC Freiburg14%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
21.5%
1 – 0
18.3%
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 1
10.3%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
6.4%
1 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 0
3.3%
3 – 1
2.3%
2 – 2
2.1%
4 – 0
0.9%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push SC Freiburg covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 12% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 26% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 15% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
54%
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
36%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.