EC Vitoria vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Vitoria vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Barradao.
- EC Vitoria 27 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 27 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 27 | 57 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 27 | 56 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | EC Bahia | 27 | 46 |
| 5 | Fluminense FC | 27 | 45 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 27 | 42 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 26 | 39 |
| 8 | Coritiba FBC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 26 | 36 |
| 10 | Santos FC | 26 | 35 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 27 | 35 |
| 12 | São Paulo FC | 26 | 33 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 27 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 27 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 27 | 29 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 27 | 28 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 27 | 28 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 26 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 27 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 26 | 17 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug | EC Bahia | H | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Aug | Botafogo FR | H | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Aug | CR Flamengo | A | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Jul | SE Palmeiras | H | 0–4 | L |
| 26 Jul | Clube do Remo | A | 0–2 | L |
| 23 Jul | Botafogo FR | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug | EC Vitoria | A | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | Chapecoense AF | A | 3–3 | D |
| 09 Aug | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Jul | Fluminense FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Jul | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Jul | CA Mineiro | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Vitoria | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #4 |
| 33 | Points | 46 |
| 27 | Played | 27 |
| 9 / 6 / 12 | W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 5 |
| 27 | Scored | 42 |
| 39 | Conceded | 33 |
| -12 | GD | +9 |
| 1.22 | PPG | 1.70 |
| 33% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
37%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
EC Vitoria are 13th (33 pts). EC Bahia are 4th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
1/9
46-60
1/1
61-75
5/4
76+
4/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
3/5
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/3
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 7 G | 1 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 4 G | 1 A |
| Matheuzinho | 4 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Barradao. Ninety minutes of football awaits between EC Vitoria and EC Bahia.
- 5' EC Vitoria seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with EC Bahia winning 50% of all matches.
- 15' It is a cagey affair so far. EC Vitoria in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past EC Bahia's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 20' Luciano Juba has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 5 goals this season.
- 25' The 18-year-old Ruan Pablo has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 26' Matheuzinho picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 31' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ze Vitor suffering a number of foals already.
- 36' EC Bahia fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 41' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His EC Vitoria side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 42' Rodrigo Nestor was booked on 42.
- 46' The whistle greets Diego Tarzia as he departs to be replaced by Leandro Martinez.
- 51' Everaldo is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for EC Vitoria so far.
- 56' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. EC Vitoria needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 61' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 62' EC Vitoria manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Marinho is hanging Erick on the field on 62 minute.
- 67' Goal! Alejo Veliz scores his 25 goal in 174 matches.
- 70' Renato Kayzer is replacing Matheuzinho for the EC Vitoria side.
- 75' Over 75 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 77' Another substitution for EC Vitoria to replace Emanuel Britez by Matheusinho on 77 minute.
- 78' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Erick on 78 minutes.
- 82' EC Bahia make a change. Erick trudges off to be replaced by Ruan Pablo on 82 minutes.
- 87' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Rogério Ceni will be considering his options from the bench.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Jean Lucas. He receives a card.
- 90' Alejo Veliz makes way for Everaldo at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from EC Bahia.
- With this win, EC Bahia is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
EC Vitoria Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 25
- 33
- 36
- 15
- 2
- 13
- 1
- 10
- 12
- 88
- 91
Bench
- 7
- 8
- 23
- 83
- 79
- 11
- 71
- 6
- 98
- 18
- 18
- 26
- 9
Coach
Jair Ventura
EC Bahia Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1
-
14
Erick ↓ Jean Lucas 70'
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↓ Michel Araujo 82'
- 33
- 21
- 46
- 5
-
9
Alejo Veliz ↓ Everaldo 90'
-
16
Erick ↓ Ruan Pablo 82'
- 99
- 31
Bench
-
6
Jean Lucas ↑ 70'
- 4
- 12
- 17
-
27
Everaldo ↑ 90'
- 8
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 82'
- 44
- 3
- 23
- 66
-
77
Ruan Pablo ↑ 82'
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Leo Ceara | 2 |
| Renato Kayzer | 2 |
| Vinicius | 1 |
| Jean Lucas | 1 |
| Gilberto | 1 |
| Alejo Veliz | 1 |
| Lucas Marques | 1 |
| Nilton | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Vitoria Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.91
EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.69
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.6
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
EC Vitoria or Draw
50%
Draw or EC Bahia
77%
EC Vitoria or EC Bahia
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
0 – 1
11.7%
0 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
9.4%
1 – 2
9.3%
1 – 0
5.8%
0 – 3
5.7%
1 – 3
5.3%
2 – 1
5%
2 – 2
4.3%
2 – 0
3%
2 – 3
2.5%
Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria
| Handicap | EC Vitoria covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -0.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| +0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +1 | 46% | 24% | 30% |
| +1.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +2 | 70% | 17% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.