Wednesday , 30 September 2026

EC Bahia vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2026
EC Bahia
1 – 1
Full Time
EC Vitoria
Wed 11 Mar 2026 · 23:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

EC Bahia vs EC Vitoria — Serie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Rafael Klein (Brazil)
10 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 6.5 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 28 60
2 SE Palmeiras 28 57
3 CA Paranaense 28 49
4 Fluminense FC 28 48
5 EC Bahia 28 46
6 Cruzeiro EC 28 45
7 CA Mineiro 27 40
8 Santos FC 27 38
9 Coritiba FBC 28 38
10 RB Bragantino 27 36
11 Sao Paulo FC 27 36
12 Botafogo FR 28 35
13 EC Vitoria 28 33
14 SC Corinthians Paulista 28 32
15 Mirassol FC 28 32
16 CR Vasco da Gama 27 31
17 Gremio FBPA 28 29
18 SC Internacional 28 28
19 Clube do Remo 28 23
20 Chapecoense AF 27 18

Head-to-Head

5
4
1
EC Bahia 10 games · Avg 2.8 goals EC Vitoria
Last 5 meetings
2026-03-11 EC Bahia 1–1 EC Vitoria 2025-10-17 EC Vitoria 2–1 EC Bahia 2025-05-18 EC Bahia 2–1 EC Vitoria 2024-08-11 EC Bahia 2–0 EC Vitoria 2024-04-21 EC Vitoria 2–2 EC Bahia

Recent Form

EC Bahia
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Mar EC Vitoria H 1–1 D
12 Feb CR Vasco da Gama A 1–0 W
05 Feb Fluminense FC H 1–1 D
28 Jan SC Corinthians Paulista A 2–1 W
07 Dec Fluminense FC A 0–2 L
03 Dec SC Recife H 2–0 W
EC Vitoria
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Mar EC Bahia A 1–1 D
11 Feb CR Flamengo H 1–2 L
05 Feb SE Palmeiras A 1–5 L
28 Jan Clube do Remo H 2–0 W
07 Dec Sao Paulo FC H 1–0 W
03 Dec RB Bragantino A 0–4 L

Season Stats

EC Bahia EC Vitoria
#5 Position #13
46 Points 33
28 Played 28
12 / 10 / 6 W / D / L 9 / 6 / 13
43 Scored 28
35 Conceded 42
+8 GD -14
1.64 PPG 1.18
43% Win % 32%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
36% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
39% Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season

EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts). EC Vitoria are 13th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
2/9
46-60
1/2
61-75
5/5
76+
4/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 9 G 1 A
Jean Lucas 4 G 3 A
Erick 4 G
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A
EC Vitoria
Carlos Rene 8 G 1 A
Matheuzinho 4 G 2 A
Renato Kayzer 4 G 1 A
Gabriel Baralhas 2 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for EC Bahia to score. At the same time, EC Vitoria does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

EC Bahia Lineups

EC Vitoria Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Leo Ceara 2
Renato Kayzer 2
Wagner Leonardo 1
Raul Caceres 1
Vinicius 1
Matheuzinho 1
Tiago 1
Gilberto 1

Head to Head

2026-03-11 EC Bahia 1–1 EC Vitoria 2025-10-17 EC Vitoria 2–1 EC Bahia 2025-05-18 EC Bahia 2–1 EC Vitoria 2024-08-11 EC Bahia 2–0 EC Vitoria 2024-04-21 EC Vitoria 2–2 EC Bahia

EC Bahia Form

2026-03-11 EC Bahia 1–1 EC Vitoria D 2026-02-12 CR Vasco da Gama 0–1 EC Bahia W 2026-02-05 EC Bahia 1–1 Fluminense FC D 2026-01-28 SC Corinthians Paulista 1–2 EC Bahia W 2025-12-07 Fluminense FC 2–0 EC Bahia L 2025-12-03 EC Bahia 2–0 SC Recife W

EC Vitoria Form

2026-03-11 EC Bahia 1–1 EC Vitoria D 2026-02-11 EC Vitoria 1–2 CR Flamengo L 2026-02-05 SE Palmeiras 5–1 EC Vitoria L 2026-01-28 EC Vitoria 2–0 Clube do Remo W 2025-12-07 EC Vitoria 1–0 Sao Paulo FC W 2025-12-03 RB Bragantino 4–0 EC Vitoria L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.99 EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for: EC Bahia to win 58% + Over 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
EC Bahia58% Draw24% EC Vitoria18%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.93
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

EC Bahia or Draw
81%
Draw or EC Vitoria
42%
EC Bahia or EC Vitoria
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
EC Bahia43% Draw43% EC Vitoria14%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
10.4%
1 – 0
10%
2 – 1
9.6%
0 – 0
7.1%
3 – 0
6.7%
3 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 1
4.3%
4 – 0
3.3%
4 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — EC Bahia

Handicap EC Bahia covers Push EC Vitoria covers
-2.5 18% — 82%
-2 18% 19% 63%
-1.5 37% — 63%
-1 37% 23% 40%
-0.5 60% — 40%
+0.5 84% — 16%
+1 84% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
40% ✓
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.