Ceará SC vs CA Mineiro, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Ceará SC vs CA Mineiro — Serie A at Castelao.
- Ceará SC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- CA Mineiro 33 games · 50 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 33 | 73 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 33 | 70 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 33 | 57 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 33 | 54 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 33 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 33 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 33 | 50 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 33 | 47 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 33 | 44 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo FC | 33 | 43 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 33 | 39 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 32 | 39 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 32 | 38 |
| 14 | EC Vitoria | 32 | 38 |
| 15 | Gremio FBPA | 33 | 37 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 33 | 37 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 33 | 36 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 33 | 35 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 33 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 32 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun | CA Mineiro | H | 0–1 | L |
| 17 May | SC Recife | H | 2–0 | W |
| 12 May | Santos FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 May | EC Vitoria | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Apr | Sao Paulo FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Apr | EC Bahia | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun | Ceará SC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 25 May | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 0–0 | D |
| 18 May | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 11 May | Fluminense FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 05 May | EC Juventude | A | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Apr | Mirassol FC | A | 2–2 | D |
Key Stats
62%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
62%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Mineiro
0-15
3/5
16-30
8/–
31-45
5/6
46-60
2/2
61-75
8/5
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Mineiro
| Bernard | 5 G | 4 A |
| Tomas Cuello | 5 G | 2 A |
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 4 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Ceará SC to score. At the same time, CA Mineiro does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 10' Ceará SC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined CA Mineiro backline.
- 15' The 31-year-old Rony has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 20' Fernando Sobral is a natural midfielder and has been asked to do a very specific job for CA Mineiro tonight.
- 25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 30' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 35' Dieguinho was booked on 35.
- 40' A quiet spell here at Castelao. Ceará SC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 44' CA Mineiro player sees a card in front of him.
- 46' Hulk is ready to make an impact after coming on for Vitor Hugo at the 46 minute mark.
- 49' That looks like a foul for a card for Lyanco.
- 54' The travelling CA Mineiro supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 59' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 64' CA Mineiro are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 66' Another substitution for CA Mineiro to replace Igor Gomes by Junior Santos on 66 minute.
- 71' CA Mineiro fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 73' Pedro Henrique makes way for Romulo at the 73 minute mark. A tactical switch from Ceara SC.
- 78' Rony is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
- 82' Bruno Tubarao is ready to make an impact after coming on for Fernando Sobral at the 82 minute mark.
- 83' A tactical swap from CA Mineiro — Gabriel Menino on, Gustavo Scarpa off on 83 minutes.
- 86' The Ceara SC bench stirs into life. Lucas Mugni is withdrawn and Lourenco gets his opportunity.
- 87' Antonio Galeano makes way for Aylon at the 87 minute mark. A tactical switch from Ceara SC.
- 90' That is a card for CA Mineiro. Lyanco will be fuming at that decision.
- 90' CA Mineiro ring the changes. Patrick Silva has done his job and it is now time for Igor Rabello to step up.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. CA Mineiro take all three points.
Lineups
Ceará SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 3
- 30
- 10
- 7
- 88
- 9
- 70
- 20
- 27
- 23
Bench
- 40
- 11
- 33
- 97
- 2
- 94
- 8
- 29
- 31
- 99
- 19
- 80
Coach
Leo Condé
CA Mineiro Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 33
-
17
Igor Gomes ↓ Junior Santos 66'
-
10
Gustavo Scarpa ↓ Gabriel Menino 83'
- 6
- 4
-
14
Vitor Hugo ↓ Hulk 46'
- 21
-
2
Natanael ↓ Renzo Saravia 66'
- 44
-
20
Patrick Silva ↓ Igor Rabello 90'
Bench
-
16
Igor Rabello ↑ 90'
-
37
Junior Santos ↑ 66'
- 38
- 11
-
26
Renzo Saravia ↑ 66'
- 8
-
25
Gabriel Menino ↑ 83'
-
7
Hulk ↑ 46'
- 1
- 47
- 23
- 19
Coach
Cuca
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luan | 2 |
| Hulk | 2 |
| Marrony | 2 |
| Thiago Galhardo | 1 |
| Roger Guedes | 1 |
| Romulo Otero | 1 |
| Rony | 1 |
| Naldo | 1 |
Head to Head
Ceará SC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.98
Ceará SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95
CA Mineiro xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 70% + CA Mineiro or Draw 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CA Mineiro win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.93
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 1.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 2.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 3.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
Ceará SC or Draw
66%
Draw or CA Mineiro
67%
Ceará SC or CA Mineiro
67%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17%
1 – 1
14.5%
1 – 0
12.8%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
6.6%
2 – 1
6.4%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
3.2%
3 – 1
2.1%
3 – 0
2.1%
1 – 3
2%
Asian Handicap — Ceará SC
| Handicap | Ceará SC covers | Push | CA Mineiro covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 20% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 20% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 9% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.