EC Bahia vs CA Paranaense, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs CA Paranaense — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 34 games · 53 pts (2026/26)
- CA Paranaense 34 games · 54 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov | CA Paranaense | H | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Nov | Cuiabá EC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 04 Nov | Gremio FBPA | A | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Oct | Fluminense FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Oct | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov | EC Bahia | A | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Nov | Fortaleza EC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Nov | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Nov | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Oct | São Paulo FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Oct | América FC | H | 3–2 | W |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | CA Paranaense | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #5 |
| 53 | Points | 54 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 14 / 11 / 9 | W / D / L | 15 / 9 / 10 |
| 50 | Scored | 51 |
| 45 | Conceded | 43 |
| +5 | GD | +8 |
| 1.56 | PPG | 1.59 |
| 41% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
47%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
41%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
29%
Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
CA Paranaense this season
EC Bahia are 6th (53 pts). CA Paranaense are 5th (54 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
10/7
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/7
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Paranaense
0-15
7/6
16-30
5/6
31-45
6/4
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/6
76+
8/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 11 G | 2 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
CA Paranaense
| Kevin Viveros | 21 G | 3 A |
| Stiven Mendoza | 6 G | 1 A |
| Leozinho | 5 G | |
| Julimar | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Arena Fonte Nova. Ninety minutes of football awaits between EC Bahia and CA Paranaense.
- 5' Willian has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 10' EC Bahia currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 15' Thiago Heleno has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 20' Brazil international Luciano Juba has been a key figure this campaign — 9 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
- 25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 29' It’s a booking for CA Paranaense player. Hugo Moura gets a Yellow card.
- 34' CA Paranaense looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Lucas Esquivel scoring 1 goals.
- 39' Everaldo is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for EC Bahia tonight.
- 44' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 46' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Caca.
- 51' EC Bahia are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 56' Vitor Bueno gets the nod from CA Paranaense. He replaces Tomas Cuello and will look to change the dynamic.
- 61' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 65' The referee has no hesitation. David Duarte is booked for EC Bahia — Yellow card on 65.
- 70' CA Paranaense started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 70.
- 71' Agustin Canobbio catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 71.
- 72' The referee shows CA Paranaense player a Yellow card on 72.
- 73' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for David Duarte.
- 73' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Everaldo makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 75' EC Bahia ring the changes. Thaciano has done his job and it is now time for Yago Felipe to step up.
- 77' Controversy at the stadium! Everaldo argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 80' Kanu catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 80.
- 80' Luciano Arriagada is replacing Willian for the CA Paranaense side.
- 85' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering CA Paranaense that had 389 games and scored 398 goals.
- 87' The Uruguay Agustin Canobbio breaks the deadlock on 87 minutes. 1-1!
- 90' It is a substitution in EC Bahia team. Cauly is replaced by Rafael Ratao on 90 minute.
- The points are shared — EC Bahia 1-1 CA Paranaense. Honours even.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
-
28
Thaciano ↓ Yago Felipe 75'
- 2
- –
- 4
-
8
Cauly ↓ Rafael Ratao 90'
- 31
- 9
- –
- 26
- 10
- 5
Bench
-
20
Yago Felipe ↑ 75'
-
7
Ademir Santos ↑ 90'
- 1
- 18
- 19
- 40
-
11
Rafael Ratao ↑ 90'
- 33
- 29
- 79
- 44
- 3
Coach
Rogério Ceni
CA Paranaense Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
- 44
-
11
Willian ↓ Luciano Arriagada 80'
- 5
-
28
Tomas Cuello ↓ Vitor Bueno 56'
-
17
Hugo Moura ↓ Christian 56'
-
10
Bruno Zapelli ↓ Daniel Martins 90'
- 1
- 37
-
42
Matheus Piaui ↓ Thiago Andrade 80'
- 14
Bench
- 33
-
88
Christian ↑ 56'
-
8
Vitor Bueno ↑ 56'
-
32
Luciano Arriagada ↑ 80'
-
19
Thiago Andrade ↑ 80'
- 45
- 21
- 24
- –
-
87
Daniel Martins ↑ 90'
- –
- 46
Coach
Wesley Carvalho
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Everaldo | 4 |
| Rony | 2 |
| Vitor Roque | 2 |
| Luciano Juba | 2 |
| Gabriel Teixeira | 2 |
| Lucas Esquivel | 1 |
| Gilberto | 1 |
| Jorge Rivaldo | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.31
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17
CA Paranaense xG
I would bet for:
EC Bahia or CA Paranaense 71% + Under 2.5 goals 55%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
70%
Draw or CA Paranaense
59%
EC Bahia or CA Paranaense
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.5%
1 – 0
9.9%
0 – 1
8.7%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 0
7%
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
3.6%
3 – 0
3%
1 – 3
2.8%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | CA Paranaense covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 11% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 20% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 18% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.