EC Bahia vs CA Paranaense, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs CA Paranaense — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 28 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- CA Paranaense 28 games · 49 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov | CA Paranaense | H | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Nov | Cuiaba EC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 04 Nov | Gremio FBPA | A | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Oct | Fluminense FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Oct | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov | EC Bahia | A | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Nov | Fortaleza EC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Nov | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Nov | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Oct | Sao Paulo FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Oct | America FC | H | 3–2 | W |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | CA Paranaense | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #3 |
| 46 | Points | 49 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 12 / 10 / 6 | W / D / L | 14 / 7 / 7 |
| 43 | Scored | 43 |
| 35 | Conceded | 32 |
| +8 | GD | +11 |
| 1.64 | PPG | 1.75 |
| 43% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
47%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
41%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
36%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
36%
Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
CA Paranaense this season
EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts). CA Paranaense are 3rd (49 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Paranaense
0-15
5/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
5/3
46-60
6/–
61-75
3/3
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
CA Paranaense
| Kevin Viveros | 18 G | 3 A |
| Stiven Mendoza | 5 G | 1 A |
| Leozinho | 4 G | |
| Julimar | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' EC Bahia have kicked off against CA Paranaense. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' EC Bahia has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Willian suffering a number of foals already.
- 15' EC Bahia is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 25' Gabriel Teixeira is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for CA Paranaense tonight.
- 29' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Hugo Moura on 29 minutes.
- 34' EC Bahia have won 359 goals from 333 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 39' Supporters expect more eagerness from Nicolas Acevedo, as he is very good at scoring at Arena Fonte Nova with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 44' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Wesley Carvalho will be considering his options from the bench.
- 46' A moment of madness from Caca on 46 minutes earns him a Yellow card. CA Paranaense will be frustrated.
- 51' CA Paranaense started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 51.
- 56' A tactical swap from CA Paranaense — Vitor Bueno on, Tomas Cuello off on 56 minutes.
- 61' Over 61 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 65' David Duarte is having his name booked by the referee on 65.
- 70' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering CA Paranaense that had 380 games and scored 384 goals.
- 71' CA Paranaense receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 71.
- 72' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Agustin Canobbio on 72 minutes.
- 73' EC Bahia player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 73' Everaldo has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 73 minutes.
- 75' It is a substitution in EC Bahia team. Thaciano is replaced by Yago Felipe on 75 minute.
- 77' Controversy at the stadium! Everaldo argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 80' Poor challenge from Kanu. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 80' Fresh legs for CA Paranaense! Luciano Arriagada comes on to replace Willian.
- 85' The travelling CA Paranaense supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 87' Agustin Canobbio doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 90' EC Bahia ring the changes. Cauly has done his job and it is now time for Rafael Ratao to step up.
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
-
28
Thaciano ↓ Yago Felipe 75'
- 2
- –
- 4
-
8
Cauly ↓ Rafael Ratao 90'
- 31
- 9
- –
- 26
- 10
- 5
Bench
-
20
Yago Felipe ↑ 75'
-
7
Ademir Santos ↑ 90'
- 1
- 18
- 19
- 40
-
11
Rafael Ratao ↑ 90'
- 33
- 29
- 79
- 44
- 3
Coach
Rogério Ceni
CA Paranaense Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
- 44
-
11
Willian ↓ Luciano Arriagada 80'
- 5
-
28
Tomas Cuello ↓ Vitor Bueno 56'
-
17
Hugo Moura ↓ Christian 56'
-
10
Bruno Zapelli ↓ Daniel Martins 90'
- 1
- 37
-
42
Matheus Piaui ↓ Thiago Andrade 80'
- 14
Bench
- 33
-
88
Christian ↑ 56'
-
8
Vitor Bueno ↑ 56'
-
32
Luciano Arriagada ↑ 80'
-
19
Thiago Andrade ↑ 80'
- 45
- 21
- 24
- –
-
87
Daniel Martins ↑ 90'
- –
- 46
Coach
Wesley Carvalho
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Everaldo | 4 |
| Luciano Juba | 2 |
| Gabriel Teixeira | 2 |
| Rony | 2 |
| Vitor Roque | 2 |
| Pablo Felipe | 1 |
| Fernandao | 1 |
| Agustin Canobbio | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.26
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15
CA Paranaense xG
I would bet for:
EC Bahia or CA Paranaense 71% + Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.41
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
69%
Draw or CA Paranaense
60%
EC Bahia or CA Paranaense
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.2%
1 – 0
10.2%
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 0
6.9%
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
3.4%
3 – 0
2.9%
1 – 3
2.8%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | CA Paranaense covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 11% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 20% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 18% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

