EC Bahia vs CA Paranaense, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs CA Paranaense — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 22 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- CA Paranaense 23 games · 41 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov | CA Paranaense | H | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Nov | Cuiaba EC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 04 Nov | Gremio FBPA | A | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Oct | Fluminense FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Oct | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov | EC Bahia | A | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Nov | Fortaleza EC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Nov | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Nov | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Oct | Sao Paulo FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Oct | America FC | H | 3–2 | W |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | CA Paranaense | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #3 |
| 33 | Points | 41 |
| 22 | Played | 23 |
| 8 / 9 / 5 | W / D / L | 12 / 5 / 6 |
| 29 | Scored | 31 |
| 25 | Conceded | 20 |
| +4 | GD | +11 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 1.78 |
| 36% | Win % | 52% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
43%
Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
CA Paranaense this season
EC Bahia are 5th (33 pts). CA Paranaense are 3rd (41 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Paranaense
0-15
2/4
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/–
61-75
1/1
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
CA Paranaense
| Kevin Viveros | 14 G | 2 A |
| Stiven Mendoza | 5 G | |
| Julimar | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' EC Bahia have kicked off against CA Paranaense. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering EC Bahia that had 329 games and scored 352 goals.
- 10' The 30-year-old Marcos Felipe has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Wesley Carvalho will be considering his options from the bench.
- 20' Gilberto needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 29 Yellow cards this season.
- 25' With 0 assists to his name this season, Cauly is clearly more than just a goal scorer for EC Bahia.
- 29' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Hugo Moura on 29 minutes.
- 34' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His EC Bahia side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 39' EC Bahia have won 352 goals from 329 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 44' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 46' A moment of madness from Caca on 46 minutes earns him a Yellow card. CA Paranaense will be frustrated.
- 51' EC Bahia looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Everaldo scoring 2 goals.
- 56' Vitor Bueno gets the nod from CA Paranaense. He replaces Tomas Cuello and will look to change the dynamic.
- 61' The home supporters are growing impatient. EC Bahia must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 65' David Duarte was booked on 65.
- 70' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 71' Agustin Canobbio catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 71.
- 72' The referee has no hesitation. Agustin Canobbio is booked for CA Paranaense — Yellow card on 72.
- 73' A moment of madness from David Duarte on 73 minutes earns him a Yellow card. EC Bahia will be frustrated.
- 73' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Everaldo makes it 1-0.
- 75' A tactical swap from EC Bahia — Yago Felipe on, Thaciano off on 75 minutes.
- 77' Controversy at the stadium! Everaldo argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 80' EC Bahia player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 80' Luciano Arriagada is ready to make an impact after coming on for Willian at the 80 minute mark.
- 85' The travelling CA Paranaense supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 87' Agustin Canobbio has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 87 minutes.
- 90' The crowd applauds Cauly as he leaves the pitch. Rafael Ratao steps in for EC Bahia.
- The final score is 1-1.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
-
28
Thaciano ↓ Yago Felipe 75'
- 2
- –
- 4
-
8
Cauly ↓ Rafael Ratao 90'
- 31
- 9
- –
- 26
- 10
- 5
Bench
-
20
Yago Felipe ↑ 75'
-
7
Ademir Santos ↑ 90'
- 1
- 18
- 19
- 40
-
11
Rafael Ratao ↑ 90'
- 33
- 29
- 79
- 44
- 3
Coach
Rogério Ceni
CA Paranaense Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
- 44
-
11
Willian ↓ Luciano Arriagada 80'
- 5
-
28
Tomas Cuello ↓ Vitor Bueno 56'
-
17
Hugo Moura ↓ Christian 56'
-
10
Bruno Zapelli ↓ Daniel Martins 90'
- 1
- 37
-
42
Matheus Piaui ↓ Thiago Andrade 80'
- 14
Bench
- 33
-
88
Christian ↑ 56'
-
8
Vitor Bueno ↑ 56'
-
32
Luciano Arriagada ↑ 80'
-
19
Thiago Andrade ↑ 80'
- 45
- 21
- 24
- –
-
87
Daniel Martins ↑ 90'
- –
- 46
Coach
Wesley Carvalho
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Everaldo | 4 |
| Vitor Roque | 2 |
| Luciano Juba | 2 |
| Gabriel Teixeira | 2 |
| Rony | 2 |
| Rony | 1 |
| Pablo Felipe | 1 |
| Fernandao | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.02
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03
CA Paranaense xG
I would bet for:
EC Bahia or CA Paranaense 69% + Under 2.5 goals 67%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.05
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 2.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 3.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
68%
Draw or CA Paranaense
63%
EC Bahia or CA Paranaense
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.4%
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
12%
1 – 0
11.8%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
6.7%
0 – 2
6.5%
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
3.6%
1 – 3
2.4%
3 – 1
2.3%
0 – 3
2.2%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | CA Paranaense covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 20% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 20% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

