EC Bahia vs CA Paranaense, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs CA Paranaense — Serie A at Estadio Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 28 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- CA Paranaense 28 games · 49 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Jonathan Benkenstein Pinheiro
- Assistant 1 Maira Mastella Moreira (Brazil)
3 games this season
🟨 4.7/game
⚽ 13.3 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr | CA Paranaense | H | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Mar | Clube do Remo | A | 1–4 | L |
| 18 Mar | RB Bragantino | H | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Mar | SC Internacional | A | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Mar | EC Vitoria | H | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Feb | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr | EC Bahia | A | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Mar | Botafogo FR | H | 4–1 | W |
| 22 Mar | Coritiba FBC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Mar | Cruzeiro EC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | Fluminense FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 25 Feb | RB Bragantino | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | CA Paranaense | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #3 |
| 46 | Points | 49 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 12 / 10 / 6 | W / D / L | 14 / 7 / 7 |
| 43 | Scored | 43 |
| 35 | Conceded | 32 |
| +8 | GD | +11 |
| 1.64 | PPG | 1.75 |
| 43% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
47%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
41%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
36%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
36%
Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
CA Paranaense this season
EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts). CA Paranaense are 3rd (49 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Paranaense
0-15
5/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
5/3
46-60
6/–
61-75
3/3
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
CA Paranaense
| Kevin Viveros | 18 G | 3 A |
| Stiven Mendoza | 5 G | 1 A |
| Leozinho | 4 G | |
| Julimar | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Estadio Fonte Nova. EC Bahia are looking to make home advantage count against CA Paranaense.
- 3' What a strike from Everaldo! The score is 1-0.
- 8' Jean Lucas has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 31 cards already picked up this season.
- 13' Supporters expect more eagerness from Dudu, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio Fonte Nova with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 18' It looks surprising CA Paranaense does not make any changes. Everton Ribeiro has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 23' Both keepers have barely been tested. EC Bahia and CA Paranaense are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 26' Controversy at the stadium! David Duarte argues furiously but the card stands.
- 31' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Juan Portilla made 383 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 35' A stunning finish from Everaldo — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 40' The home supporters are growing impatient. EC Bahia must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 42' The referee has no hesitation. Jadson is booked for CA Paranaense — card on 42.
- 45' The referee has no hesitation. Everaldo is booked for EC Bahia — card on 45.
- 46' It is a substitution in CA Paranaense team. Julimar is replaced by Bruno Zapelli on 46 minute.
- 51' The energy levels are beginning to show. Odair Hellmann might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 56' Joao Victor is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for EC Bahia so far.
- 60' EC Bahia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Erick is hanging Caio Alexandre on the field on 60 minute.
- 65' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both EC Bahia and CA Paranaense are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 66' Jadson makes way for Joao Victor at the 66 minute mark. A tactical switch from CA Paranaense.
- 68' Ademir Santos has so much to prove this time. He replaces Erick on 68 minute.
- 73' Nicolas Acevedo is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for EC Bahia tonight.
- 78' The supporters are chanting for Bruno Ramos. He replaces Dudu on 78 minute.
- 83' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Odair Hellmann will be considering his options from the bench.
- 85' Another substitution for EC Bahia to replace Everaldo by Willian Jose on 85 minute.
- 90' Gaston Benavidez picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 3-0 the final result. CA Paranaense will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 6
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↓ Michel Araujo 68'
- 22
-
27
Everaldo ↓ Willian Jose 85'
- 33
- 21
-
8
Caio Alexandre ↓ Erick 60'
- 46
- 5
-
16
Erick ↓ Ademir Santos 68'
- 99
Bench
-
7
Ademir Santos ↑ 68'
- 2
-
12
Willian Jose ↑ 85'
-
25
Iago Borduchi ↑ 85'
- 34
-
14
Erick ↑ 60'
- 11
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 68'
- 44
- 3
- 31
- 89
Coach
Rogério Ceni
CA Paranaense Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
16
Jadson ↓ Joao Victor 66'
- 3
- 23
- 7
-
14
Luiz Gustavo ↓ Juan Portilla 46'
-
20
Julimar ↓ Bruno Zapelli 46'
-
13
Carlos Teran ↓ Derik 46'
- 29
- 33
-
53
Dudu ↓ Bruno Ramos 78'
- 9
Bench
-
10
Bruno Zapelli ↑ 46'
- 1
- 11
-
6
Derik ↑ 46'
-
8
Joao Victor ↑ 66'
- 5
- 2
-
48
Bruno Ramos ↑ 78'
- 26
-
27
Juan Portilla ↑ 46'
- 70
- 21
Coach
Odair Hellmann
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Everaldo | 4 |
| Rony | 2 |
| Vitor Roque | 2 |
| Luciano Juba | 2 |
| Gabriel Teixeira | 2 |
| Patrick | 1 |
| Erick | 1 |
| David Terans | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.83
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05
CA Paranaense xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
79%
Draw or CA Paranaense
45%
EC Bahia or CA Paranaense
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Bahia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
2 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
9.5%
2 – 0
9.2%
0 – 0
7.3%
3 – 1
5.8%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 1
5%
3 – 2
3.1%
0 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | CA Paranaense covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 17% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 23% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 13% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

