Monday , 26 October 2026

1. FC Koln vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 17 Jan 2026 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Koln vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Zwayer
13 games this season 🟨 3.9/game ⚽ 12.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 2–1 W
14 Jan FC Bayern Munchen H 1–3 L
10 Jan 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–2 D
20 Dec 1. FC Union Berlin H 0–1 L
13 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–2 L
06 Dec FC St. Pauli 1910 H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan 1. FC Koln A 1–2 L
13 Jan 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–1 W
10 Jan 1. FC Union Berlin A 2–2 D
21 Dec FC St. Pauli 1910 H 0–0 D
14 Dec FC Bayern Munchen A 2–2 D
05 Dec Borussia Monchengladbach H 0–1 L

Season Stats

1. FC Koln 1. FSV Mainz 05
#12 Position #7
8 Points 10
7 Played 7
2 / 2 / 3 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 3
8 Scored 16
11 Conceded 13
-3 GD +3
1.14 PPG 1.43
29% Win % 43%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
1. FC Koln this season
43% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

1. FC Koln are 12th (8 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 7th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FC Koln
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/3
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/5
16-30
3/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/2
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FC Koln
Thijs Dallinga 2 G
Said El Mala 2 G
1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 5 G
Anthony Caci 3 G 3 A
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 4 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

1. FC Koln Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.39 1. FC Koln xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: 1. FC Koln or 1. FSV Mainz 05 74% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Koln39% Draw26% 1. FSV Mainz 0535%
Actual: 1. FC Koln win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 2.98
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

1. FC Koln or Draw
64%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
61%
1. FC Koln or 1. FSV Mainz 05
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FC Koln25% Draw44% 1. FSV Mainz 0531%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 2
8.6%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
7.2%
0 – 0
6.8%
0 – 2
6.4%
1 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
6%
2 – 0
4.8%
1 – 3
4.6%
3 – 1
3.5%
0 – 3
3.3%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Koln

Handicap 1. FC Koln covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 17% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 59% — 41%
+1 59% 20% 21%
+1.5 79% — 21%
+2 79% 13% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Koln keeps clean sheet
21% ✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.