1. FC Koln vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

1. FC Koln

2 – 1

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Sat 17 Jan 2026 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Koln vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga .

1. FC Koln 2 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
1. FSV Mainz 05 2 games · 4 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Felix Zwayer

9 games this season 🟨 4.6/game ⚽ 14.1 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Augsburg	2	6
2	SC Freiburg	2	6
3	Borussia Dortmund	2	6
4	SV 07 Elversberg	2	6
5	1. FSV Mainz 05	2	4
6	FC Bayern Munchen	2	4
7	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	2	3
8	RB Leipzig	2	3
9	VfB Stuttgart	2	3
10	SV Werder Bremen	2	3
11	1. FC Koln	2	3
12	SC Paderborn 07	2	1
13	Eintracht Frankfurt	2	1
14	FC Schalke 04	2	1
15	1. FC Union Berlin	2	1
16	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	2	0
17	Borussia Monchengladbach	2	0
18	Hamburger SV	2	0

Head-to-Head

1. FC Koln 16 games · Avg 2.6 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2026-01-17 1. FC Koln 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2025-08-24 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 1. FC Koln 2024-04-28 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 1. FC Koln 2023-12-10 1. FC Koln 0–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-04-15 1. FC Koln 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

1. FC Koln

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Jan	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	2–1	W
14 Jan	FC Bayern Munchen	H	1–3	L
10 Jan	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	A	2–2	D
20 Dec	1. FC Union Berlin	H	0–1	L
13 Dec	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	0–2	L
06 Dec	FC St. Pauli 1910	H	1–1	D

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Jan	1. FC Koln	A	1–2	L
13 Jan	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	H	2–1	W
10 Jan	1. FC Union Berlin	A	2–2	D
21 Dec	FC St. Pauli 1910	H	0–0	D
14 Dec	FC Bayern Munchen	A	2–2	D
05 Dec	Borussia Monchengladbach	H	0–1	L

Season Stats

1. FC Koln		1. FSV Mainz 05
#11	Position	#5
3	Points	4
2	Played	2
1 / 0 / 1	W / D / L	1 / 1 / 0
4	Scored	5
6	Conceded	0
-2	GD	+5
1.50	PPG	2.00
50%	Win %	50%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
1. FC Koln this season

100% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

1. FC Koln are 11th (3 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 5th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FC Koln

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/1

46-60

1/1

61-75

1/2

76+

1/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/–

31-45

1/–

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/–

76+

2/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FC Koln

Thijs Dallinga	2 G
Said El Mala	1 G

1. FSV Mainz 05

Phillip Tietz	2 G
Sheraldo Becker	1 G	2 A
Philipp Mwene	1 G	1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. 1. FC Koln is hosting 1. FSV Mainz 05 for another epic battle.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for 1. FSV Mainz 05.

Lineups

1. FC Koln Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jonathan Burkardt	3
Karim Onisiwo	3
Leandro Barreiro Martins	2
Ellyes Skhiri	2
Jean-Paul Boetius	2
Dejan Ljubicic	2
Florian Kainz	2
Anton Stach	1

Head to Head

1. FC Koln Form

2026-01-17 1. FC Koln 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2026-01-14 1. FC Koln 1–3 FC Bayern Munchen L 2026-01-10 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 2–2 1. FC Koln D 2025-12-20 1. FC Koln 0–1 1. FC Union Berlin L 2025-12-13 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–0 1. FC Koln L 2025-12-06 1. FC Koln 1–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 D

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2026-01-17 1. FC Koln 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2026-01-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 W 2026-01-10 1. FC Union Berlin 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2025-12-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 D 2025-12-14 FC Bayern Munchen 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2025-12-05 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 Borussia Monchengladbach L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

0.7 1. FC Koln xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.45 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 60% + 1. FSV Mainz 05 to win 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

1. FC Koln22% Draw19% 1. FSV Mainz 0559%

Actual: 1. FC Koln win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes46% 0% No54%

Avg goals/match: 3.15

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	81%	19%
± 2.5	60%	40%
± 3.5	38%	62%
± 4.5	21%	79%

Double Chance

1. FC Koln or Draw

41%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

78%

1. FC Koln or 1. FSV Mainz 05

81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

1. FC Koln8% Draw37% 1. FSV Mainz 0555%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–1 not predicted

2 – 1

Actual

0 – 2

12.8%

0 – 1

10.3%

0 – 3

10.1%

1 – 2

8.7%

1 – 1

1 – 3

7.1%

0 – 4

6.2%

0 – 0

5.7%

1 – 4

4.4%

0 – 5

3.1%

2 – 2

2 – 3

2.5%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Koln

Handicap	1. FC Koln covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	0%	—	100%
-2	0%	2%	98%
-1.5	2%	—	98%
-1	2%	6%	92%
-0.5	8%	—	92%
+0.5	25%	—	75%
+1	25%	22%	53%
+1.5	47%	—	53%
+2	47%	22%	31%
+2.5	69%	—	31%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Koln keeps clean sheet

10% ✓

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

50% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.