1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
- Borussia Dortmund 34 games · 73 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Tobias Stieler
- Assistant 1 Christian Gittelmann
- Assistant 2 Mark Borsch
24 games this season
🟨 0.7/game
⚽ 4.0 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May | Borussia Dortmund | H | 3–0 | W |
| 05 May | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Apr | 1. FC Koln | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Apr | SC Freiburg | A | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Apr | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 4–1 | W |
| 06 Apr | SV Darmstadt 98 | H | 4–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 0–3 | L |
| 07 May | Paris Saint-Germain FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 04 May | FC Augsburg | H | 5–1 | W |
| 01 May | Paris Saint-Germain FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Apr | RB Leipzig | A | 1–4 | L |
| 21 Apr | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #2 |
| 40 | Points | 73 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 10 / 10 / 14 | W / D / L | 22 / 7 / 5 |
| 44 | Scored | 70 |
| 53 | Conceded | 34 |
| -9 | GD | +36 |
| 1.18 | PPG | 2.15 |
| 29% | Win % | 65% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
69%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
12%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
44%
Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
Borussia Dortmund this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at MEWA Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 10' Marco Reus has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 12' Assisted by Silvan Widmer with the perfectly-timed delivery and Leandro Barreiro Martins makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 17' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 19' What composure from Jae-sung Lee! The South Korea international strokes it home. 2-0.
- 23' A goal from the South Korea international Jae-sung Lee! He fires home on 23 to make it 3-0!
- 28' Youssoufa Moukoko has been relatively quiet despite scoring 22 goals in his last 521 appearances.
- 33' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 33 minutes.
- 38' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 41' Marco Reus is having his name booked by the referee on 41.
- 45' Andreas Hanche-Olsen was booked on 45.
- 46' Fresh legs for Borussia Dortmund! Ian Maatsen comes on to replace Mateu Morey.
- 51' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Borussia Dortmund are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 56' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Leandro Barreiro Martins on 56 minutes.
- 61' Marius Wolf needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 66' Borussia Dortmund are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 69' Borussia Dortmund ring the changes. Felix Kalu Nmecha has done his job and it is now time for Ole Pohlmann to step up.
- 74' The home supporters are growing impatient. 1. FSV Mainz 05 must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 76' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes a substitution. Anthony Caci departs to be replaced by Edimilson Fernandes.
- 77' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes a substitution. Silvan Widmer departs to be replaced by Danny da Costa.
- 80' Controversy at the stadium! Nico Schlotterbeck argues furiously but the card stands.
- 85' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against Borussia Dortmund's 4-3-3 shape.
- 87' The supporters are chanting for Nelson Weiper. He replaces Brajan Gruda on 87 minute.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for 1. FSV Mainz 05 players.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3
- 19
- 31
- 27
- 8
- 29
- 18
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↓ Danny da Costa 77'
- 25
-
43
Brajan Gruda ↓ Nelson Weiper 87'
-
7
Jae-sung Lee ↓ Marco Richter 87'
Bench
- 17
-
10
Marco Richter ↑ 87'
- 23
-
21
Danny da Costa ↑ 77'
-
20
Edimilson Fernandes ↑ 76'
- 14
- 11
- 1
-
44
Nelson Weiper ↑ 87'
Coach
Bo Henriksen
Borussia Dortmund Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
21
Donyell Malen ↓ Jadon Sancho 46'
- 25
- 11
- 17
- 33
-
6
Salih Ozcan ↓ Julian Brandt 46'
- 8
- 4
-
2
Mateu Morey ↓ Ian Maatsen 46'
- 18
- 43
Bench
-
19
Julian Brandt ↑ 46'
-
10
Jadon Sancho ↑ 46'
- 26
- 23
- 47
-
22
Ian Maatsen ↑ 46'
-
30
Ole Pohlmann ↑ 69'
- 35
-
38
Kjell Watjen ↑ 76'
Coach
Edin Terzic
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Marco Reus | 4 |
| Jonathan Burkardt | 3 |
| Erling Haaland | 3 |
| Robin Quaison | 3 |
| Jae-sung Lee | 3 |
| Jadon Sancho | 3 |
| Maximilian Beier | 2 |
| Julian Brandt | 2 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Borussia Dortmund Form
2024-05-11
1. FSV Mainz 05
3–0
Borussia Dortmund
L
2024-05-07
Paris Saint-Germain FC
0–1
Borussia Dortmund
W
2024-05-04
Borussia Dortmund
5–1
FC Augsburg
W
2024-05-01
Borussia Dortmund
1–0
Paris Saint-Germain FC
W
2024-04-27
RB Leipzig
4–1
Borussia Dortmund
L
2024-04-21
Borussia Dortmund
1–1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.54
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36
Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for:
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Borussia Dortmund 74% + Both teams to score 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.9
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
70%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
56%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Borussia Dortmund
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
7.5%
0 – 0
7.3%
0 – 1
6.6%
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.4%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 0
Actual
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | Borussia Dortmund covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 12% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 20% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 17% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
26%
✗
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

