Saturday , 14 November 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 11 May 2024 · 16:30 UTC MEWA Arena 33,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jae-sung Lee 19' 2–0
Jae-sung Lee 23' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
  • Assistant 1 Christian Gittelmann
  • Assistant 2 Mark Borsch
10 games this season 🟨 3.2/game ⚽ 9.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Borussia Dortmund H 3–0 W
05 May 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 1–1 D
28 Apr 1. FC Köln H 1–1 D
21 Apr SC Freiburg A 1–1 D
13 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 4–1 W
06 Apr SV Darmstadt 98 H 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 0–3 L
07 May Paris Saint-Germain FC A 1–0 W
04 May FC Augsburg H 5–1 W
01 May Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–0 W
27 Apr RB Leipzig A 1–4 L
21 Apr Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–1 D

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 Borussia Dortmund
#12 Position #2
10 Points 21
9 Played 9
3 / 1 / 5 W / D / L 6 / 3 / 0
18 Scored 16
19 Conceded 7
-1 GD +9
1.11 PPG 2.33
33% Win % 67%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
56% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
4/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 6 G
Anthony Caci 3 G 3 A
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 4 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G
Borussia Dortmund
Felix Kalu Nmecha 4 G
Sehrou Guirassy 3 G 2 A
Fabio Silva 3 G 2 A
Maximilian Beier 2 G 2 A
Ioannis Konstantelias 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.59 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.44 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 or Borussia Dortmund 74% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0544% Draw26% Borussia Dortmund30%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.03
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
69%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
56%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Borussia Dortmund
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0530% Draw44% Borussia Dortmund26%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–0 not predicted
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11.9%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
7.7%
1 – 0
6.8%
0 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 1
6.1%
2 – 0
6%
0 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.5%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 12% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 19% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 17% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
24% ✗
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.