Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 11 May 2024 · 16:30 UTC MEWA Arena 33,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jae-sung Lee 19' 2–0
Jae-sung Lee 23' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia DortmundBundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
  • Assistant 1 Christian Gittelmann
  • Assistant 2 Mark Borsch
24 games this season 🟨 0.7/game 4.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Borussia Dortmund H 3–0 W
05 May 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 1–1 D
28 Apr 1. FC Koln H 1–1 D
21 Apr SC Freiburg A 1–1 D
13 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 4–1 W
06 Apr SV Darmstadt 98 H 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 0–3 L
07 May Paris Saint-Germain FC A 1–0 W
04 May FC Augsburg H 5–1 W
01 May Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–0 W
27 Apr RB Leipzig A 1–4 L
21 Apr Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–1 D

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 Borussia Dortmund
#10 Position #2
40 Points 73
34 Played 34
10 / 10 / 14 W / D / L 22 / 7 / 5
44 Scored 70
53 Conceded 34
-9 GD +36
1.18 PPG 2.15
29% Win % 65%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
44% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
/
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at MEWA Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' Marco Reus has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 12' Assisted by Silvan Widmer with the perfectly-timed delivery and Leandro Barreiro Martins makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 17' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 19' What composure from Jae-sung Lee! The South Korea international strokes it home. 2-0.
  • 23' A goal from the South Korea international Jae-sung Lee! He fires home on 23 to make it 3-0!
  • 28' Youssoufa Moukoko has been relatively quiet despite scoring 22 goals in his last 521 appearances.
  • 33' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 33 minutes.
  • 38' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 41' Marco Reus is having his name booked by the referee on 41.
  • 45' Andreas Hanche-Olsen was booked on 45.
  • 46' Fresh legs for Borussia Dortmund! Ian Maatsen comes on to replace Mateu Morey.
  • 51' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Borussia Dortmund are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 56' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Leandro Barreiro Martins on 56 minutes.
  • 61' Marius Wolf needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 66' Borussia Dortmund are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 69' Borussia Dortmund ring the changes. Felix Kalu Nmecha has done his job and it is now time for Ole Pohlmann to step up.
  • 74' The home supporters are growing impatient. 1. FSV Mainz 05 must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 76' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes a substitution. Anthony Caci departs to be replaced by Edimilson Fernandes.
  • 77' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes a substitution. Silvan Widmer departs to be replaced by Danny da Costa.
  • 80' Controversy at the stadium! Nico Schlotterbeck argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 85' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against Borussia Dortmund's 4-3-3 shape.
  • 87' The supporters are chanting for Nelson Weiper. He replaces Brajan Gruda on 87 minute.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for 1. FSV Mainz 05 players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.54 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 or Borussia Dortmund 74% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0544% Draw26% Borussia Dortmund30%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.9
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
70%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
56%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Borussia Dortmund
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0530% Draw45% Borussia Dortmund25%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
7.5%
0 – 0
7.3%
0 – 1
6.6%
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.4%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 0
Actual

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 20% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 17% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
26%
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.