Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Signal Iduna Park.
- Borussia Dortmund 4 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Daniel Schlager
- Assistant 1 Sven Waschitzki
- Assistant 2 Arno Blos
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | SV Werder Bremen | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | RB Leipzig | A | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Mar | Lille OSC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Mar | FC Augsburg | H | 0–1 | L |
| 04 Mar | Lille OSC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Mar | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar | Borussia Dortmund | A | 1–3 | L |
| 15 Mar | SC Freiburg | H | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Mar | Borussia Mönchengladbach | A | 3–1 | W |
| 01 Mar | RB Leipzig | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Feb | FC St. Pauli 1910 | H | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Feb | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Borussia Dortmund | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #6 |
| 12 | Points | 7 |
| 4 | Played | 4 |
| 4 / 0 / 0 | W / D / L | 2 / 1 / 1 |
| 9 | Scored | 10 |
| 2 | Conceded | 6 |
| +7 | GD | +4 |
| 3.00 | PPG | 1.75 |
| 100% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
69%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
75%
Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
Borussia Dortmund this season
50%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
Borussia Dortmund are 1st (12 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Borussia Dortmund
| Sehrou Guirassy | 2 G | 2 A |
| Felix Kalu Nmecha | 2 G | |
| Fabio Silva | 2 G | |
| Ioannis Konstantelias | 1 G |
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 4 G | |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 3 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Signal Iduna Park. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Borussia Dortmund must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 10' 1. FSV Mainz 05 fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 20' With 0 assists to his name this season, Paul Nebel is clearly more than just a goal scorer for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Moritz Jenz, as he is very good at scoring at Signal Iduna Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 30' Brazil international Yan Couto has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 35' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 39' A stunning finish from Maximilian Beier — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 42' The Germany Emre Can breaks the deadlock on 42 minutes. 2-0!
- 45' Borussia Dortmund player sees a card in front of him.
- 50' Armindo Sieb, a Germany forward, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 55' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 60' It is a cagey affair so far. Borussia Dortmund in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past 1. FSV Mainz 05's compact 3-4-2-1.
- 62' The Borussia Dortmund manager makes a substitution. Yan Couto departs to be replaced by Daniel Svensson.
- 65' The supporters are chanting for Hyun-seok Hong. He replaces Jae-sung Lee on 65 minute.
- 66' The crowd applauds Silvan Widmer as he leaves the pitch. Nikolas Veratschnig steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- 71' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Jonathan Burkardt exits the field as Nelson Weiper enters on 71.
- 72' A goal from the Germany international Maximilian Beier! He fires home on 72 to make it 3-0!
- 76' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Paul Nebel makes it 3-1.
- 79' Borussia Dortmund ring the changes. Julian Brandt has done his job and it is now time for Carney Chukwuemeka to step up.
- 84' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Borussia Dortmund and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 88' Armindo Sieb is ready to make an impact after coming on for Paul Nebel at the 88 minute mark.
- 89' That looks like a foul for a card for Nico Schlotterbeck.
- 90' The Borussia Dortmund bench stirs into life. Karim Adeyemi is withdrawn and Jamie Bynoe-Gittens gets his opportunity.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-1.
Lineups
Borussia Dortmund Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 13
- 10
- 3
- 1
-
6
Salih Ozcan ↓ Niklas Sule 79'
- 26
- 23
- 4
- 14
- 27
-
2
Yan Couto ↓ Daniel Svensson 62'
Bench
-
5
Ramy Bensebaini ↑ 90'
-
25
Niklas Sule ↑ 79'
- 33
- 7
-
24
Daniel Svensson ↑ 62'
-
17
Carney Chukwuemeka ↑ 79'
-
43
Jamie Bynoe-Gittens ↑ 90'
- 16
- 36
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
19
Anthony Caci ↓ Arnaud Nordin 88'
- 27
- 29
- 18
- 21
- 30
-
8
Paul Nebel ↓ Armindo Sieb 88'
- 25
- 3
- 6
-
7
Jae-sung Lee ↓ Hyun-seok Hong 65'
Bench
-
9
Arnaud Nordin ↑ 88'
- 5
- 15
- 33
-
11
Armindo Sieb ↑ 88'
- 1
-
44
Nelson Weiper ↑ 71'
-
14
Hyun-seok Hong ↑ 65'
-
22
Nikolas Veratschnig ↑ 66'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Marco Reus | 4 |
| Erling Haaland | 3 |
| Robin Quaison | 3 |
| Jae-sung Lee | 3 |
| Jadon Sancho | 3 |
| Jonathan Burkardt | 3 |
| Julian Brandt | 2 |
| Raphael Guerreiro | 2 |
Head to Head
Borussia Dortmund Form
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
2025-03-30
Borussia Dortmund
3–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2025-03-15
1. FSV Mainz 05
2–2
SC Freiburg
D
2025-03-07
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1–3
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2025-03-01
RB Leipzig
1–2
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2025-02-22
1. FSV Mainz 05
2–0
FC St. Pauli 1910
W
2025-02-16
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
0–2
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.81
Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Borussia Dortmund win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.99
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Borussia Dortmund or Draw
75%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
51%
Borussia Dortmund or 1. FSV Mainz 05
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
8.3%
2 – 0
8.1%
0 – 0
6.8%
1 – 2
6.1%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
5.5%
0 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
4.8%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund
| Handicap | Borussia Dortmund covers | Push | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 16% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 22% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

