Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2024-25

Borussia Dortmund

3 – 1

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Sun 30 Mar 2025 · 15:30 UTC Signal Iduna Park 81,365 HT 45' · FT 45'

Maximilian Beier 39' 1–0

Emre Can 42' 2–0

Maximilian Beier 72' 3–0

3–1 76' Paul Nebel

Yan Couto 45' Y

Nico Schlotterbeck 89' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Signal Iduna Park.

Borussia Dortmund 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
1. FSV Mainz 05 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Daniel Schlager
Assistant 1 Sven Waschitzki
Assistant 2 Arno Blos

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
2	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
3	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26
4	FC Schalke 04	0	0
5	SC Paderborn 07	0	0
6	SV 07 Elversberg	0	0
7	FC Bayern München	0	0
8	Borussia Dortmund	0	0
9	RB Leipzig	0	0
10	VfB Stuttgart	0	0
11	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	0	0
12	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	0	0
13	SC Freiburg	0	0
14	Eintracht Frankfurt	0	0
15	FC Augsburg	0	0
16	1. FSV Mainz 05	0	0
17	1. FC Union Berlin	0	0
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0	0
19	Hamburger SV	0	0
20	1. FC Köln	0	0
21	SV Werder Bremen	0	0

Head-to-Head

Borussia Dortmund 16 games · Avg 3.1 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2025-03-30 Borussia Dortmund 3–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-11-09 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 Borussia Dortmund 2024-05-11 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–0 Borussia Dortmund 2023-12-19 Borussia Dortmund 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-05-27 Borussia Dortmund 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

Borussia Dortmund

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Mar	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	3–1	W
15 Mar	RB Leipzig	A	0–2	L
12 Mar	Lille OSC	A	2–1	W
08 Mar	FC Augsburg	H	0–1	L
04 Mar	Lille OSC	H	1–1	D
01 Mar	FC St. Pauli 1910	A	2–0	W

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Mar	Borussia Dortmund	A	1–3	L
15 Mar	SC Freiburg	H	2–2	D
07 Mar	Borussia Mönchengladbach	A	3–1	W
01 Mar	RB Leipzig	A	2–1	W
22 Feb	FC St. Pauli 1910	H	2–0	W
16 Feb	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	A	2–0	W

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund		1. FSV Mainz 05
#8	Position	#16
0	Points	0
0	Played	0
0 / 0 / 0	W / D / L	0 / 0 / 0
0	Scored	0
0	Conceded	0
+0	GD	+0
–	PPG	–
–	Win %	–

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Borussia Dortmund are 8th (0 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: 1. FSV Mainz 05 gets underway.
5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
10' It is a cagey affair so far. Borussia Dortmund in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past 1. FSV Mainz 05's compact 3-4-2-1.
15' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
20' Jae-sung Lee is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Borussia Dortmund so far.
25' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Nadiem Amiri made 407 appearances and scored 27 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
35' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
39' The Germany Maximilian Beier breaks the deadlock on 39 minutes. 1-0!
42' A stunning finish from Emre Can — that came from absolutely nowhere!
45' A moment of madness from Yan Couto on 45 minutes earns him a card. Borussia Dortmund will be frustrated.
50' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
55' Both keepers have barely been tested. Borussia Dortmund and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
60' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 60 minutes.
62' The Borussia Dortmund manager makes a substitution. Yan Couto departs to be replaced by Daniel Svensson.
65' The crowd applauds Jae-sung Lee as he leaves the pitch. Hyun-seok Hong steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
66' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 66 minute. Silvan Widmer leaves to be changed by Nikolas Veratschnig.
71' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 bench stirs into life. Jonathan Burkardt is withdrawn and Nelson Weiper gets his opportunity.
72' Maximilian Beier adds to his 1 season tally! Borussia Dortmund lead 3-0 — and this changes everything.
76' What a strike from Paul Nebel! The score is 3-1.
79' The crowd applauds Julian Brandt as he leaves the pitch. Carney Chukwuemeka steps in for Borussia Dortmund.
84' Over 84 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
88' The whistle greets Paul Nebel as he departs to be replaced by Armindo Sieb.
89' Nico Schlotterbeck was booked on 89.
90' Another substitution for Borussia Dortmund to replace Karim Adeyemi by Jamie Bynoe-Gittens on 90 minute.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Borussia Dortmund players.

Lineups

Borussia Dortmund Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

13
Pascal Gross
10
Julian Brandt ↓ Carney Chukwuemeka 79'
3
Waldemar Anton ↓ Ramy Bensebaini 90'
1
Gregor Kobel
6
Salih Ozcan ↓ Niklas Sule 79'
26
Julian Ryerson
23
Emre Can
4
Nico Schlotterbeck
14
Maximilian Beier
27
Karim Adeyemi ↓ Jamie Bynoe-Gittens 90'
2
Yan Couto ↓ Daniel Svensson 62'

Bench

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

19
Anthony Caci ↓ Arnaud Nordin 88'
27
Robin Zentner
29
Jonathan Burkardt ↓ Nelson Weiper 71'
18
Nadiem Amiri
21
Danny da Costa
30
Silvan Widmer ↓ Nikolas Veratschnig 66'
8
Paul Nebel ↓ Armindo Sieb 88'
25
Andreas Hanche-Olsen
3
Moritz Jenz
6
Kaishu Sano
7
Jae-sung Lee ↓ Hyun-seok Hong 65'

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Marco Reus	4
Robin Quaison	3
Jae-sung Lee	3
Jadon Sancho	3
Jonathan Burkardt	3
Erling Haaland	3
Julian Brandt	2
Raphael Guerreiro	2

Head to Head

Borussia Dortmund Form

2025-03-30 Borussia Dortmund 3–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-03-15 RB Leipzig 2–0 Borussia Dortmund L 2025-03-12 Lille OSC 1–2 Borussia Dortmund W 2025-03-08 Borussia Dortmund 0–1 FC Augsburg L 2025-03-04 Borussia Dortmund 1–1 Lille OSC D 2025-03-01 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–2 Borussia Dortmund W

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2025-03-30 Borussia Dortmund 3–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-03-15 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 SC Freiburg D 2025-03-07 Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-03-01 RB Leipzig 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-02-22 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 W 2025-02-16 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 0–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

0 / 4

0.79 Borussia Dortmund xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.87 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 77% + Borussia Dortmund or Draw 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Borussia Dortmund34% Draw35% 1. FSV Mainz 0531%

Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes33% 0% No67%

Avg goals/match: 1.66

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	78%	22%
± 1.5	50%	50%
± 2.5	23%	77%
± 3.5	9%	91%
± 4.5	3%	97%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw

68%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

66%

Borussia Dortmund or 1. FSV Mainz 05

65%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Borussia Dortmund19% Draw60% 1. FSV Mainz 0521%

Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–1 not predicted

3 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

21.8%

0 – 1

15.1%

1 – 1

14%

1 – 0

13.5%

0 – 2

6.7%

1 – 2

5.6%

2 – 0

5.5%

2 – 1

5.1%

2 – 2

2.4%

0 – 3

1.9%

1 – 3

1.7%

3 – 0

1.4%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap	Borussia Dortmund covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	7%	91%
-1.5	9%	—	91%
-1	9%	19%	72%
-0.5	28%	—	72%
+0.5	67%	—	33%
+1	67%	21%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	9%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet

43% ✓

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

46% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.