Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2024-25

Borussia Dortmund

3 – 1

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Sun 30 Mar 2025 · 15:30 UTC Signal Iduna Park 81,365 HT 45' · FT 45'

Maximilian Beier 39' 1–0

Emre Can 42' 2–0

Maximilian Beier 72' 3–0

3–1 76' Paul Nebel

Yan Couto 45' Y

Nico Schlotterbeck 89' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Signal Iduna Park.

Borussia Dortmund 9 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
1. FSV Mainz 05 9 games · 10 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Daniel Schlager
Assistant 1 Sven Waschitzki
Assistant 2 Arno Blos

5 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 8.2 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	9	21
2	Borussia Dortmund	9	21
3	SC Freiburg	9	19
4	RB Leipzig	9	18
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	9	16
6	SV Werder Bremen	9	15
7	SV 07 Elversberg	9	13
8	VfB Stuttgart	9	12
9	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	9	12
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	9	12
11	Hamburger SV	9	12
12	1. FSV Mainz 05	9	10
13	SC Paderborn 07	9	10
14	FC Augsburg	9	9
15	1. FC Köln	9	9
16	1. FC Union Berlin	9	7
17	FC Schalke 04	9	6
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	9	4

Head-to-Head

Borussia Dortmund 16 games · Avg 3.1 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2025-03-30 Borussia Dortmund 3–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-11-09 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 Borussia Dortmund 2024-05-11 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–0 Borussia Dortmund 2023-12-19 Borussia Dortmund 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-05-27 Borussia Dortmund 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

Borussia Dortmund

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Mar	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	3–1	W
15 Mar	RB Leipzig	A	0–2	L
12 Mar	Lille OSC	A	2–1	W
08 Mar	FC Augsburg	H	0–1	L
04 Mar	Lille OSC	H	1–1	D
01 Mar	FC St. Pauli 1910	A	2–0	W

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Mar	Borussia Dortmund	A	1–3	L
15 Mar	SC Freiburg	H	2–2	D
07 Mar	Borussia Mönchengladbach	A	3–1	W
01 Mar	RB Leipzig	A	2–1	W
22 Feb	FC St. Pauli 1910	H	2–0	W
16 Feb	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	A	2–0	W

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund		1. FSV Mainz 05
#2	Position	#12
21	Points	10
9	Played	9
6 / 3 / 0	W / D / L	3 / 1 / 5
16	Scored	18
7	Conceded	19
+9	GD	-1
2.33	PPG	1.11
67%	Win %	33%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

56% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

33% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (21 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund

0-15

2/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

1/2

46-60

2/1

61-75

4/1

76+

6/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

–/7

16-30

3/2

31-45

5/2

46-60

1/4

61-75

1/2

76+

8/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund

Felix Kalu Nmecha	4 G
Sehrou Guirassy	3 G	2 A
Fabio Silva	3 G	2 A
Maximilian Beier	2 G	2 A
Ioannis Konstantelias	1 G

1. FSV Mainz 05

Phillip Tietz	6 G
Anthony Caci	3 G	3 A
Sheraldo Becker	2 G	4 A
Philipp Mwene	1 G	1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at Signal Iduna Park. Borussia Dortmund are looking to make home advantage count against 1. FSV Mainz 05.
5' Jae-sung Lee has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Borussia Dortmund and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
25' Borussia Dortmund are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
30' Emre Can has been relatively quiet despite scoring 26 goals in his last 534 appearances.
35' Jonathan Burkardt, a Germany , has 5 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
39' Magnificent from Maximilian Beier! That is 33 goals in 422 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
42' Emre Can makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and Borussia Dortmund are in front.
45' Yan Couto catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 45.
50' Paul Nebel has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 15 cards already picked up this season.
55' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
60' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Borussia Dortmund and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
62' Borussia Dortmund make a change. Yan Couto trudges off to be replaced by Daniel Svensson on 62 minutes.
65' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Hyun-seok Hong comes on to replace Jae-sung Lee.
66' Silvan Widmer makes way for Nikolas Veratschnig at the 66 minute mark. A tactical switch from 1. FSV Mainz 05.
71' Nelson Weiper is replacing Jonathan Burkardt for the 1. FSV Mainz 05 side.
72' Maximilian Beier is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 3 goals this season for the .
76' Paul Nebel makes no mistake. The score reads 3-1 and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are in front.
79' Borussia Dortmund manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Carney Chukwuemeka is hanging Julian Brandt on the field on 79 minute.
84' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Borussia Dortmund needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
88' 1. FSV Mainz 05 ring the changes. Paul Nebel has done his job and it is now time for Armindo Sieb to step up.
89' Controversy at the stadium! Nico Schlotterbeck argues furiously but the card stands.
90' A change in the Borussia Dortmund ranks — Karim Adeyemi exits the field as Jamie Bynoe-Gittens enters on 90.
1. FSV Mainz 05 will have plenty to reflect on. Borussia Dortmund were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Borussia Dortmund Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

13
Pascal Gross
10
Julian Brandt ↓ Carney Chukwuemeka 79'
3
Waldemar Anton ↓ Ramy Bensebaini 90'
1
Gregor Kobel
6
Salih Ozcan ↓ Niklas Sule 79'
26
Julian Ryerson
23
Emre Can
4
Nico Schlotterbeck
14
Maximilian Beier
27
Karim Adeyemi ↓ Jamie Bynoe-Gittens 90'
2
Yan Couto ↓ Daniel Svensson 62'

Bench

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

19
Anthony Caci ↓ Arnaud Nordin 88'
27
Robin Zentner
29
Jonathan Burkardt ↓ Nelson Weiper 71'
18
Nadiem Amiri
21
Danny da Costa
30
Silvan Widmer ↓ Nikolas Veratschnig 66'
8
Paul Nebel ↓ Armindo Sieb 88'
25
Andreas Hanche-Olsen
3
Moritz Jenz
6
Kaishu Sano
7
Jae-sung Lee ↓ Hyun-seok Hong 65'

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Marco Reus	4
Jonathan Burkardt	3
Erling Haaland	3
Robin Quaison	3
Jae-sung Lee	3
Jadon Sancho	3
Maximilian Beier	2
Julian Brandt	2

Head to Head

Borussia Dortmund Form

2025-03-30 Borussia Dortmund 3–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-03-15 RB Leipzig 2–0 Borussia Dortmund L 2025-03-12 Lille OSC 1–2 Borussia Dortmund W 2025-03-08 Borussia Dortmund 0–1 FC Augsburg L 2025-03-04 Borussia Dortmund 1–1 Lille OSC D 2025-03-01 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–2 Borussia Dortmund W

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2025-03-30 Borussia Dortmund 3–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-03-15 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 SC Freiburg D 2025-03-07 Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-03-01 RB Leipzig 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-02-22 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 W 2025-02-16 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 0–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.03 Borussia Dortmund xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.29 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Borussia Dortmund51% Draw24% 1. FSV Mainz 0525%

Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes63% 0% No37%

Avg goals/match: 3.32

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	63%	37%
± 3.5	42%	58%
± 4.5	24%	76%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw

75%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

49%

Borussia Dortmund or 1. FSV Mainz 05

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Borussia Dortmund39% Draw41% 1. FSV Mainz 0520%

Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.3%

2 – 1

9.3%

2 – 0

7.4%

1 – 0

6.7%

3 – 1

Actual

2 – 2

5.9%

1 – 2

5.9%

0 – 0

5.1%

3 – 0

4.9%

3 – 2

4.1%

0 – 1

4 – 1

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap	Borussia Dortmund covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	16%	—	84%
-2	16%	16%	68%
-1.5	32%	—	68%
-1	32%	21%	47%
-0.5	53%	—	47%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	13%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.