Saturday , 14 November 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 9 Nov 2024 · 14:30 UTC MEWA Arena 33,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jae-sung Lee 36' 1–0
1–1 40' Sehrou Guirassy pen
Jonathan Burkardt 45+3' 2–1
Paul Nebel 54' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Badstubner
  • Assistant 1 Markus Schuller
  • Assistant 2 Philipp Huwe
8 games this season 🟨 2.8/game ⚽ 10.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov Borussia Dortmund H 3–1 W
03 Nov SC Freiburg A 0–0 D
30 Oct FC Bayern München H 0–4 L
25 Oct Borussia Mönchengladbach H 1–1 D
19 Oct RB Leipzig H 0–2 L
05 Oct FC St. Pauli 1910 A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–3 L
05 Nov SK Sturm Graz H 1–0 W
02 Nov RB Leipzig H 2–1 W
29 Oct VfL Wolfsburg A 0–1 L
26 Oct FC Augsburg A 1–2 L
22 Oct Real Madrid CF A 2–5 L

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 Borussia Dortmund
#12 Position #2
10 Points 21
9 Played 9
3 / 1 / 5 W / D / L 6 / 3 / 0
18 Scored 16
19 Conceded 7
-1 GD +9
1.11 PPG 2.33
33% Win % 67%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
56% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
4/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 6 G
Anthony Caci 3 G 3 A
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 4 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G
Borussia Dortmund
Felix Kalu Nmecha 4 G
Sehrou Guirassy 3 G 2 A
Fabio Silva 3 G 2 A
Maximilian Beier 2 G 2 A
Ioannis Konstantelias 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Borussia Dortmund is underway.
  • 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Bo Henriksen will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 10' Borussia Dortmund seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 15' It is a cagey affair so far. 1. FSV Mainz 05 in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past Borussia Dortmund's compact 4-1-4-1.
  • 20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
  • 25' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 27' Borussia Dortmund receives a card for a hard tackle on 27.
  • 28' Poor challenge from Nico Schlotterbeck. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 32' Paul Nebel was booked on 32.
  • 36' A goal from the South Korea international Jae-sung Lee! He fires home on 36 to make it 1-0!
  • 40' Sehrou Guirassy adds to his 13 season tally! Borussia Dortmund lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 45' Dominik Kohr is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
  • 48' Jonathan Burkardt puts 1. FSV Mainz 05 on the lead.
  • 53' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 54' Brilliant from the ! Paul Nebel makes it 3-1 with a superb finish on 54.
  • 59' A tactical swap from Borussia Dortmund — Yannik Luhrs on, Felix Kalu Nmecha off on 59 minutes.
  • 64' Emre Can has been relatively quiet despite scoring 26 goals in his last 534 appearances.
  • 69' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His 1. FSV Mainz 05 side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 74' It is a substitution in Borussia Dortmund team. Julian Brandt is replaced by Cole Campbell on 74 minute.
  • 79' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 80' Silvan Widmer has so much to prove this time. He replaces Danny da Costa on 80 minute.
  • 85' Another substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05 to replace Paul Nebel by Hyun-seok Hong on 85 minute.
  • 86' Controversy at the stadium! Robin Zentner argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 90' Armindo Sieb has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jae-sung Lee on 90 minute.
  • The points are shared — 1. FSV Mainz 05 3-1 Borussia Dortmund. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.54 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.74 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 or Borussia Dortmund 76% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0540% Draw24% Borussia Dortmund36%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.28
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
64%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
60%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Borussia Dortmund
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0526% Draw42% Borussia Dortmund32%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11%
1 – 2
8.4%
2 – 1
7.5%
2 – 2
6.5%
0 – 1
5.8%
0 – 2
5.7%
0 – 0
5.3%
1 – 0
5.1%
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 0
4.5%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 3
3.8%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 17% 67%
-0.5 33% — 67%
+0.5 59% — 41%
+1 59% 19% 22%
+1.5 78% — 22%
+2 78% 13% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
18% ✓
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.