Wednesday , 30 September 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 9 Nov 2024 · 14:30 UTC MEWA Arena 33,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jae-sung Lee 36' 1–0
1–1 40' Sehrou Guirassy pen
Jonathan Burkardt 45+3' 2–1
Paul Nebel 54' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Badstubner
  • Assistant 1 Markus Schuller
  • Assistant 2 Philipp Huwe
3 games this season 🟨 2.3/game ⚽ 10.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov Borussia Dortmund H 3–1 W
03 Nov SC Freiburg A 0–0 D
30 Oct FC Bayern München H 0–4 L
25 Oct Borussia Mönchengladbach H 1–1 D
19 Oct RB Leipzig H 0–2 L
05 Oct FC St. Pauli 1910 A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–3 L
05 Nov SK Sturm Graz H 1–0 W
02 Nov RB Leipzig H 2–1 W
29 Oct VfL Wolfsburg A 0–1 L
26 Oct FC Augsburg A 1–2 L
22 Oct Real Madrid CF A 2–5 L

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 Borussia Dortmund
#6 Position #1
7 Points 12
4 Played 4
2 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 4 / 0 / 0
10 Scored 9
6 Conceded 2
+4 GD +7
1.75 PPG 3.00
50% Win % 100%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
75% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 1st (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 3 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G
Borussia Dortmund
Sehrou Guirassy 2 G 2 A
Felix Kalu Nmecha 2 G
Fabio Silva 2 G
Ioannis Konstantelias 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at MEWA Arena. 1. FSV Mainz 05 are looking to make home advantage count against Borussia Dortmund.
  • 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 10' Borussia Dortmund started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
  • 15' 1. FSV Mainz 05 currently sit 13 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 20' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 25' With 1 assists to his name this season, Julian Brandt is clearly more than just a goal scorer for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 27' Borussia Dortmund player sees a card in front of him.
  • 28' Nico Schlotterbeck is having his name booked by the referee on 28.
  • 32' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Paul Nebel on 32 minutes.
  • 36' Magnificent from Jae-sung Lee! That is 13 goals in 438 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 40' What a moment for Sehrou Guirassy! That strike on 40 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 45' The referee shows 1. FSV Mainz 05 player a card on 45.
  • 48' Goal! Jonathan Burkardt scores his 55 goal in 438 matches.
  • 53' Borussia Dortmund is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 54' Brilliant from the ! Paul Nebel makes it 3-1 with a superb finish on 54.
  • 59' Yannik Luhrs is replacing Felix Kalu Nmecha for the Borussia Dortmund side.
  • 64' Kaishu Sano has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 451 appearances.
  • 69' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Alexander Meyer suffering a number of foals already.
  • 74' The crowd applauds Julian Brandt as he leaves the pitch. Cole Campbell steps in for Borussia Dortmund.
  • 79' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 80' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 bench stirs into life. Danny da Costa is withdrawn and Silvan Widmer gets his opportunity.
  • 85' Hyun-seok Hong gets the nod from 1. FSV Mainz 05. He replaces Paul Nebel and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 86' Controversy at the stadium! Robin Zentner argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 90' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Armindo Sieb comes on to replace Jae-sung Lee.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Borussia Dortmund.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.4 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.55 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 or Borussia Dortmund 74% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0540% Draw26% Borussia Dortmund34%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 2.95
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
65%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
60%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Borussia Dortmund
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0526% Draw45% Borussia Dortmund29%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 2
8.5%
2 – 1
7.7%
0 – 1
7.2%
0 – 0
7%
1 – 0
6.4%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
5.9%
2 – 0
5.1%
1 – 3
4.4%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 18% 67%
-0.5 33% — 67%
+0.5 60% — 40%
+1 60% 20% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
22% ✓
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.