1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 9 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
- Borussia Dortmund 9 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Florian Badstubner
- Assistant 1 Markus Schuller
- Assistant 2 Philipp Huwe
8 games this season
🟨 2.8/game
⚽ 10.0 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | Borussia Dortmund | H | 3–1 | W |
| 03 Nov | SC Freiburg | A | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Oct | FC Bayern München | H | 0–4 | L |
| 25 Oct | Borussia Mönchengladbach | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Oct | RB Leipzig | H | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 1–3 | L |
| 05 Nov | SK Sturm Graz | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Nov | RB Leipzig | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Oct | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Oct | FC Augsburg | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | Real Madrid CF | A | 2–5 | L |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #2 |
| 10 | Points | 21 |
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 3 / 1 / 5 | W / D / L | 6 / 3 / 0 |
| 18 | Scored | 16 |
| 19 | Conceded | 7 |
| -1 | GD | +9 |
| 1.11 | PPG | 2.33 |
| 33% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
69%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
56%
Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
Borussia Dortmund this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
4/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 6 G | |
| Anthony Caci | 3 G | 3 A |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 4 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
Borussia Dortmund
| Felix Kalu Nmecha | 4 G | |
| Sehrou Guirassy | 3 G | 2 A |
| Fabio Silva | 3 G | 2 A |
| Maximilian Beier | 2 G | 2 A |
| Ioannis Konstantelias | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Borussia Dortmund is underway.
- 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Bo Henriksen will be considering his options from the bench.
- 10' Borussia Dortmund seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 15' It is a cagey affair so far. 1. FSV Mainz 05 in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past Borussia Dortmund's compact 4-1-4-1.
- 20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
- 25' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 27' Borussia Dortmund receives a card for a hard tackle on 27.
- 28' Poor challenge from Nico Schlotterbeck. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 32' Paul Nebel was booked on 32.
- 36' A goal from the South Korea international Jae-sung Lee! He fires home on 36 to make it 1-0!
- 40' Sehrou Guirassy adds to his 13 season tally! Borussia Dortmund lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
- 45' Dominik Kohr is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
- 48' Jonathan Burkardt puts 1. FSV Mainz 05 on the lead.
- 53' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 54' Brilliant from the ! Paul Nebel makes it 3-1 with a superb finish on 54.
- 59' A tactical swap from Borussia Dortmund — Yannik Luhrs on, Felix Kalu Nmecha off on 59 minutes.
- 64' Emre Can has been relatively quiet despite scoring 26 goals in his last 534 appearances.
- 69' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His 1. FSV Mainz 05 side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 74' It is a substitution in Borussia Dortmund team. Julian Brandt is replaced by Cole Campbell on 74 minute.
- 79' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 80' Silvan Widmer has so much to prove this time. He replaces Danny da Costa on 80 minute.
- 85' Another substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05 to replace Paul Nebel by Hyun-seok Hong on 85 minute.
- 86' Controversy at the stadium! Robin Zentner argues furiously but the card stands.
- 90' Armindo Sieb has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jae-sung Lee on 90 minute.
- The points are shared — 1. FSV Mainz 05 3-1 Borussia Dortmund. Honours even.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 19
- 31
- 2
- 27
- 16
- 29
- 18
-
21
Danny da Costa ↓ Silvan Widmer 80'
-
8
Paul Nebel ↓ Hyun-seok Hong 85'
- 6
-
7
Jae-sung Lee ↓ Armindo Sieb 90'
Bench
-
9
Karim Onisiwo ↑ 90'
- 4
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↑ 80'
-
11
Armindo Sieb ↑ 90'
- 1
- 44
-
14
Hyun-seok Hong ↑ 85'
- 22
- 42
Coach
Bo Henriksen
Borussia Dortmund Lineups
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 13
-
10
Julian Brandt ↓ Cole Campbell 74'
- 33
- 20
- 9
-
26
Julian Ryerson ↓ Almugera Kabar 74'
- 23
- 8
- 4
- 14
-
43
Jamie Bynoe-Gittens ↓ Yan Couto 59'
Bench
-
21
Donyell Malen ↑ 59'
- 46
-
2
Yan Couto ↑ 59'
- 35
-
49
Yannik Luhrs ↑ 59'
-
42
Almugera Kabar ↑ 74'
- 39
-
37
Cole Campbell ↑ 74'
- 32
Coach
Nuri Sahin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Marco Reus | 4 |
| Robin Quaison | 3 |
| Jae-sung Lee | 3 |
| Jadon Sancho | 3 |
| Jonathan Burkardt | 3 |
| Erling Haaland | 3 |
| Julian Brandt | 2 |
| Raphael Guerreiro | 2 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Borussia Dortmund Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.54
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.74
Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for:
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Borussia Dortmund 76% + Both teams to score 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.28
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
64%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
60%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Borussia Dortmund
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11%
1 – 2
8.4%
2 – 1
7.5%
2 – 2
6.5%
0 – 1
5.8%
0 – 2
5.7%
0 – 0
5.3%
1 – 0
5.1%
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 0
4.5%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 3
3.8%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | Borussia Dortmund covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 10% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 17% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 19% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +2 | 78% | 13% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

