1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Borussia Dortmund 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Florian Badstubner
- Assistant 1 Markus Schuller
- Assistant 2 Philipp Huwe
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 2 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 3 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
| 4 | FC Schalke 04 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | SC Paderborn 07 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | SV 07 Elversberg | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | FC Bayern München | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Borussia Dortmund | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | VfB Stuttgart | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | SC Freiburg | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | FC Augsburg | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | 1. FC Köln | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | SV Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | Borussia Dortmund | H | 3–1 | W |
| 03 Nov | SC Freiburg | A | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Oct | FC Bayern München | H | 0–4 | L |
| 25 Oct | Borussia Mönchengladbach | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Oct | RB Leipzig | H | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 1–3 | L |
| 05 Nov | SK Sturm Graz | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Nov | RB Leipzig | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Oct | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Oct | FC Augsburg | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | Real Madrid CF | A | 2–5 | L |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #8 |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0 | Played | 0 |
| 0 / 0 / 0 | W / D / L | 0 / 0 / 0 |
| 0 | Scored | 0 |
| 0 | Conceded | 0 |
| +0 | GD | +0 |
| – | PPG | – |
| – | Win % | – |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
69%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 8th (0 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Borussia Dortmund get this one started.
- 5' Emre Can has been relatively quiet despite scoring 26 goals in his last 519 appearances.
- 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 15' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Borussia Dortmund backline.
- 20' Robin Zentner needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 25' 1. FSV Mainz 05 currently sit 13 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 27' The referee shows Borussia Dortmund player a card on 27.
- 28' Nico Schlotterbeck was booked on 28.
- 32' A meaty challenge results in booking for Paul Nebel on 32.
- 36' Jae-sung Lee does the damage! The net is bulging and 1. FSV Mainz 05 surge ahead!
- 40' The deadlock is broken! Sehrou Guirassy gets on the scoresheet on 40 minutes.
- 45' The referee has no hesitation. Dominik Kohr is booked for 1. FSV Mainz 05 — card on 45.
- 48' What a strike from Jonathan Burkardt! The score is 2-1.
- 53' Nadiem Amiri has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 54' The deadlock is broken! Paul Nebel gets on the scoresheet on 54 minutes.
- 59' Borussia Dortmund ring the changes. Felix Kalu Nmecha has done his job and it is now time for Yannik Luhrs to step up.
- 64' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 69' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 74' Time for substitution for Borussia Dortmund. Julian Brandt is replaced by Cole Campbell.
- 79' Almugera Kabar is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for 1. FSV Mainz 05 tonight.
- 80' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Danny da Costa exits the field as Silvan Widmer enters on 80.
- 85' 1. FSV Mainz 05 make a change. Paul Nebel trudges off to be replaced by Hyun-seok Hong on 85 minutes.
- 86' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Robin Zentner on 86 minutes.
- 90' Armindo Sieb is replacing Jae-sung Lee for the 1. FSV Mainz 05 side.
- With this win, 1. FSV Mainz 05 is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 19
- 31
- 2
- 27
- 16
- 29
- 18
-
21
Danny da Costa ↓ Silvan Widmer 80'
-
8
Paul Nebel ↓ Hyun-seok Hong 85'
- 6
-
7
Jae-sung Lee ↓ Armindo Sieb 90'
Bench
-
9
Karim Onisiwo ↑ 90'
- 4
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↑ 80'
-
11
Armindo Sieb ↑ 90'
- 1
- 44
-
14
Hyun-seok Hong ↑ 85'
- 22
- 42
Coach
Bo Henriksen
Borussia Dortmund Lineups
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 13
-
10
Julian Brandt ↓ Cole Campbell 74'
- 33
- 20
- 9
-
26
Julian Ryerson ↓ Almugera Kabar 74'
- 23
- 8
- 4
- 14
-
43
Jamie Bynoe-Gittens ↓ Yan Couto 59'
Bench
-
21
Donyell Malen ↑ 59'
- 46
-
2
Yan Couto ↑ 59'
- 35
-
49
Yannik Luhrs ↑ 59'
-
42
Almugera Kabar ↑ 74'
- 39
-
37
Cole Campbell ↑ 74'
- 32
Coach
Nuri Sahin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Marco Reus | 4 |
| Robin Quaison | 3 |
| Jae-sung Lee | 3 |
| Jadon Sancho | 3 |
| Jonathan Burkardt | 3 |
| Erling Haaland | 3 |
| Julian Brandt | 2 |
| Raphael Guerreiro | 2 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Borussia Dortmund Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.03
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.7
Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for:
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw 77% + Under 2.5 goals 75%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 1.73
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 1.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 2.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 3.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
| ± 4.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
77%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
55%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Borussia Dortmund
67%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
20.3%
1 – 0
16.8%
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 1
11%
2 – 0
8.8%
2 – 1
6.5%
1 – 2
4.4%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 0
3%
2 – 2
2.4%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
1%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | Borussia Dortmund covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 11% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 24% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 16% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
50%
✓
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.