1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
- Borussia Dortmund 34 games · 73 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Florian Badstubner
- Assistant 1 Markus Schuller
- Assistant 2 Philipp Huwe
18 games this season
🟨 0.8/game
⚽ 4.5 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | Borussia Dortmund | H | 3–1 | W |
| 03 Nov | SC Freiburg | A | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Oct | FC Bayern München | H | 0–4 | L |
| 25 Oct | Borussia Monchengladbach | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Oct | RB Leipzig | H | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 1–3 | L |
| 05 Nov | SK Sturm Graz | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Nov | RB Leipzig | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Oct | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Oct | FC Augsburg | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | Real Madrid CF | A | 2–5 | L |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #2 |
| 40 | Points | 73 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 10 / 10 / 14 | W / D / L | 22 / 7 / 5 |
| 44 | Scored | 70 |
| 53 | Conceded | 34 |
| -9 | GD | +36 |
| 1.18 | PPG | 2.15 |
| 29% | Win % | 65% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
69%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
12%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
44%
Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
Borussia Dortmund this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at MEWA Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Cole Campbell made 521 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 10' Marcel Sabitzer is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Borussia Dortmund so far.
- 15' 1. FSV Mainz 05 started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
- 20' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Bo Henriksen will be considering his options from the bench.
- 25' Borussia Dortmund are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 27' The referee calls foul for Emre Can. He receives a card.
- 28' It’s a booking for Borussia Dortmund player. Nico Schlotterbeck gets a card.
- 32' Controversy at the stadium! Paul Nebel argues furiously but the card stands.
- 36' The South Korea Jae-sung Lee breaks the deadlock on 36 minutes. 1-0!
- 40' A stunning finish from Sehrou Guirassy — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 45' It’s gonna be a card for Dominik Kohr.
- 48' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Jonathan Burkardt makes it 2-1.
- 53' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Borussia Dortmund winning 100% of all matches.
- 54' Brilliant from the ! Paul Nebel makes it 3-1 with a superb finish on 54.
- 59' A change in the Borussia Dortmund ranks — Felix Kalu Nmecha exits the field as Yannik Luhrs enters on 59.
- 64' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His 1. FSV Mainz 05 side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 69' The 20-year-old Almugera Kabar has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 74' Julian Brandt makes way for Cole Campbell at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from Borussia Dortmund.
- 79' Yannik Luhrs needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 80' The crowd applauds Danny da Costa as he leaves the pitch. Silvan Widmer steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- 85' The whistle greets Paul Nebel as he departs to be replaced by Hyun-seok Hong.
- 86' Poor challenge from Robin Zentner. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 90' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Armindo Sieb comes on to replace Jae-sung Lee.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. 1. FSV Mainz 05 take all three points.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 19
- 31
- 2
- 27
- 16
- 29
- 18
-
21
Danny da Costa ↓ Silvan Widmer 80'
-
8
Paul Nebel ↓ Hyun-seok Hong 85'
- 6
-
7
Jae-sung Lee ↓ Armindo Sieb 90'
Bench
-
9
Karim Onisiwo ↑ 90'
- 4
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↑ 80'
-
11
Armindo Sieb ↑ 90'
- 1
- 44
-
14
Hyun-seok Hong ↑ 85'
- 22
- 42
Coach
Bo Henriksen
Borussia Dortmund Lineups
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 13
-
10
Julian Brandt ↓ Cole Campbell 74'
- 33
- 20
- 9
-
26
Julian Ryerson ↓ Almugera Kabar 74'
- 23
- 8
- 4
- 14
-
43
Jamie Bynoe-Gittens ↓ Yan Couto 59'
Bench
-
21
Donyell Malen ↑ 59'
- 46
-
2
Yan Couto ↑ 59'
- 35
-
49
Yannik Luhrs ↑ 59'
-
42
Almugera Kabar ↑ 74'
- 39
-
37
Cole Campbell ↑ 74'
- 32
Coach
Nuri Sahin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Marco Reus | 4 |
| Jae-sung Lee | 3 |
| Jadon Sancho | 3 |
| Jonathan Burkardt | 3 |
| Erling Haaland | 3 |
| Robin Quaison | 3 |
| Julian Brandt | 2 |
| Raphael Guerreiro | 2 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Borussia Dortmund Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.49
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.65
Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for:
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Borussia Dortmund 75% + Both teams to score 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.14
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
65%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
60%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Borussia Dortmund
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
1 – 2
8.5%
2 – 1
7.6%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
6.3%
0 – 0
6%
0 – 2
5.9%
1 – 0
5.6%
2 – 0
4.8%
1 – 3
4.7%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 3
3.5%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | Borussia Dortmund covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 10% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 17% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 19% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 12% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

