1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
- Borussia Dortmund 4 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Florian Badstubner
- Assistant 1 Markus Schuller
- Assistant 2 Philipp Huwe
3 games this season
🟨 2.3/game
⚽ 10.3 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | SV Werder Bremen | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | Borussia Dortmund | H | 3–1 | W |
| 03 Nov | SC Freiburg | A | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Oct | FC Bayern München | H | 0–4 | L |
| 25 Oct | Borussia Mönchengladbach | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Oct | RB Leipzig | H | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 1–3 | L |
| 05 Nov | SK Sturm Graz | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Nov | RB Leipzig | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Oct | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Oct | FC Augsburg | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | Real Madrid CF | A | 2–5 | L |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #1 |
| 7 | Points | 12 |
| 4 | Played | 4 |
| 2 / 1 / 1 | W / D / L | 4 / 0 / 0 |
| 10 | Scored | 9 |
| 6 | Conceded | 2 |
| +4 | GD | +7 |
| 1.75 | PPG | 3.00 |
| 50% | Win % | 100% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
69%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
75%
Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
Borussia Dortmund this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 1st (12 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 4 G | |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 3 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
Borussia Dortmund
| Sehrou Guirassy | 2 G | 2 A |
| Felix Kalu Nmecha | 2 G | |
| Fabio Silva | 2 G | |
| Ioannis Konstantelias | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at MEWA Arena. 1. FSV Mainz 05 are looking to make home advantage count against Borussia Dortmund.
- 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 10' Borussia Dortmund started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
- 15' 1. FSV Mainz 05 currently sit 13 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 20' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 25' With 1 assists to his name this season, Julian Brandt is clearly more than just a goal scorer for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- 27' Borussia Dortmund player sees a card in front of him.
- 28' Nico Schlotterbeck is having his name booked by the referee on 28.
- 32' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Paul Nebel on 32 minutes.
- 36' Magnificent from Jae-sung Lee! That is 13 goals in 438 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 40' What a moment for Sehrou Guirassy! That strike on 40 puts his side firmly in control.
- 45' The referee shows 1. FSV Mainz 05 player a card on 45.
- 48' Goal! Jonathan Burkardt scores his 55 goal in 438 matches.
- 53' Borussia Dortmund is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 54' Brilliant from the ! Paul Nebel makes it 3-1 with a superb finish on 54.
- 59' Yannik Luhrs is replacing Felix Kalu Nmecha for the Borussia Dortmund side.
- 64' Kaishu Sano has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 451 appearances.
- 69' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Alexander Meyer suffering a number of foals already.
- 74' The crowd applauds Julian Brandt as he leaves the pitch. Cole Campbell steps in for Borussia Dortmund.
- 79' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 80' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 bench stirs into life. Danny da Costa is withdrawn and Silvan Widmer gets his opportunity.
- 85' Hyun-seok Hong gets the nod from 1. FSV Mainz 05. He replaces Paul Nebel and will look to change the dynamic.
- 86' Controversy at the stadium! Robin Zentner argues furiously but the card stands.
- 90' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Armindo Sieb comes on to replace Jae-sung Lee.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Borussia Dortmund.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 19
- 31
- 2
- 27
- 16
- 29
- 18
-
21
Danny da Costa ↓ Silvan Widmer 80'
-
8
Paul Nebel ↓ Hyun-seok Hong 85'
- 6
-
7
Jae-sung Lee ↓ Armindo Sieb 90'
Bench
-
9
Karim Onisiwo ↑ 90'
- 4
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↑ 80'
-
11
Armindo Sieb ↑ 90'
- 1
- 44
-
14
Hyun-seok Hong ↑ 85'
- 22
- 42
Coach
Bo Henriksen
Borussia Dortmund Lineups
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 13
-
10
Julian Brandt ↓ Cole Campbell 74'
- 33
- 20
- 9
-
26
Julian Ryerson ↓ Almugera Kabar 74'
- 23
- 8
- 4
- 14
-
43
Jamie Bynoe-Gittens ↓ Yan Couto 59'
Bench
-
21
Donyell Malen ↑ 59'
- 46
-
2
Yan Couto ↑ 59'
- 35
-
49
Yannik Luhrs ↑ 59'
-
42
Almugera Kabar ↑ 74'
- 39
-
37
Cole Campbell ↑ 74'
- 32
Coach
Nuri Sahin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Marco Reus | 4 |
| Jonathan Burkardt | 3 |
| Erling Haaland | 3 |
| Robin Quaison | 3 |
| Jae-sung Lee | 3 |
| Jadon Sancho | 3 |
| Julian Brandt | 2 |
| Raphael Guerreiro | 2 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Borussia Dortmund Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.4
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.55
Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for:
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Borussia Dortmund 74% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.95
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
65%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
60%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Borussia Dortmund
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 2
8.5%
2 – 1
7.7%
0 – 1
7.2%
0 – 0
7%
1 – 0
6.4%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
5.9%
2 – 0
5.1%
1 – 3
4.4%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 3
3.1%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | Borussia Dortmund covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 10% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 18% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 20% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 12% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

