1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Refresh

Bundesliga · 2025-26

1. FSV Mainz 05

3 – 1

Full Time

VfL Wolfsburg

Sat 24 Jan 2026 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg — Bundesliga .

1. FSV Mainz 05 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
VfL Wolfsburg 34 games · 29 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Daniel Siebert

12 games this season 🟨 2.3/game ⚽ 5.3 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
2	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
3	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26
4	FC Schalke 04	0	0
5	SC Paderborn 07	0	0
6	SV 07 Elversberg	0	0
7	FC Bayern München	0	0
8	Borussia Dortmund	0	0
9	RB Leipzig	0	0
10	VfB Stuttgart	0	0
11	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	0	0
12	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	0	0
13	SC Freiburg	0	0
14	Eintracht Frankfurt	0	0
15	FC Augsburg	0	0
16	1. FSV Mainz 05	0	0
17	1. FC Union Berlin	0	0
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0	0
19	Hamburger SV	0	0
20	1. FC Köln	0	0
21	SV Werder Bremen	0	0

Head-to-Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 25 games · Avg 3.0 goals VfL Wolfsburg

Last 5 meetings

2026-01-24 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 VfL Wolfsburg 2025-08-31 VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2025-04-19 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 VfL Wolfsburg 2024-12-08 VfL Wolfsburg 4–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-05-18 VfL Wolfsburg 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 Jan	VfL Wolfsburg	H	3–1	W
17 Jan	1. FC Köln	A	1–2	L
13 Jan	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	H	2–1	W
10 Jan	1. FC Union Berlin	A	2–2	D
21 Dec	FC St. Pauli 1910	H	0–0	D
14 Dec	FC Bayern München	A	2–2	D

VfL Wolfsburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 Jan	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	1–3	L
17 Jan	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	H	1–1	D
14 Jan	FC St. Pauli 1910	H	2–1	W
11 Jan	FC Bayern München	A	1–8	L
20 Dec	SC Freiburg	H	3–4	L
13 Dec	Borussia Mönchengladbach	A	3–1	W

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05		VfL Wolfsburg
#16	Position	#1
0	Points	29
0	Played	34
0 / 0 / 0	W / D / L	7 / 8 / 19
0	Scored	45
0	Conceded	69
+0	GD	-24
–	PPG	0.85
–	Win %	21%

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)

64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts). VfL Wolfsburg are 1st (29 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. VfL Wolfsburg get us underway at .
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for 1. FSV Mainz 05 players.

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jonas Wind	7
Maximilian Arnold	3
Jonathan Burkardt	3
Max Kruse	3
Renato Steffen	2
Paul Nebel	2
Maximilian Philipp	2
Sebastiaan Bornauw	2

Head to Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2026-01-24 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 VfL Wolfsburg W 2026-01-17 1. FC Köln 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2026-01-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 W 2026-01-10 1. FC Union Berlin 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2025-12-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 D 2025-12-14 FC Bayern München 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 D

VfL Wolfsburg Form

2026-01-24 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 VfL Wolfsburg L 2026-01-17 VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 D 2026-01-14 VfL Wolfsburg 2–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 W 2026-01-11 FC Bayern München 8–1 VfL Wolfsburg L 2025-12-20 VfL Wolfsburg 3–4 SC Freiburg L 2025-12-13 Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.44 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.71 VfL Wolfsburg xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct

1. FSV Mainz 0554% Draw28% VfL Wolfsburg18%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes40% 0% No60%

Avg goals/match: 2.15

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	86%	14%
± 1.5	63%	37%
± 2.5	36%	64%
± 3.5	18%	82%
± 4.5	7%	93%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw

82%

Draw or VfL Wolfsburg

46%

1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfL Wolfsburg

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

1. FSV Mainz 0536% Draw51% VfL Wolfsburg13%

Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 0

15.6%

0 – 0

13.8%

1 – 1

12.7%

2 – 0

11.6%

2 – 1

8.4%

0 – 1

7.1%

3 – 0

5.5%

3 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

4.1%

2 – 2

3.1%

0 – 2

2.8%

4 – 0

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers	Push	VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	16%	73%
-1.5	27%	—	73%
-1	27%	26%	47%
-0.5	53%	—	47%
+0.5	83%	—	17%
+1	83%	12%	5%
+1.5	95%	—	5%
+2	95%	4%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

49% ✓

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.