Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 24 Jan 2026 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL WolfsburgBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Siebert
29 games this season 🟨 1.6/game 5.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jan VfL Wolfsburg H 3–1 W
17 Jan 1. FC Koln A 1–2 L
13 Jan 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–1 W
10 Jan 1. FC Union Berlin A 2–2 D
21 Dec FC St. Pauli 1910 H 0–0 D
14 Dec FC Bayern München A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jan 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–3 L
17 Jan 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 1–1 D
14 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–1 W
11 Jan FC Bayern München A 1–8 L
20 Dec SC Freiburg H 3–4 L
13 Dec Borussia Monchengladbach A 3–1 W

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 VfL Wolfsburg
#10 Position #16
40 Points 29
34 Played 34
10 / 10 / 14 W / D / L 7 / 8 / 19
44 Scored 45
53 Conceded 69
-9 GD -24
1.18 PPG 0.85
29% Win % 21%

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
6% Clean Sheets
VfL Wolfsburg this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). VfL Wolfsburg are 16th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
VfL Wolfsburg
0-15
1/
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
/3
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for 1. FSV Mainz 05 and VfL Wolfsburg.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-1.

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.38 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33 VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0559% Draw21% VfL Wolfsburg20%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.71
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 50%
50%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
80%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
41%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfL Wolfsburg
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0544% Draw38% VfL Wolfsburg18%
Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9%
1 – 1
8.6%
2 – 0
7%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
5.9%
1 – 0
5.5%
3 – 0
5.4%
1 – 2
5%
3 – 2
4.7%
4 – 1
4.2%
0 – 0
3.7%
4 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5 21% 79%
-2 21% 18% 61%
-1.5 39% 61%
-1 39% 21% 41%
-0.5 59% 41%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 11% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
27%
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
10%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.