1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg — Bundesliga .
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
- VfL Wolfsburg 34 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Daniel Siebert
29 games this season
🟨 1.6/game
⚽ 5.8 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Jan | 1. FC Koln | A | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Jan | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Jan | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Dec | FC St. Pauli 1910 | H | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Dec | FC Bayern München | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 1–3 | L |
| 17 Jan | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Jan | FC St. Pauli 1910 | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Jan | FC Bayern München | A | 1–8 | L |
| 20 Dec | SC Freiburg | H | 3–4 | L |
| 13 Dec | Borussia Monchengladbach | A | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | VfL Wolfsburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #16 |
| 40 | Points | 29 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 10 / 10 / 14 | W / D / L | 7 / 8 / 19 |
| 44 | Scored | 45 |
| 53 | Conceded | 69 |
| -9 | GD | -24 |
| 1.18 | PPG | 0.85 |
| 29% | Win % | 21% |
Key Stats
48%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
H2H (25 games)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
12%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
6%
Clean Sheets
VfL Wolfsburg this season
VfL Wolfsburg this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). VfL Wolfsburg are 16th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
VfL Wolfsburg
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
–/3
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for 1. FSV Mainz 05 and VfL Wolfsburg.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-1.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
VfL Wolfsburg Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jonas Wind | 7 |
| Max Kruse | 3 |
| Maximilian Arnold | 3 |
| Jonathan Burkardt | 3 |
| Renato Steffen | 2 |
| Paul Nebel | 2 |
| Maximilian Philipp | 2 |
| Sebastiaan Bornauw | 2 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
VfL Wolfsburg Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.38
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33
VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 66%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.71
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 3.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 4.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
80%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
41%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfL Wolfsburg
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9%
1 – 1
8.6%
2 – 0
7%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
5.9%
1 – 0
5.5%
3 – 0
5.4%
1 – 2
5%
3 – 2
4.7%
4 – 1
4.2%
0 – 0
3.7%
4 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | VfL Wolfsburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -2 | 21% | 18% | 61% |
| -1.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| -1 | 39% | 21% | 41% |
| -0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 11% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

