Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Heidenheim 1846, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Tue 13 Jan 2026 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Heidenheim 1846Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Sven Jablonski
25 games this season 🟨 0.6/game 4.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Jan 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–1 W
10 Jan 1. FC Union Berlin A 2–2 D
21 Dec FC St. Pauli 1910 H 0–0 D
14 Dec FC Bayern München A 2–2 D
05 Dec Borussia Monchengladbach H 0–1 L
30 Nov SC Freiburg A 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Jan 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–2 L
10 Jan 1. FC Koln H 2–2 D
21 Dec FC Bayern München H 0–4 L
13 Dec FC St. Pauli 1910 A 1–2 L
06 Dec SC Freiburg H 2–1 W
29 Nov 1. FC Union Berlin A 2–1 W

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
#10 Position #17
40 Points 26
34 Played 34
10 / 10 / 14 W / D / L 6 / 8 / 20
44 Scored 41
53 Conceded 72
-9 GD -31
1.18 PPG 0.76
29% Win % 18%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
17% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
3% Clean Sheets
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 are 17th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
0-15
3/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/2
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

1. FC Heidenheim 1846 Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.6 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0550% Draw26% 1. FC Heidenheim 184624%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.66
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
76%
Draw or 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
50%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0534% Draw47% 1. FC Heidenheim 184619%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.9%
2 – 0
8.7%
0 – 1
6.4%
1 – 2
6%
3 – 1
4.9%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.7%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 23% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 15% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
35%
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.