Thursday , 2 July 2026

VfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 7 Feb 2026 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia DortmundBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Timo Gerach
15 games this season 🟨 1.1/game 5.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Feb Borussia Dortmund H 1–2 L
30 Jan 1. FC Koln A 0–1 L
24 Jan 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–3 L
17 Jan 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 1–1 D
14 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–1 W
11 Jan FC Bayern München A 1–8 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Feb VfL Wolfsburg A 2–1 W
01 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 3–2 W
28 Jan FC Internazionale Milano H 0–2 L
24 Jan 1. FC Union Berlin A 3–0 W
20 Jan Tottenham Hotspur FC A 0–2 L
17 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 H 3–2 W

Season Stats

VfL Wolfsburg Borussia Dortmund
#16 Position #2
29 Points 73
34 Played 34
7 / 8 / 19 W / D / L 22 / 7 / 5
45 Scored 70
69 Conceded 34
-24 GD +36
0.85 PPG 2.15
21% Win % 65%

Key Stats

29% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
6% Clean Sheets
VfL Wolfsburg this season
44% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

VfL Wolfsburg are 16th (29 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfL Wolfsburg
0-15
1/
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
/3
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
/
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

Borussia Dortmund Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.94 VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.16 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 59% + Borussia Dortmund to win 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfL Wolfsburg19% Draw23% Borussia Dortmund58%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 3.1
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
42%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
81%
VfL Wolfsburg or Borussia Dortmund
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
VfL Wolfsburg13% Draw41% Borussia Dortmund46%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 2
10.4%
1 – 1
9.9%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
9.2%
0 – 3
7.3%
1 – 3
6.8%
0 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
4.5%
2 – 1
4.2%
0 – 4
3.9%
1 – 4
3.8%
1 – 0
3.6%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap VfL Wolfsburg covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 9% 85%
-0.5 15% 85%
+0.5 36% 64%
+1 36% 23% 41%
+1.5 59% 41%
+2 59% 19% 22%
+2.5 78% 22%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
12%
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
39%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.