Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga .
- Borussia Dortmund 34 games · 73 pts (2026/27)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Tobias Welz
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 4–0 | W |
| 07 Feb | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Feb | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 3–2 | W |
| 28 Jan | FC Internazionale Milano | H | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Jan | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Jan | Tottenham Hotspur FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb | Borussia Dortmund | A | 0–4 | L |
| 07 Feb | FC Augsburg | H | 2–0 | W |
| 31 Jan | RB Leipzig | A | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Jan | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Jan | 1. FC Koln | A | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Jan | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Borussia Dortmund | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #10 |
| 73 | Points | 40 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 22 / 7 / 5 | W / D / L | 10 / 10 / 14 |
| 70 | Scored | 44 |
| 34 | Conceded | 53 |
| +36 | GD | -9 |
| 2.15 | PPG | 1.18 |
| 65% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
69%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Borussia Dortmund and 1. FSV Mainz 05 is underway.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 4-0.
Lineups
Borussia Dortmund Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Marco Reus | 4 |
| Jonathan Burkardt | 3 |
| Erling Haaland | 3 |
| Robin Quaison | 3 |
| Jae-sung Lee | 3 |
| Jadon Sancho | 3 |
| Paul Nebel | 2 |
| Maximilian Beier | 2 |
Head to Head
Borussia Dortmund Form
2026-02-13
Borussia Dortmund
4–0
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2026-02-07
VfL Wolfsburg
1–2
Borussia Dortmund
W
2026-02-01
Borussia Dortmund
3–2
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
W
2026-01-28
Borussia Dortmund
0–2
FC Internazionale Milano
L
2026-01-24
1. FC Union Berlin
0–3
Borussia Dortmund
W
2026-01-20
Tottenham Hotspur FC
2–0
Borussia Dortmund
L
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.37
Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 64% + Borussia Dortmund to win 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Borussia Dortmund win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.36
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
Borussia Dortmund or Draw
84%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
37%
Borussia Dortmund or 1. FSV Mainz 05
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 1
8.9%
1 – 0
7.8%
3 – 0
7.5%
3 – 1
7.3%
0 – 0
4.9%
2 – 2
4.6%
4 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
4.4%
1 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund
| Handicap | Borussia Dortmund covers | Push | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -2 | 25% | 20% | 55% |
| -1.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| -1 | 45% | 22% | 33% |
| -0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +0.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

