Sunday , 16 August 2026

Atalanta BC vs SK Sturm Graz, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

Tue 21 Jan 2025 · 17:45 UTC Gewiss Stadium 19,469 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mateo Retegui 12' 1–0
Mario Pasalic 58' 2–0
Ademola Lookman 90' 4–0
Marco Brescianini 90+4' 5–0

Overview

Match Preview

Atalanta BC vs SK Sturm GrazChampions League at Gewiss Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Donatas Rumsas
  • Assistant 1 Aleksandras Radiusas
  • Assistant 2 Dovydas Suziedelis
6 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jan SK Sturm Graz H 5–0 W
18 Jan SSC Napoli H 2–3 L
14 Jan Juventus FC H 1–1 D
11 Jan Udinese Calcio A 0–0 D
28 Dec SS Lazio A 1–1 D
22 Dec Empoli FC H 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jan Atalanta BC A 0–5 L
11 Dec Lille OSC A 2–3 L
27 Nov Girona FC H 1–0 W
05 Nov Borussia Dortmund A 0–1 L
22 Oct Sporting Clube de Portugal H 0–2 L
02 Oct Club Brugge KV H 0–1 L

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Atalanta BC this season

Top Scorers (This Season)

Atalanta BC
Lazar Samardzic 4 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Atalanta BC and SK Sturm Graz is underway.
  • 5' Lovro Zvonarek is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Atalanta BC tonight.
  • 10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Gian Piero Gasperini might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 12' Against the run of play, Mateo Retegui has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 17' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Atalanta BC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 22' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 27' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 32' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 36' It’s a booking for Atalanta BC player. Lazar Samardzic gets a card.
  • 41' It looks like no one’s ball. Atalanta BC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Amady Camara as he leaves the pitch. Seedy Jatta steps in for SK Sturm Graz.
  • 51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 56' named a 3-4-1-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-1-2-1-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 58' GOAL! Mario Pasalic fires home to make it 2-0!
  • 63' Magnificent from Charles De Ketelaere! That is 48 goals in 351 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 64' The crowd applauds Lazar Samardzic as he leaves the pitch. Marco Brescianini steps in for Atalanta BC.
  • 69' Tomi Horvat has so much to prove this time. He replaces Malick Yalcouye on 69 minute.
  • 71' The Atalanta BC manager makes a substitution. Sead Kolasinac departs to be replaced by Berat Djimsiti.
  • 76' SK Sturm Graz come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 78' Another change for SK Sturm Graz made on 78 minute. Tochi Chukwuani leaves to be changed by Stefan Hierlander.
  • 83' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SK Sturm Graz that had 141 games and scored 37 goals.
  • 88' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Gian Piero Gasperini will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 90' What composure from Ademola Lookman! The Nigeria international strokes it home. 4-0.
  • 90' SK Sturm Graz ring the changes. Otar Kiteishvili has done his job and it is now time for Leon Grgic to step up.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for Atalanta BC and SK Sturm Graz (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.17 Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99 SK Sturm Graz xG
I would bet for: Atalanta BC to win 62% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC62% Draw21% SK Sturm Graz17%
Actual: Atalanta BC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 3.16
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Atalanta BC or Draw
84%
Draw or SK Sturm Graz
38%
Atalanta BC or SK Sturm Graz
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC45% Draw40% SK Sturm Graz15%
Actual: Atalanta BC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–0 not predicted
5 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
9.9%
2 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
8.7%
3 – 0
7%
3 – 1
6.9%
0 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 2
4.4%
4 – 1
3.8%
4 – 0
3.8%
0 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC

Handicap Atalanta BC covers Push SK Sturm Graz covers
-2.5 21% 79%
-2 21% 19% 60%
-1.5 40% 60%
-1 40% 22% 37%
-0.5 63% 37%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 10% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
38%
SK Sturm Graz keeps clean sheet
12%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.