Thursday , 2 July 2026

SK Sturm Graz vs Atalanta BC, Europe 2023-24 GROUP STAGE

UEFA Europa League · 2023-24
Thu 26 Oct 2023 · 16:45 UTC Merkur Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
2
SK Sturm Graz 3 games · Avg 3.3 goals Atalanta BC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct Atalanta BC H 2–2 D
05 Oct RKS Rakow Czestochowa A 1–0 W
21 Sep Sporting Clube de Portugal H 1–2 L
15 Aug PSV H 1–3 L
08 Aug PSV A 1–4 L
03 Nov FC Midtjylland A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct SK Sturm Graz A 2–2 D
22 Oct Genoa CFC H 2–0 W
08 Oct SS Lazio A 2–3 L
05 Oct Sporting Clube de Portugal A 2–1 W
01 Oct Juventus FC H 0–0 D
27 Sep Hellas Verona FC A 1–0 W

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
SK Sturm Graz this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Merkur Arena will turn into a battlefield for SK Sturm Graz and Atalanta BC.
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 13' Atalanta BC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Rafael Toloi on 13.
  • 18' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 23' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 28' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ademola Lookman made 319 appearances and scored 68 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 33' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 34' What a strike from Luis Muriel! The score is 0-2.
  • 39' Jon Stankovic has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 44' SK Sturm Graz started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 44.
  • 45' The referee shows SK Sturm Graz player a card on 45.
  • 50' GOAL! Luis Muriel scores on 45.
  • 53' SK Sturm Graz receives a card for a hard tackle on 53.
  • 58' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kjell Scherpen, as he is very good at scoring at Merkur Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 61' Szymon Wlodarczyk is replacing Seedy Jatta for the SK Sturm Graz side.
  • 63' Hans Hateboer is replacing Matteo Ruggeri for the Atalanta BC side.
  • 68' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 70' SK Sturm Graz manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. William Boving is hanging Alexander Prass on the field on 70 minute.
  • 75' Matteo Ruggeri needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 78' Another substitution for SK Sturm Graz to replace Manprit Sarkaria by Tomi Horvat on 78 minute.
  • 80' Goal! Szymon Wlodarczyk scores his 3 goal in 117 matches.
  • 82' The whistle greets Rafael Toloi as he departs to be replaced by Giorgio Scalvini.
  • 83' The referee shows Atalanta BC player a card on 83.
  • 88' It looks surprising SK Sturm Graz does not make any changes. Gregory Wuthrich has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.55 SK Sturm Graz xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.58 Atalanta BC xG
I would bet for: SK Sturm Graz or Atalanta BC 73% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SK Sturm Graz37% Draw27% Atalanta BC36%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.13
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

SK Sturm Graz or Draw
64%
Draw or Atalanta BC
63%
SK Sturm Graz or Atalanta BC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SK Sturm Graz28% Draw43% Atalanta BC29%
Actual: Atalanta BC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
8%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
6.1%
0 – 0
6%
1 – 0
6%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
5.2%
1 – 3
4.3%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — SK Sturm Graz

Handicap SK Sturm Graz covers Push Atalanta BC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 18% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 19% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 11% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

SK Sturm Graz keeps clean sheet
21%
Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.