Sunday , 16 August 2026

SK Sturm Graz vs Atalanta BC, Europe 2023-24 GROUP STAGE

UEFA Europa League · 2023-24
Thu 26 Oct 2023 · 16:45 UTC Merkur Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
2
SK Sturm Graz 3 games · Avg 3.3 goals Atalanta BC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct Atalanta BC H 2–2 D
05 Oct RKS Rakow Czestochowa A 1–0 W
21 Sep Sporting Clube de Portugal H 1–2 L
15 Aug PSV H 1–3 L
08 Aug PSV A 1–4 L
03 Nov FC Midtjylland A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct SK Sturm Graz A 2–2 D
22 Oct Genoa CFC H 2–0 W
08 Oct SS Lazio A 2–3 L
05 Oct Sporting Clube de Portugal A 2–1 W
01 Oct Juventus FC H 0–0 D
27 Sep Hellas Verona FC A 1–0 W

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
SK Sturm Graz this season

Top Scorers (This Season)

SK Sturm Graz
Otar Kiteishvili 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against SK Sturm Graz and Atalanta BC has kicked off!
  • 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jusuf Gazibegovic made 142 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 13' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Rafael Toloi makes it 0-1.
  • 18' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jon Stankovic suffering a number of foals already.
  • 23' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 28' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 33' SK Sturm Graz currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 34' Against the run of play, Luis Muriel has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 39' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 39 minutes.
  • 44' Supporters expect more eagerness from Juan Musso, as he is very good at scoring at Merkur Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 45' SK Sturm Graz receives a card for a hard tackle on 45.
  • 50' GOAL! Luis Muriel scores on 45.
  • 53' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Stefan Hierlander on 53 minutes.
  • 58' The travelling Atalanta BC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 61' SK Sturm Graz ring the changes. Seedy Jatta has done his job and it is now time for Szymon Wlodarczyk to step up.
  • 63' Hans Hateboer has so much to prove this time. He replaces Matteo Ruggeri on 63 minute.
  • 68' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 70' William Boving gets the nod from SK Sturm Graz. He replaces Alexander Prass and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 75' Atalanta BC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 78' Tomi Horvat has so much to prove this time. He replaces Manprit Sarkaria on 78 minute.
  • 80' A goal from the Poland international Szymon Wlodarczyk! He fires home on 80 to make it 1-3!
  • 82' Giorgio Scalvini is ready to make an impact after coming on for Rafael Toloi at the 82 minute mark.
  • 83' The referee shows Atalanta BC player a card on 83.
  • 88' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • The points are shared — SK Sturm Graz 2-2 Atalanta BC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.55 SK Sturm Graz xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.58 Atalanta BC xG
I would bet for: SK Sturm Graz or Atalanta BC 73% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SK Sturm Graz37% Draw27% Atalanta BC36%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.13
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

SK Sturm Graz or Draw
64%
Draw or Atalanta BC
63%
SK Sturm Graz or Atalanta BC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SK Sturm Graz28% Draw43% Atalanta BC29%
Actual: Atalanta BC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
8%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
6.1%
0 – 0
6%
1 – 0
6%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
5.2%
1 – 3
4.3%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — SK Sturm Graz

Handicap SK Sturm Graz covers Push Atalanta BC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 18% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 19% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 11% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

SK Sturm Graz keeps clean sheet
21%
Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.