Thursday , 2 July 2026

Atalanta BC vs SSC Napoli, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
2 3
Full Time
Sat 18 Jan 2025 · 19:45 UTC Gewiss Stadium 22,874 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mateo Retegui 16' 1–0
1–1 27' Matteo Politano
1–2 40' Scott McTominay
Ademola Lookman 55' 2–2
2–3 78' Romelu Lukaku

Overview

Match Preview

Atalanta BC vs SSC NapoliSerie A at Gewiss Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Andrea Colombo (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Stefano Alassio
  • Assistant 2 Giorgio Peretti
5 games this season 🟨 2.0/game 6.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan SSC Napoli H 2–3 L
14 Jan Juventus FC H 1–1 D
11 Jan Udinese Calcio A 0–0 D
28 Dec SS Lazio A 1–1 D
22 Dec Empoli FC H 3–2 W
14 Dec Cagliari Calcio A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan Atalanta BC A 3–2 W
12 Jan Hellas Verona FC H 2–0 W
04 Jan ACF Fiorentina A 3–0 W
29 Dec Venezia FC H 1–0 W
21 Dec Genoa CFC A 2–1 W
14 Dec Udinese Calcio A 3–1 W

Season Stats

Atalanta BC SSC Napoli
#7 Position #2
59 Points 76
38 Played 38
15 / 14 / 9 W / D / L 23 / 7 / 8
51 Scored 58
36 Conceded 36
+15 GD +22
1.55 PPG 2.00
39% Win % 61%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
88% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Atalanta BC are 7th (59 pts). SSC Napoli are 2nd (76 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: SSC Napoli gets underway.
  • 5' Berat Djimsiti has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 10' It is a cagey affair so far. Atalanta BC in their 3-4-1-2 trying to find a way past SSC Napoli's compact 4-3-3.
  • 15' Atalanta BC is showing some good football. However, Atalanta BC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 16' A goal from the Italy international Mateo Retegui! He fires home on 16 to make it 1-0!
  • 21' Belgium international Romelu Lukaku has been a key figure this campaign — 2 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
  • 26' The travelling SSC Napoli supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 27' Matteo Politano doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 32' SSC Napoli come into this ranked 1 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 37' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Amir Rrahmani made 188 appearances and scored 15 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 40' Scott McTominay makes no mistake. The score reads 1-2 and SSC Napoli are in front.
  • 42' The referee shows SSC Napoli player a card on 42.
  • 47' Atalanta BC have won 714 goals from 525 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 52' The 30-year-old Giovanni Simeone has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 55' What a strike from Ademola Lookman! The score is 2-2.
  • 60' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 64' Atalanta BC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 66' A meaty challenge results in booking for Matteo Ruggeri on 66.
  • 68' Fresh legs for Atalanta BC! Charles De Ketelaere comes on to replace Mateo Retegui.
  • 73' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 74' The SSC Napoli manager makes a substitution. David Neres departs to be replaced by Leonardo Spinazzola.
  • 76' Atalanta BC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 77' Atalanta BC make a change. Lazar Samardzic trudges off to be replaced by Mario Pasalic on 77 minutes.
  • 78' The deadlock is broken! Romelu Lukaku gets on the scoresheet on 78 minutes.
  • 82' The SSC Napoli bench stirs into life. Matteo Politano is withdrawn and Pasquale Mazzocchi gets his opportunity.
  • 83' The Atalanta BC bench stirs into life. Giorgio Scalvini is withdrawn and Marco Brescianini gets his opportunity.
  • 84' The supporters are chanting for Giovanni Simeone. He replaces Romelu Lukaku on 84 minute.
  • 85' Isak Hien picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 88' Scott McTominay picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • SSC Napoli celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.44 Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.63 SSC Napoli xG
I would bet for: Atalanta BC or SSC Napoli 73% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC33% Draw27% SSC Napoli40%
Actual: SSC Napoli win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.07
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Atalanta BC or Draw
60%
Draw or SSC Napoli
67%
Atalanta BC or SSC Napoli
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Atalanta BC25% Draw44% SSC Napoli31%
Actual: SSC Napoli win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
1 – 2
8.5%
2 – 1
7.5%
0 – 1
6.8%
0 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 2
6.1%
1 – 0
5.9%
2 – 0
4.8%
1 – 3
4.6%
3 – 1
3.6%
2 – 3
Actual

Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC

Handicap Atalanta BC covers Push SSC Napoli covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 17% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 59% 41%
+1 59% 20% 21%
+1.5 79% 21%
+2 79% 12% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
20%
SSC Napoli keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.