Sunday , 16 August 2026

Atalanta BC vs SSC Napoli, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
2 3
Full Time
Sat 18 Jan 2025 · 19:45 UTC Gewiss Stadium 22,874 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mateo Retegui 16' 1–0
1–1 27' Matteo Politano
1–2 40' Scott McTominay
Ademola Lookman 55' 2–2
2–3 78' Romelu Lukaku

Overview

Match Preview

Atalanta BC vs SSC NapoliSerie A at Gewiss Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Andrea Colombo (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Stefano Alassio
  • Assistant 2 Giorgio Peretti

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan SSC Napoli H 2–3 L
14 Jan Juventus FC H 1–1 D
11 Jan Udinese Calcio A 0–0 D
28 Dec SS Lazio A 1–1 D
22 Dec Empoli FC H 3–2 W
14 Dec Cagliari Calcio A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan Atalanta BC A 3–2 W
12 Jan Hellas Verona FC H 2–0 W
04 Jan ACF Fiorentina A 3–0 W
29 Dec Venezia FC H 1–0 W
21 Dec Genoa CFC A 2–1 W
14 Dec Udinese Calcio A 3–1 W

Season Stats

Atalanta BC SSC Napoli
#10 Position #5
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
88% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Atalanta BC are 10th (0 pts). SSC Napoli are 5th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.83 Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 SSC Napoli xG
I would bet for: SSC Napoli or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC28% Draw33% SSC Napoli39%
Actual: SSC Napoli win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes38% 0% No62%
Avg goals/match: 1.89
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 57%
43%
± 2.5 29%
71%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Atalanta BC or Draw
61%
Draw or SSC Napoli
72%
Atalanta BC or SSC Napoli
67%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Atalanta BC18% Draw56% SSC Napoli26%
Actual: SSC Napoli win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 0
17.6%
0 – 1
14.6%
1 – 1
14.3%
1 – 0
11.2%
0 – 2
8%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
5.4%
2 – 0
4.9%
2 – 2
3%
0 – 3
2.8%
1 – 3
2.5%
3 – 1
1.5%

Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC

Handicap Atalanta BC covers Push SSC Napoli covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 18% 74%
-0.5 26% 74%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 23% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 11% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
35%
SSC Napoli keeps clean sheet
44%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.