St. Mirren FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
St. Mirren FC vs Kilmarnock FC — Premier League at The SMISA Stadium.
- St. Mirren FC 33 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
- Kilmarnock FC 33 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Euan Anderson
- Assistant 1 Daniel McFarlane
- Assistant 2 David Dunne
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 33 | 70 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 33 | 69 |
| 3 | Celtic FC | 33 | 67 |
| 4 | Motherwell FC | 33 | 54 |
| 5 | Hibernian FC | 33 | 51 |
| 6 | Falkirk FC | 33 | 46 |
| 7 | Dundee United FC | 33 | 40 |
| 8 | Aberdeen FC | 33 | 33 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 33 | 33 |
| 10 | St. Mirren FC | 33 | 30 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock FC | 33 | 28 |
| 12 | Livingston FC | 33 | 16 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec | Kilmarnock FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Dec | Heart of Midlothian FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Dec | Motherwell FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 09 Dec | Ross County FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 06 Dec | St. Johnstone FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Dec | Rangers FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec | St. Mirren FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Dec | St. Johnstone FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Dec | Livingston FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Dec | Celtic FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Dec | Aberdeen FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Dec | Heart of Midlothian FC | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| St. Mirren FC | Kilmarnock FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #11 |
| 30 | Points | 28 |
| 33 | Played | 33 |
| 7 / 9 / 17 | W / D / L | 6 / 10 / 17 |
| 27 | Scored | 37 |
| 48 | Conceded | 65 |
| -21 | GD | -28 |
| 0.91 | PPG | 0.85 |
| 21% | Win % | 18% |
Key Stats
39%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
H2H (23 games)
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
St. Mirren FC are 10th (30 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. St. Mirren FC host Kilmarnock FC — let the battle begin!
- 5' Kilmarnock FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Derek McInnes might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 20' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both St. Mirren FC and Kilmarnock FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 25' What a moment for Marley Watkins! That strike on 25 puts his side firmly in control.
- 30' The 30-year-old Stuart Findlay has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 33' That is a card for St. Mirren FC. Richard Taylor will be fuming at that decision.
- 38' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 43' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 48' With 0 assists to his name this season, Andrew Dallas is clearly more than just a goal scorer for St. Mirren FC.
- 53' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 58' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 59' That looks like a foul for a card for Alexandros Gogic.
- 64' The crowd applauds Marcus Fraser as he leaves the pitch. Mikael Mandron steps in for St. Mirren FC.
- 69' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 72' A tactical swap from Kilmarnock FC — Rory McKenzie on, Matty Kennedy off on 72 minutes.
- 74' The referee has no hesitation. Stuart Findlay is booked for Kilmarnock FC — card on 74.
- 75' St. Mirren FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Stav Nachmani is hanging Jonah Ayunga on the field on 75 minute.
- 80' It looks like no one’s ball. Kilmarnock FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 85' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 86' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Robbie Deas on 86 minutes.
- 87' The supporters are chanting for Joe Wright. He replaces Danny Armstrong on 87 minute.
- 88' Keanu Baccus was booked on 88.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-1.
Lineups
St. Mirren FC Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 6
- 2
- 17
-
7
Jonah Ayunga ↓ Stav Nachmani 75'
- 13
- 3
- 11
-
22
Marcus Fraser ↓ Mikael Mandron 64'
- 5
- 20
- 1
Bench
-
9
Mikael Mandron ↑ 64'
- 18
- 8
- 27
-
10
Conor McMenamin ↑ 64'
- 15
- 24
- 16
-
19
Stav Nachmani ↑ 75'
Coach
Steve Robinson
Kilmarnock FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
-
23
Marley Watkins ↓ Andrew Dallas 75'
- 8
- 9
- 17
- 3
- 5
- 1
- 6
-
11
Danny Armstrong ↓ Joe Wright 87'
- 12
-
10
Matty Kennedy ↓ Rory McKenzie 72'
Bench
-
19
Joe Wright ↑ 87'
- 39
-
7
Rory McKenzie ↑ 72'
- 20
-
21
Andrew Dallas ↑ 75'
- 31
- 25
- 14
- 19
Coach
Derek McInnes
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Marley Watkins | 3 |
| Kyle Vassell | 3 |
| Bruce Anderson | 3 |
| Caolan Boyd Munce | 2 |
| Greg Kiltie | 2 |
| Kyle Lafferty | 2 |
| Mark O'Hara | 2 |
| Christian Doidge | 2 |
Head to Head
St. Mirren FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.8
St. Mirren FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91
Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 75% + Kilmarnock FC or Draw 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Kilmarnock FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.71
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 1.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 2.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 3.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
| ± 4.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
Double Chance
St. Mirren FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
71%
St. Mirren FC or Kilmarnock FC
66%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
20.7%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
14.2%
1 – 0
13%
0 – 2
7%
1 – 2
5.9%
2 – 0
5.4%
2 – 1
5.2%
2 – 2
2.6%
0 – 3
2.1%
1 – 3
1.8%
3 – 0
1.4%
Asian Handicap — St. Mirren FC
| Handicap | St. Mirren FC covers | Push | Kilmarnock FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 7% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 19% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 22% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 9% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
41%
✓
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
45%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

